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Lethbridge RMTC Picks & Predictions — September 19, 2026

September 19, 20269 racesAll Lethbridge RMTC picks

This card ran on September 19, 2026.

Best bets at Lethbridge RMTC, September 19, 2026

Race 11Sister FrancisML 4/12:15 PM EDT

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Clear skies and a crisp 67°F greet us at Lethbridge RMTC this Saturday — ideal conditions for fast dirt and honest speed figures across a full 9-race card. When the weather cooperates like this in southern Alberta, expect the strip to play true and pace scenarios to develop exactly as drawn up.

Today's card is loaded with sprint action — seven of nine races go at 5 to 5½ furlongs — which puts a premium on early speed and gate sharpness. There's also a pair of Claiming races mixed into the allowance-heavy lineup, including a seven-furlong closer in Race 8 that gives closers their best shot of the afternoon.

Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers, and they include some genuinely interesting betting opportunities. The remaining six require a subscription — and based on what our analysis is showing, those races are where the real value is hiding today.

Best Bets

Race 1

2:15 PM EDT

Maiden · 5 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint where TrackWiz ratings split the field into two clear tiers — the top two rated horses carry a significant edge over the rest, but at 5 furlongs in the dirt, first-time and lightly-raced runners can always spring a surprise.

win1Sister FrancisML 4/1

Sister Francis tops our TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 — the highest mark in this maiden field — and Anthony J. Allen gets the call from the rail under trainer Laura E. Conway. Going off at 4/1, she represents genuine value against a morning-line favorite who actually rates lower on our model. In a maiden sprint, the horse with the highest rating breaking from the inside post is a situation worth attacking.

place2Properly ProperML 9/5

Properly Proper is the public's choice at 9/5 on the morning line, and a rating of 83.66 backs up that confidence — she's the second-highest rated runner in the field. Garfield Gordon is a capable hand, and Lyle W. Magnuson's barn puts runners in a position to be competitive. Even if Sister Francis beats her to the wire, Properly Proper looks like a safe place bet.

show4SwazieML 7/5

Swazie is the only horse in this field with an avgSpeed figure on record (52), which gives her a concrete data point that most rivals simply don't have. Priced at 7/5 on the morning line, she's well-supported by the public, and trainer Colten Mead gives her a solid foundation. Include her in your exotics — she's a logical third-place finisher even if she can't match the top two on overall rating.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

2:40 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite doesn't match up when the ratings are applied — Ghost Ya and Pickledagain sit nearly 16 points clear of the field leader, setting up what could be a compelling top-two battle at potentially useful prices.

win2Ghost YaML 9/5

Ghost Ya carries the highest TrackWiz rating in this allowance field at 88.83, yet she's only 9/5 on the morning line — reasonable value when you consider she rates a clear tier above the majority of this field. Jose O. Rocha gets the ride for trainer Macynne Packham, and a 9% career win rate shows she's earned her spots. Her avgSpeed of 52 gives us a benchmark, and at 5.5 furlongs on the dirt, that pace profile fits the distance nicely.

place6PickledagainML 5/2

Pickledagain is the real value angle here — an 87.81 TrackWiz rating that's virtually identical to our win pick, yet she's available at 5/2 on the board. That's a horse we'd normally be talking about as a win contender, and Larris Allen is a competent jockey to deliver her. At those odds, she's an automatic inclusion in exacta and quinella tickets underneath Ghost Ya.

show1Street GunML 6/5

Street Gun draws the rail and comes in as the morning-line favorite at 6/5, but our model has her rated third in the field at 72.91 — a meaningful gap behind the top two. She does post an avgSpeed of 55, the highest figure in this race, which suggests she can put up early fractions. If the pace sets up honestly, she may grind out a piece of the purse even if she can't match the top-rated pair on overall merit.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free plays give you a strong foundation for the early part of the card. Sister Francis opens the day in a maiden sprint at 4/1 on the morning line — that's a price worth respecting given an 85.62 TrackWiz rating in a wide-open field. In Race 2, Ghost Ya comes in as the class of an allowance field with an 88.83 rating and a 9/5 morning line that looks fair but not generous. Race 3 brings Zone Control at 3/1 — a very playable number for a horse grading out at 87.08 in another allowance sprint.

The common thread through all three free races? Front-runners and pace-pressers are worth the look on a clear, dry day at Lethbridge. With no rain in the forecast and a firm strip expected, horses that can get comfortable positions early should hold on late. Keep that bias in mind as you structure your tickets.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

3:05 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Zone Control and Stay Outa My Way dominate the TrackWiz ratings, but Longneck's 23% career win rate and identical avgSpeed to the top pick makes this a race with a legitimate three-way battle at the top — and potentially the most competitive finish on the card.

win1Zone ControlML 3/1

Zone Control tops the TrackWiz ratings in this allowance field at 87.08, and the numbers behind that figure are worth noting — a 16% career win rate and an avgSpeed of 54, matching the second-best pace figure in the race. Orlando Foster is in the irons for trainer Kaylon Calfrobe, and at 3/1 on the morning line, this is a horse whose rating genuinely justifies favoritism. He's our top selection in what looks like a solid spot.

