Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — July 7, 2026

The Pretty One is a genuine value play at 15/1 — a morning line that significantly undersells a 57.35 TrackWiz rating, nearly identical to our top pick's figure. Trainer Yimi Alvarez puts Brooke Bays aboard, and this is the kind of horse bettors can sprinkle into exactas without breaking the bank. If Deyemond gets beat, The Pretty One is the most logical beneficiary based on the underlying data.

Ready Munny brings the field's top average speed figure at 56, which matters in a six-furlong sprint where the early pace can be decisive. Trainer Dermot Littlefield sends this one out at a reasonable 5/1 with Summer Pauly in the irons. A 53.33 TrackWiz rating in a tight field means this is a legitimate show contender — plug her into your trifectas as the speed horse who could control the pace and hang on.

Good Civilian gets the 2/1 morning line respect because a 33% career win rate speaks for itself — this horse knows how to win. Trainer Cipriano Contreras and jockey Emmanuel Esquivel have a working relationship that keeps them in the conversation, and a 61.36 rating makes Good Civilian a logical place pick even if Allbarknobite runs them all down. An average speed of 55 is also the field's best mark.

House of Gold checks in at 9/2 with a 57.97 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate — respectable numbers that make this a solid show option in the exotics. Trainer Tianna Richardville gets Joseph D. Ramos aboard, and in a field where the top two horses carry the majority of the win action, House of Gold could easily slot into third at a profitable price.

Miss Susan B is separated from Really Fancy River by just 0.24 rating points at 82.47 — effectively a dead heat on paper. Alberto Burgos takes the mount for trainer Rogelio Labra, and at 7/2, the price is reasonable for a horse this close to the top of the board. Her 8% career win rate is modest, but in allowance company at this rating level, she's more than capable of finishing in the exacta.

Low Moon rounds out a top-three that are all within two points of each other on the TrackWiz scale, posting an 80.62 rating at 4/1. Trainer Brian Waltz sends Rodney A. Prescott out on a horse with a 16% career win rate — the best in the field — which signals this is a horse that has won at a high clip when conditions are right. In a race this tight at the top, Low Moon is a prime show ticket.

Explosively is our value play of the race at 10/1 — an 76.88 TrackWiz rating is second in this field and that morning line is generous for a horse with that kind of number. Trainer Randy Matthews sends Rodney A. Prescott aboard, and a 14% career win rate suggests this isn't a horse that just fills space. In a 12-horse turf field, good horses at double-digit prices are exactly what you want in your exacta bottom.

Franz Josef posts a 70.07 TrackWiz rating with the field's top average speed figure of 55 and comes in at a fair 9/2. A 16% career win rate for trainer Troy S. Wismer backs up what the numbers say, and William Antongeorgi III is a competent pilot. In a large field on the turf, horses that combine class with speed often find their way to a piece of the prize — Franz Josef fits that profile cleanly.

Quiet Mischief ranks second in the field at 74.16 and offers genuine value at 6/1 on the morning line. Trainer Andrew McKeever gives Rodney A. Prescott the call, and this horse's profile suggests it's ready to take a big step forward. In a 16-horse maiden field where chaos is inevitable, a horse with the second-best rating at a double-digit morning line is exactly the type of contender to include beneath Bon Temps in your exacta.

Playonwords checks in third on the TrackWiz board at 66.12 and carries a 8/1 morning line that provides excellent show value in a field this size. Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. — one of the meet's most active riders — gets aboard for trainer Karyn Wittek, and an average speed of 54 is competitive for turf. With 16 horses running a mile on grass, pace scenarios can be unpredictable and a stalker profile like Playonwords' often benefits when the front-runners run each other into the ground.

Luna Diva at 12/1 is a legitimate eyecatcher — a 72.46 TrackWiz rating is second in the field and that morning line is extremely generous. Trainer Antonio Duran doubles up in this race with both our top two picks, which signals real stable confidence in this slot. Rodney A. Prescott takes the mount, and an average speed of 55 gives Luna Diva raw ability to compete even if the pace doesn't set up perfectly.

Indiana Smoke Show comes in at 4/1 with a 66.12 rating and a 16% career win rate — the kind of consistent performer you want anchoring your trifectas. Trainer Randy L. Klopp also saddles our win pick in another race today, and Micah Meeks takes the call on a horse with a top-end average speed figure of 55. The 4/1 morning line reflects public respect, and in a sprint where things can unravel quickly for front-runners, Indiana Smoke Show's profile suits the role of a fast-finishing type.

Haziel sits second in the field at 78.19 and comes in at a workable 5/1 morning line from trainer John L. Langemeier. Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. gets the mount, which is always a positive in a big-field turf event where race experience and positioning matter. The 53 average speed is reliable, and in a race where our top pick is the only horse clearly separating from the pack, Haziel is the most logical second-place finisher.

Cloudless Day at 8/1 offers meaningful value with a 64.85 TrackWiz rating — third-best in this field and a meaningful step above the majority of the 16-horse field. Emmanuel Esquivel partners with trainer Cipriano Contreras, the same combination we're leaning on in Race 7. An average speed of 53 is competitive, and in a turf maiden where pace can be chaotic, a horse rated this highly at 8/1 is exactly what you want as your trifecta anchor.

Mount Vernon is an interesting play at 4/1 as the stablemate to our top pick — Cherie DeVaux doubling up in a maiden route suggests the barn feels both horses are ready to fire. A 55.00 TrackWiz rating is second in the field, and Adam Beschizza is a capable pilot who will ensure this one gets a clean trip. In a race where the win pick is this dominant, the place price on Mount Vernon becomes the most appealing wager for players looking for value.

Final Thoughts comes in at 5/1 with a 53.33 rating from trainer Brad H. Cox — one of the most respected names in the sport. Fernando De La Cruz picks up the mount, and while no average speed figure is on file, Cox-trained runners in maiden spots are notorious for coming in more prepared than their lines suggest. A 5/1 morning line on a Cox first-timer is always worth noting — if Cromwell falters, this is the horse most likely to benefit from the chaos.

Hf Kiss This Too is our place pick at 5/2, posting a 64.31 TrackWiz rating — second in the field — with a 12% career win rate. Diego Villamil Bocanegra takes the mount for trainer Natasha Perez, and in quarter-horse racing, where consistency out of the gate matters enormously, having a horse this well-rated as your place selection is a strong position. The public respects this one at 5/2, and the rating supports that confidence.

Watch for Estela rounds out our exotic tickets with a 51.59 rating and a 14% career win rate — the field's best win percentage among our top three picks. Trainer Anthony F. Cunningham sends Luz Daniel Martinez aboard, and in a 11-horse quarter-horse sprint, anything can happen in the blink of an eye. A 14% career win rate in a discipline this pure tells you this horse is competitive, and at 8/1, Watch for Estela is the kind of show price that can make a trifecta ticket sing.