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Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — July 13, 2026

July 13, 20269 racesAll Finger Lakes picks

This card ran on July 13, 2026.

Best bets at Finger Lakes, July 13, 2026

Race 13IntentiousML 6/112:55 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 7 races are for members.

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Last 30 days at Finger Lakes: our top pick won 11 of 58 races (19%) and finished in the money in 33.

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It's a loaded Monday at Finger Lakes — nine races, three of them stakes, and a partly cloudy afternoon sitting right at 83°F. Conditions are about as close to ideal as you'll get up in Farmington, and a fast, consistent dirt surface should reward horses with back-class and proven figures.

Today's card has real range: we're starting with a Starter Optional Claiming mile-and-seventy before building toward a trio of stakes showdowns that give serious bettors plenty to work with. Whether you're playing two races or the full card, there's value hiding in this thing from top to bottom.

TrackWiz has ratings on all nine, with our three free best bet races — Races 1, 2, and 3 — topped by some intriguing morning-line prices and our highest-rated contenders of the day.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:55 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A Starter Optional Claiming route with a clear class standout at a generous price — Intentious owns the top TrackWiz rating by a wide margin, but the mid-pack contenders are bunched close enough to make the exotics interesting.

win3IntentiousML 6/1

Intentious is the horse to beat in this field, and the 6/1 morning line looks like a gift. The TrackWiz rating of 82.71 is the best in the race by eight points, and a 33% career win rate speaks to a horse that consistently hits the board when conditions are right. Kevin Navarro takes the mount, adding a reliable hand in the irons for this distance stretch at 1 mile 70 yards. The combination of top figure, proven win tendency, and a price tag that the morning line underestimates makes this our strongest play of the early card.

place4ZeebearML 5/1

Zeebear at 5/1 is a logical place backup with a TrackWiz rating of 74.83 — second best in the field. Trainer James Miller Pettine puts Luis E. Perez up, and a 20% career win percentage gives Zeebear a solid chance to fill a spot even if Intentious does lead the way home.

show6PassionedML 7/2

Passioned draws the 6 post at 7/2 morning line with a 71.5 rating and a solid 25% career win clip — the best win rate among the closer figures in the mid-tier. Keiber J. Coa knows how to position horses in these one-turn routes, and Passioned's consistency makes it a reliable show option in exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:24 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Khali's Dream looks like a heavy favorite in the making for this 6-furlong claiming sprint, with a TrackWiz rating that towers over the field — the real question is whether Bustino Santino can mount a credible challenge.

win2Khali's DreamML 2/1

Khali's Dream checks every box here. The 88.54 TrackWiz rating is 14 points clear of the next-best runner, and an average speed figure of 54 ties for the field's top mark. Trainer Chris J. Englehart is a sharp conditioner at this circuit, and jockey Andre Shivnarine Worrie has the local experience to exploit a straightforward pace setup over 6 furlongs. At 2/1, this is a short price, but the numbers justify confidence.

place6Bustino SantinoML 5/2

Bustino Santino has a 74.89 rating and goes with Jeremias Flores from the 6 post in a spot where pressing the pace could pay off. Trainer Paul W. Barrow sends this one out at 5/2 — tight enough on the morning line to suggest stable confidence — and the edge in class over the lower-rated half of this field makes a place finish very attainable.

show1Coach BaheML 7/2

Coach Bahe is the show anchor here at 7/2 with a 55.17 rating and a 19% career win rate that demonstrates a consistent type. Jonathan B. Buckley is a sharp trainer, and Kevin Navarro aboard keeps the quality of the connections high. In a race where the top two look strong, Coach Bahe is a sensible third wheel in any multi-leg exotic.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

The first three races set the tone nicely. Intentious opens the card at 6/1 in the Starter Optional Claiming route — that's a price worth circling given our TrackWiz rating of 82.71, and pace scenarios in longer dirt routes at Finger Lakes have consistently favored closers who can slip through on the rail late. Keep that in mind.

From there, Khali's Dream (2/1) and Venetta (2/1) anchor Races 2 and 3 — both carrying TrackWiz ratings of 88.54, which is as good as anything on today's card outside of Race 7. The 6-furlong claiming sprint in Race 2 sets up as a pace duel that could leave something for Khali's Dream to run down, and the stakes distance of 1 1/16 miles in Race 3 should suit Venetta's style. All three free races are live and worth your attention.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:53 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A stakes field at 1 1/16 miles built around one dominant figure — Venetta's numbers are in a different stratosphere from the rest, though Lifeisbutadream offers a live upset angle at a juicy price.

win5VenettaML 2/1

Venetta is frankly the standout of the entire card's stakes races through the early going. An 88.54 TrackWiz rating, a 66% career win percentage — best in the field by a mile — and a top average speed figure of 55 all point to a horse operating at a higher level than these rivals. Kendrick Carmouche is an accomplished rider who can conserve energy through the first turn and unleash this horse at the top of the stretch. At 2/1 this is manageable chalk, and the raw profile demands respect.

