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Fairmount Park Picks & Predictions — June 30, 2026

June 30, 20268 racesAll Fairmount Park picks

This card ran on June 30, 2026.

Best bets at Fairmount Park, June 30, 2026

Race 13Army MedicML 9/21:30 PM EDT

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It's a scorching Tuesday at Fairmount Park — clear skies, 91 degrees, and the kind of summer heat that bakes the dirt fast and firm. Those conditions typically favor early speed, and with an all-dirt, eight-race card on tap, pace scenario is going to be the word of the day.

The card mixes maiden specials, claimers, and a pair of Allowance Optional Claiming tests that represent the class ceiling this afternoon. We've got opinions on all eight races, from the opening maiden special weight to a Starter Allowance nightcap that looks genuinely competitive.

Three races are available free today, giving everyone a taste of what TrackWiz analysis looks like in practice. The other five are part of our premium breakdown — and on a card with this much pace intrigue, that's where the real work gets done.

Best Bets

Race 1

1:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint where the morning-line favorite doesn't carry the top TrackWiz rating — expect pace pressure early and a contested stretch run.

win3Army MedicML 9/2

Army Medic tops our ratings at 61.17 despite going off at 9/2 on the morning line, making this horse one of the better value angles in the opener. In a field of first-time starters and maidens where career win percentages are all zeros, trainer Heather Irion's runner separates on the strength of our model's overall assessment. Angel Ortega Stanley gets the call and should have plenty of options in a pace scenario that figures to be competitive from gate to wire. At 9/2, there's real overlay potential here if the crowd loads up on the chalk.

place4Sweet SkylarML 4/5

Sweet Skylar is the morning-line favorite at 4/5 for trainer Scott Becker, and that barn knows how to win at Fairmount — a 60.0 TrackWiz rating backs up the public confidence. Victor Santiago takes the mount, and with an average speed figure of 53 matching most of the field, this one should be right there at the top of the stretch. Even if Army Medic gets the better of her, Sweet Skylar looks like a safe place ticket in a tricky maiden field.

show5Miss SavannahML 3/1

Miss Savannah is the other Scott Becker runner in the race at 3/1, giving the trainer a dual threat that could make life very difficult for the rest of the field. No avgSpeed figure is available for this one, which adds a bit of mystery, but a 56.67 rating and a respected morning line suggest Becker's team likes what they've seen at home. Alexander Bendezu aboard is a capable pilot, and in exotics this horse makes a logical third wheel alongside her stablemate.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A heavy favorite dominates the TrackWiz ratings in this claiming sprint, but two live longshots lurk at big prices and could make the exotics very interesting.

win3DundieML 4/5

Dundie is as close to a stand-alone as you'll find in a claiming field — a 90.0 TrackWiz rating is the ceiling of our model, and a 36% career win rate is elite for this level. Trainer Scott Becker sends Johanis Aranguren to the irons, a sharp combo that knows how to handle short favorites. The 4/5 morning line won't offer much value straight up, but Dundie is the kind of horse you build your exotics around. Fade at your own risk.

place6Good ScoutML 7/2

Good Scout at 7/2 is the most intriguing piece of the ticket behind the chalk — a 78.5 rating is legitimately second-best in the field and trainer Fernando Bahena has Javier Tavares up for a horse with a solid 22% career win rate. That win percentage matches Latin Casino but the rating edge is significant. If Dundie stumbles or gets caught in traffic, Good Scout is the most likely beneficiary.

show5Dillon RocksML 3/1

Dillon Rocks slots in at 3/1 with a 73.51 rating — third-best in the field — and while a 15% career win rate is modest, the TrackWiz number says this horse is competitive at this level. Trainer Mike Durham has Julio E. Felix in the irons, and with an average speed of 53, Dillon Rocks figures to be running late when others tire. A logical show play and a necessary inclusion in any trifecta spread.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Our three free races kick things off nicely. Army Medic draws our attention in Race 1 — a 6-furlong maiden special weight where first-time and lightly raced runners can catch the field off guard on a hot, speed-favoring strip. In Race 2, Dundie comes in as a heavy morning-line favorite at 4/5 in a 6-furlong claimer, and that kind of chalk doesn't always translate to value — but our rating backs the confidence. Race 3 brings Instastar into a 5-furlong sprint at 2/1, a spot where we see a legitimate contender at a workable price.

