Daily Picks

Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — May 25, 2026

Monday, May 25, 202610 racesHorseshoe Indianapolis

Happy Memorial Day Monday at Horseshoe Indianapolis. Ten races are on the board today, stretching from quick 250-yard quarter-horse sprints to a route going a mile and 70 yards, all on a dirt surface under comfortable 72°F partly cloudy skies. Conditions look ideal — no weather excuses today, just horses running on a fair, consistent track.

The card has a little bit of everything: maiden claimers to kick things off, a pair of allowance spots in the middle, a MSW sprint that grabs our attention late in the card, and a couple of short-field quarter-horse dashes to close out the evening. With 10 races across multiple conditions and distances, there are plenty of angles to attack whether you're playing singles or building multi-race exotics.

TrackWiz analysis has three free races unlocked for everyone today — Races 1, 2, and 3 — so even if you're just dipping your toes in, you've got real data-backed picks to work with right out of the gate.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:00 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer where TrackWiz ratings separate the field clearly — one horse stands out on paper, but maiden dirt sprints at this level are notoriously unpredictable.

win2I ConduitML 9/2

I Conduit (#2) earns a TrackWiz rating of 84.9 — more than 19 points clear of the next-best horse in here — and posts an average speed figure of 56, tops in the field. Trainer Aaron M. West saddles two in this race, and it's telling that Samuel E. Bermudez, the more established rider of the barn's two entrants, gets the call on this one. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's still a reasonable price attached to the top-rated horse, which makes the win bet all the more appealing.

place6Long ActingML 5/1

Long Acting (#6) checks in with a TrackWiz rating of 65.95 and matches several rivals with an average speed figure of 52. Trainer Rogelio Labra sends this one out at a fair 5/1 morning line, and the place slot looks like a solid landing spot given the clear rating edge over the lower half of the field.

show3Run David RunML 6/1

Run David Run (#3) shares the 52 average speed figure with a cluster of mid-pack rivals, but a TrackWiz rating of 63.21 nudges him just ahead of that group. At 6/1, he offers show value in exotics and is a reasonable underneath piece in trifecta constructions for anyone wanting to spread.

Race 2

4:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

This maiden claimer features a sizable field with a clear top two on ratings, but the morning line puts one of them at chalk prices — setting up a value play if the second choice runs her race.

win10Nancy's KittenML 7/2

Nancy's Kitten (#10) leads all comers with a TrackWiz rating of 86.35 — the highest number in this field — and posts an average speed figure of 53, on par with the competitive core of this group. Jockey Luis Contreras climbs aboard for trainer Joseph D. Davis, a capable connection at this level. At 7/2, she's not a steal, but the rating gap over even the second-best horse is substantial enough that she's a confident win selection.

place11I'malittlethirstyML 3/1

I'malittlethirsty (#11) is the morning-line favorite at 3/1 and backs it up with a TrackWiz rating of 78.0 — second-best in the field by a comfortable margin. Mitchell Murrill, who is very active in this meet, handles the mount for trainer Robert M. Gorham. The place position here is about collecting on a likely exacta key underneath the top pick.

show2Sassy JuliaML 9/2

Sassy Julia (#2) sits third in TrackWiz ratings at 60.95, a meaningful step below the top two but clear of the rest of a crowded 11-horse field. Alex Achard gets the call at 9/2 on the morning line, and with the depth of this field, she offers legitimate show upside and trifecta utility.

