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Emerald Downs Picks & Predictions — June 27, 2026

June 27, 20268 racesAll Emerald Downs picks

This card ran on June 27, 2026.

Best bets at Emerald Downs, June 27, 2026

Race 14BakburnerML 3/14:50 PM EDT

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Happy Saturday at Emerald Downs. We've got a full eight-race card on the dirt today under partly cloudy skies and a comfortable 65°F — about as good as Pacific Northwest racing weather gets. No rain in the picture means a consistent surface all afternoon, which is great news for speed figures carrying over and pace projections holding up.

The card leans heavily on claiming company across most distances, from the quick 5½-furlong dash in Race 6 all the way out to a pair of one-mile routes in Races 5 and 8. That variety gives bettors plenty of angles to work — sprinters, routers, closers, and front-runners all get a chance to shine today.

Three races are fully unlocked for every TrackWiz reader, and our top-rated pick across the entire card is Mocktails Anyone in Race 3, who carries an 89.12 TrackWiz rating into a Maiden Claiming sprint. Let's dig in.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

One horse stands head and shoulders above this field on the ratings, but the pace scenario over six furlongs on dirt could set up nicely for a closer if Bakburner gets too much early pressure.

win4BakburnerML 3/1

Bakburner is the easy top pick here — an 87.08 TrackWiz rating that dwarfs the rest of this claiming field is hard to ignore, and trainer Joe Toye sends him out with a 30% career win rate that speaks for itself. Jockey Silvio Ruiz Amador gets the call and he knows how to put a horse in the right spot at Emerald Downs. At 3/1 on the morning line, this isn't a steal, but the class edge is real and the numbers back it up. Hard to make a case against him being the one to beat.

place1Guide My StepsML 5/2

Guide My Steps draws the rail and comes in with a solid 21% career win rate — that's a legitimate horse who finds the winner's circle with some regularity. Kevin Krigger is a capable hand, and at 5/2 on the morning line, the public already respects this one. The 61.43 TrackWiz rating is second-best in the field, making a place finish a reasonable expectation even if Bakburner is too good.

show2Bob's VaiML 8/1

Bob's Vai is the value inclusion for exotics at 8/1 on the morning line. His 59.62 rating is competitive in this company, and trainer Frank Lucarelli with Isaias D. Enriquez in the irons gives this one a professional presentation. If the pace gets hot up front, Bob's Vai could find himself picking up pieces late in a six-furlong dash.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

5:18 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Goin' South looks like a wire-to-wire type in this six-and-a-half furlong claimer, but the morning line suggests the public is ready to make him a short favorite — so value hunters should keep an eye on the board.

win4Goin' SouthML 2/1

Goin' South posts the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.54, which is a significant margin over the next closest rival, and trainer Blaine D. Wright is one of the more respected conditioners shipping through this circuit. Silvio Ruiz Amador is a strong booking and knows how to get a horse to the front on Emerald's dirt. The 2/1 morning line is short, but when the ratings separation is this wide, you play the horse, not the price. Goin' South looks like the one to beat by a clear margin.

place2Barrister ProofML 5/2

Barrister Proof has the second-best rating in the field at 62.03 and the best average speed figure of any horse in the race at 56 — that's a meaningful data point over six and a half furlongs. Allyssa Morales gets the mount for trainer James L. Gilmour, and a 30% career win rate tells you this horse has been competitive. If Goin' South is as good as the numbers say, Barrister Proof looks like the most logical place finisher.

show3Wood CeilingML 7/2

Wood Ceiling at 7/2 with Karlo Lopez riding for the Joe Toye barn is a steady presence in this kind of spot. A 25% career win rate shows this horse can compete, and the 55.89 rating is solidly mid-pack. If the pace scenario sets up for closers, Wood Ceiling has enough ability to be picking up a check at the wire.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

The three free races today — Races 1, 2, and 3 — all go at sprint distances on the main dirt oval, and our analysis sees a consistent theme: horses with early tactical speed on a surface that figures to play fair. Bakburner opens the card at a solid 3/1 morning line in Race 1, and Goin' South follows in Race 2 as a 2/1 chalk over 6½ furlongs. Neither price screams overlay, but both carry TrackWiz ratings in the upper 87-88 range — meaning our models see genuine form behind the morning-line respect they're already getting.

