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Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — July 7, 2026

July 7, 20268 racesAll Finger Lakes picks

This card ran on July 7, 2026.

Best bets at Finger Lakes, July 7, 2026

Race 14NyikosML 5/212:55 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

A free account opens race 2 too. Premium opens all 8, with AI ratings on every runner and SmartBet, which splits one bet across the horses you like.

Last 30 days at Finger Lakes: our top pick won 11 of 58 races (19%) and finished in the money in 33.

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It's a pleasant Tuesday afternoon at Finger Lakes — partly cloudy skies, 76 degrees, and eight races on the dirt to keep things interesting. Conditions look ideal for fast times, so don't be surprised if the speed figures run a tick or two above what the morning lines suggest.

Today's card is a nice mix of claiming races, maiden events, and a pair of allowance spots that tend to attract the most competitive horses at this level. Whether you're looking to cash a win bet or build a multi-race exotic ticket, there's plenty to work with from Race 1 through Race 8.

TrackWiz has full analysis on all eight races. The first three are on us — free for every reader. Races 4 through 8 are where the serious money tends to live today, and those are available to subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Three horses are separated from the rest of the field in this 6-furlong dirt claimer, but the pace scenario could shake up the order — don't expect a wire-to-wire runaway.

win4NyikosML 5/2

Nyikos draws our top rating in this spot at 87.81, edging the field despite going off at 5/2 on the morning line. The average speed figure of 55 is the best in the race, and trainer Dana Saul has him positioned well at a competitive claiming level. Jose Baez gets the call in the irons, and with this kind of TrackWiz rating separation at the top, Nyikos is the most logical win candidate in the field.

place2Ava's Uncle BillyML 3/1

Ava's Uncle Billy checks in with an 85.42 rating and that average speed of 54 puts him in solid contention across a six-furlong sprint. Trainer Chris J. Englehart knows how to place horses at this level, and jockey Andre Shivnarine Worrie gives him a confident hand. At 3/1, there's enough juice here to make him a real piece of your exacta.

show1Rockstar CasanovaML 2/1

Rockstar Casanova is the morning-line favorite at 2/1, which tells you the public respects him even if our ratings slot him third. His 85.21 TrackWiz rating and 28% career win rate are both strong, and Keiber J. Coa is a reliable pilot. He's a solid show anchor and worth including in all your exotic wagers.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:24 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A full field of maidens going a flat mile on dirt — nobody here has broken their maiden yet, so fitness, pace shape, and TrackWiz ratings are doing most of the heavy lifting today.

win4North StarlightML 5/2

North Starlight tops our ratings at 62.94 in what is a genuinely competitive maiden claiming field, and trainer Rachel Sells has the stable form to get runners ready. Reylu Gutierrez takes the mount, and he's been sharp around this circuit. At 5/2 on the morning line, the price is fair for a horse whose rating stands a clear length or two above most of this group.

place3Imagine IfML 3/1

Imagine If sits second in our ratings at 56.67 and lands in a stable barn — trainer M. Anthony Ferraro with Keiber J. Coa up front is a combo worth respecting at Finger Lakes. Going a mile, pace becomes a factor and Imagine If profiles as a closer who could pick up pieces late. The 3/1 morning line makes this a solid place play.

show6Touchy SubjectML 8/1

Touchy Subject opens at 8/1 and that's where the value conversation starts. Rated 48.33 by TrackWiz and carrying an average speed of 52 — right in the mix with the rest of the field — this M. Anthony Ferraro-trained runner is an interesting third option in the exotics. When a trainer doubles up in a race, one of those horses is often quietly preferred, and Touchy Subject may be the sneaky one here.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free races give you a solid starting point for the afternoon. Nyikos opens the card in Race 1 — a 6-furlong claiming sprint — and comes in as our top-rated pick on the day with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating. That's a number that commands respect at this level and on this surface. In Race 2, North Starlight stretches out to a mile in a maiden claiming affair, and the added distance could suit her profile. Then in Race 3, Mach Schnell draws our eye in the maiden special weight at 5½ furlongs — and at 3/1 on the morning line, there's genuine value potential if the pace sets up right.