Race 3

5:00 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The allowance condition filters out the maiden horses, and a sharp class divide emerges — the top-rated runner here carries a meaningful speed figure edge, though a pair of horses with strong career win percentages could complicate matters.

win3Texas FreeML 7/2

Texas Free (#3) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 and brings the best average speed figure in the field at 56, a clear edge over rivals who mostly clock in at 53-55. A 20% career win rate is respectable for the allowance ranks, and trainer Randy L. Klopp hands the reins to Fernando De La Cruz for this sprint. The combination of top speed figures and top rating makes this a confident best bet at 7/2.

place5Stranger's ChurchML 4/1

Stranger's Church (#5) posts a TrackWiz rating of 66.06 with a 25% career win rate — the best strike rate among the primary contenders. Trainer John Haran runs two horses in this race, and Jose Ramos Gutierrez gets the call on this one at 4/1. A horse who wins a quarter of his starts in allowance company deserves respect for the place slot.

show1Face the FutureML 9/2

Face the Future (#1) brings a 22% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 65.33 — virtually identical to Stranger's Church on both counts. Trainer Daniel Simpson sends him out from the rail, and Joseph D. Ramos takes the mount at 9/2. For trifecta players, this horse is a natural underneath piece in a race where the top three on ratings are clustered close together.

Our three free races all come early on the card and share a common thread: they're all 5½-furlong dirt sprints, which means pace scenario and early speed positioning will be critical. On a tight oval like Horseshoe Indianapolis, horses that can get out cleanly and settle into rhythm near the front tend to hold a structural edge in short sprints — something to keep in mind as you handicap these races yourself.

I Conduit (Race 1, 9/2 morning line, 84.9 TrackWiz rating) leads our free picks into the gate, followed by Nancy's Kitten (Race 2, 7/2, 86.35) and Texas Free (Race 3, 7/2, 86.35). Nancy's Kitten and Texas Free are actually tied at the top of their respective fields on our model — both represent solid value at morning-line 7/2 if they hold anywhere near those odds at post time.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

5:50 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The allowance optional claiming distance stretches to a route at a mile and 70 yards, and three horses are separated by less than a point on TrackWiz ratings — setting up one of the most competitive races on the card.

win1Gas AlleyML 9/2

Gas Alley (#1) earns the top TrackWiz rating of 80.91 and posts the highest average speed figure in the field at 55, giving him a clear edge on pure ability metrics. Mitchell Murrill, one of the busier jockeys in this meet, pilots for trainer Michael E. Lauer — a solid combo for a route race. A 25% career win rate says he knows how to get to the wire first, and at 9/2 on the morning line he represents the best value of the three top-rated horses.

place4Chicory BlazeML 5/1

Chicory Blaze (#4) is right on Gas Alley's heels with a TrackWiz rating of 80.18 and an impressive 42% career win rate — one of the highest in this field. Rodney A. Prescott takes the mount for trainer Robert E. Dobbs, Jr. at 5/1. A horse who wins nearly half his career starts is always dangerous, and the place spot here has plenty of merit.

show6JazzoleML 8/1

Jazzole (#6) rounds out the tight top trio with a 79.79 TrackWiz rating and a matching 42% career win rate, mirroring Chicory Blaze's strike rate. Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. gets the call for trainer Genaro Garcia at 8/1 on the morning line — making this the value option of the three. For exacta and trifecta players, Jazzole at morning-line 8/1 is an attractive underneath piece.

Race 5

6:21 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Dirt

A maiden special weight route going a flat mile, and the favorite here isn't the morning-line chalk — our top-rated horse goes at 6/1 while the public leans toward a 3/1 shot, creating a genuine overlay opportunity.

win8My Lunar CharmML 6/1

My Lunar Charm (#8) leads the field with a TrackWiz rating of 82.71 — a strong number for a maiden special weight field — while posting a respectable average speed figure of 52. Trainer Stephen V. Fosdick sends her out with Jose Ramos Gutierrez up, and the 6/1 morning line represents clear overlay value given she's the top-rated horse in here. If you're looking for a win bet that pays more than it should, this is the spot.

place2Tainted JusticeML 5/1

Tainted Justice (#2) holds a TrackWiz rating of 67.79, second-best in the field, and checks in with a 52 average speed figure at a sensible 5/1. Trainer Robert M. Gorham, who also saddles Captain Chaos in Race 7, hands the mount to Andres P. Ulloa. The combination of solid rating and fair price makes Tainted Justice a logical place half in an exacta with the top pick.

show9MikestrumpcardML 3/1

Mikestrumpcard (#9) is the 3/1 morning-line favorite, and while our analysis puts him third at a 63.8 TrackWiz rating, that's still a competitive figure in this group. Santo Sanjur takes the mount for trainer John Haran, and a 54 average speed figure is the second-best in the field. Public horses at 3/1 often get bet down further, so show payoffs may be slim — but he's worth including in the trifecta.