The standout of the free trio is Mocktails Anyone in Race 3 — our highest-rated pick on the entire card at 89.12. Posted as the 8/5 favorite in a Maiden Claiming sprint, she tops the field with enough margin that even at a short price there's a case to make her the cornerstone of your early exactas and pick-3 tickets. In maiden claiming company, a horse this far clear on our ratings often delivers — though first-time form in maiden fields always carries some variance, so keep your ticket structures flexible.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

5:59 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming sprint that's wide open among newcomers chasing that elusive first win — but Mocktails Anyone carries a massive ratings edge that makes this look like a potential runaway.

win4Mocktails AnyoneML 8/5

Mocktails Anyone has an 89.12 TrackWiz rating in a field where no other horse cracks 63 — that's a dominant edge in a maiden claiming field. The 8/5 morning line confirms the public and the morning-line maker are on the same page, and trainer Frank Lucarelli with Isaias D. Enriquez up is a sharp combination. The 56 average speed figure is the best in the race. Yes, all these horses are still looking for their first win, but the talent gap here looks real.

place7Little Minnie MoML 10/1

Little Minnie Mo is the most intriguing value play in this race at 10/1 on the morning line. Trainer Cliff Balcom sends her out with Karlo Lopez — one of the busier riders at this meet — and the 62.54 rating is actually second-best in the field, ahead of several shorter-priced rivals. If Mocktails Anyone hits traffic or has any trouble, Little Minnie Mo has the underlying numbers to fill the place spot at a generous price.

show5Magic JewelML 7/2

Magic Jewel sits at 7/2 with a 55.83 rating and draws post five, which gives her a clean look at the first turn in a six-furlong sprint. Trainer Kay Penney Cooper keeps this one competitive, and Kevin E. Orozco should be able to find a good position early. In a maiden field with no obvious closer threats, a horse with tactical speed and a solid rating is worth including in show tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

6:29 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This six-and-a-half furlong claimer has a legitimate hidden contender lurking behind a morning-line favorite that might be underestimated — the ratings tell a more interesting story than the oddsboard.

win5Slew SkiesML 4/1

Slew Skies owns an 85.62 TrackWiz rating, which is the top number in this field and a substantial edge over the rest of the claiming pack. Kevin Krigger — one of the more accomplished riders in this barn area — pilots him for trainer Ramiro Meraz Martinez. At 4/1 on the morning line, there's actually some value here if the public overlooks him in favor of lower-rated horses. The 55 average speed figure rounds out a profile that screams contender.

place2Tiz GrazenML 9/2

Tiz Grazen is a sharp-looking second choice at 9/2 with a 76.95 rating — second in the field — and a 20% career win rate that shows he's been competitive consistently. Kevin E. Orozco gets the mount for trainer Jorge Rosales, who also saddles Hadlees Honor, suggesting the barn is loaded in this race. The 55 average speed figure matches the favorite, making him the most logical backup if Slew Skies falters.

show3Hadlees HonorML 5/1

Hadlees Honor gives Jorge Rosales a second entry in the race, and when a trainer doubles up in a single field, it usually means the barn has strong opinions about both horses. The 70.05 rating is third-best in the field, and while the 10% career win rate is modest, this is a show ticket scenario — Rosales knowing this distance and surface well with Adrian Castellanos up makes it a compelling exotic inclusion at 5/1.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

7:11 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile dirt claimer with a clear top choice on the numbers, but J. B. Books' elite career win rate adds an interesting wrinkle to what looks like a two-horse race at the top.

win5Prowling CatML 7/2

Prowling Cat carries an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this field — and steps into a one-mile claiming race where his 25% career win rate suggests he's a legitimate finisher. Kevin Krigger rides, and trainer Scott Tubbs puts him out at 7/2, which is a fair price for the top-rated horse. Over a mile on dirt, pace scenario matters, and a horse with this profile often has the tactical flexibility to sit just off the pace and pounce. He's the selection.

place6J. B. BooksML 5/2

J. B. Books is fascinating here — a 33% career win rate is elite for a claimer at any level and Adrian Castellanos is a solid jockey booking. The 72.37 rating is second-best in the field, and at 5/2 on the morning line, the public already senses something. Trainer Jorge Rosales has a strong stable presence at Emerald Downs and manages multiple horses on today's card. If the mile sets up as a grind, J. B. Books' winning pedigree could come through.

show1Toppers At SeasideML 4/1

Toppers At Seaside at 4/1 with a 67.10 rating and trainer David B. Martinez rounds out the top three in a logical way. The 13% career win rate is modest, but Kevin E. Orozco navigates the one-mile layout well, and for exotic purposes — exactas, trifectas — this is a horse that can legitimately hit the board if the top two run into each other. A show ticket here at fair odds makes plenty of sense.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

7:42 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Silent Beauty owns the top number in a competitive five-and-a-half furlong claiming field, but the 5% career win rate raises flags — this one has talent that hasn't always translated to victories.

