Los Alamitos Quarter Horse Picks & Predictions — June 13, 2026
It's a beautiful Saturday afternoon at Los Alamitos — clear skies, 74°F, and a fast dirt surface that's going to reward horses who break clean and hit the ground running. Quarter horse racing doesn't give you time to think, and today's 8-race card is built for the kind of edge-of-your-seat action that makes this track unlike anywhere else in the country.
The headline event is Race 8, a 350-yard Stakes that brings out Shaken Goin On as a heavy 1/2 chalk — that's a horse the market has serious respect for, and our TrackWiz rating of 90 backs up the hype. But there's plenty of intrigue across the full card, including a couple of spots where the morning line might be undervaluing some live contenders.
Eight races, a rock-solid surface, and conditions that should produce clean runs top to bottom. Let's break it down.
Best Bets
Race 1
Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt
A claiming sprint at 4 1/2 furlongs where two horses separate themselves from the field on ratings, setting up a likely battle at the top between the TrackWiz top two — but at 4/1, the win pick offers real value over the morning-line favorite.
Fire Ile carries the highest TrackWiz rating in this field at 85.62, and at 4/1 on the morning line, that's a horse the market may be undervaluing. Trainer Troy Dial sends this one out with a 10% career win rate, which is respectable in this claiming company. The pace scenario over 4 1/2 furlongs suits a horse with this rating profile — the field behind Fire Ile drops off sharply, and that kind of rating separation often translates to a clear on-track edge.
Mia Forza is the morning-line favorite at 5/2 and posts a 14% career win rate — the best win percentage in the field by a clear margin. Trainer Angela Maria Aquino also conditions Sweet Ella Rae in this race, but Mia Forza is clearly the barn's top entry with a 83.61 rating and an avg speed figure of 52 on record. If Fire Ile has any trouble, Mia Forza has the tactical back-class to collect.
Jager Angel at 9/2 is worth sticking in your exotics at this price. The TrackWiz rating of 68.1 is third-best in the field and represents a notable gap over the rest of the horses below the top three. Pedro Flores gets the call from the rail, and with a wide-open pace scenario in a seven-horse field, Jager Angel could find a clean trip and run into the money.
Race 2
Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt
All maidens, all winless — a 300-yard sprint that comes down to trial times and early reads, with Luna Sofia drawing the rail and carrying the top rating in a field where nobody has punched the winner's circle yet.
Luna Sofia tops this maiden claiming sprint with a TrackWiz rating of 69.44 — a meaningful edge over a field where the next-best horse checks in at 58.33. Trainer Jesus Nunez puts Salvador R. Vargas in the irons, a jockey who will be busy on this card and clearly has connections' trust. At 9/5, this is a short price, but the rating separation justifies it — Luna Sofia projects as the most accomplished horse in this bunch going into the gates.
Schemer is the second choice on the morning line at 2/1 and backs that up with the second-best TrackWiz rating in the field at 58.33. Trainer Scott Willoughby shows up multiple times on today's card, suggesting an active, in-form barn. In a 300-yard blast where fractions of a second separate the field, Schemer's rating and connections give a solid case for finishing in the money.
Above Ground and Jb Kool Idea are tied on the TrackWiz sheet at 54.17, but Above Ground draws the 2-hole at 9/2 and gets trainer James W. Glenn Jr., who also saddles Point Mugu in Race 7. The 2-post in a short sprint at Los Alamitos is advantageous — clean break, clean run — and at 9/2 you're getting fair value for a horse that profiles as a legitimate show contender.
Race 3
Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt
A wide-open maiden field at 300 yards where the top two on the TrackWiz sheet are separated by just over a point, creating a tight race between Sixth Sense and Ap First to Rocket — with a handful of 6/1 shots lurking for anyone who wants to get creative.
Sixth Sense edges out the top spot with a 58.67 TrackWiz rating and comes in as the 9/5 morning-line favorite, signaling that connections and the market agree. Trainer Paul C. Jones is working multiple horses on today's card at Los Alamitos, pointing to an active barn with live ammunition. In a deep eight-horse maiden field at 300 yards, getting the top-rated horse at near-even money isn't glamorous, but the separation from the mid-field horses is real.
Ap First to Rocket sits just a tick below Sixth Sense at 57.5 on the TrackWiz sheet and is listed at 5/2 on the morning line — slightly more value than the top choice. Trainer Valentin A. Zamudio puts Ruben Lozano aboard from post 5, a central gate that gives this horse room to find its stride in a sprint that offers zero margin for error. If anything compromises Sixth Sense at the break, Ap First to Rocket is best positioned to capitalize.
L a Ravin at 5/1 is the third piece of this exotics puzzle with a 53.33 rating and the benefit of trainer Jesus Nunez, who also has Luna Sofia winning our Race 2 best bet. Nunez clearly knows how to get quarter horses ready at this meet, and Salvador R. Vargas rides — the same jock who we're backing in Race 2. At 5/1, L a Ravin is worth threading into trifectas as the show leg.
We're opening the card with three free best bets, and they cover a nice range of race types. Fire Ile in Race 1 is our highest-value free pick — posting at 4/1 on a 4½-furlong Claiming sprint, which is a longer distance by Los Alamitos standards and one where we think the morning line underestimates the edge our analysis identified. Races 2 and 3 are both 300-yard Maiden Claimer and Maiden dashes, where Luna Sofia (9/5) and Sixth Sense (9/5) both come in at the same morning line — but their TrackWiz ratings tell meaningfully different stories about how much confidence to put behind each.
On a day with a fast, consistent surface like this, gate speed and reaction time are everything at 300 yards. All three free picks show profiles that align well with today's conditions — no excuses for these runners on a clear, dry afternoon.
Full Card Analysis
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A crisp Los Alamitos afternoon, a heavy favorite to keep honest in Race 8, and some genuine value scattered across the undercard — today's card has something for every kind of horseplayer. Fire Ile, Luna Sofia, and Sixth Sense are your free best bets to get started. For the full picture, including our Stakes race breakdown and multi-race ticket construction, TrackWiz subscribers have everything they need waiting for them. Good luck out there — first post is coming up fast.