place2LifeisbutadreamML 8/1

Lifeisbutadream is the most compelling price play in this stakes, going postward at 8/1 despite a 76.82 TrackWiz rating that ranks second in the field. A 33% career win rate for trainer M. Anthony Ferraro's runner suggests there's genuine ability here that the morning line undervalues, and Keiber J. Coa can get a ground-saving trip along the rail from the 2 post.

show6Careless WhisperML 7/2

Careless Whisper brings the credentials of a 50% career win rate and a top-tier 55 average speed figure to match Venetta on raw figures. George Weaver is one of the more respected names in this condition book, and Manuel Franco is a Grade 1-level jockey who doesn't take mounts lightly. At 7/2, this horse is a safe show anchor and a legitimate exacta threat if Venetta stumbles.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

2:22 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open allowance route with three horses separated by just fractions of a point at the top of the TrackWiz ratings — this is the kind of race where post position, pace setup, and jockey reads could decide a tight finish.

win10White Sport CoatML 4/1

White Sport Coat earns the win nod by the thinnest of margins — an 85.62 TrackWiz rating edges Isola d'Oro's 85.59 by essentially a rounding error, so the edge here is in the connections. Trainer M. Anthony Ferraro sends out a stable second string with Joel Cruz in the irons from the outside 10 post, which could give this horse a clean trip and a first run at rivals down the lane. A 20% career win rate in the allowance ranks is respectable, and the price of 4/1 on a horse with top figures is solid value.

place2Isola d'OroML 3/1

Isola d'Oro is a legitimate co-favorite in all but the morning line numbers — the 85.59 TrackWiz rating is virtually identical to the top pick, and Reylu Gutierrez is one of the best riders on this circuit. Trainer Lisa L. Lugovich places horses well, and drawing the 2 post sets up a ground-saving trip around two turns. This horse could easily reverse the result on any given day.

show7Hey PalML 7/2

Hey Pal profiles as the ideal show anchor at 7/2 with a 76.63 rating and a 14% career win rate that understates a horse who hits the board regularly. M. Anthony Ferraro — who also runs White Sport Coat — has a strong sense of how to place horses in these spots, and Keiber J. Coa is a smart pace reader who can maneuver in traffic. In a race this tight at the top, Hey Pal's consistent profile makes it essential in all exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 5

2:51 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Chris Englehart doubles up with a pair of live horses in a 5.5-furlong claiming sprint, and both rank at the top of the TrackWiz ratings — the trainer angle alone makes this race worth watching closely.

win7Ace Up Her SleeveML 4/1

Ace Up Her Sleeve tops the field at 85.62 on the TrackWiz scale, and the Englehart barn is clearly sending out its best in this spot. Reylu Gutierrez takes the mount — a significant rider upgrade and a strong indicator that connections are pointing for the win. A 5.5-furlong distance suits a horse with a 53 average speed figure, and at 4/1 you're getting real value on what our analysis considers a near-cinch based on rating dominance.

place6Lincolnville BeachML 3/1

Lincolnville Beach comes out of the same Englehart barn and carries an 81.03 rating — third best in the field by a comfortable margin. Andre Shivnarine Worrie handles the mount, and a 3/1 morning line suggests the stable splits money naturally across both runners. With a 17% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure, this horse has the tools to secure a spot if stablemate Ace Up Her Sleeve leads the way.

show9Beauty's BangleML 7/2

Beauty's Bangle brings the best career win rate among the show-tier horses at 23%, and the 74.24 TrackWiz rating places this runner fourth in the field — a legitimate contender. Michael A. Davila, Jr. takes the mount for trainer Patrick Baratta, and a 7/2 morning line reflects genuine public respect. In a pace-honest sprint, a horse with this win percentage is always dangerous to fill out the trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 6

3:20 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden special weight route where every starter has a zero in the win column — first-out and lightly-raced horses make this a figure-driven puzzle, with Almez and Inonit standing out from the crowd.

win7AlmezML 7/2

Almez earns the top rating in the field at 86.35, and Keiber J. Coa takes the mount for trainer Michael S. Ferraro — a pairing that suggests the connections like their chances. For a maiden, the 52 average speed figure is respectable, and the 7/2 morning line is honest value on a horse with the best numbers in a wide-open field. In a maiden where no horse has broken through yet, top figures plus a proven jockey is the most reliable angle available.

place3InonitML 5/2

Inonit is nearly as strong as the top pick at 84.72 and draws the 3 post with Jaime Rodriguez up for trainer Lisa L. Lugovich, who knows how to get maidens ready. The 5/2 morning line actually makes Inonit the public's near-favorite, which speaks to visible workout or condition-book reputation. A ground-saving trip from post 3 in a 10-horse field over a route distance could set this horse up perfectly for a closing run.

show5WisecrackerML 10/1

Wisecracker is the value play in this maiden, going off at 10/1 with a 66.52 TrackWiz rating that ranks third in the field — solidly clear of the bottom half. Oscar Gomez takes the mount for trainer Lisa A. Reed, and a 51 average speed figure is consistent with the pace of this type. At double-digit odds, this is a horse worth including in trifectas as a price alternative beneath the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 7

3:49 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Two legitimate betting favorites square off in a 6-furlong stakes sprint — Antonio of Venice and Ten Cent Town both carry top-tier connections, setting the stage for a barn-burner with a potential pace duel that could leave room for a closer.