win1Silent BeautyML 4/1

Silent Beauty's 85.62 TrackWiz rating is the best in this eight-horse sprint field by a clear margin, and the 4/1 morning line is an honest price for a horse with that kind of numerical edge. Trainer Larry Ramnarine sends her out with Lenny A. Seecharan, and the 55 average speed figure is right there with the best in the race. The career win rate of just 5% is a legitimate concern — this is a horse that may need things to set up just right — but on pure ability, the edge is undeniable.

place2Run On OmML 8/1

Run On Om at 8/1 is a legitimate value play for place consideration. The 70.68 rating is second-best in the field, and a 16% career win rate means this horse has punched through the wire before. Silvio Ruiz Amador rides for Shelly Crowe, who knows how to get a horse ready for a sprint distance. If Silent Beauty runs into any trouble in a crowded eight-horse field, Run On Om is ideally positioned to pick up the place spot at a generous price.

show5Company GirlML 3/1

Company Girl at 3/1 for trainer Jose Navarro has Francisco Diaz-Lopez up and posts a 62.44 rating that puts her squarely in the conversation. The 11% career win rate suggests she's competitive without being dominant, which is exactly what a show ticket is built for. Five-and-a-half furlongs rewards horses with tactical speed, and Company Girl's profile fits that description well.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

8:22 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The allowance optional claiming ranks at six-and-a-half furlongs is the best race on the card — Executive Chef and Cap It Daddy are separated by less than a point in the ratings, setting up a potential photo finish between two live horses.

win4Executive ChefML 5/2

Executive Chef edges out Cap It Daddy with an 84.64 TrackWiz rating and brings a 34% career win rate to a field where finding the winner's circle is the norm for the best horses. Kevin Krigger gets the mount for Blaine D. Wright — a reliable trainer who consistently puts horses in competitive spots. The 56 average speed figure is in line with the best horses in this allowance field. At 5/2, the morning line respects him, and the ratings back it up.

place5Cap It DaddyML 5/1

Cap It Daddy is the most compelling horse on the entire card — a 42% career win rate is extraordinary, and he posts the top average speed figure in the race at 57. Silvio Ruiz Amador rides for trainer Elodio Madrigal, and at 5/1 on the morning line, the market may be slightly underestimating him relative to Executive Chef. These two are running 1-2 in the ratings and could very well finish 1-2 in either order — Cap It Daddy for place is a strong inclusion in any multi-race ticket.

show2Chuckanut BayML 7/2

Chuckanut Bay brings a 35% career win rate — second only to Cap It Daddy in this field — and a 70.47 rating that makes him a legitimate threat to hit the board. Trainer Howard F. Gibson doubles up with Coastal Jazz and Chuckanut Bay, which usually signals barn confidence, and Allyssa Morales is a capable hand for the seven-post assignment. At 7/2, this is one of the more bankable show tickets on the card.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

8:49 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

The nightcap is a one-mile claiming event with an unusual dynamic — Hatagasal owns the top rating but carries a modest career win rate, while the morning-line favorite listed as even money is an entry with missing connections data.

win2HatagasalML 5/1

Hatagasal sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 — a meaningful edge in a field where the next-best horse is more than 25 points behind. The 56 average speed figure is the highest in the race, and trainer Ramiro Meraz Martinez puts Kevin Krigger in the saddle, which is a confident booking for the route distance. The 9% career win rate is low, but that makes the 5/1 morning line a genuinely interesting price for the most talented horse in the field on paper.

place3FortyshadesoftigerML 3/1

Fortyshadesoftiger at 3/1 is the morning line's second pick and carries a 59.82 TrackWiz rating with Adrian Castellanos up for trainer Rigoberto Velasquez. The 8% career win rate is modest, but this is a place ticket — not a win bet — and the combination of a fair price and a professional setup makes this worth including in exactas. In a one-mile grind, horses with route experience and a steady jockey tend to find the board.

show8Cause for DivorceML 6/1

Cause for Divorce at 6/1 gives Blake Nunnally a mount with some intrigue — a 58.86 rating and a 14% career win rate suggest this horse can compete at this level without being a standout. Trainer Alan Bozell keeps things simple, and in a mile race where pace can cause chaos late, a horse sitting mid-field could easily pick up the show spot. Solid exotic play at the right price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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A fair, fast Emerald Downs surface, a tight free-race trio anchored by Mocktails Anyone, and a premium back half of the card loaded with routing value and pace intrigue — today's a good day to be at the window. Play the free picks smart, and if you want the full road map through all eight races, subscribers have everything they need waiting at TrackWiz Premium. Good luck out there — may your tickets cash and your pretzels stay warm.

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