The throughline across these three free races? Speed. On a sun-baked Fairmount dirt track at 91°F, early position is at a premium, and all three of our free top picks profile as horses that want to run near the front. Watch the fractions early — if the pace heats up as fast as the weather, closers could get a look, but we're not counting on it.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

2:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

One horse stands dramatically clear of the field on our model in this five-furlong claiming sprint, though a pair of overlooked rivals could battle for the minor spots at rewarding prices.

win5InstastarML 2/1

Instastar is the clear top choice here with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — a number that towers over the rest of this claiming field. Trainer Ralph Martinez sends his own son Brody to the saddle, which is always a strong motivational angle when a trainer puts family on a horse they believe in. At 2/1 on the morning line, the price isn't outrageous for a horse this far clear of the competition on our model. Five furlongs on the Fairmount dirt should suit a horse with an average speed figure of 53.

place4TruistML 6/1

Truist at 6/1 is a value play hiding in plain sight — a 58.85 rating is second-best in the race, edging out Zenergy Unbridled by the slimmest of margins. The 6/1 price reflects a skeptical crowd likely focused on a dismal 2% career win rate, but in a short five-furlong sprint the pace scenario can play tricks and a horse with this rating profile can easily pick up a place check. Victor Lara gets the mount for trainer John C. Wainwright.

show3Zenergy UnbridledML 15/1

Zenergy Unbridled opens at 15/1 but carries a 58.2 TrackWiz rating that says this horse belongs — and a 16% career win rate is actually the best among the non-Instastar crowd in this field. Trainer Ben Delong puts Johanis Aranguren up, and Delong runs two horses in this race (Come On Lady is the other), which sometimes signals confidence in the longer price. In a five-furlong race where pace can collapse, Zenergy is a sneaky show play and trifecta add.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

2:45 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A dominant favorite sets up as a potential single in this allowance optional claiming route, but the second and third choices are well-separated from the rest — making the race shape pretty clear from the top.

win6Epic PranksterML 4/5

Epic Prankster is our max-rated horse in Race 4, sitting at 90.0 on the TrackWiz model and installed as the 4/5 morning-line chalk. A 25% career win rate is strong for the allowance optional claiming ranks, and trainer James M. Watkins sends Johanis Aranguren — who's had a busy book today — to handle the favorite. The average speed of 54 leads the field outright, and at six furlongs on the Fairmount dirt, this horse looks like a strong single in your exotics.

place5Look N Mighty FineML 2/1

Look N Mighty Fine is the other Watkins runner in the field at 2/1, which tells you the trainer has two weapons in this spot. A 67.02 rating is clearly second-best here, and while the career win percentage shows zero, Julio E. Felix is a capable rider who can keep this one competitive through the stretch. In exotics you can confidently use both Watkins runners as your top two, and Look N Mighty Fine makes a natural place play.

show4DancewithmefionaML 15/1

Dancewithmefiona opens at a massive 15/1 despite holding a 44.15 TrackWiz rating that checks in ahead of three other horses in this field. Trainer Steve Fridley puts Victor Lara up, and with a 12% career win rate in what figures to be a pace-pressured race, there's some live longshot appeal at that price. An average speed of 53 is in line with the field's median, and if the top two run each other into the ground, Dancewithmefiona could be picking up pieces at a big overlay. Worth a small exotic flyer.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

3:10 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Two serious horses dominate the field in this allowance optional claiming sprint, with the rest well behind on our ratings — this one figures to come down to a straight duel.

win1Mo Town ReneeML 2/5

Mo Town Renee is as short as 2/5 on the morning line and earns it with a 90.0 TrackWiz rating and a jaw-dropping 40% career win rate — that's a horse that wins four out of every ten starts for its career, which is exceptional at any level. Trainer Wayne M. Catalano is a respected conditioner, and Alexander Bendezu gets the call from the rail. Yes, the price is short, but a 40% winner who tops the model rarely gets beat in spots like this. Strong single if you're playing exotics on later races.

place2Then Now 'n AlwaysML 2/1

Then Now 'n Always matches Mo Town Renee's 40% career win rate — which is remarkable — and carries an 83.76 TrackWiz rating that's legitimately competitive. Trainer Larry Rivelli has Julio E. Felix aboard, and this horse's average speed of 54 is the best in the field. The 2/1 morning line is fair for a horse this talented, and if Mo Town Renee has any kind of stumble or trouble breaking from the one hole, Then Now 'n Always is ready to pounce.

show3CoalyML 20/1

Coaly at 20/1 looks like a massive price for a horse with a 51.94 TrackWiz rating — well clear of the three horses below it in this field. A 15% career win rate and an average speed of 54 (matching Then Now 'n Always) suggest Coaly isn't as far off as the morning line implies. Trainer John C. Wainwright uses Javier Diego here, and in a race where two heavy hitters could trade punches, Coaly could be picking up the pieces at a very healthy show price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

3:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A heavy favorite with a dominant rating looms over this six-furlong claiming field, but the second and third choices offer legitimate win upside at prices worth exploring.