Race 6

6:53 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

With 16 horses in a maiden special weight route, chaos is baked in — but one horse stands out by a wide margin on TrackWiz ratings, going off at value odds in a sea of question marks.

win3Royally SassyML 8/1

Royally Sassy (#3) tops this massive field with a TrackWiz rating of 79.79 — a full 21 points clear of the second-best horse — and carries an average speed figure of 52. Trainer Christopher Davis sends her out with Adam Beschizza aboard at 8/1 on the morning line, which is generous pricing for a horse who so thoroughly leads our model. In a 16-horse field, chaos happens, but the rating separation here is too large to ignore.

place12OutroML 4/1

Outro (#12) comes in as the morning-line second choice at 4/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 58.8 and a 53 average speed figure. Trainer Brendan P. Walsh, who also has Mohawk Moon in this race, sends Outro out with Alberto Burgos up — a live combo. Walsh is a sharp conditioner, and the public money will likely find this one; the place slot makes sense as a safety net.

show6NicksieML 6/1

Nicksie (#6) posts a 55.88 TrackWiz rating and a 52 average speed figure in what is otherwise a very murky field below the top two. Irving Moncada rides for trainer Thomas Drury, Jr. at 6/1. In a race this deep, using a third show horse who grades out cleanly above the bottom half of the field is smart trifecta construction.

Race 7

7:25 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A big maiden special weight sprint with a rare heavy favorite — this one has a dominant top-rated horse that figures to be heavily bet, but the supporting cast offers genuine exotic value at double-digit prices.

win15Socorro's PrayerML 8/5

Socorro's Prayer (#15) is the standout in this 15-horse field, sitting atop the TrackWiz ratings at 89.12 — the highest single-horse rating on today's card — with a 55 average speed figure. Alberto Burgos rides for trainer John Haran, who is extremely active today with multiple runners across several races. The 8/5 morning line tells you the connections believe in this horse, and the rating gap over the field is simply too large to bet against. Play the win and look to collect on the exotics.

place12El PayasitoML 9/2

El Payasito (#12) provides the best value in the place slot, boasting a 78.5 TrackWiz rating and a 54 average speed figure — a clear second-best in the field. Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. handles the mount for trainer Genaro Garcia at 9/2. Keying this horse on top of the favorite in exactas looks like a natural play.

show11VisualML 5/1

Visual (#11) checks in with a 67.38 TrackWiz rating and a 54 average speed figure — third-best in the field on both counts. Trainer Michael E. Lauer sends him out with Jaime A. Torres up at 5/1, a workable price. If Socorro's Prayer dominates as expected and El Payasito gets the place, Visual is a logical third-place finisher to close out the trifecta.

Race 8

7:55 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A genuine allowance puzzle — no single horse dominates the TrackWiz ratings, the top-rated runner goes at 6/1 against a 3/1 morning-line favorite who grades out much lower on our model, and the pace scenario over a route could shuffle the order.

win10Surprenant CoccaML 6/1

Surprenant Cocca (#10) leads the TrackWiz ratings at 68.0 with a 52 average speed figure and a 11% career win rate that looks modest but is competitive in this group. Trainer Claude L. Brownfield III sends her out with Samuel E. Bermudez at 6/1 on the morning line — a clear overlay given she's the top-rated horse in the field. Our model has a real separation here between her and the 3/1 morning-line favorite Jalila, which grades out at just 42.08.

