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Fair Meadows Picks & Predictions — June 12, 2026

June 12, 202610 racesAll Fair Meadows picks

This card ran on June 12, 2026.

Best bets at Fair Meadows, June 12, 2026

Race 15Tommy GunnML 2/17:00 PM EDT

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It's a full 10-race Friday card at Fair Meadows, and conditions are about as good as you'll get in northeast Oklahoma this time of year — 85 degrees, partly cloudy skies, and a fast dirt strip ready for some quarter-horse action. No rain interference to worry about today, so expect consistent times across the board.

The card is loaded with maiden events, which is typical for Fair Meadows early in its summer meet, but don't let that fool you into thinking this is a throwaway day. Short-field sprints at 250 and 300 yards can produce some wild, hard-to-predict outcomes, and that's exactly where the value hides. We've got 10 races to work through, three of them fully unlocked for every TrackWiz reader.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:00 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

A maiden sprint at 300 yards where two horses sit head-and-shoulders above the field on TrackWiz ratings — this race comes down to whether the morning-line favorite can hold off a very tight top pair.

win5Tommy GunnML 2/1

Tommy Gunn (#5) carries the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 88.11 and draws the 2/1 morning line, meaning the market agrees with our model here. Trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz puts him in with Roman Cruz up, a sharp combination at this fair. In a 300-yard maiden dash — a race where it's essentially a standing start and a blink — the horse with the best raw ability usually wins, and that's Tommy Gunn by a whisker on the numbers.

place3Cla Mighty LivewireML 5/2

Cla Mighty Livewire (#3) is just a hair behind at 87.81 — effectively a dead heat in the ratings with the top pick. Gonzalo Gutierrez gets the call for trainer Gerardo Quinones-Sarmiento, and at 5/2 on the morning line, the market sees this as the main rival. If anything breaks the wrong way for Tommy Gunn out of the gate, Livewire should be right there to collect.

show1Hawk Tuah HeroML 4/1

Hawk Tuah Hero (#1) rates third in the field at 61.27 — a clear step below the top two but still meaningfully ahead of the rest. Cordarelton J. Benn gets the mount for Gary K. Walker, and at 4/1 the horse offers solid value for exotic coverage. In a short-field sprint like this, a three-horse box or trifecta key is worth constructing around these top three.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:25 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

Ten runners fill this 300-yard maiden, but the talent is heavily concentrated at the top — two horses with elite ratings stand well apart from a crowded middle tier, making this race cleaner than the field size suggests.

win9Jm Painted SkyML 3/1

Jm Painted Sky (#9) grades out as the top horse in the field with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08, and trainer Dee Keener sends him out with Jaime Mata in the irons. The 3/1 morning line is fair value given the rating edge, and in a 300-yard dash there's no room to make up ground — you want the horse who breaks fastest and rates highest, and that's Painted Sky on both counts. This is our top selection in what is otherwise a messy ten-horse maiden.

place6Smith and WeaponML 4/1

Smith and Weapon (#6) checks in at 85.11 on our model — essentially a coin-flip separation from the top pick — and goes postward at 4/1 for trainer Stacey L. Capps with Mario Delgado aboard. The value case is straightforward: two horses rated in the mid-to-upper 80s in the same field usually both land in the exacta. If Painted Sky wins, Weapon should be right alongside.

show1Shez the PainterML 8/1

Shez the Painter (#1) is a significant step below at 64.45 but rates comfortably third-best in a field where most runners cluster in the low-to-mid 40s. Matt Whitekiller sends her out with Cody Rodger Smith, a team that shows up regularly on this card. At 8/1, she's a nice price to round out a trifecta play underneath the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Our three free previews cover Races 1, 2, and 3 — a nice cross-section of the early card. Tommy Gunn kicks things off at 2/1 in the Race 1 maiden sprint, backed by a strong TrackWiz rating of 88.11, the highest mark of the entire free portion. Race 2 follows a similar mold with Jm Painted Sky drawing our top grade at 87.08 off a 3/1 morning line — solid value if the board holds. Then Race 3 tightens up a bit: Stephanie Rosie draws the chalk role at 7/5 in the maiden claiming, though a noticeably lower rating of 59.33 signals a more competitive, wide-open affair where upsets are very much in play.