win7NandinaML 3/5

Nandina is the clear top choice at 3/5 on the morning line, backed by a 90.0 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win rate that holds up well in claiming company. Trainer Scott Becker puts Alexander Bendezu up — one of the more active jockeys on the card today — and with an average speed of 53 in line with the field's norm, this horse's edge comes from overall class and consistency. At 3/5 there's no win value, but Nandina is the backbone of any exotic structure in Race 6.

place5Into Golden RoadML 6/1

Into Golden Road at 6/1 is the most interesting piece of the puzzle here — a 68.83 rating is well clear of everyone except Nandina, and a 14% career win rate with an average speed of 54 (best in the field) suggests this one has the tools to be competitive. Trainer Arthur A. Coontz runs two horses in this race but Into Golden Road is clearly the stronger of the pair on our model. Javier Tavares takes the mount, and at 6/1 this is a strong place play to key underneath the favorite.

show4No Pay No HayML 5/2

No Pay No Hay at 5/2 is a bit of a market mover — the third-shortest price in the field despite a 60.06 rating that puts this horse right at the boundary of our show spot. The average speed of 55 is the fastest in the entire field, which is an intriguing raw number that the market may be keying on. Trainer Steve Manley uses Travis Wales here, and if this one can get a soft early pace to stalk, that top speed could translate into a placing. Worth including in your trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

4:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A fascinating three-way battle shapes up at the top of this nine-horse claiming field — the morning-line favorite isn't our top-rated horse, setting up potential overlay angles in both the win pool and exotics.

win5Warrior of GoldML 3/1

Warrior of Gold is our top pick at 3/1 despite not being the morning-line favorite — an 87.08 TrackWiz rating leads the field, and a 21% career win rate gives this horse legitimate credentials in claiming company. Trainer James M. Watkins continues a productive card, putting Johanis Aranguren up for the second time today. An average speed of 54 matches the best in this field, and at 3/1 there's real overlay value here compared to the ratings gap over the third horse in the field. This is TrackWiz's best value play of the race.

place2Honest AlML 3/2

Honest Al is the morning-line favorite at 3/2 with an 83.98 rating — just a tick behind Warrior of Gold — and a 26% career win rate that is the best in the field. Trainer Amy Nesbitt has Victor Lara up, and with an average speed of 54, Honest Al has the tools to win this race outright. The case for playing this one to place rather than win is simply that Warrior of Gold rates slightly higher and offers better win value — but Honest Al is absolutely live and a comfortable place ticket inclusion.

show8T LawML 5/1

T Law at 5/1 fills out the ticket nicely with a 72.7 TrackWiz rating that is a clear third-best in a nine-horse field. Trainer Ralph Martinez sends Alexander Bendezu — who has been one of the busiest and most productive riders on today's card — to handle this one. With a 8% career win rate T Law doesn't win often, but in a full field with multiple pace scenarios possible, getting beat into a show spot is a realistic outcome at a generous price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 8

4:25 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A short-priced favorite with a dominant rating closes out the card in this starter allowance sprint, but the deep nine-horse field offers several intriguing exotic plays at double-digit prices.

win9RacetothefinishML 7/5

Racetothefinish is the card-closing standout — a 89.42 TrackWiz rating is the top mark in this starter allowance field, and a 32% career win rate is the best in the field by a wide margin. Trainer Scott Becker, who has been one of the most active barns on today's card, puts Alexander Bendezu up for what should be a strong finishing effort. At 7/5 on the morning line the price is short but earned, and this horse's combination of high rating and elite win rate makes it a justifiable single in your late-race exotics.

place2Isabel LudlowML 5/1

Isabel Ludlow at 5/1 is the value play of the race — a 74.93 TrackWiz rating is second-best in the field, and a 21% career win rate gives trainer Clay Laux's runner legitimate winning credentials at this level. Victor Lara has been solid all card and gets the mount here, and an average speed of 54 ties the field's best. If Racetothefinish gets shuffled back or encounters trouble in a nine-horse field, Isabel Ludlow is the most likely horse to collect.

show4Fast N HappyML 9/2

Fast N Happy at 9/2 rounds out the ticket with a 71.24 rating — third-best in the field — and a 22% career win rate that would be the second-highest mark in this race. Trainer Dennis Hornbostel runs two horses in this spot (Onacounta is the other), and Harold Joseph Ortega gets the call on the stronger of the pair. In a full nine-horse starter allowance where traffic can be a factor in the stretch, Fast N Happy has the profile to hit the board at a fair price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Eight races, fast dirt, and summer heat — Fairmount Park has a full card worth digging into. Our top free plays are Army Medic, Dundie, and Instastar, each fitting the speed-favoring profile we expect on a blistering afternoon. For pace maps, exotic construction, and our full opinions on Races 4 through 8, subscribers have everything they need waiting at /pricing. Let's get after it.

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