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Delta Downs Picks & Predictions — July 24, 2026

July 24, 20269 racesAll Delta Downs picks

This card ran on July 24, 2026.

Best bets at Delta Downs, July 24, 2026

Race 17Sizzle Me FavoriteML 2/17:15 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Delta Downs: our top pick won 17 of 68 races (25%) and finished in the money in 35.

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Delta Downs is open for business on a warm Friday afternoon in southwest Louisiana — partly cloudy skies and 89°F on the thermometer, which means a fast, sealed dirt surface that should reward early speed all day long. Nine races are on the slate, all on the dirt, with distances ranging from a lightning-quick 220 yards up to 870 yards. That variety keeps things interesting for both the sprinters and the horses that need a little more real estate to hit their best stride.

The card leans heavily toward maiden claiming and claiming company, but there's a straight maiden race and an allowance spot sprinkled in to give us a couple of classier matchups to sink our teeth into. With short-format quarter horse-style sprints dominating the card, gate speed and reaction time are everything today — one stumble out of the gate and your ticket is already tearing.

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Race 1

7:15 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

A maiden claiming sprint over 330 yards with a clear TrackWiz rating standout at the top, but the morning line favorite and a stablemate both carry elite scores — this barn is loaded and the result could stay in-house.

win7Sizzle Me FavoriteML 2/1

Sizzle Me Favorite draws the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 88.54 and opens as the 2/1 morning line favorite, which means the market already agrees with our model. Trainer Francisco Campos Sr. doubles up in this race with stablemate Comparame, showing clear confidence in the barn's chances tonight. Rolando Cabrera gets the mount, and with the best rating by a meaningful margin over a short 330-yard dash, there's little room for pace scenarios to disrupt — it's about who fires out of the gate cleanest, and this horse profiles as exactly that.

place3ComparameML 9/2

Comparame is the other Campos Sr. runner in the race and posts an 80.82 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field by a solid margin. Rene Hernandez takes the reins, and in a race where the top two horses share a barn, don't be surprised if both hit the board. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's legitimate value if you're playing exactas or quinellas with the top pick.

show6SizzzlnML 4/1

Sizzzln comes in with a 55.0 TrackWiz rating and a 4/1 morning line that suggests the book respects this horse more than the raw rating implies. Trainer Dondrick London puts Bobby Ransom up, and in a wide-open maiden field over a short sprint, a sharp-breaking horse can find the podium even without a top-tier rating. Worth including in trifecta tickets as the third wheel.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 870 yd · Dirt

The favorite in this 870-yard claiming route carries the highest TrackWiz rating but faces a price play at the top of the card that could make exactas and trifectas very juicy — this one has a classic overlay setup buried in the field.

win4Piloto Into MischiefML 8/5

Piloto Into Mischief is the morning line favorite at 8/5 and backs it up with an 82.65 TrackWiz rating — best in this six-horse claiming field. Trainer Phillip Calais Jr. puts Pedro Chavarria Espinosa aboard, a capable pairing at this level. The 870-yard distance is a route by quarter-horse standards, and horses with strong overall profiles tend to separate in the stretch — this one has the highest ceiling in the field to do exactly that.

place1Tc Mora MiaML 12/1

Here's the value angle: Tc Mora Mia opens at 12/1 on the morning line yet posts a 73.96 TrackWiz rating — third-highest in the field, sitting behind only the top two picks. A 12% career win rate means this horse has been there before, and Bobby Ransom is a reliable rider in these conditions. If Piloto Into Mischief gets caught in traffic or breaks slowly, Tc Mora Mia has the profile to capitalize at a massive overlay price.

show3Proceed On MisterML 5/1

Proceed On Mister carries a 71.08 TrackWiz rating and a 10% career win rate — solid production for a horse opening at 5/1. Trainer Trevor Soileau sends Jose Ariel Rodriguez up, and this horse fits a pace scenario where a closer can swoop late over the 870-yard route. A solid trifecta piece at a reasonable price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our free coverage kicks off with three races that set the tone for the day. Race 1 gets us rolling with Sizzle Me Favorite (morning line 2/1, TrackWiz rating 88.54) in a 330-yard maiden claimer — that rating puts her at the top of the entire card, and at 2/1, she's a legitimate overlay candidate if she fires. Race 2 stretches out to 870 yards — the longest race on the card — where Piloto Into Mischief (8/5 ML, rating 82.65) projects as the controlling speed in a field of claimers. The pace scenario here is critical: if Piloto gets loose on the front end in what could be a strung-out field, that 8/5 number might look like a gift by post time. Race 3 brings us back to a quick 220 yards and Relentless Bar (5/2 ML, rating 84.93) in another maiden claimer — on a hot, fast surface, a horse with this kind of short-burst profile has every physical advantage.

