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Delta Downs Picks & Predictions — October 24, 2026

October 24, 20269 racesAll Delta Downs picks

It's a beautiful Saturday afternoon at Delta Downs — clear skies, 81°F, and a fast dirt strip that should reward horses who can get out early and control their fractions. Conditions like these tend to favor pace-pressers and closers with a big kick, so keep an eye on the pace scenario in every race today.

We've got a full nine-race card on tap, spanning distances from a quick 5 furlongs all the way out to 7, with conditions ranging from Maiden Claiming to Allowance company. There's something for every kind of bettor today — maiden hunters, claiming-race grinders, and anyone looking to build a multi-race sequence.

Our TrackWiz ratings have surfaced some genuinely strong contenders across the card, including a couple of horses sitting near the top of our model at 88+ ratings. Translation: these are horses our analysis thinks are being undervalued by the morning line. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

9:40 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 fur · Dirt

Three horses are bunched within two points at the top of the TrackWiz ratings in this 5-furlong allowance opener, setting up a competitive finish between the top trio while the rest of the field trails significantly.

win5Fulla Wicked SugarML 9/2

Fulla Wicked Sugar owns the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 84.9 and backs it up with a jaw-dropping 66% career win rate — by far the best among all six entrants. Trainer Allen Landry also saddles Holiday Cheer, giving the barn a two-pronged attack, but this is clearly the barn's A-horse. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's genuine value here for a horse whose win percentage alone screams top contender in an allowance sprint.

place1Sassi IdolML 3/1

Sassi Idol opens at 3/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 83.87 — just a sliver behind the top selection — and jockey Carlos Perez should have this one well-positioned in the 5-furlong sprint. Trainer Lee Thomas also has Cajun Catalina in the field, but Sassi Idol's rating edge within the barn makes her the primary ticket.

show4Dr Stricklands AceML 7/2

Dr Stricklands Ace is the eye-catching entry here, posting a remarkable 52% career win rate under trainer Edith A. Mojica — second only to Fulla Wicked Sugar in that department. The 7/2 morning line feels fair for a horse with a TrackWiz rating of 82.74, and Elio J. Barrera in the irons adds confidence. A prime show-ticket inclusion in any exotic plays.

Race 2

10:08 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Ranch Rebel looks like a clear class standout in this Starter Optional Claiming sprint at 7 furlongs, but Pip Squeek and Im Singled Up provide enough firepower to make the exacta and trifecta interesting.

win4Ranch RebelML 2/1

Ranch Rebel is the most compelling horse on the board, posting the field's top TrackWiz rating of 88.54 alongside a 35% career win rate — head and shoulders above most of the competition in that category. Trainer Mark N. Hibdon also fields Real Silk and Tiffany's Ferrari, but Ranch Rebel is clearly the stable's top gun, and David Cardoso gets the call. At 2/1, the morning line respects this horse's class, and the speed figure advantage at this distance makes him tough to beat.

place2Pip SqueekML 3/1

Pip Squeek comes in with an 80.46 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field — and jockey Kevin Roman keeps the mount for trainer Isai V. Gonzalez. The 3/1 morning line is fair for a horse who projects to be in the mix from the outset at 7 furlongs, and if Ranch Rebel has any trouble breaking cleanly, Pip Squeek could steal this outright.

show3Im Singled UpML 9/2

Im Singled Up sits third in the TrackWiz ratings at 74.08 with Harry Hernandez aboard for trainer John Anthony Leblanc. The 9/2 morning line offers some value for a horse that could benefit from the pace scenario setting up over 7 furlongs — closers sometimes get a clean run in these optional claiming events when the front-runners battle it out.

Race 3

10:36 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Wide-open maiden claiming chaos — every horse in this nine-horse field is still looking for their first win, ratings are tightly bunched in the middle tier, and several entrants have no recorded speed figures, making this one a genuine puzzle.

win2Lucky SpotML 3/1

Lucky Spot leads the TrackWiz ratings at 56.67 and draws the rail-favorable post for trainer Richard L. Mocklin, Jr., with Erica M. Murray in the irons. While no avg speed figure is available for this horse, the rating edge is clear in a field where the separation is slim but meaningful — Lucky Spot grades out on top for a reason. At 3/1, the morning line makes this a reasonable single for win bettors who want to keep it simple.

place6LowkeylegendML 7/2

Lowkeylegend posts an avg speed figure of 53 — one of only a handful of horses in this maiden field with any documented figures on the dirt — and a TrackWiz rating of 55.83 that puts her in the top tier. Junior Inirio picks up the mount for trainer Sarah Martinez, and the 7/2 price represents solid value for a horse whose speed history gives her a tangible edge over several first-time or lightly-raced rivals.

show9Electrify U S AML 9/2

Electrify U S A opens at 9/2 with a 54.17 TrackWiz rating and trainer Benard Chatters sending out what looks like a live runner with Julio Ramirez, Jr. aboard. No avg speed figure is listed, but the solid rating suggests underlying form, and the 9/2 morning line makes this horse a nice exotic inclusion — especially in a maiden field where the chalk can get beaten at any time.