One theme connecting the free picks: all three races are on the dirt, and with temps sitting comfortably in the mid-70s and no significant rain in the picture, the surface should play consistently all day. Speed from the inside figures to be rewarded early — worth noting as you map out your Race 1 approach with Nyikos.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:53 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

This maiden special weight sprint over 5½ furlongs features a clear TrackWiz favorite but a legitimate pace battle brewing, with two first-time starters adding a wildcard element to the mix.

win1Mach SchnellML 3/1

Mach Schnell leads all comers with a 66.22 TrackWiz rating — a meaningful gap over the second-ranked horse — and trainer Jeremiah C. Englehart is a name that commands respect at this level. Reylu Gutierrez rides, which is another plus. At 3/1 on the morning line, this is a best bet in a race where the ratings separation is as clear as we're going to get in a maiden field.

place5PropitiousML 7/2

Propitious slots in at a 55.83 rating with an average speed figure of 52, which puts her in the conversation at this short sprint distance. Trainer Ronald Breed, Jr. sends out Jacqueline A. Davis, and at 7/2 on the morning line, the pricing is reasonable for a horse who profiles as a legitimate threat to hit the board. Solid place play in a race where the top is thin.

show3BaracudabobbiML 5/1

Baracudabobbi has an average speed figure of 53 — tied for the highest among horses with recorded figures in this field — and that's a real point in her favor in a sprint. Trainer Lisa A. Reed keeps her competitive and Joel Cruz takes the call. She's worth a show ticket at 5/1, especially if you're looking to build an exacta or trifecta key around Mach Schnell.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

2:22 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

This 6-furlong claiming race has a legitimate standout on paper, but two horses right on his heels make this more than a one-horse show — pace could be honest with multiple speed types in the mix.

win3MayheminthepalaceML 2/1

Mayheminthepalace is the one to beat — an 88.54 TrackWiz rating is the top mark on the card in this race, and his 20% career win rate backs up the numbers. The average speed figure of 55 is the best in the field, and trainer Ilmar Loaiza has him ready at 2/1. Oscar Gomez rides and this horse has the profile of a horse that can control or sit just off the pace in a 6-furlong dirt sprint.

place2Lookin' SuperML 5/2

Lookin' Super opens at 5/2 with an 82.47 rating and an 18% career win rate — this is a horse who runs consistently and hits the board often. Trainer Timothy P. Murphy places horses well at claiming level, and Michael A. Davila, Jr. picks up the mount. If Mayheminthepalace gets caught up in any pace pressure, Lookin' Super is right there to pounce.

show6Ari's MagicML 4/1

Ari's Magic brings a 21% career win rate to the table — the highest in this field — and the 81.81 TrackWiz rating puts her firmly in the exacta and trifecta conversation. Chris J. Englehart trains, and trainer-jockey combos with Worrie up have been dependable on this circuit. A show ticket here feels like a reasonable hedge in a race with three legitimate contenders bunched together.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

2:51 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The allowance optional claiming distance favors a horse with a blazing career win percentage, but a well-rated rival with a compelling speed edge could make this a two-horse battle the rest of the field is chasing.

win2ShehanahML 3/1

Shehanah checks every box here — an 87.08 TrackWiz rating, a 37% career win rate, and a steady average speed of 54. Trainer Chris J. Englehart puts Andre Shivnarine Worrie back in the irons, a combination that has been clicking at Finger Lakes. At 3/1 on the morning line, this is our top selection in a race where the rating gap over the third-ranked horse is substantial.

place5Zi EndML 5/2

Zi End is legitimately fascinating — a 55% career win rate is the highest in the entire card today, not just this race, and the average speed figure of 55 leads the field. The TrackWiz rating of 76.88 keeps her off the top spot, but the raw win percentage suggests she fires when pointed. Joel Cruz rides for trainer Debra A. Breed, and at 5/2, she's a live threat to hit the board or better.

show7Missing FortuneML 6/1

Missing Fortune at 6/1 gives you a 65.52 TrackWiz rating that is meaningfully higher than the remaining field, and a 23% career win rate shows she's not just a board filler. Trainer Dana Saul saddles Jose Baez, and this pairing has found the winner's circle before. At that morning line price, she's a nice exotic piece — third in our ratings and potentially generous on the tote.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

3:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile dirt claimer with a clear top two on the ratings sheet, but a pair of morning-line longshots could make the trifecta interesting if either of the favorites hit traffic or soften each other up.

