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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse Picks & Predictions — September 26, 2026

September 26, 20268 racesAll Los Alamitos Quarter Horse picks

This card ran on September 26, 2026.

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Race 14Cioppina PasadinaML 8/59:05 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

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Last 30 days at Los Alamitos Quarter Horse: our top pick won 6 of 23 races (26%) and finished in the money in 16.

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Los Alamitos is firing up an eight-race quarter horse card this Saturday afternoon, and the weather is playing nice — 83°F under partly cloudy skies means we're looking at a fast, consistent dirt surface. No moisture in the air, no excuses. These horses are going to run their true figures today.

The card is a nice mix of claiming, allowance, and maiden action, with distances ranging from a lightning-quick 300 yards to 4½ furlongs on the Thoroughbred side. That means different disciplines, different pace dynamics, and plenty of angles to work through. Whether you're here for the short-field sprints or the longer dirt routes, there's something worth your attention.

TrackWiz analysis has flagged top picks across all eight races. Three races are fully open today — free for every reader — and five are reserved for premium subscribers. Let's get into it.

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Race 1

9:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

A claiming sprint where one horse stands head and shoulders above the field on our ratings, but the morning line favorite still needs to prove it at the windows — there's a real pace scenario worth watching here.

win4Cioppina PasadinaML 8/5

Cioppina Pasadina comes in with a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 — nearly 25 points clear of the next-best horse in this field — and that kind of gap in a 4 1/2-furlong claiming sprint is hard to ignore. The 8/5 morning line reflects that dominance, and trainer Charles S. Treece sends her out with Edgar Payeras in the irons. The career win percentage of 12% won't jump off the page, but our model says this horse's overall profile makes her the clear top selection in this spot.

place5Elegant SwayML 4/1

Elegant Sway earns a 64.01 TrackWiz rating and brings a respectable 18% career win rate to the gate — one of the better win percentages in this field. Trainer Angela Maria Aquino puts up Justine Klaiber, and with an average speed figure of 56, this filly has the raw ability to run down whoever is in front of her in the late stages of a short sprint. At 4/1 on the morning line, she represents solid place value.

show2Miss JoannieML 5/1

Miss Joannie sits second on our ratings leaderboard at 54.40, which is notable given she's trained by the same Jorge Farias barn that also sends out the morning line second choice. Farias running two horses here could mean barn confidence across multiple slots, and Miss Joannie at 5/1 makes for a smart inclusion in exacta and trifecta coverage. The stable connection is an angle worth respecting.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

9:31 PM EDT

Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning line favorite doesn't match up to the TrackWiz top-rated horse here, setting up a potential overlay situation — and a closer with a big win percentage could complicate things further.

win1OmemgeeML 5/1

Omemgee tops our ratings at 84.17 despite going off at 5/1 on the morning line — that's a meaningful disconnect between public opinion and our model. Trainer Jesus J. Uranga puts Ricardo S. Ramirez on board, and with a 56 average speed figure in a 4 1/2-furlong dirt sprint, the raw speed is there. A 14% career win rate is modest, but the rating advantage over a wide-open field says this is the horse to beat at a price.

place2Comanche GalML 9/5

Comanche Gal is the morning line favorite at 9/5 and rates second on our board at 77.92, which makes her a legitimate contender — just not quite our top pick. The Edgar Payeras/Vann Belvoir combo is a solid pairing, and a 55 average speed figure keeps her right in the mix pace-wise. She's the safe place play in a race where Omemgee could be the live overlay at the win.

show4Candy RunML 2/1

Candy Run catches the eye with a 33% career win rate — best in this field by a significant margin — and trainer James W. Glenn, Jr. has her going off at 2/1 with Cesar Ortega up. A 54 average speed figure puts her slightly off the pace leaders, but that win percentage signals this filly knows how to finish. She's a natural fit for trifecta bottom in what figures to be a pace-heavy short sprint.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free races today cover both ends of the card, and the picks are connected by a common theme: horses with clear class or speed advantages in relatively thin fields. Cioppino Pasadina opens the card in Race 1 at 8/5 on the morning line — that's a fair price for a horse our model rates at 89.12, the highest rating among the free picks. In Race 2, Omemgee stands out as a potential value play at 5/1, with an 84-point rating that suggests the morning line may be a touch generous to the competition. Then in Race 3, Dice Game gets a short 300-yard allowance sprint — the kind of race where a horse with a strong early break simply doesn't get caught.

