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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse Picks & Predictions — September 27, 2026

September 27, 20268 racesAll Los Alamitos Quarter Horse picks

It's a crisp, partly cloudy Sunday at Los Alamitos — 79 degrees, minimal wind, and the kind of afternoon that makes the Southern California quarter horse circuit feel like the best seat in the house. Eight races are on the board, all going dirt, and the distances are pure sprint territory: a mix of 300-yarders, 350-yard dashes, and the classic 1,000-yard route that tests horses in a very different way than the short stuff.

The card opens with three maiden and allowance sprints that give us our first real read on the track surface today. From there, the races get progressively tighter and the competition sharper. Whether you're playing the early Pick 3 or hunting value in the back half of the card, there's plenty here to dig into.

TrackWiz has ratings and analysis across all eight races. Three are fully free — Races 1 through 3 — and the remaining five are unlocked for subscribers. Let's break it down.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:35 AM EDT

Maiden · 1000 yd · Dirt

A maiden opener where the TrackWiz ratings tell a clear story — one filly separates herself from the field by a wide margin, though the morning line has the favorite pointing elsewhere.

win4Girl FireML 5/2

Girl Fire (No. 4) is the standout in this maiden field and it's not particularly close — her TrackWiz rating of 87.81 is more than 29 points clear of the next-best runner. She also posts the field's top average speed figure at 56, and trainer Felix L. Gonzalez saddles her with Edgar Payeras up, a sharp combination at this circuit. The morning line has her at 5/2, which looks like a fair price given how much she separates from the competition on the numbers.

place2Da Bel FioreML 2/1

Da Bel Fiore (No. 2) is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and backs that up with a solid 58.33 TrackWiz rating — second best in the field. She matches Mustang Knicky's 55 average speed but rates meaningfully higher overall, giving Cesar Ortega a legitimate mount to chase the winner down the stretch. At even-money range she's a logical exacta anchor underneath Girl Fire.

show1Spy in DisguiseML 6/1

Spy in Disguise (No. 1) comes in at 6/1 on the morning line with a 55.83 rating — sneaky competitive in a thin maiden field where the gaps between horses Nos. 1 through 3 aren't enormous. Damian Diaz Cruz gets the call for trainer Alberto Ruvalcaba, and at that price, she's worth a spot in your trifecta combinations as a hedge.

Race 2

1:03 AM EDT

Allowance · 1000 yd · Dirt

An allowance sprint where the top TrackWiz pick is also the morning-line chalk, but a 12/1 stablemate with a gaudy career win percentage adds a genuine wrinkle to the pace scenario.

win2Comedy TownML EVN

Comedy Town (No. 2) tops this field with a 90 TrackWiz rating — the highest of any horse across the first two races on the card. She's listed at even money on the morning line, and trainer Vann Belvoir sends out Edgar Payeras, one of the more active riders on this program. Her 56 average speed ties the field lead, and while a 19% career win rate won't blow anyone away, the composite profile here screams top choice.

place3Its Kraken TimeML 7/2

Its Kraken Time (No. 3) rates second in the field at 77.59 and represents a solid directional play underneath the favorite. Trainer Jose Raudales pairs with Cesar Ortega, and at 7/2 on the morning line, there's a touch of value if Comedy Town gets challenged early and ties herself up. She's the logical exacta partner.

show1Mischievous PaddyML 12/1

Here's the interesting wrinkle — Mischievous Paddy (No. 1) goes postward at 12/1 despite a 50% career win rate, the highest in the field by a wide margin. She and Comedy Town share trainer Vann Belvoir, which means connections know exactly what both horses bring. At that price, she belongs in trifecta tickets and deserves more respect than the morning line suggests.

Race 3

1:31 AM EDT

Claiming · 1000 yd · Dirt

A six-horse claiming race where the morning-line favorite and the TrackWiz top pick diverge sharply — setting up what looks like a genuine overlay situation at the windows.

win6FincairnML 6/1

Fincairn (No. 6) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 82.71 yet opens at 6/1 on the morning line — that gap between perceived value and our numbers is exactly what sharp bettors look for. Trainer Gloria Haley also conditions Synopsis in this field, giving her barn a dual-entry edge, and Cristobal Herrera gets the mount. An average speed of 55 fits the profile, and the claiming tag may be bringing out the best in this horse's connections.

place1Highland EchoML 2/1

Highland Echo (No. 1) is the 2/1 morning-line favorite with a 78.79 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field and fully competitive. Trainer Jorge Bautista puts Armando Aguilar up, and a 6% career win rate on a heavy starts horse can still translate to consistency at the claiming level. He's a legitimate threat to win, and at short odds, the place bet offers a safer return.

show4SynopsisML 8/1

Synopsis (No. 4) opens at 8/1 with a 68.65 rating and is the second Haley-trained entrant in the race — a trainer with two horses in the same field often fires one hot. A 16% career win rate is respectable at this level, and Alfredo L. Bautista navigates from inside. Toss her in your trifectas as a live longshot for the third spot.

