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Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — July 14, 2026

July 14, 20268 racesAll Finger Lakes picks

This card ran on July 14, 2026.

Best bets at Finger Lakes, July 14, 2026

Race 13Goodys GirlML 2/112:55 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

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Last 30 days at Finger Lakes: our top pick won 11 of 58 races (19%) and finished in the money in 33.

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It's a scorcher at Finger Lakes on Tuesday, July 14 — clear skies and 90°F mean the sun is hammering the main track all afternoon. That kind of heat can bake a fast, sealed surface, and our TrackWiz models are factoring in every degree of it as we dig through this 8-race all-dirt card.

The card mixes Claiming, Maiden Claiming, and Allowance company across sprint and route distances — plenty of variety to keep things interesting from first post to last. We've got three free races to kick things off, with five premium races rounding out the card for subscribers.

Bottom line: this is a workmanlike Tuesday card, but a few spots jump out as genuine betting opportunities. Heat-baked dirt at Finger Lakes can play fast early, and pace scenarios are going to matter in these sprint events in particular.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A clear top-rating standout anchors this 5½-furlong dirt claimer, but a pair of 27% career winners lurking in the middle of the field could make the exotics interesting.

win3Goodys GirlML 2/1

Goodys Girl is the class of this field and it isn't particularly close — her TrackWiz rating of 88.54 towers over the next-best entry by more than 17 points. Trainer Chris J. Englehart sends her out with jockey Andre Shivnarine Worrie, and a 23% career win rate gives her a legitimate professional edge over the field. She posts the top average speed figure (55) and draws the 2/1 morning line, meaning the market agrees. At that price she's not a laydown value play, but she's the horse to beat in a race that sets up cleanly for a front-runner.

place5Dreaming of HopeML 5/2

Dreaming of Hope is a live contender with a 27% career win rate — the joint-best in the field — under the steady hand of Keiber J. Coa. Her TrackWiz rating of 71.55 is second only to the top pick, and the 5/2 morning line suggests the morning crowd sees her as a realistic threat. If anything interrupts Goodys Girl's trip, Hope is the most likely beneficiary to hit the board.

show6Bayou MelodyML 8/1

Bayou Melody is the value inclusion here at 8/1 on the morning line. She matches the top average speed figure in the field (55) and carries an identical 27% career win rate to Dreaming of Hope — yet she's priced nearly three times longer. Trainer Arcadio Lopez knows this circuit, and Emanuel De Diego aboard gives her a capable pilot for a sprint. She's worth a small exotic investment as the third wheel.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:24 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer going a route of ground, where none of these horses have broken their maiden — TrackWiz ratings separate the contenders more than past results can.

win1Im GunnaML 5/2

Im Gunna enters as the heavy TrackWiz favorite with a rating of 87.81 — a full 19 points clear of the next-best horse — and trainer Troy Smith sends her out with Laird O. Bailey up. The 5/2 morning line reflects legitimate public respect. She also shows the top average speed figure in the field at 53, an edge that's meaningful at a mile and 70 yards where sustained pace matters. In a field of non-winners, she's the most complete profile TrackWiz sees.

place6The Brown EggML 7/2

The Brown Egg is an interesting place play at 7/2 with a TrackWiz rating of 68.86 — third-best in the field and notably ahead of the morning-line favorite Saint Solomon. Luis E. Perez gets the mount for trainer Charlton Baker, and while her speed figure (51) trails the top pick, she has the profile to grind out a place in a route that can expose pace-light runners. Worth including underneath in exacta combinations.

show5Saint SolomonML 2/1

Saint Solomon draws the 2/1 morning line — shortest in the field — but her TrackWiz rating of 58.8 actually ranks third. Keiber J. Coa is a consistent performer in this colony and trainer Kelly Lynn Deiter has a feel for maiden routes. Even if she's slightly overbet relative to her rating, she'll be prominent early at a mile-plus trip and landing on the board is a realistic outcome.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free races lead off the card and each offers a distinct angle. Goodys Girl opens the day in Race 1 — a 5½-furlong Claiming sprint where her TrackWiz rating of 88.54 is the top mark on today's entire card. She's the morning line co-favorite at 2/1 for a reason, and on a fast, sun-baked surface, early speed figures to be rewarded.

