Daily Picks

Lone Star Picks & Predictions — May 1, 2026

Friday, May 1, 20268 racesLone Star

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 8-race card at Lone Star. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 8 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

2026-05-01T23:35:00

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — MON SAFIR looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5MON SAFIRML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 1. Career win rate of 40% shows consistency. Ridden by Rodolfo Guerra, trained by Carlos A. Padilla. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.79 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 6 of 6 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 6 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 3 wins and placed in 6 of 6 of Sprint races. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races at Lone Star. Horse won last time it raced. 03/14/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

Race 2

2026-05-02T00:02:00

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — WMA MINUTE MAID looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win9WMA MINUTE MAIDML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 2. Ridden by Derbe Glass, trained by Blake Gregory Potter. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 14.57 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of 5 races at 6 fur. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 13.43 sec/furlong.

Race 3

2026-05-02T00:29:00

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Bad Beat Brian looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6Bad Beat BrianML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 3. Ridden by Stewart Elliott, trained by Steven M. Asmussen. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.55 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 12 of 18 races at 5 fur. 9 wins and placed in 30 of 51 races on Turf tracks. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance.

place3Let's Go MarkML 9/2

Rating board at 76.9. Ridden by Deshawn L. Parker. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.43 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races.

show4Stayed in for HalfML 5/1

Rating board at 67.8 • 21% career wins. Ridden by Iram Vargas Diego. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.46 sec/furlong. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

Maiden Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — La Vonda Security looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5La Vonda SecurityML 10/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 76.9 for Race 4. Ridden by Weston Hamilton, trained by Terry Eoff. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.11 sec/furlong. Has not raced in 461 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up.

⚡ Longshot4Witt's Dubai GalML 12/1

Rating board at 39.3. Ridden by Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez. Claiming Price Decreased from $10000 to $7500.

Race 5

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Flotation Station looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5Flotation StationML 8/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 79.8 for Race 5. Ridden by Weston Hamilton, trained by Kevin Morgan, Jr.. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.29 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 14 of 24 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 6 races at Lone Star.

place4Berry MischievousML 8/5

Rating board at 69.1 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Mario Fuentes. 4 wins and placed in 9 of 16 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races.

show7Son of a BlingML 7/2

Rating board at 65.2. Ridden by Rene Diaz. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races.

Race 6

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — McGinnis looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3McGinnisML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 6. Ridden by Alfredo J. Juarez, Jr., trained by Rob Atras. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.51 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. Placed in 3 of 6 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place7BonfiglioML 9/2

Rating board at 61.7. Ridden by Mario Fuentes. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.55 sec/furlong.

show8Follow the StarML 7/2

Rating board at 56.2. Ridden by Isaiah Wiseman.

Race 7

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Blingster looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6BlingsterML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.2 for Race 7. Career win rate of 22% shows consistency. Ridden by Jose L. Alvarez, trained by W. Bret Calhoun. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 10 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races at 6 fur. Jockey & Horse combo has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 12.41 sec/furlong.

place5She's CandifiedML 4/1

Rating board at 82.8 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Iram Vargas Diego. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.12 sec/furlong. 4 wins and placed in 9 of 14 races on Dirt tracks.

show7Bling BabyML 3/1

Rating board at 80.8 • 28% career wins. Ridden by Stewart Elliott. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.33 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races.

Race 8

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Baker Hayfield looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win8Baker HayfieldML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 8. Ridden by Rene Diaz, trained by Austin Gustafson. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.45 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 5 races on Turf tracks. Horse won last time it raced. 04/03/2026.

place5Uptono BuenaML 7/2

Rating board at 82.7. Ridden by Rodolfo Guerra. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.35 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 4 races.

show7Quality StyleML 9/2

Rating board at 82.4. Ridden by Weston Hamilton. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.35 sec/furlong. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

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