The common thread across these early sprints is pace — at 300 yards or less, there's no room to make up ground. Horses that break cleanly and establish position out of the gate almost always factor. Keep that in mind when looking at your morning-line odds.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

7:50 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

A compact five-horse maiden claiming test at 330 yards where the ratings are unusually compressed — less than three points separate the top four horses, setting up a genuine battle that could go any direction.

win1Stephanie RosieML 7/5

Stephanie Rosie (#1) tops the TrackWiz model at 59.33 and is the morning-line chalk at 7/5, with Cody Rodger Smith riding for Stacey L. Capps. The edge is thin — she's less than a point ahead of Not Yo Tio — but in a compressed field, any edge is worth following. The 7/5 price is short, but the ratings support the favorite in this spot.

place2Not Yo TioML 2/1

Not Yo Tio (#2) is right at Stephanie Rosie's heels with a 58.33 rating, making this almost a pick-em at the top. Jonathan Dominguez rides for trainer Gerardo Quinones-Sarmiento — a pair that appears on the card multiple times today, showing the barn is live. At 2/1, this is a legitimate main rival and a strong candidate to collect the place dough.

show5La Reyna Del SurrML 3/1

La Reyna Del Surr (#5) rates third in this field at 56.67, posting at 3/1 for trainer Valerie Torres with Javier Hernandez-Gallardo aboard. She's only about three points off the leader on our model, which in a five-horse field means almost any scenario keeps her in contention. She's the logical show anchor and worth including in exacta reversal tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 4

8:15 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

This ten-horse maiden at 300 yards has a clear class separation at the top — two horses rate significantly above the field, but the double-digit morning lines on several mid-packers hint at a wide-open bottom half that could complicate exotic payouts.

win8The Best FreightrainML 7/2

The Best Freightrain (#8) leads all runners with a TrackWiz rating of 86.35 and goes at 7/2 on the morning line — solid value for what our model considers the standout. Juan Arellano gets the mount for Hernesto Ramirez, and at 300 yards it's all about who fires best out of the gate. Freightrain's rating advantage over the third-ranked horse is nearly 17 points, which is a meaningful gap in a sprint that's over in seconds.

place9First Gentry LarkML 3/1

First Gentry Lark (#9) is the clear second horse in the ratings at 79.78, with Roman Cruz riding for Samuel E. Valdivia. The 3/1 morning line reflects that — the market has him squarely as the main rival. In a race where the top two are rated 86 and 79 and the next best is 62, the exacta of 8/9 looks like the play to beat.

show10Lookee At MeML 5/1

Lookee At Me (#10) rates third at 62.24 — a sizable jump down from the top pair but still well clear of the rest of the field. Gonzalo Gutierrez rides for Stacy Charette-Hill, and at 5/1 there's real value here for trifecta construction. With the top two so dominant, locking them on top and spreading to Lookee At Me in third is a reasonable approach.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 5

8:40 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden sprint at 250 yards — the shortest distance on today's card — where our top two picks carry a significant ratings edge over the field, though a pair of overlooked horses lurking in the teens on the morning line add intrigue to the bottom of exacta tickets.

win5Daddys Boi LoML 5/1

Daddys Boi Lo (#5) tops the TrackWiz model at 79.84 and posts at a very playable 5/1 morning line, meaning you're getting above-market value on the top-rated horse. Mario Delgado rides for Everardo N. Escamilla-Gonzalez in a 250-yard maiden — blink-and-you-miss-it racing where gate speed and raw ability reign. That 5/1 price on our top number in the race is exactly the kind of overlay TrackWiz looks to capitalize on.

place8Fancy ByrdML 3/1

Fancy Byrd (#8) rates second at 75.83 for trainer Samuel E. Valdivia, who also saddles Pyc Sivako in this race — a dual runner for the barn. Javier Hernandez-Gallardo gets the mount at 3/1, making her the morning-line second choice. She's priced tighter than our win pick despite rating slightly below — that slight mispricing makes Daddys Boi Lo the better win play, while Fancy Byrd slots comfortably into place.