place3Hidden PresenceML 5/1

Hidden Presence (#3) carries a 64.26 TrackWiz rating with a 52 average speed figure and a 13% career win rate over a reasonable sample. Alberto Burgos rides for trainer Paulo H. Lobo at 5/1, a fair price for a horse who grades second in our model. In a wide-open allowance, the place slot is a reasonable landing spot even if the top pick runs her race.

show5Sunday SlipperML 8/1

Sunday Slipper (#5) posts a 63.35 TrackWiz rating — virtually identical to Hidden Presence — with a 53 average speed figure and a 16% career win rate. Brendan P. Walsh, who has horses scattered across the card today, sends this one out with Danny Sheehy up at 8/1. The show price here could be generous given the morning-line odds, making Sunday Slipper an attractive trifecta inclusion.

Race 9

8:25 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

Quarter horse action comes to the card with a 250-yard maiden sprint — a blink-and-you-miss-it format where gate speed rules and speed figures are unavailable, making this a pure ratings and connections play.

win1Flying Blonde 123ML 7/2

Flying Blonde 123 (#1) tops the TrackWiz ratings in this quarter-horse maiden at 55.83, drawing the rail post in a race where gate break is everything. Trainer Claudio Barraza, who also runs Burning Kiss in this race, puts Edgar Diaz up at 7/2 on the morning line. In 250-yard sprints with no available speed figures, the ratings edge is the clearest guide we have — and this one leads the field.

place8Temptstepper ZML 9/2

Temptstepper Z (#8) is the second-best rated horse at 54.17 under trainer Anthony F. Cunningham, who saddles two horses in this race. Luz Daniel Martinez handles the ride at 9/2 — a price that mirrors her position in our ratings hierarchy. Cunningham's barn clearly likes what they have in these quarter-horse newcomers, and backing this one for place is a natural extension of the top pick.

show3ProvocotivML 5/1

Provocotiv (#3) checks in at 53.33 on the TrackWiz ratings, tied for third in this field, with the added intrigue of trainer German Rodriguez also riding his own horse — a double-duty role that often signals a horseman who knows exactly what he has. At 5/1 on the morning line, this is a show price that makes sense in exotics, particularly given the owner-trainer-jockey connection.

Race 10

8:55 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

The nightcap is another 250-yard quarter horse dash where the morning-line favorite carries the top TrackWiz rating by a clear margin — but at 5/2, the value pushes toward the place and show horses in the exotic pools.

win8Coup On FireML 5/2

Coup On Fire (#8) leads this field with a TrackWiz rating of 57.5 and draws the morning-line favoritism at 5/2. Trainer Tim Eggleston, one of the most active trainers on today's card, sends this one out with Luis Eduardo Luna Diaz up. In a race where no horse has an available speed figure, that rating edge combined with strong barn presence makes Coup On Fire the logical top selection.

place9Genuine Good CandyML 9/2

Genuine Good Candy (#9) sits second in the TrackWiz ratings at 54.17 for trainer Jessica A. Vazquez, who also runs Proper Return and Relentless Friend in Race 9. Giovani Vazquez-Gomez handles the mount at 9/2 — that trainer-jockey familiarity in these short sprints can matter. The place ticket here is a comfortable play underneath the chalk.

show5Super ShakerrML 5/1

Super Shakerr (#5) posts a 53.33 TrackWiz rating — tied for third in this field — for trainer Claudio Barraza, whose barn also runs Jazz Solo in this race. Edgar Diaz, who gets the call on Flying Blonde 123 in Race 9, is up at 5/1 on the morning line. For trifecta players, this is a logical third leg at a price that offers some upside.

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It's a well-rounded 10-race card at Horseshoe Indianapolis today — Socorro's Prayer is the marquee name to watch in Race 7, but don't overlook Nancy's Kitten and Texas Free in the free races as legit value plays early. The 72°F weather and clean dirt should produce honest running times all day. Start with our free picks in Races 1–3, then consider going premium for the full-card breakdown, pace angles, and exotic tickets. Good luck out there — race smart, manage your bankroll, and enjoy the card.

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