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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse Picks & Predictions — June 14, 2026

June 14, 20268 racesAll Los Alamitos Quarter Horse picks

This card ran on June 14, 2026.

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Race 13Tonys FeverML 9/510:10 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Los Alamitos Quarter Horse: our top pick won 6 of 23 races (26%) and finished in the money in 16.

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It's a beautiful Sunday at Los Alamitos — clear skies, 75°F, and a fast dirt surface that should put a premium on pure speed. That's exactly what you want at a quarter horse oval where every race can be decided in a blink.

Eight races are on the card today, mixing maiden claimers and straight maidens at the sprint distances (300 and 350 yards) with a pair of 1000-yard Stakes events that give us the most to sink our teeth into. The short stuff will be raw and electric; the longer routes bring out the class horses. Good mix for a Sunday card.

Our TrackWiz ratings span from the upper 80s down to the high 50s today, which signals a few races with genuine standouts and at least one where the chalk looks vulnerable. More on that below.

Best Bets

Race 1

10:10 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming sprint where TrackWiz ratings tell a clear story — one horse separates herself from the field by a wide margin, though the morning line suggests the public will be split between two contenders.

win3Tonys FeverML 9/5

Tonys Fever carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.83 — a full 29 points clear of the second-best horse — and the morning line of 9/5 reflects trainer Charles Treece's confidence. In maiden races like this 4 1/2-furlong dash on the Los Alamitos dirt, that kind of rating gap is hard to ignore. Jockey Salvador R. Vargas gets the call and should be able to put this one in a good spot early. If she runs to her TrackWiz number, she wins drawing off.

place1Cotton MouthML 7/5

Cotton Mouth opens as the 7/5 morning-line favorite, so the crowd clearly respects him despite a 0% career win rate — this is likely a lightly raced or debut runner where connections have shown confidence through the wagering. His TrackWiz rating of 59.33 and average speed figure of 53 give him a measurable edge over most of the remaining field. Ricardo S. Ramirez takes the mount, and his book at Los Alamitos is worth tracking.

show2ToddmichaelML 4/1

Toddmichael at 4/1 on the morning line represents a sneaky exotic play at a price in a thin five-horse field. His TrackWiz rating of 55 slots him third in the field, and in short maiden sprints the pace can bunch up and throw a surprise into the exotics. Trainer Sheldon W. Paldanius with Edgar Payeras up is a combo worth noting for trifecta coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

10:36 PM EDT

Allowance · 1000 yd · Dirt

A fascinating allowance mile at 1000 yards where the morning-line favorite isn't the highest-rated horse — TrackWiz sees a hidden monster at 5/1 that could make this race very profitable.

win5Uncle LeonML 5/1

Uncle Leon is our top selection at 5/1 on the morning line, and the value here is real — his TrackWiz rating of 84.17 leads the field, and he's backed by an outstanding 25% career win rate that speaks to consistency at this level. Trainer Sergio Morfin sends him out with Ricardo S. Ramirez in the irons, a pairing worth trusting in 1000-yard allowance spots. The public will likely gravitate toward the 9/5 morning-line favorite Belly Up, which only inflates the overlay on Uncle Leon. If he fires his best effort, this could be a sharp play.

place3No More Ding DongsML 2/1

No More Ding Dongs is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 for good reason — a TrackWiz rating of 76.04 makes him the second-best horse by our numbers, and trainer Jesus J. Uranga has him prepped with Edgar Payeras aboard. His 11% career win rate is modest, but at the allowance level consistency matters more than peak wins. He's the kind of horse who figures to be in the mix at every call and land a check.

show1Nijinsky HaloML 6/1

Nijinsky Halo at 6/1 is an underrated exotic play — he shows a 53.12 TrackWiz rating and an 11% career win rate, which quietly matches No More Ding Dongs on that latter metric. Trainer Genaro Vallejo also has Hot Chicks Only entered in this same race, so he's throwing darts, but Nijinsky Halo has the stronger profile of the stable's two entries. At 6/1, he's worth including under Uncle Leon and No More Ding Dongs in trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

We're opening three races for everyone today. Tonys Fever (Race 1, 9/5 morning line) leads off as our top-rated free pick at 88.83 — a strong number for a maiden claimer at 4½ furlongs and a horse we think is priced fairly off the morning line. In Race 2, Uncle Leon jumps off the page as a 5/1 allowance contender over 1000 yards — that's the kind of price where a high TrackWiz rating (84.17) and a longer price combine to create real value. Tascadero rounds out the free card in Race 3, posted at 2/1 in a claiming sprint, and an 88.54 rating suggests the morning line has this one about right.