place6Stay Outa My WayML 5/2

Stay Outa My Way rates second in the field at 83.01 and carries a 10% career win rate for trainer Colten Mead, who fields a formidable barn today with multiple runners across the card. Shamaree Muir picks up the mount and will likely be forwardly placed. At 5/2, she's the second choice on the board, which aligns with our model — a comfortable place play underneath Zone Control.

show4Definitely ItalianML 7/1

Definitely Italian is a sneaky show play at 7/1 on the morning line — that's a price that likely underestimates his chance of hitting the board. A 16% career win rate matches Zone Control's mark, and trainer Colten Mead has shown today he's got a live stable. Trevor Simpson aboard gives him a sharp pilot, and if the top two create any pace pressure early, Definitely Italian could be the one to clean up late.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

3:30 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

This premium allowance requires a TrackWiz subscription to unlock, and for good reason — Trumps No Joke carries a field-best rating in a field where the morning line has two co-favorites, making the betting angles here genuinely intriguing.

win1Trumps No JokeML 6/5

Trumps No Joke leads the field with an 89.71 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark in this race — and goes as a 6/5 co-favorite alongside Italian Griz. A 14% career win rate is solid at this level, and trainer Jocelyn L. Giesbrecht puts him in a strong spot. Trevor Simpson, who's been busy across this card, gets the mount, and our model sees a clear edge for him over the rest of the field.

place6Italian GrizML 6/5

Italian Griz shares the 6/5 morning-line co-favorite billing but rates 9 points below Trumps No Joke at 80.78, which creates an interesting dynamic — the public's pricing the two essentially equal, while our model sees a meaningful gap. Larris Allen rides for Lyle W. Magnuson, a trainer who shows up with live horses throughout today's card. A 4% career win rate is a touch light, but place is a comfortable landing spot at what will likely be short odds.

show2Cheese Toast KidML 6/1

Cheese Toast Kid is the value show play in this spot — a 28% career win rate is the highest in the field and speaks to genuine class, even if his current rating of 62.78 has him sitting third on our model. Trainer Darcy W. Smith and jockey O'Shane Nugent are a known quantity, and that elite career win percentage tells you this horse finds the winner's circle regularly when conditions suit. He's worth threading into your exotics at 6/1.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

3:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Street Art is a clear standout on TrackWiz ratings in this claiming sprint, but Cali Conquest is the morning-line favorite — a rare pricing disconnect that creates a real overlay opportunity for sharp bettors.

win2Street ArtML 2/1

Street Art rates as the top horse in this field at 88.54 — a significant advantage over the rest — and carries a 16% career win rate that demonstrates consistent competitiveness at this level. Larris Allen handles the mount for trainer Lyle W. Magnuson, who's active all card long today and clearly sending live runners. The disconnect between her 2/1 morning line and her field-topping rating makes her a clear best bet in Race 5.

place5Cali ConquestML 6/5

Cali Conquest draws heavy public support at 6/5 as the morning-line favorite, despite rating third in the field at 79.71 — still a strong number in a claiming field. Andre Powell gets the mount for trainer Shawn Calfrobe, and a 7% career win rate suggests this horse is knocking on the door without always closing. At what figures to be a short price, place is the logical play to preserve value.

show1ConnecterML 3/1

Connecter draws the rail at 3/1 and posts a rating of 59.81 — ahead of two rivals in this five-horse field. A 9% career win rate is modest, but in a small claiming field over 6 furlongs, the rail post in a relatively pace-honest scenario can be a tactical asset. Gilberto Santos has the experience to exploit that advantage, and Connecter represents a reasonable show play in your trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 6

4:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Tu Cha is a dominant favorite on both the morning line and the TrackWiz model, but Hidden Tiger at 3/1 rates a strong second and Turbo Chick offers longshot show value at 6/1 — there's money to be made beyond the obvious bet here.

win5Tu ChaML 7/5

Tu Cha is the standout of this allowance field, posting a 89.42 TrackWiz rating — the top mark by a clear margin — while also carrying a 36% career win rate that is simply elite at this level. Trevor Simpson is a capable handler who's ridden across the card today, and trainer Colten Mead has multiple horses firing at this meeting. At 7/5, she's not a steal, but you're backing a horse with genuine dominant form — this is a confident play.

place2Hidden TigerML 3/1

Hidden Tiger rates a solid 85.35 and carries an impressive 19% career win rate for trainer Colten Mead, who interestingly also saddles Tu Cha — meaning the barn has two of the top-rated runners in their own race. Orlando Foster takes the mount, and at 3/1, Hidden Tiger offers real value for place. If anything trips up Tu Cha, this horse is positioned perfectly to collect.

