Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — July 6, 2026

Silver Sterling draws the 3-hole for trainer Anthony F. Cunningham and posts a solid 73.37 TrackWiz rating at 3/1 morning line. The 16% career win percentage shows consistent competitiveness, and the average speed of 55 is just a tick off the pacesetter's number — close enough to benefit if the leader gets caught late. A pace duel up front could play right into Silver Sterling's hands.

Imminent Forecast at 6/1 is a show-ticket value worth noting. Trainer John Haran has two horses in this race, and sometimes a second entry in the barn acts as a pace helper or benefits from the stable's tactical knowledge of the race shape. The TrackWiz rating of 59.99 and average speed of 55 are in the ballpark, and at 6/1, including him in tri tickets gives you cheap insurance.

Charming Jazel at 7/2 is right on Screamin Nina's heels with an 80.35 TrackWiz rating, and Marcelino Pedroza Jr. is an active rider who can find the right spot in a large field. The 10% career win rate is modest, but on turf, tactical runners who know how to rate often hit the board even when they don't win. This is a natural exacta partner with the top selection.

Over and Above is listed at 10/1 but brings a 40% career win percentage — easily the best in the field — which is a striking number that demands attention. The TrackWiz rating of 76.88 is third-best in the race, and trainer Shannon McGovern has Rodney A. Prescott up. At 10/1 morning line with that win percentage, this horse is a legitimate show overlay and a fun trifecta wheel candidate.

Cat On Time is the morning line second choice at 5/2 with a 69.93 TrackWiz rating and a 38% career win percentage — one of the best win rates in the field. Trainer David Jacobson has Joseph D. Ramos up, and with an average speed of 56 matching the field's top pace figures, Cat On Time has every tool needed to run a big effort. The place spot is the floor here.

Hawkeye at 10/1 is a live show ticket with a 33% career win percentage and an average speed of 56 that matches the best in the field. Trainer John Haran has Amir Mendoza up — a familiar, productive combination — and the TrackWiz rating of 62.45 isn't dominant but is competitive enough to threaten at a distance where pace scenarios can shift quickly. At 10/1, the show overlay is real.

Count of Amazonia is a standout value angle at 6/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 82.71 — just a hair behind Boitano — and Marcelino Pedroza Jr. in the saddle for trainer Eric N. Foster. The 16% career win rate in a field this large is workable, and the speed figure of 53 is in the mix. The fact that the morning line has him at 6/1 despite being essentially even with the top-rated horse on TrackWiz metrics is a real overlay.

Takeitandrun at 10/1 brings a 30% career win percentage — among the highest in this field — and a TrackWiz rating of 48.98 that lands in the middle of the pack. Trainer Tim Eggleston has Mitchell Murrill up, and in a race this large with legitimate pace confusion likely, a horse with that career success rate can easily sneak into the exotics at double-digit odds.

Electa draws the 7-hole for trainer George R. Arnold II with Victor R. Carrasco up, and the 68.10 TrackWiz rating is second-best in the race. The average speed figure of 53 is right in range, and at 5/1 morning line, she's attractively priced for a place contender. In maiden routes, horses that sit just off the pace and have strong underlying ratings often get rewarded in the place spot when favorites either win running away or get caught.

Delightfully is the morning line second choice at 5/2 for trainer Brad H. Cox — a Hall of Fame conditioner whose horses consistently deliver in maiden races. The TrackWiz rating of 57.50 is third in the field, and Fernando De La Cruz takes the mount. Cox's sheer success rate in maiden special weight events makes Delightfully a credible show anchor even if the public price gets squeezed down.

Nancy's Kitten at 6/1 is the place play here, with trainer Joseph D. Davis and Micah Meeks combining for a 75.21 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field. The average speed of 53 gives her a slight edge over many rivals on raw pace, and in maiden turf events, horses that can rate and make one run often find the board at double-digit prices. The 6/1 morning line is attractive for a horse with this level of underlying merit.

Burn Brightly at 8/1 posts a 65.86 TrackWiz rating and gets Marcelino Pedroza Jr. for trainer Robert M. Gorham. The average speed figure of 51 is on the lower end, but in a maiden turf race where pace can be slow and the stretch run favors closers, that number is less damning than it would be on dirt. At 8/1, she's a trifecta inclusion with real upside if the pace scenario sets up for a late run.

Mr Michel is right there at 84.40 TrackWiz and 8/5 morning line — the public's favorite — with a 54% career win percentage for trainer Claudio Barraza. Edgar Diaz takes the mount, and that career win rate is the best in the field. The slight rating edge for Tachas Secret is why he slots into the place spot rather than the win, but there's a real argument either way, and playing them on top of each other in exactas both ways is smart.

Kelli Girl at 12/1 is a genuine value play with a 71.84 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field by a wide margin over the rest — and a 33% career win percentage that's better than half the starters. Trainer Claudio Barraza has two horses in this race, which means his barn has confidence in the conditions. At 12/1 morning line with those underlying numbers, Kelli Girl is an overlay worth using in trifecta and superfecta combinations.

Mi Blood Token at 12/1 morning line is one of the more interesting overlay opportunities on the card, with a 73.13 TrackWiz rating that places him second-best in the field and a 14% career win rate. Trainer Tim Eggleston surfaces again here with Luis Eduardo Luna Diaz up, meaning the same barn controls the top two picks — which can cut both ways tactically, but also means the outfit is loaded in this race. At 12/1 with a second-place rating, the place overlay is substantial.

Run Dont Walk at 7/2 is the morning line second choice for trainer Anthony F. Cunningham with Luz Daniel Martinez aboard, and the 68.92 TrackWiz rating is third in the field. The 8% career win percentage is lower than ideal, but in a 300-yard race with 12 horses, finishing third is very much within reach for a horse with this kind of rating support. He rounds out the trifecta combinations nicely at a price that's fair without being overly generous.