The clear-day conditions and firm surface should play consistently across all three distances today — no weather excuses, no slop to hide behind. These are the horses that should run their race, and we like all three as solid starting points for your ticket-building.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

11:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

This claiming sprint sets up as a two-horse battle between a dominant top-rated runner and a well-regarded morning-line favorite, with a pair of mid-tier horses capable of complicating things at big prices.

win2TascaderoML 2/1

Tascadero is the standout in this field — his TrackWiz rating of 88.54 is the highest in the race by a significant margin, and the morning line of 2/1 reflects that the oddsmakers see it the same way. A 12% career win rate in the claiming ranks shows he can punch through and win, not just finish. Trainer Troy Dial hands the reins to Edgar Payeras, one of the sharper sticks at this meet. In a 4 1/2-furlong dirt sprint, a horse with this kind of rating edge can dictate terms and leave the field behind.

place4Jimmy DeliversML 9/5

Jimmy Delivers comes in as the second choice on the morning line at 9/5, and his TrackWiz rating of 71.01 makes him the logical contender. The 5% career win rate is a yellow flag — he finds the board more than he wins — which is exactly why place is the right framing here. Henry Reynoso Lopez takes over from trainer Angela Maria Aquino, and if pace heats up early, Jimmy Delivers could be the one rallying into a soft pace scenario.

show6T One D Flour FreeML 7/2

T One D Flour Free at 7/2 slots in as a solid third wheel in exotics. His TrackWiz rating of 69.32 is just a tick behind Jimmy Delivers, and Pedro Flores is an active rider at this oval who can get a horse in position early in a sprint. The 5% career win rate mirrors Jimmy Delivers, but at 7/2 the return is friendlier for show-ticket plays and trifecta bottoms.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

11:24 PM EDT

Stakes · 1000 yd · Dirt

Stakes day at 1000 yards and one horse dominates every metric — but a handful of proven winners with solid career numbers are lurking at prices that could make the exotics very interesting.

win1Alphabetical OrderML 8/5

Alphabetical Order is as close to a lock as you'll find in a stakes race — a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 tops the field, a 45% career win rate is elite at any level, and the connections of trainer Jesus J. Uranga with Ricardo S. Ramirez are dialed in. Nearly half of this horse's career starts have ended in a winner's circle visit, which is a staggering figure for a quarter horse stakes runner. The 8/5 morning line isn't going to offer much value, but in exotics you want this horse underneath. Best bet of the race.

place2GeezerML 3/1

Geezer at 3/1 is a fair-price horse with legitimate credentials — a 25% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 66.85 make him a solid contender to fill the place hole behind the top pick. He shows an average speed figure of 56 on file, which is respectable at the stakes level. Trainer Doug F. O'Neill is a name that carries weight, and Edgar Payeras aboard keeps the connections sharp. He's the most likely beneficiary if Alphabetical Order gets into trouble.

show4Mischief RiverML 9/5

Mischief River fits nicely as the show pick in a stakes field — his 33% career win rate is actually the second-best in the race, suggesting he knows how to compete at this level even if his TrackWiz rating of 63.24 places him third. Trainer James W. Glenn Jr. has him set with Cesar Ortega, and a speed figure of 55 keeps him in the conversation. At 9/5, he's a bit short for a show play alone, but he anchors exacta and trifecta combinations well.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

11:48 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

Wide-open maiden sprint at 350 yards with an overwhelming morning-line favorite backed by a massive TrackWiz rating gap — but two horses at longer prices have enough rating to threaten in a race where anything can happen at the break.

win1Hassan PpML 7/5

Hassan Pp opens at 7/5 and carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the race at 89.42 — that number towers over a field where no other horse eclipses 70. Trainer Rodolfo Viramontes hands the mount to Armando Viramontes, keeping it in the family, and at 350 yards this race is essentially decided by the break and the first jump. A rating this dominant in a short-format maiden sprint is the kind of edge our analysis loves. If the horse breaks cleanly, this is a short sprint home.

place5Good MischiefML 5/2

Good Mischief at 5/2 is the second-best horse on our ratings at 69.89 and figures to be the main competition for the win spot. Henry Reynoso Lopez rides for trainer Juan G. Aleman, and at 350 yards the jockey's gate skills matter tremendously — Reynoso Lopez has shown he can get horses out of the gate quickly at this track. In a maiden race with no prior wins in the field, Good Mischief at that morning line offers reasonable place value.

show4AccuzationML 3/1

Accuzation at 3/1 rounds out the TrackWiz top three with a rating of 63.44 and is worth including in trifectas as a hedge. Trainer Elena Andrade sends out Cesar Franco, and in a six-horse maiden field at a sprint distance, you often only need a clean trip to grab a piece. The rating gap between the top two and Accuzation is meaningful, but at 3/1 the show value is decent if you're constructing multi-horse tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

12:14 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

Maiden claiming at 300 yards features a tight trio at the top of the ratings with only 2.66 points separating the win pick from the show pick — this is a race where the break decides everything.