On a firm, fast surface like we're expecting today, early speed is king at Los Alamitos, especially at the shorter distances. All three of our free picks profile as horses who want to be on or near the front. If the track is playing true to form, that's a meaningful edge.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

9:57 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

An allowance sprint over 300 yards where the top three on our ratings are separated by only eight points — tight enough that the order of finish could go several ways, but there's a clear leader worth backing.

win2Dice GameML 2/1

Dice Game carries our top rating of 88.54 in this race and heads into the gate at 2/1 on the morning line with a 25% career win rate to back it up. Trainer Scott Willoughby puts Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara in the irons — a pairing worth noting in short-format quarter horse racing where gate speed and rider instinct matter enormously. At 300 yards, there's no room for mistakes, and Dice Game's profile projects as the fastest horse from the gate.

place1XimenareyML 3/1

Ximenarey rates closely behind at 83.36 and comes in at 3/1 morning line — making her a natural place play underneath Dice Game. Trainer Jaime H. Gomez sends her out with Jesus Rios Ayala, and while the 14% career win rate is modest, the rating says she's capable of running second or better in this field. In a race this short, a clean break is often the whole ballgame, and she has the profile to capitalize.

show6Behind the BarML 5/1

Behind the Bar rates third on our board at 80.44 and offers some show value at 5/1 on the morning line. Trainer Michael V. Casselman has a knack for placing horses well in allowance company, and a 25% career win rate puts Behind the Bar in elite company among this group. She's the kind of horse who rounds out exotic tickets and gives you a legitimate shot at a healthy trifecta payout.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

10:23 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A maiden sprint over 350 yards where an odds-on morning line favorite dominates our TrackWiz ratings — in maiden company, that kind of top-line edge can be decisive.

win4Iza Candy ManML 6/5

Iza Candy Man earns our highest rating in the race at 89.71 and hits the board as the 6/5 morning line favorite — the market agrees with our model on this one. Trainer Sergio Morfin sends her out with Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara, a rider who showed up well earlier on this card. It's maiden company, so past win percentages are zeroed out for everyone here, but that 89.71 rating is a significant edge in a field of five where the next-best horse is more than 30 points back.

place5HoosierML 3/1

Hoosier rates second in the field at 56.67 and goes off at 3/1 morning line with Jesus Rios Ayala aboard for trainer Christopher G. O'Dell. While there's a sizeable rating gap between Hoosier and the top pick, maiden races can be unpredictable and second place is very much up for grabs. The 3/1 price makes Hoosier a solid place ticket in what figures to be a two-horse show at the top.

show2Five Button FlyML 7/2

Five Button Fly slots in third on our ratings at 55.83 — almost a dead heat with Hoosier — and heads in at 7/2 with Henry Reynoso Lopez for trainer Paul C. Jones. Jones is a trainer who shows up on multiple tickets tonight and clearly has horses ready to run. Five Button Fly at 7/2 gives you a slight overlay on a horse our model views as nearly equal to the place pick, making her a smart addition to exotic coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 5

10:49 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

The morning line underdog tops our ratings in this maiden 350 with a big edge over the favorite — this is the race on the card where the numbers and the odds diverge the most dramatically.

win1Getting HigherML 7/2

Getting Higher earns our top TrackWiz rating at 86.35 but goes off at 7/2 on the morning line — well behind the 9/5 board favorite. That's a significant value disconnect, and our analysis makes this the best overlay on the card. Trainer Scott Willoughby — who also has the Race 3 winner in our analysis — puts Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara back in the irons, a jockey who's been active all night. In a maiden sprint, backing the highest-rated horse at a price is exactly the kind of spot TrackWiz is built to find.

place4Twin FallsML 7/2

Twin Falls rates fourth in this field at 74.74 but earns second place in our picks, suggesting a strong pace profile and competitive form. Trainer James J. Gonzales II sends Armando Viramontes out at 7/2 morning line, matching Getting Higher's price — meaning you can construct a same-odds exacta wheel that pays well if these two land in either order. At 350 yards, post position and gate speed matter, and Twin Falls has the rating to be right there at the wire.

show3Aj Beauty RoseML 3/1

Aj Beauty Rose rates third on our board at 73.05 and goes off at 3/1 with Jesus Rios Ayala for trainer John A. Stinebaugh. Only about a point and a half separates her from Twin Falls on our model, making the top three in this race genuinely competitive. The 3/1 price in a maiden field gives you decent show value, and she's the natural third leg of any trifecta ticket in this race.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

11:15 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint at 300 yards where our top-rated horse is going off at 4/1 — meaning the public is undervaluing our top pick while overrating the short-priced morning line choice.

