Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — November 11, 2026

Belloro is a live place ticket at 3/1, sitting second in the ratings at 84.65 with a 57% career ITM rate and 2 wins from 14 dirt starts. He's placed in 4 of his last 6 races — the same recent consistency as the top pick — and jockey Joel Cruz has a 17% win rate this past year. That steady board-hitting pattern is exactly what you want from a place horse.

Shannon K owns the top recent race speed figure in this field at 12.32 sec/furlong, which is a meaningful edge in a sprint. She's placed in 4 of her last 6 starts and has 2 wins from 22 dirt tries, showing she knows this surface. The concern is a short turnaround — only 23 days of rest when she tends to run better with 30-plus — but her speed and consistency make her a sensible show play at 4/1.

Warrior Bunny Zee is a solid underneath play at 7/2. She's rated second in the field at 77.23 with a 57% career ITM rate and has placed in both of her most recent races — that's the kind of recency that matters. Jockey Keiber Coa is riding well at a 24% win rate and 69% ITM over the past year, and she owns 3 wins from 14 dirt starts. She won nearly 20% of our simulations and figures to be in the mix at the top of the stretch.

Moontown lands third in the picks and brings a compelling connections angle — the Cruz-Buckley combo has clicked at 22% wins and 75% ITM over the past year, which is a genuinely impressive rate. He has 3 wins from 22 dirt starts and figures to be somewhere in the conversation at the top of the lane. The one knock is recent race speed ranking sixth in the field at 12.54 sec/furlong, which is worth noting. Still, at 5/1, he's a reasonable exotic inclusion.

Big Advantage is virtually tied with the top pick in the ratings at 86.35 and actually leads the field in recent race speed at 12.45 sec/furlong — that's a sharp figure heading into a six-furlong sprint. A 30% career win rate and 80% ITM rate are eye-popping numbers, and jockey Jeremias Flores works well with trainer Barrow at 23% wins over the past year. The only concern is a short turnaround — 21 days of rest when he tends to prefer 30-plus. At 7/2, he's a live play for the top two spots.

Dorth's Sol Dancer has quietly assembled a strong distance and surface profile — 5 wins from 19 starts at six furlongs specifically, and 7 wins from 33 dirt efforts overall. That kind of track-and-distance record doesn't happen by accident. Jockey Luis Perez is coming in with a 22% win rate over the past year, and her 63% career ITM rate is the kind of board-hitting consistency you want in a show pick. At 6/1, she offers real value as the third piece of a trifecta.

All About Soul is the morning line co-favorite at 5/2 and the second-highest rated horse at 77.65. The standout angle here is the Coa-Ferraro combo, which has connected at a 31% win rate and 75% ITM rate over the past year — that's one of the strongest trainer-jockey numbers on the card. Workout rank is second in the field at 12.33 sec/furlong, suggesting she's training well. The concern is she hasn't placed in her last three tries, which is a real flag in a maiden field. Worth including underneath.

Mo Coffee brings a double-barreled workout edge — first in the field over the past month at 12.06 sec/furlong and also first in recent race speed at 12.84 sec/furlong. Those figures suggest a horse that's been training sharply and running competitively. She's also shown an in-the-money rate of 50% in her career, which is solid for a maiden. At 3/1 on the morning line, she gives you coverage if the top two struggle late in a one-mile route.

A Maize Zing Dotie slots second in the ratings at 66.99 and brings the second-fastest recent race speed figure at 12.31 sec/furlong — consistently quick early, which matters. The Worrie-Englehart combo has clicked at 26% wins and 59% ITM this past year, and she owns a 30% career win rate from dirt races. The concern is age — she's listed as older than the typical peak — and her claiming price was recently bumped from $7,500 to $10,000, a step up in class that's worth factoring in. At 3/1, she's a fair price for the second pick.

Ekwanok checks in third in the ratings at 63.05 with a 27% career win rate and an impressive 61% ITM rate — he hits the board often. The Navarro-Buckley combo fires at 22% wins and 68% ITM, which is reliable, and he has 5 wins from 17 lifetime dirt starts. The knock is a recent race speed rank of eighth in the field at 12.64 sec/furlong and limited success at today's six-furlong distance (1 for 5). But his overall consistency and strong connections make him a reasonable trifecta piece at 7/2.

My Royal Vow sits second in the ratings at 82.04 with a 53% career ITM rate and 5 wins from 25 lifetime dirt starts — a proven presence in this class. His recent race speed checks in second in the field at 12.52 sec/furlong, suggesting he's in form. The Gomez-Barrow pairing has connected at 19% wins this year. The concern is a step up in claiming price from $4,000 to $5,000 and his age, but those factors are priced in at 3/1. He won 24% of our simulations and belongs in every exotic.

Itwillbefun is an interesting show inclusion at 2/1 — counterintuitively, his morning line might be a touch short relative to the top pick, but his profile is real. He ranks third in the ratings at 77.38, posts the third-best recent race speed at 12.62 sec/furlong, and the Baez-Saul team has clicked at 26% wins and 61% ITM over the past year. The concern is a short turnaround — only 21 days of rest when he runs better on longer breaks. Worth including in exactas and trifectas even if the win price feels a little thin.