show9Pyc SivakoML 12/1

Pyc Sivako (#9) is an interesting show option at 12/1 on the morning line despite a TrackWiz rating of 71.36 — good enough to rank third in this field. Rolando Raudales takes the mount for Guillermo Valdivia, and the double-digit price on a 71-rated horse in a maiden field suggests the public may be underestimating this one. If you're building a trifecta with the top two on top, Sivako at 12/1 is the kind of show leg that pays.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

9:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

The first race on today's card with experienced horses — this 250-yard claiming sprint features runners with actual career records, adding a layer of past-performance context that the earlier maiden races lacked and giving us more to chew on.

win7Fabulous and FancyML 3/1

Fabulous and Fancy (#7) leads the field with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 and goes at a fair 3/1 with Mario Delgado up for trainer Everardo N. Escamilla-Gonzalez. The career win rate sits at 3%, which sounds low but is common in experienced claiming sprinters who run often. What matters most here is that 87.08 rating — the highest in the field — paired with a sharp jockey-trainer combo in a short sprint where raw ability dominates.

place3Isabela LightsML 2/1

Isabela Lights (#3) rates second at 84.11 and is the morning-line second choice at 2/1, giving you a tight top two that the market also recognizes. Jonathan Dominguez rides for Marla Dayana Vargas, and a 6% career win rate in claiming company suggests she's been competitive even when not winning. At 2/1, the place price may be thin, but she's the most likely horse to chase down Fabulous and Fancy.

show5CandygrammML 4/1

Candygramm (#5) brings a 20% career win rate — tied for best in the field with One Famous Candidate — and that's a number worth flagging. Roman Cruz rides for Stacy Charette-Hill at 4/1, and the 70.84 TrackWiz rating puts her clearly in the mix. A horse with a 20% win rate that's priced at 4/1 in a claiming sprint deserves respect in the exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

9:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden claiming at 300 yards where the ratings are compressed in the mid-50s at the top — nobody here grades out as a dominant force, which means gate luck and jockey positioning could matter as much as raw ability.

win8Another RowndML 3/1

Another Rownd (#8) tops this field at 56.67 and gets the 3/1 morning-line tab — the tightest price in the race — with Roman Cruz aboard for Samuel E. Valdivia. In a wide-open maiden claimer where the top five horses are separated by fewer than six rating points, the horse going off at the lowest morning-line odds is essentially the public's consensus pick, and our model agrees. Cruz is one of the more active jockeys on the Fair Meadows circuit this meet, which is a soft positive.

place6Dauntless DaML 4/1

Dauntless Da (#6) rates just below at 55.00 even, and Cody Rodger Smith — who rides multiple horses on this card for Matt Whitekiller — gets the assignment at 4/1. The Whitekiller-Smith combination has shown up consistently across today's program, suggesting the barn is active and confident sending horses out. Dauntless Da fits as the most likely place finisher in a race where the top is truly separated by margins that a good break can overcome.

show5Dashing Down FantasyML 5/1

Dashing Down Fantasy (#5) checks in at 53.33 for trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz, with Bonifacio Quiroz up at 5/1. She rates third-best on our model, and in a 300-yard maiden claimer that's essentially decided in one explosive burst, the show position is realistic. The 5/1 price adds a little value to rounding out a trifecta with the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 8

9:55 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden sprint at 300 yards where the talent spreads across a wide range — the top pick rates nearly 40 points higher than the bottom of the field, but a cluster of horses in the 70s keeps this from being a foregone conclusion.

win2Honey in the RockML 7/2

Honey in the Rock (#2) leads the field with an 82.94 TrackWiz rating and posts at 7/2 with Mario Delgado aboard for Clinton Crawford. That's a strong number in a maiden sprint — her nearest challenger on our model is Bv Seminole Wind at 76.76, a meaningful six-point gap. In a one-run race at 300 yards, Honey in the Rock's ability edge should translate directly to a win, and Delgado has been busy on this card.

