Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — June 22, 2026
Horseshoe Indianapolis is open for business on a cool, cloudy Monday — 67 degrees and overcast, the kind of weather that tends to keep the track consistent and the speed figures honest. Nine races are on the board, all run on the dirt, ranging from a quick 300-yard sprint to a pair of one-mile-and-seventy-yard routes. There's plenty of variety here whether you're firing singles or building multi-race tickets.
The card leans heavily toward maiden and allowance company, which means we're dealing with some genuine form questions — always a double-edged sword for handicappers. More uncertainty, yes, but also more opportunity to find overlays if you've done your homework. Our TrackWiz ratings flagged some interesting spots across the card, including a double-digit morning-line longshot we think deserves a serious look.
Best Bets
Race 1
Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt
A clear class standout tops this 6-furlong dirt claimer, but the morning line favorite has company from a field where the pace could set things up nicely for closers.
Explosively arrives with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 — that's a full 22 points clear of the next-best horse in here and the kind of separation that commands attention in a claiming field. Trainer Randy Matthews sends this one out at 3/1 on the morning line, suggesting connections are confident. At 6 furlongs on the dirt, the pace scenario should set up well, and a 15% career win rate in a competitive barn suggests this horse earns checks regularly. When the numbers gap is this wide, fade at your own risk.
Healing Waters checks in as the morning line favorite at 9/5 with a solid 65.34 rating — second best in the field. Trainer John Haran has two horses in this race, which can sometimes signal an advantageous stable hotspot, and jockey Amir Mendoza gets the call here. A 13% career win rate might look modest, but in a claiming race at this level, finishing consistently is the name of the game.
C'Est Magnifique draws the rail at post 1 and carries a 52.57 rating with jockey Santo Sanjur up for trainer Daniel Simpson. The 4/1 morning line represents fair value for exotics, and the inside post can be an asset in sprints if the horse gets out cleanly. With a 9% career win rate this is hardly a regular winner, but the rating puts it in a competitive spot for a piece of the show pool.
Race 2
Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt
Slam Dunk Justice looks like a short-priced single in this allowance sprint, but Rigoberto lurks at a price that could make the exacta well worth constructing.
Slam Dunk Justice sports the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.42 and draws the 7/5 morning line as the clear public choice — that kind of dual confirmation is hard to ignore. Jockey Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. gets the mount for trainer Genaro Garcia, a combination worth noting. The 16% career win rate is respectable in allowance company, and posting an average speed figure of 55 matches up well with the best in this six-furlong field. Sometimes the numbers just line up cleanly, and this looks like one of those races.
Rigoberto is the value play at 9/2 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 74.70 — second only to the chalk. A 27% career win rate is genuinely impressive and suggests Emmanuel Esquivel will have horse underneath him late. Trainer Cipriano Contreras keeps this one rolling here, and if anything interferes with the favorite's trip, Rigoberto is right there to capitalize.
Tap Tap Tap It In opens at 7/2 and carries a 66.48 rating to go with Fernando De La Cruz in the irons for trainer Tim Eggleston. The 9% career win rate is the soft spot in the profile, but rating-wise this horse fits well for a piece in a competitive allowance field. In a race where the top two choices could be vulnerable to a pace duel, the closer profile here could pay off in the show spot.
Race 3
Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt
Eleven maiden special weight runners going a mile and 70 yards on the dirt with zero career wins between them — this is one of the trickiest races on the card and an ideal spot to let the TrackWiz ratings do the heavy lifting.
Senora d'Oro opens at 15/1 on the morning line but leads all comers with a TrackWiz rating of 69.58 — a meaningful edge in a wide-open maiden field. Trainer Rogelio Labra sends this one out with Angel Serpa up, and the disconnect between the public odds and the rating number is exactly where value hides. The route distance of a mile and 70 yards suits horses who want to travel, and this one's rating suggests real form underneath the long price. A legitimate longshot that our analysis strongly endorses.
Good Conduct is the morning line co-favorite at 7/2 with a 62.89 rating and Axel Concepcion aboard for trainer Cherie DeVaux. That rating is second in the field and the public odds reflect genuine respect for this runner's chances. In maiden races, backing a horse with strong ratings and public support for a place ticket is a sensible approach — Good Conduct fills that role cleanly.
R Bee Gee checks in at 8/1 with a 58.05 rating — third best in the field — and gets Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. in the saddle for trainer William E. Morey. That price-to-rating combination is attractive in a maiden race where surprises are the norm, and including this horse in trifectas and exactas could yield real reward. The rating puts R Bee Gee firmly in the mix even if the morning line doesn't scream contender.
The first three races are on the house today. We open with Explosively in the Race 1 claiming sprint — a 3/1 morning line shot with a TrackWiz rating of 87 that fits the pace scenario nicely at six furlongs. Race 2 steps up to allowance company and that's where Slam Dunk Justice enters the picture as a well-rated 7/5 favorite; the rating of 89 is the highest among our free picks, and the 6-furlong distance suits horses that want to press or sit just off a contested early pace.
The free-race highlight, though, is Race 3 — a maiden special weight route going a mile and seventy yards. Senora d'Oro opens at 15/1 on the morning line but carries a TrackWiz rating of 69.58 that makes her dangerous in what shapes up as a wide-open field. Routes at this distance on Horseshoe's oval tend to favor stamina over pure speed, and the cloud cover today should help keep the track from getting lightning fast. Don't dismiss her at a price.
Full Card Analysis
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Today's best free plays center on Explosively (R1), Slam Dunk Justice (R2), and the value longshot Senora d'Oro at 15/1 in Race 3. The full card — including pace projections, exotic structures, and ratings for all nine races — is available to TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck out there, and as always, bet smart.