Evangeline Picks & Predictions — November 4, 2026

Maria Isabella ranks second on TrackWiz ratings at 74.14 and posts the second-fastest recent speed figure at 12.21 sec/furlong — only a hair behind the top pick, which matters in a 220-yard race where margins are measured in fractions. The concern is a rough Evangeline record of zero placings in four tries at this track, which you can't dismiss lightly. Still, the raw speed and ratings back her as the likeliest to finish second, and at 4/1 morning line, she's a solid exacta play underneath My Sweet Madison.

Shinningeagle comes in at 12/1 on the morning line but brings some meaningful connections support — jockey Martinez has an 18% win rate and 52% in-the-money mark over the past year, and the jockey-trainer combo with Martinez Jr. clicks at a 19% win rate and 58% in-the-money rate over the same stretch. A 25% in-the-money rate and third-best TrackWiz rating at 71.7 suggest this horse belongs in the mix, even if the last three starts have been blanks. At those odds, she's a worthwhile trifecta inclusion and a possible value show ticket if the favorites beat each other up.

Rl Prize Shadow is the second-rated horse in the field at 74.43 and brings a sterling 75% in-the-money mark — meaning this horse is almost always in the mix when the gate opens. Three placings in the last four starts backs up that number with current form, and both jockey Hernandez and trainer Weeks grade out at A, one of the stronger connections pairings in today's card. At 7/2, this is a natural exacta and place ticket underneath the favorite.

Flying Party Sc sits third in the TrackWiz ratings at 60.75 and benefits from a jockey-trainer combo — Castaneda and Lopez — that has produced a 21% win rate and 50% in-the-money mark over the past year. A 42% in-the-money career mark shows consistency, and the 5/2 morning line reflects some legitimate public support. The one concern worth flagging is a recent race speed figure that ranks seventh in the field at 17.89 sec/furlong — that number stands out as unusually slow and may reflect a troubled effort rather than true ability, so keep that in mind when sizing your bets.

Leaving At Noon posts the second-fastest recent speed figure at 11.24 sec/furlong and has placed in both of its last two starts — meaningful form coming into a spot like this. Three wins from 12 dirt starts reflects genuine class on the surface, and the 6/1 morning line represents real overlay value for a horse this consistent. The B-grade jockey and C-grade trainer aren't exciting, but the raw numbers justify a place ticket and a slot in exactas and trifectas.

Engine Victory rounds out our picks at 2/1 morning line, which might feel short for a show pick, but the profile backs it up — four placings in the last six starts, three consecutive in-the-money finishes, and a solid record at 400 yards with 1 win and 3 placings from 4 tries. The concern is age: at 6 years old, this horse is past the typical peak window for quarter horses. Still, the form is current and the 400-yard track record is real, making Engine Victory a solid show and trifecta inclusion.

Tk B Zoomin is only a touch below the top pick at a 81.49 rating and actually leads the field with the fastest recent race speed figure at 11.56 sec/furlong — the horse that gets out of the gate quickest in a 250-yard sprint is never easy to beat. Four straight in-the-money finishes is an outstanding form cycle, and a career mark of 4 wins and 15 placings from 24 dirt starts confirms this horse knows its way around. At 9/2 morning line, there's legitimate value here for a horse running this well right now.

Jess Joseph M brings a third-place TrackWiz rating of 75.55 and arguably the hottest recent form in the race — five placings in the last six starts and three consecutive in-the-money finishes heading into today. A 3-for-21 dirt record with 13 placings tells you this is a consistent, honest horse who finds the board regularly. At 5/2 morning line, the show price won't be lucrative, but Jess Joseph M is an essential trifecta leg given how reliably this horse runs in the money.

Ghost Train T sits second in the ratings at 78.86 and brings a 66% in-the-money mark — the best in this field — backed up by four placings in the last six starts, four placings from six dirt starts, and four placings from six sprint races. That level of consistency across multiple categories is rare in a maiden field and suggests this horse is knocking on the door. At 5/2, it's the second choice on the morning line, and it fits naturally as the exacta play underneath Dj Ghostrider.

Lm Jess a Lady draws a 10/1 morning line despite a 71% in-the-money mark — that's a stark disconnect that creates real value. Five placings from 7 dirt starts and four placings in the last six races show a horse that consistently finds the board, and the second-fastest recent speed figure at 11.79 sec/furlong confirms the ability is there. The flags are real: not on Lasix while seven rivals are, and coming back slightly short of the optimal rest window. Factor those in, but at 10/1, Lm Jess a Lady is worth including in trifectas as a potential overlay.