Race 2 stretches things out to a mile and 70 yards in Maiden Claiming company, where Im Gunna (5/2 ML, 87.81 rating) sets the pace for a route that could separate horses with legitimate staying power. Then Race 3 brings us back to 5½ furlongs for another Claiming sprint — and here's the value angle: Rockible is sitting at 5/1 on the morning line with an 84.17 rating, making him a legitimate price play if the pace heats up and the chalk gets caught flat-footed.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:53 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite doesn't match the top TrackWiz rating in this 5½-furlong claimer — Rockible at 5/1 is the number horse and offers real value against a misaligned morning line.

win5RockibleML 5/1

Rockible tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 in a field where the public line has installed Samurai Legacy as the 5/2 favorite — a meaningful disconnect. Reylu Gutierrez rides for trainer Luis Gutierrez, a family barn that keeps horses sharp, and Rockible's average speed figure of 54 ties for best in the field. At 5/1, you're getting legitimate top-rated horse at overlay odds — TrackWiz analysis points here confidently.

place2Invaluable WillML 6/1

Invaluable Will brings a TrackWiz rating of 71.46 — second-best in the race — at a generous 6/1 morning line. Trainer Debra A. Breed has a steady hand with claimers at Finger Lakes, and Nazario Alvarado is a capable get-out jockey on the front end. The 9% career win rate sounds modest but is buoyed by consistent in-the-money efforts that make her a safe place selection.

show4Smokin' AloneML 4/1

Smokin' Alone rates third in the field at 66.19 and comes in at a workable 4/1. Oscar Gomez and trainer Michael T. Sabine form a pairing worth watching at this level — the 9% career win figure tells you Smokin' Alone finds ways to compete without always closing out, making the show slot a natural landing spot. She's the logical third horse in any vertical exotic.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

2:22 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

An allowance sprint where the morning-line second choice actually carries the top TrackWiz score — Vino's Valentine is a potential overlay hiding in plain sight at 2/1.

win3Vino's ValentineML 2/1

Vino's Valentine earns the top TrackWiz rating in Race 4 at 88.54 — tied for the best mark of any horse on today's card — and is set at just 2/1 on the morning line. Luis E. Perez picks up the mount for trainer Ilmar Loaiza, and the 54 average speed figure is right there with the best runners in the field. The 6% career win rate is the only caveat, but in an allowance context, class consistency often matters more than raw win numbers.

place1By Mink StandardsML 3/1

By Mink Standards brings a 25% career win rate — tops in the field — and a solid TrackWiz rating of 71.91. Joel Cruz has been reliable in these sprint conditions, and trainer Patrick Baratta knows how to place a horse in allowance company. The 3/1 price makes her a logical exacta partner with the top pick, and she's the most battle-tested winner in the group.

show7Sunday's CurrencyML 4/1

Sunday's Currency at 4/1 and a rating of 64.09 rounds out the TrackWiz top three in this race. Trainer Arcadio Lopez runs horses at Finger Lakes with regularity, and Jacqueline A. Davis has the rail-feel needed for sprint distance. A 11% career win rate is modest but enough for a horse in this price range to hit the board as a show alternative.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

2:51 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse field going a mile and 70 yards with a genuine pace scenario in play — Freedsdale has the highest rating but faces a live group that could complicate a wire-to-wire effort.

win5FreedsdaleML 7/2

Freedsdale is the clear top-rated horse in this competitive field at 86.35 and checks in at 7/2 on the morning line — a reasonable price for a horse this firmly ahead in the ratings. Keiber J. Coa is one of the meet's most dependable jockeys, and trainer M. Anthony Ferraro has a 25% career win rate runner in his barn — matching the field's joint-best figure. In a ten-horse field, controlling pace from a clean position could be decisive.

place3Tapizar's TemperML 4/1

Tapizar's Temper rates second in the field at 79.2 and draws a 4/1 morning line with Jeremias Flores up. The 17% career win rate is workable, and trainer Rachel Sells clearly believes in this horse — she also runs Stop the Spread in this very race, giving the barn two shots. Tapizar's Temper is the more likely of the two to threaten the board based on the ratings gap alone.

show8Dreams of MyfatherML 3/1

Dreams of Myfather is the 3/1 morning-line second choice and holds a TrackWiz rating of 68.55 — third-best in the field. Christopher Elliott gets a live mount here for trainer Melanie Giddings, and a 13% career win rate over route distances shows he can last a mile-plus trip. If the top two set a hot pace, Dreams of Myfather is the natural closer profile to pick up the pieces.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

3:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Banking Silver tops the TrackWiz ratings in this allowance route while priced at just 3/1, setting up a potential top-two finish for the Ferraro barn's pair of entries.