The free portion of today's card gives you a nice cross-section of race types to work with. In Race 1 — a maiden event at 1,000 yards — Girl Fire comes in rated 87.81 and draws a 5/2 morning line, making her the logical top choice without being an unappealing chalk price. Maiden races at this distance can be messy, but a horse with that kind of rating in a field of first-timers and lightly-raced maidens carries real authority.

Race 2 flips to an allowance condition and Comedy Town lands at even money on the morning line — the highest rating (90.00) of the three free races and a horse our analysis trusts to handle the step up in class. Race 3 is the wildcard: a claiming event where Fincairn at 6/1 on the morning line represents the kind of value angle that can kick off a profitable day. Don't overlook the 300-yard sprints in Races 5 and 6 either — the track bias in short dashes at Los Alamitos is something our full card digs into heavily.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

1:59 AM EDT

Allowance · 1000 yd · Dirt

The allowance field for Race 4 features a clear TrackWiz top choice, but a horse sitting on a 28% career win rate buried in the program at 7/2 makes the pace scenario and exotic wagering genuinely interesting.

win5Winning LoverML 5/2

Winning Lover (No. 5) owns the field's top TrackWiz rating at 87.81 and posts a 56 average speed — tied for second in the field but with a significantly higher composite score than those around her. Trainer Vann Belvoir, who also trained Race 2 winner Comedy Town, deploys Edgar Payeras here, forming a sharp jockey-trainer combo that already showed up strong earlier in the card. The 5/2 morning line is fair, and this horse looks like the class of the field.

place2Da SmokeML 3/1

Da Smoke (No. 2) is second in the ratings at 60.18 and bumps his average speed figure to 56 — matching the favorite. Trainer Jose Raudales sends him out with Armando Aguilar, and a 15% career win rate keeps him competitive at this level. He's a logical place bet and a sound exacta underneath Winning Lover at 3/1.

show6Om SassyML 7/2

Om Sassy (No. 6) deserves attention — a 28% career win rate is the highest in the field by a considerable margin, and Salvador R. Vargas has the mount for trainer Sergio Morfin. The 57.59 TrackWiz rating isn't flashy, but horses that win nearly a third of their races tend to find ways to hit the board. At 7/2, she's a smart show bet and an exotic play.

Race 5

2:27 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

A short-field maiden claiming sprint at 300 yards where all five horses come in without a career win — making our TrackWiz ratings the primary separator in what's essentially a speed blast.

win2Favorite SurferML 8/5

Favorite Surfer (No. 2) paces this field with a 89.12 TrackWiz rating — more than 15 points clear of the next rival. Trainer Paul C. Jones saddles both the top and third picks in this race (also training Indecision), and Martin Arriaga gets the call on the top choice. At 8/5 on the morning line, she's rightly the favorite, and in a 300-yard dash where there's very little time for pace to sort itself out, the horse with the best raw numbers often wins outright.

place3Mp ExpressML 5/2

Mp Express (No. 3) rates second in the field at 73.24 and represents the clearest value underneath at 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Valentin A. Zamudio deploys Ruben Lozano, a combination that also appears later in the card — suggesting the barn is active and engaged on this night. In a sprint this short, breaking cleanly and rating well are everything, and the numbers say she belongs.

show5Gambling CowboyML 7/2

Gambling Cowboy (No. 5) rates third in the field at 66.71 and opens at 7/2 — respectable odds for a horse who profiles as a legitimate trifecta finisher. Rodrigo Aceves rides for trainer Elena Andrade, and in a five-horse maiden field with no previous wins across the board, every contender has a puncher's chance. He's worth a spot in your 1-2-5 ticket combinations.