place9Bv Seminole WindML 5/1

Bv Seminole Wind (#9) rates second at 76.76 with Jonathan Dominguez riding for Erik N. Rodriguez-Garcia at 5/1. The gap between her and the third-ranked Sheza Violent Eagle is about three points — close enough that the race for second and third is genuinely open. At 5/1, Seminole Wind offers real place value if you're not comfortable with the 7/2 win price on the top pick.

show4Sheza Violent EagleML 12/1

Sheza Violent Eagle (#4) is one of the more interesting angles in this race — rated 73.96, she's third-best in the field yet goes off at 12/1 morning line. Roman Cruz takes the mount for Jesus Ruben Ruiz, and that double-digit price on a horse who rates in the top three feels like an overlay. She makes a logical show anchor, and if the top two stumble out of the gate, she could steal a place spot at a very generous price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 9

10:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 330 yd · Dirt

The allowance race is the most competitive spot on today's card — experienced runners with career records clash at 330 yards, and our top pick carries both the highest rating and a 14% career win rate that stands out in a field of mixed performers.

win7Fleeting HeartML 7/2

Fleeting Heart (#7) is the clear top selection here with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — the best number in this allowance field — and a 14% career win rate that ties for the best among horses in this race. Mario Delgado gets the mount for Dee Keener at 7/2, and the allowance conditions suggest this horse belongs in a step above maiden or claiming company. A 14% career win rate in an allowance field is solid, and the combination of model score and legitimate class record makes Fleeting Heart the standout.

place4Leaving AccountML 6/1

Leaving Account (#4) rates third in the field at 63.74 but offers a compelling value case at 6/1 — that price looks generous for a horse who scores above 63 in allowance company. Jonathan Dominguez rides for Jesus Munoz Escobedo, and a 6% career win rate in this caliber of race is respectable. The distance of 330 yards plays into the hands of horses with proven quarter-horse speed records, and Leaving Account fits the profile.

show5Ms Jess Candy StreakML 8/1

Ms Jess Candy Streak (#5) rates nearly identical to Leaving Account at 63.47 and also carries a 14% career win rate — tied for the field's best alongside Fleeting Heart. Ruben Castro takes the mount for Jesus Ruben Ruiz at 8/1, and that double-digit price on a horse with a 14% win rate in allowance company is a genuine overlay. She's the kind of horse you want in your trifecta underneath the top two picks.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 10

10:45 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

The finale is a ten-horse maiden sprint at 250 yards where the ratings are remarkably tight — only a 3.34-point spread separates our top three picks, and with all runners making their maiden journey at the shortest distance on the card, anything can happen.

win7Remember Thiz KissML 3/1

Remember Thiz Kiss (#7) tops our model in this race at 56.67 and gets the 3/1 morning line with Javier Hernandez-Gallardo up for Samuel E. Valdivia. In a 250-yard maiden where the race is essentially decided in the first fraction of a second, the top-rated horse with a sharp jockey is the play. The Valdivia barn also has Pyc Sivako in Race 5, suggesting the operation is active today with live runners.

place1Cheap JammerML 4/1

Cheap Jammer (#1) rates second in the field at 55.00 and goes at 4/1 for trainer Randy Chavez with Erik N. Esqueda aboard — a combination that also teamed up in Race 2. The rail post in a short sprint can be an advantage when a horse is quick out of the gate, and at 4/1 the place value here is reasonable for exotic construction. Only 1.67 points separate her from the top pick on our model.

show10Simple MannML 5/1

Simple Mann (#10) rounds out the top three at 53.33 with Mario Delgado riding for Clinton Crawford at 5/1. Crawford has multiple runners on today's card and Delgado has been one of the busiest jockeys on the program — both are live barn-and-rider signals. In a ten-horse maiden at 250 yards where the ratings are this compressed, having the third-best number at 5/1 morning line is worth a show ticket and an exotic inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line for today at Fair Meadows: Tommy Gunn is the most compelling free play on the board, and the Race 9 allowance shapes up as the marquee race for serious bettors. The conditions are clean, the surface should be consistent all afternoon, and there's enough maiden uncertainty in this card to keep the exotic pools interesting. Subscribers get the full breakdown — head to /pricing to unlock all 10 races before post time.

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