win7Banking SilverML 3/1

Banking Silver earns the top TrackWiz rating in Race 6 at 87.08 and ties Mobelladream for the best average speed figure in the field (54). Trainer Rachel Sells sends out Christopher Elliott — a jockey with solid feel in route races — and a 12% career win rate in allowance company signals a grinder who competes consistently. At 3/1, this isn't a giveaway price, but the rating separation over much of this nine-horse field is meaningful.

place6MobelladreamML 5/2

Mobelladream is the 5/2 morning-line favorite and posts a 81.4 TrackWiz rating — second-best behind Banking Silver. Luis E. Perez is one of the more active riders on the meet, and trainer M. Anthony Ferraro placing two horses in this race (Mobelladream and Ishkabibble) suggests stable confidence. If the top pick stumbles early, Mobelladream has every tool to pick up the slack and land on the board.

show4Saratoga SunsetML 10/1

Saratoga Sunset is the value show play at 10/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 63.17 — fourth-best in the field but notably ahead of several horses drawing more public attention. Trainer Paul W. Barrow has a 14% career win runner in a field where many rivals sit at 10-11%, and Jeremias Flores can press a pace in a route without overcommitting. An 8/1 or better price at the window makes her a worthwhile exotic inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 7

3:49 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong allowance with some unusual career win percentages in the data — Lifeisbutadream leads on TrackWiz ratings and offers real value at 5/1 in a race where the morning line feels off.

win3LifeisbutadreamML 5/1

Lifeisbutadream tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 and is listed at 5/1 on the morning line — a price that looks generous given how far her number separates from the rest of the field. Keiber J. Coa picks up the mount for trainer M. Anthony Ferraro, a barn that has multiple live horses on this card today. A 28% career win rate is legitimately strong, and a 53 average speed figure over six furlongs gives her a clean pace profile. If you're playing one race tonight, this could be your spot.

place7Shaman PrincessML 5/1

Shaman Princess rates second in the field at 78.26 and draws Reylu Gutierrez for trainer Paul W. Barrow. Her 8% career win rate is modest in isolation, but the TrackWiz model sees something in her current form that the raw win figure doesn't fully capture. At 5/1, she's priced as a longshot despite being the second-best-rated horse in the race — use her underneath in exactas.

show4Rubies for OliviaML 8/1

Rubies for Olivia at 8/1 is the show value play in this six-furlong spot. Joel Cruz takes the mount for trainer Jonathan B. Buckley, and a 54 average speed figure — tied for best in the race — suggests she has the raw speed to stay competitive in a six-furlong sprint. The TrackWiz rating of 65.7 is respectable for a horse at this price, and she's worth a small show bet or inclusion in trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

4:18 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Lady Banker owns the top TrackWiz rating in a full field of ten but carries a puzzlingly low career win rate — the market has her at 3/1, and the model backs that up.

win1Lady BankerML 3/1

Lady Banker holds the highest TrackWiz rating in Race 8 at 84.65 and draws Emanuel De Diego for trainer Ralph D'Alessandro. She posts a 54 average speed figure — tied for best in the field — and the 3/1 morning line is well-aligned with her top-rated status. The 4% career win rate is an outlier worth noting, but in a sprint claiming race, raw speed and current form often matter more than historical win totals. TrackWiz analysis lands firmly on her to take this.

place6World BankML 5/1

World Bank rates second in the field at 80.75 with a 5/1 morning line and Keiber J. Coa in the saddle — a jockey who appears multiple times today for good reason. Trainer Katlynn Gutterson keeps this horse competitive at the claiming level, and the 3% career win rate mirrors Lady Banker's situation: a horse that competes without always closing. The place slot is a natural outcome for a horse this capable of running a big number.

show5Candy Is DandyML 8/1

Candy Is Dandy at 8/1 is the TrackWiz show call and a genuine value play. Kevin Navarro takes the mount for trainer David Oyola, and a TrackWiz rating of 76.38 makes her the third-rated horse in a ten-horse field — yet she's priced as a borderline longshot. The 8% career win rate is modest, but in a race where the top two have similarly low win rates, this could be a case where form-curve horses dominate and Candy Is Dandy finds her way onto the board.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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A fast, hot Finger Lakes card is on the menu today, and Goodys Girl is the name to know heading in. She leads a trio of sharp free-race plays to start your day, but the real edges — pace projections, exotic plays, and the longshot angles in the Allowance races — are in the full premium breakdown. Subscribers, you know where to find it. Everyone else, head to /pricing and let's make today count.

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