Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — June 23, 2026

Q's Got Class is our value alert in this race — a 73.96 TrackWiz rating nearly matching the top pick, a 40% career win rate, and yet the morning line sits at 12/1. That gap between rating and price is the definition of overlay. Trainer Genaro Garcia gives Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. the mount, and at 54 average speed she's squarely competitive. A 40% career winner at 12/1 in an allowance field absolutely belongs in your exactas.

Fools Jester also brings a 40% career win rate to the gate — matching Q's Got Class for the field's best — and posts a 71.86 TrackWiz rating with a 55 average speed figure that ranks second in the field. Jose Ramos Gutierrez rides for trainer John Haran, and the 7/2 morning line is a fair reflection of his talent. The speed figure and win percentage combo make him a rock-solid show play and an important exotics ingredient.

McGinnis posts a 75.22 TrackWiz rating — second-best in this field — and draws program number 9, a manageable post in a large turf field at a mile and a sixteenth. Trainer Brittney M. Atras has Amir Mendoza aboard, and the 7/2 morning line makes him one of the public's top choices. The combination of a top-three rating and a fair price makes him the logical exotics safety net.

Mi Compadre rates out at 61.57 — third-best in the field — and at 10/1 on the morning line represents real value in an exotics ticket. Trainer Brian Williamson gives Emmanuel Esquivel the mount, and the 53 average speed figure matches the top selections. In a 13-horse turf field, getting a top-three rated horse at 10/1 in your trifecta box is exactly the kind of price you're hunting.

Prayer Unbridled rates at 69.21 — second-best in the field — and brings a 22% career win rate to the gate alongside a 54 average speed figure that matches the top mark in this race. Trainer Terry Phillips uses Joseph D. Ramos, and the 5/1 morning line gives you a real price on what our model considers a clear runner-up. In a two-turn allowance, closers with solid speed numbers often find their best stride late.

Screamin Nina checks in third in our ratings at 63.05 and owns the field's best career win rate at 30% — a number that says this horse knows how to finish. Trainer Stephen V. Fosdick puts Jose Ramos Gutierrez in the irons, and the 3/1 morning line suggests the public has her pegged correctly. That win percentage is a real signal — nearly one in three career starts has resulted in a win, which means she's reliably competitive.

Cat Island rates out at 57.73 — second-best in the field — and draws a clean middle post (3) for trainer George Weaver with Declan Cannon in the irons, a sharp jockey-trainer combo that travels to win. The 7/2 morning line means she'll be well-supported, and her rating edge over the bulk of this field is real. She's the most logical landing spot if the top pick faces any trouble in the early going.

I'll Stop Talking is nearly identical to Cat Island in the ratings at 55.96, and trainer Michael J. Maker is one of the game's elite conditioners — his presence alone should put bettors on alert. Mitchell Murrill takes the mount from post 2, giving him a great chance to settle into a ground-saving position early in a big turf field. The 5/2 morning line makes her the second choice of the public, and Maker's turf record nationally justifies that confidence.

Negra Noche brings an impressive 33% career win rate — tied for the field's best — and a 80.69 TrackWiz rating that slots her firmly in the top three. Trainer Antonio Duran puts Santo Sanjur up, and the 5/1 morning line is a fair price on a horse with that kind of win percentage. A horse that wins a third of its career starts on the board at 5/1 in an allowance turf race is a value place play.

Goody Two Socks rates at 79.06 — third-best in the field — and trainer Tim Eggleston puts Mitchell Murrill in the saddle, one of the meet's top riders. The 6/1 morning line price is attractive for a horse in the top three of our model, and despite a modest 6% career win rate, the rating says her best days are competitive with this field. She's an ideal trifecta piece at a price that will keep the payout honest.

Miss Ktb 23 rates at 81.37 — a strong second in this field — and Edgar Diaz rides for trainer Claudio Barraza. The 3/1 morning line is the second-shortest in the race, and the tight gap between her rating and the top pick's means she's very much in the mix if the favorite doesn't break cleanly. In a 300-yard race, fractions of a second separate the field — she's close enough in our model to absolutely hit the board.

Fa Lillys of Wins checks in third in our ratings at 79.13 — still a strong number in this field — and Carlos Ruiz-Cortez rides for trainer Cesar Esqueda at 9/2 on the morning line. With three horses rated 79 or above and separated by fewer than nine points, the trifecta box among this trio has real merit. She's a logical show play and an important piece of any exotic ticket in this closer.