win4Rock Star RebelML 5/2

Rock Star Rebel leads all horses in this race with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 54 — the best in the field. Trainer Michael S. Ferraro sends out Luis E. Perez, and at 5/2, the morning line price reflects legitimate confidence without making this an overlay. The rating advantage here is real and worth playing straight.

place2EvanderkeenML 2/1

Evanderkeen opens as the 2/1 morning-line favorite and the 84.32 TrackWiz rating backs up that public confidence. Reylu Gutierrez has been one of the sharper riders at Finger Lakes, and trainer Troy Smith keeps this horse competitive at the claiming level. The 11% career win rate may look modest, but the rating and rider combination say he'll be right there at the top of the stretch.

show3Renaissance ManML 8/1

Renaissance Man at 8/1 is the value angle in this race — a 76.98 TrackWiz rating gives him a legitimate edge over the bottom half of the field, and an 18% career win rate is solid for this level. Trainer Katlynn Gutterson has him ready, and Jacqueline A. Davis takes the call. If either of the top two throw in a clunker, Renaissance Man is the most logical beneficiary in the exacta and trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

3:49 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A wide-open allowance going a route of ground — the top two horses in our ratings are well clear of the field, but the morning-line favorite by the public is actually ranked lower, setting up an interesting pricing mismatch.

win7ProbabilityML 5/1

Probability is our top-rated horse at 84.17 and goes off at 5/1 on the morning line — that's a genuine overlay if the numbers hold. Trainer Amelia J. Green puts Christopher Elliott up, and at a mile and a sixteenth on dirt, a horse with a solid average speed of 53 and this kind of rating edge has every reason to be live. The public seems to be backing Love Coin more heavily, which only adds to the value case here.

place6ValentinianML 5/2

Valentinian sits second in our ratings at 80.02 with an average speed of 52 and opens at 5/2 — the morning-line second choice. Trainer Paul W. Barrow sends out Reylu Gutierrez, one of the stronger jockeys on the grounds. He profiles as a horse who will be running late in a route race, and at that price, he's a logical piece in exactas and trifectas.

show2Magic BeachML 12/1

Magic Beach at 12/1 is the genuine longshot angle, and here's why it works: the 65.52 TrackWiz rating puts him third in the field, meaningfully above mid-pack. Trainer Debra A. Breed has a feel for placing horses in spots where they can hit the board, and Emanuel De Diego keeps the ride simple. If Probability and Valentinian fill the top two spots as expected, Magic Beach at a big price rounds out a nice trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

4:18 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite carries chalk money at 8/5 but our top-rated horse opens at 5/1 — that kind of pricing split is exactly where overlay opportunities live in a short sprint field.

win8MaritudeML 5/1

Maritude tops our ratings at 84.17 and goes off at 5/1 despite being the top-rated horse in the field — that's the definition of an overlay. Trainer Linda K. Dixon puts Jacqueline A. Davis in the irons, and at 5½ furlongs, a horse with this rating advantage and a 9% career win rate in a competitive field is well worth backing. This is our best value play of the race.

place1ClarividenteML 8/5

Clarividente is the 8/5 morning-line favorite with a 75.49 rating and gets Reylu Gutierrez up — this is where the public money is going. Trainer Linda Rice knows how to get horses ready for short sprints, and the horse has an average speed of 53 to go with that public support. She'll almost certainly be near the front and figures to hit the board even if Maritude runs her down late.

show3Sugar RideML 5/1

Sugar Ride opens at 5/1 and checks in at a 74.92 TrackWiz rating — just a tick below Clarividente and clearly ahead of the rest of the bottom of the field. Trainer Ronald Breed, Jr. has Oscar Gomez up, and the 12% career win rate is one of the better marks among the deeper part of the field. At the same price as our win pick, Sugar Ride rounds out a logical trifecta and gives you a show hedge with strong underlying numbers.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Bottom line: Nyikos is the TrackWiz top play to open the card, Mach Schnell offers the best free-race value angle at 3/1, and Probability is the name to watch in the premium races if you're chasing a price. It's a manageable eight-race card with real opportunities throughout — exactly the kind of afternoon where good handicapping pays off. Unlock the full card analysis with a TrackWiz subscription at /pricing and go in with every angle covered.

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