win5Antonio of VeniceML 9/5

Antonio of Venice tops our ratings at 88.83 — the highest single-horse rating across all nine races today — and the 9/5 morning line reflects the market's agreement. A 26% career win rate may not sound flashy, but in stakes company that's a genuinely solid number, and Manuel Franco is one of the most capable riders in any condition book. With all four speed figures in the field tied at 55, the edge goes to raw ratings and jockey quality, and this horse wins on both counts.

place6Ten Cent TownML 8/5

Ten Cent Town is a deserving co-headliner at 8/5, and trainer Brad H. Cox is one of the most accomplished conditioners in North American racing right now. Reylu Gutierrez handles the mount, and a 27% career win rate ties Pompous Prince for the field's best among the mid-tier. The 71.01 TrackWiz rating trails the top pick by nearly 18 points, but Cox horses rarely underperform when pointed for a spot.

show4Pompous PrinceML 6/1

Pompous Prince is the live longshot-ish show play at 6/1 with a 52.32 rating and a field-matching 27% career win rate. Keiber J. Coa pilots for M. Anthony Ferraro, and with a 55 average speed figure that matches the field's best, this horse has the raw numbers to steal a piece if the top two get into a pace duel. At 6/1 in the show slot, the trifecta return could be worthwhile.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 8

4:18 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A stakes route at 1 1/16 miles featuring a classic form-versus-pedigree showdown — Talk to Me Jimmy's TrackWiz rating dominates, but Sculcos Folly's extraordinary 75% career win rate from trainer Richard E. Dutrow, Jr. makes this more than a one-horse race.

win3Talk to Me JimmyML 3/1

Talk to Me Jimmy carries an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the top mark in the field — and a 40% career win rate that speaks to a consistent, battle-hardened stakes runner. Manuel Franco is the class of this jockey colony and doesn't take mounts at 3/1 in stakes without confidence in the horse. Trainer Rudy R. Rodriguez has been active throughout the card today, and this looks like the barn's headline runner. The combination of top rating, top win percentage among the favorites, and an elite jockey makes this our strongest stakes selection.

place7Sculcos FollyML 2/1

Sculcos Folly is a fascinating puzzle — a 75% career win rate is almost unheard of at any level, and it commands attention even if the 74.7 TrackWiz rating sits behind our top pick. Richard E. Dutrow, Jr. is a sharp trainer who sharpens horses for specific spots, and Jaime Rodriguez knows the circuit well. The 2/1 morning line suggests the public respects the win percentage, and in a race where things could go wrong for the top pick, Sculcos Folly looks like the most likely beneficiary.

show2CrysterML 12/1

Cryster is the longshot value in the show spot at 12/1, and the 56.07 TrackWiz rating tells a more competitive story than the odds suggest. Trainer Paul W. Barrow connects Jeremias Flores here, and a 16% career win rate in stakes-caliber conditions is functional enough to put this horse in the mix for a minor award. In trifectas and superfectas, a 12/1 show fill from a horse this far off the pace is exactly the kind of price swing that creates big payouts.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 9

4:47 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The finale is a messy 10-horse claiming sprint where the morning line spreads wide and two horses with divergent profiles — a high-rated horse at 5/1 and a consistent type at 4/1 — emerge from the noise as the logical plays.

win9Sharp Play BoyML 5/1

Sharp Play Boy carries the best TrackWiz rating in this field at 84.17 — a full ten points clear of the next horse — and at 5/1 that's a significant pricing inefficiency worth exploiting. Jacqueline A. Davis takes the mount for trainer Ronald Breed, Jr., and a 53 average speed figure matches the pace of this claiming group perfectly. The low 3% career win rate is a flag worth acknowledging, but TrackWiz analysis weights recent form cycles and pace figures heavily, and the raw rating here screams class edge.

place10Winston DML 4/1

Winston D draws the 10 post at 4/1 with a 74.62 rating that ranks second in the field, and trainer Rachel Sells has a solid record placing horses in these claiming conditions. Christopher Elliott takes the mount — a capable hand in a traffic-heavy 10-horse sprint — and a 14% career win rate is more than acceptable for a claiming runner expected to hit the board. The outside post in a 6-furlong sprint is not ideal, but the figures suggest enough ability to find a place spot regardless.

show4Fiscal DragML 7/2

Fiscal Drag at 7/2 brings a 67.85 rating and draws the 4 post — a clean, favorable position in a 10-horse sprint. Trainer Ralph D'Alessandro puts Luis E. Perez up, and while an 8% career win rate is modest, the above-average rating relative to the bottom half of this field gives Fiscal Drag a clear edge for a minor award. In a race this wide open, a horse with mid-field ratings, a good post, and a solid jockey is exactly what you want anchoring the show spot in your exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line: Finger Lakes is giving us a clean, fast track and a card with real teeth — three stakes, two morning-line favorites with elite TrackWiz ratings, and a 6/1 play in the opener that deserves a hard look. Start with Intentious, Khali's Dream, and Venetta on the free side, and let the premium analysis carry you through the back end. Good luck out there.

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