The first three races are on us today, and they're a solid sample of what the full card has to offer. In Race 1, Fulla Wicked Sugar opens at 9/2 on the morning line but carries a TrackWiz rating of 84.9 — that kind of gap between public price and our model score is exactly the spot we look for. Race 2 is where things get really interesting: Ranch Rebel packs an 88.54 rating in a Starter Optional Claiming route at 7 furlongs, and on a surface playing this fast, that kind of figure commands respect. Don't sleep on the 2/1 morning line — if the pace sets up right, this horse could cover that price easily.

Race 3 is a Maiden Claiming sprint, always a tricky puzzle with limited form to work with. Lucky Spot tops our board at 56.67 — maiden ratings are naturally lower since these horses are unproven, but the 3/1 morning line gives you a fair shot at the right price. On a clear, quick afternoon like today, first-time speed tends to translate well. Use all three free picks as a foundation before diving into the premium card.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

11:04 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

A wide-open 5-furlong claiming event with ten horses and legitimate contenders spread across the field — Millie's Stardust leads the TrackWiz ratings but faces a sneaky-deep group that could produce a juicy exacta.

win10Millie's StardustML 5/1

Millie's Stardust carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 84.17 and boasts an avg speed figure of 56 — tied for the top among horses with documented figures in this race. Trainer Justin Jeansonne sends her out with Carlos Lozada in the irons, and the 5/1 morning line is generous for the top-rated horse. At this price in a 5-furlong dirt sprint, she qualifies as a legitimate best bet with above-average value.

place5Crusin Like a CatML 7/2

Crusin Like a Cat grades out second in the TrackWiz model at 80.24, and while the morning line of 7/2 reflects some public respect, there's still place value here. Harry Hernandez handles the riding assignment for trainer Eduardo Ramirez, and this horse's speed profile fits the 5-furlong trip well — she's the type who could run right into a board spot without much fanfare.

show3Custom PunchML 5/2

Custom Punch sits third in TrackWiz ratings at 77.33 with a 5/2 morning line, making her arguably the most likely candidate to be overbet — but she's still a legitimate show ticket. Trainer Keith G. Bourgeois puts Colby J. Hernandez up, and the 21% career win rate is respectable in a claiming field. Use her underneath in trifectas behind the top two.

Race 5

11:32 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Polar Wolf looms as a dominant figure in this 7-furlong maiden claiming field, but the secondary market between Not Behavin and My Touch gives exotics bettors something to work with at reasonable prices.

win5Polar WolfML 5/2

Polar Wolf owns the field's top TrackWiz rating by a wide margin at 87.81 and posts an avg speed figure of 55 — the best in this maiden field alongside a 5/2 morning line that reflects her talent without making her a chalk play. Harry Hernandez rides for trainer Veronica Litfin, and in a field where most horses either have no speed figures or clock in at 52, that numerical edge is significant. This is our strongest play of the race and arguably one of the stronger maiden selections on the card.

place1Not BehavinML 3/1

Not Behavin opens at 3/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 76.83 — a solid second in the field — and Isaac Castillo gets the call for trainer Edith A. Mojica. The avg speed figure of 52 is modest but documented, giving Not Behavin a form advantage over several rivals in this maiden field who have no figures on record. At 3/1, she's a logical place ticket to complement the top selection.

show9My TouchML 4/1

My Touch checks in third among the TrackWiz ratings at 73.66 with a 4/1 morning line and an avg speed figure of 54 — actually second-best among horses with documented figures. Trainer Keith G. Bourgeois puts Juan P. Vargas aboard, and the combination of an above-average speed figure and a solid rating makes this a legitimate show play. Slot her in underneath the top two in trifectas.

Race 6

12:00 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A large 12-horse claiming field at 7 furlongs, and while My Chulupa leads the TrackWiz ratings, a cluster of mid-field horses rated in the 73-80 range makes this a prime race for exotic players chasing a big trifecta payout.

win10My ChulupaML 3/1

My Chulupa tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.06 in this sprawling field and posts an avg speed figure of 54 — consistent with the better horses here. Trainer Gerard Perron sends her out with Jansen Melancon aboard, one of the more active jockeys at the meet, and the 3/1 morning line makes this a mainstream win selection rather than a value bomb. The 17% career win rate is modest, but the model strongly favors her, and at 7 furlongs on dirt, she has the profile to get the distance.

place12Clearly MajesticML 8/1

Clearly Majestic rates second in our model at 79.79 and carries a 23% career win rate — one of the better marks in this field. Casey Fusilier picks up the mount for trainer Raymond Prejean, and the 8/1 morning line is where the real value lives. If you're building exotics, Clearly Majestic is the kind of horse who can run into a place spot at a price that boosts payouts significantly.

show11RunforjusticeML 8/1

Runforjustice sits third in TrackWiz ratings at 73.31 for trainer Richard L. Mocklin, Jr., with Harry Hernandez aboard. The 18% career win rate is workmanlike, and an avg speed figure of 53 keeps this horse competitive in the claiming ranks at this distance. At 8/1, the show ticket offers value, and in a 12-horse field where anything can happen late, Runforjustice deserves a spot in your trifecta combinations.