Race 6

2:55 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

Another 300-yard maiden claiming sprint, but this one features a clear morning-line favorite that our ratings actually disagree with — opening the door for a lively exacta or tri opportunity.

win4Alexa Girl 47ML 2/1

Alexa Girl 47 (No. 4) leads all runners with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — nearly 29 points above the morning-line favorite, Best Time. Trainer Paul C. Jones, who also won our analysis in Race 5, doubles up here with Martin Arriaga in the irons. The 2/1 morning line actually understates how dominant the ratings edge is, and in a five-horse field this short, getting 2/1 on the top-rated horse is a solid return.

place1Best TimeML 7/5

Best Time (No. 1) is listed as the 7/5 morning-line favorite, but our rating of 59.33 places her well behind Alexa Girl 47 on the numbers. That doesn't mean she can't run second — she's drawn to the rail with Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara, and in quarter-horse racing, gate position and a clean break can close a lot of gaps quickly. She's a reasonable place bet for those who want to hedge the morning line.

show2Lightning CapoML 4/1

Lightning Capo (No. 2) rates third in the field at 53.55 and opens at 4/1 — giving her show bet appeal in an otherwise tight five-horse field. Trainer Felix L. Gonzalez has runners in multiple races tonight, and Erasmo Gasca provides experience in the irons. Plug her into your trifecta as the third element behind the Jones-trained pair.

Race 7

3:23 AM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

Step up to 350 yards and you find the most fascinating pace scenario of the night — a clear TrackWiz leader goes against a 50% career winner and two horses sitting on 33%, making the exotics genuinely juicy.

win1Ap First to RocketML 7/5

Ap First to Rocket (No. 1) tops the field with a 89.42 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark on the entire card through seven races. Trainer Valentin A. Zamudio deploys Ruben Lozano from the rail, which can be an advantage in a 350-yard dash where clean trips are everything. A 25% career win rate is solid, and the 7/5 morning line reflects the respect this horse commands, though the value in the win pool may be limited.

place2Tell AvivML 7/2

Tell Aviv (No. 2) is the most intriguing runner in this field from a career win percentage standpoint — 50%, the field's best — and Ricardo S. Ramirez picks up the mount for trainer Jorge Farias. The 75.10 rating is second-best in the race, and at 7/2 on the morning line, there's genuine value here. She's a horse that finds the winner's circle half the time she runs, and the exacta with Ap First to Rocket deserves serious investment.

show5Cyber CharmML 4/1

Cyber Charm (No. 5) rates 73.84 — nearly identical to the race's second pick — and shares a 33% career win rate with Smilinthruthetears. Jesse P Gonzalez rides for trainer Juan G. Aleman, and the 4/1 morning line makes her an attractive show bet and trifecta piece. With three horses in this field winning at a 25% clip or better, the bottom of the ticket could come from anywhere.

Race 8

3:51 AM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

The nightcap is a 300-yard allowance featuring a horse with a 100% career win rate sitting at 9/2 on the morning line — and a TrackWiz top pick going against the morning-line favorite in one of the card's most interesting spots.

win5Leavin the CartelML 5/2

Leavin the Cartel (No. 5) tops this field with a 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the same score that powered our Race 4 winner — and Justine Klaiber gets the mount for trainer Eddie D. Willis. A 15% career win rate is modest, but the composite rating clears the field by a meaningful margin, and at 5/2 on the morning line, she represents solid value as the top pick in what could be an action-filled finale.

place3PoderosoML 2/1

Poderoso (No. 3) is the 2/1 morning-line favorite and backs that up with an 81.11 TrackWiz rating — second in the field and 40% career win rate, one of the stronger in the race. Henry Reynoso Lopez rides for the Felix L. Gonzalez barn, which also saddles On the Sky Is Cash in this field. He's a legitimate win threat and a near-lock to hit the board, making the place bet appealing for conservative bettors.

show2On the Sky Is CashML 9/2

On the Sky Is Cash (No. 2) deserves a hard look — she carries a 100% career win rate into this race, meaning every time she's hit the gate, she's come home first. Granted, sample size matters in quarter-horse racing, but that record commands respect. At 9/2 on the morning line with a 54.17 rating, she's the show bet value of the night and an intriguing exotic inclusion for bettors willing to play the upside.

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Eight quick dashes, a fast Los Alamitos surface, and a manageable 79-degree afternoon — today's card sets up well for focused players. Start with Girl Fire in Race 1, keep an eye on Comedy Town at even money in Race 2, and take a shot on Fincairn at 6/1 in the Race 3 claimer. The full-card analysis — including pace scenarios and exotic tickets for Races 4 through 8 — is available to TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck, and let's cash some tickets.

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