show1Turbo ChickML 6/1

Turbo Chick opens at 6/1 and posts a 70.02 rating, which puts her third in this field — a position that could easily translate to a board finish. A 16% career win rate shows she competes consistently, and Larris Allen has been active throughout this card. At double-digit show odds if the morning line holds, she's a worthwhile inclusion in trifecta combinations and a legitimate hedge in this race.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

4:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Strength of Autism leads the TrackWiz model but is co-favored with Heysweetdarlin — whose 43% career win rate is one of the most striking individual stats on today's entire card and makes this a genuinely difficult race to call with confidence.

win2Strength of AutismML 6/5

Strength of Autism comes in with the top TrackWiz rating at 89.71 and a 21% career win rate — a strong résumé for an allowance runner at 6/5. Larris Allen takes the mount for trainer Lyle W. Magnuson, who has been one of the more active barns at this meeting. The rating edge over the field is clear, and at 6/5, the public is essentially aligned with our model — this is a legitimate top selection.

place4HeysweetdarlinML 8/5

Heysweetdarlin is the horse that makes this race fascinating — a 43% career win rate is frankly extraordinary and suggests a horse that converts its opportunities at an elite clip. Trevor Simpson handles the mount for trainer Elly Rutherford, and at 8/5 on the morning line, she's priced almost identically to the public's view of Strength of Autism. Our rating (84.73) has her second, but her win percentage argues she's dangerous any time she steps on the track.

show5Thunder BallML 6/1

Thunder Ball opens at 6/1 with a 55.64 rating and a respectable 25% career win rate — comfortably in the middle of this field on both counts. Garfield Gordon pilots for trainer Jaqueline Smith, and in a race where the top two will draw most of the attention, Thunder Ball could slide through at a price. He's a reasonable show play in trifecta structures for those looking to build around the top pair.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 8

5:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Readytotapnsing is the TrackWiz overlay in this claiming marathon — rated first in the field yet going off at 5/1 while two lower-rated rivals are priced shorter, creating one of the more glaring value situations on today's card.

win3ReadytotapnsingML 5/1

Readytotapnsing tops this field with an 84.17 TrackWiz rating but is curiously priced at 5/1 — longer than both Overly Fast (9/5) and Unusual Account (2/1), both of whom rate well below her on our model. Orlando Foster picks up the mount for trainer Laurie Ferguson, and a 16% career win rate shows she wins her share at this level. Seven furlongs is a distance that rewards horses with substance, and Readytotapnsing's rating profile suggests she's the one with the most to offer going long.

place2Unusual AccountML 2/1

Unusual Account rates second at 73.04 with an 18% career win rate — consistent credentials for a claiming horse at this distance. Blandford Stewart gets the call for trainer Carl Perry, and at 2/1 on the morning line, she'll be well-supported. The place slot is a comfortable fit: if the pace heats up between the top two, she's well-positioned to chase them home.

show4Crazy StormML 3/1

Crazy Storm checks in at 3/1 with a 66.08 rating and a 10% career win rate — modest numbers, but this is a five-horse claiming field and the price is workable. Andre Powell rides for trainer Chandra Clarke, and at seven furlongs, pace management becomes crucial. If the early fractions are honest, Crazy Storm could be one of those horses that grinds out a piece late and gives your trifecta ticket life.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 9

5:35 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Be Aware stands out as the ratings leader in this Starter Optional Claiming closer, but the format — which allows horses to run optionally — often draws a mixed bag of conditions, and Ready to Orbit at 5/1 adds legitimate place intrigue to a wide-open finale.

win3Be AwareML 3/1

Be Aware tops the TrackWiz model in the finale at 87.08 — a full 22 points clear of the third-rated horse in the field — and carries a 25% career win rate that is among the better marks in this race. Andre Powell gets the mount for trainer Chandra Clarke, and at 3/1 on the morning line, there's meaningful value relative to our confidence in the rating. In a Starter Optional Claiming finale, a horse this far ahead on the model at a 3/1 price is exactly the kind of play TrackWiz analysis is designed to identify.

place6Ready to OrbitML 5/1

Ready to Orbit rates third in this seven-horse field at 64.95 and opens at 5/1 on the morning line — a price that leaves room for genuine value if she runs to her number. Blandford Stewart takes the mount for trainer Robert Gwilliam, and an 11% career win rate is acceptable in this optional claiming format. She slots comfortably as a place play behind Be Aware and represents a price worth grabbing in exacta combinations.

show4DownthestreetdebbyML 2/1

Downthestreetdebby is the 2/1 second choice on the morning line despite rating fourth in the field at 55.68 — a 31-point gap behind our top selection that suggests the public may be slightly overestimating her. That said, a 15% career win rate is solid and trainer Colten Mead has had runners competing all card today. Orlando Foster gets the mount, and while our model prefers others, she's likely to be competitive for a share of the purse.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

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Bottom line: today at Lethbridge RMTC is a clean, fast-track program with nine races and real opportunities across the board. Start with Sister Francis, Ghost Ya, and Zone Control in the free races — solid plays all three. For the full-card breakdown, pace analysis, and exotic ticket construction, subscribers have everything they need waiting for them. Good luck at the windows.

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