Race 7

12:28 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Storm Sniper arrives as the clear TrackWiz favorite in this 5-furlong claiming sprint, but Sir Tristan's elite 60% career win rate and Jamesy's Empire's solid figures set up an intriguing exacta and trifecta structure.

win10Storm SniperML 5/2

Storm Sniper leads all horses with a 87.81 TrackWiz rating and an avg speed figure of 55, drawing the outside post in this ten-horse sprint. Trainer Rylee Magnon teams with jockey Devin H. Magnon — likely a family connection — and the 5/2 morning line reflects well-deserved respect. A 30% career win rate in the claiming ranks suggests this horse knows how to finish on top, and the figures justify making Storm Sniper the anchor of your win and exotic wagers.

place4Jamesy's EmpireML 9/2

Jamesy's Empire comes in with a TrackWiz rating of 76.95 and an avg speed figure of 55 — matching Storm Sniper's top figure while offering 9/2 on the morning line. Julio Ramirez, Jr. rides for trainer Brett A. Brinkman in what looks like a pace-pressing spot. At 5 furlongs, positional speed matters, and Jamesy's Empire has the figures to stay close and pick up a place check.

show1Sir TristanML 12/1

Sir Tristan is the wild card worth noting — a 60% career win rate is eye-popping and the highest in this field by a wide margin, even as a 12/1 morning line outsider. Isaac Castillo picks up the mount for trainer Jonathan Wong, and while the TrackWiz rating of 73.16 doesn't scream top contender, a horse who wins that often tends to find ways to hit the board. Show bettors and trifecta players should take a long look at this price.

Race 8

12:56 AM EDT

Allowance · 7 fur · Dirt

Stipulate looks like the class of this allowance field with the top rating and a realistic morning line, but the value case for Princess Is Olivia at 8/1 gives this race a juicy exacta angle worth exploring.

win6StipulateML 2/1

Stipulate leads the TrackWiz ratings at a commanding 88.54 and opens as the 2/1 morning line favorite under jockey Harry Hernandez for trainer Kinnon LaRose. The 22% career win rate is solid for an allowance-level competitor, and an avg speed figure of 54 is right in line with the better horses in this field. When your top-rated horse is also the morning line favorite in an allowance event, you don't need to overthink it — Stipulate is the play.

place4Princess Is OliviaML 8/1

Princess Is Olivia is the value target here, posting a TrackWiz rating of 79.79 — second-best in the field — while opening at 8/1 on the morning line. Trainer Juan Munoz Cano sends her out with Carlos Perez aboard, and the 25% career win rate is the best in this six-horse field. An 8/1 horse with top-three ratings and the best career win percentage in the race is exactly the kind of place bet that pays well when it lands.

show2La ForetML 4/1

La Foret slots in third in the TrackWiz model at 60.98 with an avg speed figure of 56 — actually the top speed figure in this allowance field. Isaac Castillo rides for trainer Chadwick J. Mouton at a 4/1 morning line, and the raw speed figure suggests this horse may have more ability than the rating implies. Use La Foret as your show insurance in trifectas — the figure alone keeps her dangerous.

Race 9

1:24 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Dirt

A wide-open Maiden Special Weight sprint at 5 furlongs where nobody has won a race yet and most horses lack documented speed figures — expect the model ratings to do the heavy lifting in separating a genuinely thin field.

win5Celestial ClockML 3/1

Celestial Clock tops the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field at 56.67 and draws a favorable 3/1 morning line with Kevin Roman in the irons for trainer Jayde J. Gelner. While no avg speed figure is on record, the rating gap over the lower half of the field is meaningful in a race where raw talent is still being established. In MSW sprints with limited form to parse, leaning on the top-rated horse at a fair price is sound handicapping.

place6Epic Stolen KissML 4/1

Epic Stolen Kiss comes in with a TrackWiz rating of 55.0 — just a hair below the top selection — and Timothy Thornton picks up a mount that trainer Allen Landry appears to like at 4/1 on the morning line. Landry's barn has shown up throughout this card, and sending out a horse in a Maiden Special Weight event signals some confidence in the horse's ability. At 4/1 for a horse in the top two of the ratings, the place ticket is worth it.

show3Lets Get the MuneyML 9/2

Lets Get the Muney sits third in our ratings at 54.17 and gets Juan P. Vargas aboard for trainer William E. Morey at 9/2 on the morning line. The separation between the top three rated horses in this field is razor-thin, which is exactly the kind of situation where the third horse lands on the board at a price. Include Lets Get the Muney in your trifecta combinations to capture the value in what figures to be a competitive maiden finish.

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Bottom line: Delta Downs is serving up a clean, fast track today and our model has flagged some genuine overlays across the card. Start with Fulla Wicked Sugar, Ranch Rebel, and Lucky Spot in the free races, and let those build your confidence heading into the premium half of the card. The full nine-race breakdown — pace projections, exotic angles, and all — is waiting for subscribers at /pricing. Good luck out there today.

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