win6Bye PolarML 4/1

Bye Polar leads our ratings at 68.40 and is our top selection despite going off at 4/1 on the morning line — a price that represents genuine value in a competitive maiden field. Trainer Valentin A. Zamudio, who has multiple entries across tonight's card, puts Ruben Lozano up in this spot. In a 300-yard dash with zero room for error, having the highest-rated horse in the field at an overlay price is a situation you want to be on.

place4Ab Elite BloodML 9/5

Ab Elite Blood is the 9/5 morning line favorite but rates second on our board at 58.67 — which is why we tab her for place rather than win. Trainer Juan G. Aleman sends Martin Arriaga to the gate, and this horse clearly has public support tonight. She's a completely reasonable place play, and the 9/5 price makes sense for second-money coverage even if our numbers suggest Bye Polar is the top horse.

show1Whatta CowboyML 5/2

Whatta Cowboy earns a 57.50 TrackWiz rating — nearly identical to Ab Elite Blood — and offers solid show value at 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Lindolfo Diaz puts Armando Viramontes up, and in a tight maiden field where just a few points separate the top three on our board, show tickets are worth constructing carefully. Whatta Cowboy's profile gives you a realistic shot at a paying trifecta if the race plays out chalk.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

11:41 PM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

A 350-yard allowance that features a sharp ratings gap at the top — but the morning line has two co-favorites, meaning value exists for anyone who can identify which one our numbers prefer.

win5Powerful Wise LadyML 2/1

Powerful Wise Lady tops our ratings at 88.54 and goes off at 2/1 morning line alongside Walk When I Walk — but there's a nearly 10-point gap between them on our board, making this a clear-cut top selection. Trainer Paul C. Jones has been placing horses well tonight, and Henry Reynoso Lopez gets the call in the irons. A 13% career win rate might look modest, but that rating edge in a short-format race is the stat that drives our confidence here.

place6Walk When I WalkML 9/5

Walk When I Walk is the other co-favorite at 9/5 morning line and rates second in the field at 79.05 — a legitimate contender who just falls short of our top pick on the numbers. The 28% career win rate is actually the best in this field, which tells you this horse has a real track record of finishing the job. Trainer Sergio Morfin gives Ricardo S. Ramirez the mount, and Walk When I Walk is a must-use in any exacta or trifecta.

show3Terra FinaML 2/1

Terra Fina comes in at 2/1 morning line and rates third on our board at 67.51, giving this race three legitimate contenders bunched at the top of the field. Trainer Valentin A. Zamudio has had horses running well across tonight's card, and Ruben Lozano has the experience to navigate a competitive 350-yard field. Terra Fina rounds out the trifecta naturally and gives you insurance if the top two run into any trouble.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 8

12:07 AM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

Tonight's finale is a 350-yard allowance with a genuine standout on our ratings — and unusually, the morning line public has underpriced the morning line favorite while our numbers say Mission Possible is the right horse.

win4Mission PossibleML 3/1

Mission Possible earns an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and heads in at 3/1 morning line — a fair price for our clear top selection in this race. Trainer Michael V. Casselman, who also saddles Carversteak tonight, puts Justine Klaiber in the irons, and Klaiber has had an active card. An 18% career win rate in allowance company is solid, and the rating gap over the rest of this field makes Mission Possible the most confident top pick on the night's closing card.

place2Energy SixML 7/2

Energy Six rates second on our board at 63.69 and offers some place value at 7/2 morning line. Ricardo S. Ramirez gets the call for trainer Sergio Morfin — a pairing that's been visible throughout the card tonight. With an 18% career win rate matching the top pick's and a rating that puts her comfortably ahead of the third-rated horse, Energy Six is a natural place pick who could certainly punch through to win if Mission Possible has any issues.

show6Val BabyML 8/5

Val Baby enters as the 8/5 morning line second choice despite rating only third on our board at 56.81 — meaning the public is overvaluing this one relative to our model. That said, an 8/5 price on a horse with a 12% win rate finishing third in our ratings is worth noting as a show play for ticket building. Trainer Ricardo S. Guillen sends Salvador R. Vargas out, and Val Baby's public support at least confirms she's a live contender worth including in trifecta coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

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Bottom line for today: Cioppina Pasadina in Race 1 is our marquee free play, Omemgee offers live value at 5/1 in Race 2, and Dice Game is a short-field speed play in Race 3. For everything else — pace scenarios, exotic tickets, and full ratings across Races 4 through 8 — the complete TrackWiz breakdown is waiting for subscribers. Good luck at the windows.

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