Fairmount Park Picks & Predictions — July 7, 2026

Risky Spirit — also trained by Scott Becker, here with Victor Santiago up — rates second in our model at 72.38, a full 17+ points behind the stable companion but comfortably clear of the rest. Career win percentage sits at 7%, matching the top pick, but the 9/2 morning line suggests the market views this as a legitimate secondary threat. In trifecta and exacta plays, anchoring both Becker horses across the top makes plenty of sense.

Trinitythreeinone at 5/1 morning line brings a TrackWiz rating of 46.02 and gets Cory Orm for trainer Anthony Blea III. The career win percentage of 8% is respectable for a claiming route runner, and an average speed figure of 53 — the highest of any horse outside the top two — suggests there's legitimate back-class here. At the mile-plus distance, closers and pace beneficiaries can sneak into the show slot, and this one fits that mold.

Junior Bug opens at 8/5 and rates second in our model at 79.88, with a 13% career win percentage that's consistent for this level. Alexander Bendezu rides for Ralph Martinez, and an average speed figure of 53 suggests this horse can match strides early in the sprint. If the pace scenario sets up as a duel between the top two, Junior Bug is the one most likely to be there at the wire behind — or ahead of — the favorite.

Santino's Fantasy at 8/1 morning line is worth a look as show insurance and in exacta rolling. A TrackWiz rating of 54.52 clears the rest of the field after the top two, and the 13% career win percentage mirrors Junior Bug's. Harold Joseph Ortega rides for Mark W. Anderson, and the average speed figure of 54 — actually one tick above both top picks — hints at raw ability that hasn't fully converted to wins. At 8/1, the show price should be juicy enough to warrant inclusion.

African Warrior at 5/1 morning line is the most logical alternative with a TrackWiz rating of 67.65 — second in the field by a comfortable margin. Ademar Santos rides for trainer Jessica Jelinski, and a career win percentage of 7% in a 6-furlong claiming context is workable. The average speed figure of 52 suggests this horse won't be setting any blazing fractions, likely sitting off the pace of the short-priced favorite and swooping late — a profile that plays well in place spot betting.

Highly Perfect opens at 6/1 and rates third on our TrackWiz model at 52.57, with Alexander Bendezu aboard for Maximino Quinonez. A career win rate of 6% is nothing flashy, but the average speed figure of 53 — a tick above the place pick — suggests this one has enough gear to compete for a piece. In trifecta plays keying Swaggy George on top, Highly Perfect deserves inclusion as the show leg.

Two Hearted at 9/2 morning line posts a TrackWiz rating of 71.47 — second in the field — and brings a career win percentage of 18% for trainer Gene J. Sandrowski with Julio E. Felix in the irons. The average speed figure of 54 leads all horses in the race and suggests this one has the raw tactical speed to stay close to the early pace. If Bee Bluff leads wire to wire, Two Hearted looks like the most dangerous closer for the place.

Crushed Ice is the morning line favorite at 8/5, but our ratings slot this one third at 65.44 — still a legitimate score, just not quite enough to overcome the top two on pure numbers. Scott Becker trains with Alexander Bendezu up, a pairing that wins consistently at Fairmount. A career win rate of 20% keeps this squarely in the exotic mix, and as a show play the 8/5 price will likely compress at the windows, making third-place inclusion in trifectas the smarter play.

Betty Pack opens at 8/1 and posts the field's best TrackWiz rating behind only the top pick, at 55.88. A 25% career win percentage for trainer James M. Watkins is solid, and Julio E. Felix is a capable handler of pace scenarios in sprint racing. At 8/1, if Ghaly Posse wins as expected, Betty Pack figures to be involved in the place conversation and represents real exotic value — the exacta 9-7 could pay nicely.

Arose for Lyla at 10/1 morning line earns inclusion with a TrackWiz rating of 49.81 and a 18% career win percentage for trainer Eddie M. Essenpreis. Reynier Arrieta gets the call, and the average speed figure of 54 matches the top tier of the field — this is a horse that can run, just hasn't put it all together consistently. In a full field of 10 at 6 furlongs, pace scenarios can get messy and a horse with this kind of ability at double-digit odds is exactly the type to slot into trifecta tickets.

Milaalah slots in as our place pick with a TrackWiz rating of 81.96 — second only to the top pick and comfortably clear of the morning line favorite. Victor Lara rides for trainer Harry E. Lynch, and the 6/1 morning line represents genuine value for a horse this highly rated. The average speed figure of 53 is strong for a maiden, and in a race where we believe the betting public has mispriced the top two, the Milaalah place ticket at 6/1 could offer a strong return.

Turtle Pace draws the 2/1 morning line as the crowd's choice, but our TrackWiz model rates this one third at 58.33 — still a legitimate score, but well behind the top two. Trainer Scott Becker sends out Victor Santiago, and the average speed figure of 53 is competitive. Even if we don't believe Turtle Pace is the class of the field, 2/1 morning lines in maiden races often hold up at the windows, and as a show play this one is likely to be popular — use accordingly in your trifecta structures.