win1Ap Royal SweetML 7/5

Ap Royal Sweet opens at 7/5 as the morning-line choice and leads our ratings at 59.33 in a field where nothing separates these top horses by much. Trainer James W. Glenn Jr. has a solid stable at Los Alamitos and gives the call to Oscar M. Peinado, who knows this 300-yard format well. In sprint racing this short, even a slight edge in ratings and trainer class matters. At 7/5 you're not getting rich, but this is a horse that belongs on the front of every exotic ticket.

place5Mp ExpressML 8/5

Mp Express at 8/5 on the morning line sits just below Ap Royal Sweet with a rating of 59.00 — a razor-thin gap that makes this race genuinely hard to separate on paper. Trainer Valentin A. Zamudio has Ruben Lozano in the irons, and if Ap Royal Sweet stumbles out of the gate at all, Mp Express is right there to take advantage. The morning-line price being tighter than the ratings gap suggests the public sees this as a coin flip — and they might be right.

show3SmilinthruthetearsML 3/1

Smilinthruthetears at 3/1 with a rating of 56.67 slots in as the third horse in a compact top three. Justine Klaiber gets the mount for trainer Sergio Morfin, and Morfin has been running horses competitively in these short-format maiden claiming races. In a five-horse field where the top three ratings are bunched within three points, Smilinthruthetears at a slightly longer price provides excellent show value and trifecta depth.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 7

12:38 AM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

Another maiden sprint at 300 yards, and this time our top-rated horse comes at a surprisingly generous price — the morning-line chalk is not the horse TrackWiz likes most.

win5Ritas Golden BoiML 7/2

Ritas Golden Boi is the TrackWiz top pick at 7/2, and the overlay here is worth highlighting — he carries a rating of 69.95, which leads this field by more than nine points over the second-best horse, yet he opens at 7/2 while Redd Line at 8/5 will take most of the public money. Trainer Eddie D. Willis hands the mount to Justine Klaiber, who has shown good instincts on short-format sprinters at this meet. When our top-rated horse is also the value play on the morning line, that's a combination our analysis can't pass up. This is the horse to beat.

place1Redd LineML 8/5

Redd Line at 8/5 is the morning-line favorite and comes in with a solid 59.00 rating — he's the second-best horse in the race on our numbers and will command plenty of mutual handle. Trainer Sergio Morfin puts Ricardo S. Ramirez up, a sharp combo that regularly competes at this level. While our win preference goes elsewhere, Redd Line's short price makes him a logical place anchor in exacta and trifecta plays.

show4SqueakerML 7/2

Squeaker at 7/2 has a TrackWiz rating of 55.83 and gives trainer James W. Glenn Jr. another runner in the weekend card — Glenn clearly knows how to prepare horses for this distance. Cesar Ortega has the mount, and he's been reliable in short sprints at Los Alamitos. In a six-horse maiden with a tight rating cluster from spots two through five, Squeaker at 7/2 is a reasonable show play and trifecta inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 8

1:02 AM EDT

Stakes · 1000 yd · Dirt

The nightcap is a stakes showdown at 1000 yards featuring a deep eight-horse field with multiple horses rated 75 or above — this is the most competitive race on the card and a prime spot for exotic players.

win8Broken CircleML 7/2

Broken Circle is our top pick at 7/2 and represents genuine value in a loaded stakes field — his TrackWiz rating of 85.27 leads all eight runners, and a 30% career win rate shows he knows how to finish the job when conditions are right. Trainer Jesus J. Uranga has multiple horses on this card and is clearly having a strong meet; he puts Cesar Ortega up, a jockey with solid form in stakes-level quarter horse racing. The public will likely focus on the 5/2 Tizsummer or the 4/1 Uffda, making Broken Circle a legitimate overlay at the top of our analysis. This is the race's best bet for value.

place4Little Tinker ElleML 5/1

Little Tinker Elle at 5/1 is only a hair behind Broken Circle at 84.17 on our ratings, and in a stakes race this deep, the place spot is wide open for the taking. A 25% career win rate is solid, and trainer Uranga has her primed — he rarely enters multiple horses in the same race without live chances for each. Ricardo S. Ramirez takes the reins, and with a speed figure of 54 on file, she's run to a level that competes here. At 5/1, she's a strong value play in place and exacta combinations.

show2Stars HollowML 8/1

Stars Hollow at 8/1 is the longshot on our show ticket, and the case is compelling — a TrackWiz rating of 78.14 makes her the third-best horse in the race on our numbers, yet the morning line reflects little public confidence. Trainer Jerry Wallace II has her showing a 33% career win rate, one of the stronger marks in this field, and a speed figure of 54 keeps her right in the mix on raw performance. At 8/1, she's a prime show value play and a critical piece for trifecta and superfecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Bottom line: today's Los Alamitos card has a legitimate Stakes double to target, a couple of value prices in the free races, and at least one spot where we think the public will get the order wrong. Tonys Fever, Uncle Leon, and Tascadero are your free best bets — and subscribers get everything else, including our full pace maps for the Stakes races and exotic ticket breakdowns. Head to /pricing to unlock the complete analysis before first post.

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