The common thread across these three free races is straightforward: the hot, dry conditions at Delta today strongly favor horses that break clean and command position immediately. Don't overthink the pace in sprint races this short — clean trips win these.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

8:05 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 220 yd · Dirt

Ten runners collide in this short maiden claiming sprint over 220 yards — the blink-and-miss-it distance means gate speed is everything, and the two horses with ratings over 80 sit at reasonable prices in a wide-open field.

win1Relentless BarML 5/2

Relentless Bar tops this crowded 10-horse maiden field with an 84.93 TrackWiz rating and draws the 5/2 morning line — the market agrees this is the horse to beat. Trainer Martin Trejo hands the reins to Ubaldo Luna, a jockey familiar with the short-sprint format at Delta Downs. Over just 220 yards, the race is essentially decided in the first jump, and Relentless Bar's top rating suggests the natural speed to be there from the start.

place7Dlj Dashing MillieML 9/2

Dlj Dashing Millie is riding right behind the top pick with an 80.28 TrackWiz rating and a 9/2 morning line — this filly profiles as the main threat to Relentless Bar. Trainer Ray Robbins puts Donell Blake aboard, and the rating gap between this horse and the rest of the field is notable. If there's any trouble at the break for the top pick, Dashing Millie is positioned to swoop in and collect.

show4Shes Bold as CapitaML 6/1

Shes Bold as Capita has a 70.59 TrackWiz rating — a step below the top two but meaningfully ahead of the rest of this field. The 6/1 morning line offers a touch of value, and trainer Luis R. Martinez Jr. with Eddi Emanuel Martinez in the irons is a familiar combo at this track. In a ten-horse sprint, chaos at the break can elevate third-tier horses to the board in a hurry — this one has the rating to deserve a spot on your trifecta ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 4

8:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

This 300-yard claiming sprint features a dominant ratings leader who also opens as the morning line favorite — but with several horses posting 33% career win rates, there's genuine depth here and the exacta underneath could go anywhere.

win6Rogue MandeeML 2/1

Rogue Mandee is the clear top pick, combining the field's best TrackWiz rating (88.54) with a 33% career win rate — that's a horse that has been doing this its whole career. Trainer Preston Jourdan sends Ubaldo Luna up, and the 2/1 morning line essentially mirrors what our model is telling us. Over 300 yards, consistency wins, and a horse closing in on one-in-three career victories in a claiming field is exactly the type of profile you want to anchor bets around.

place7Patriot Forty SevenML 3/1

Patriot Forty Seven checks in with a 73.68 TrackWiz rating and a matching 33% career win rate — this horse wins races at a legitimate clip. Trainer Ray Robbins teams with Donell Blake, the same jockey-trainer duo that's active throughout today's card. The 3/1 morning line is fair given the profile, and in a race where the favorite is vulnerable to pace pressure from multiple 33%-win-rate rivals, Patriot Forty Seven is the most logical horse to fill the exacta underneath.

show2Jess a Native RogueML 4/1

Jess a Native Rogue brings a 55.94 TrackWiz rating and — notably — a 33% career win rate that matches the two horses ranked above it. Trainer David Bustamante puts Rolando Cabrera up at 4/1, which is honest value. The rating gap between this horse and the top pick is real, but in a 300-yard dash where anything can happen out of the gate, a horse with that win rate is never far from the money.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

8:55 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

Ten first-time-eligible maidens go 250 yards in a race with a clear class standout at the top — but the 3/1 morning line on the best horse leaves little room for error, and the supporting cast offers some underrated prices in the underneath spots.

win1Badboi MarkML 3/1

Badboi Mark posts an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — a sizable gap over the rest of this maiden field — and the 3/1 morning line suggests the public sees it too. Trainer Carlos Castro puts Humberto Vital aboard for this 250-yard sprint, and first-out maiden sprints tend to favor horses with the cleanest underlying profiles. When the rating gap is this large in a field where nobody has a career win to point to, it's hard to argue against the numbers.

place6Blazin Hot PerryML 5/1

Blazin Hot Perry has a 54.17 TrackWiz rating and opens at 5/1 — a reasonable price for a horse that rates second-best among the midrange contenders. Trainer Erica Arteaga puts Rene Hernandez in the irons, and this horse's rating positions it as the most likely beneficiary if the top pick doesn't fire at its best. In maiden sprints, the second-best horse on paper hits the board far more often than it gets credit for.

show2Jtf MulitaML 6/1

Jtf Mulita rates at 51.67 from trainer Jesus Huitron Lira, who also enters Baylors Fast Prize in the same race — when a barn double-dips, it's worth noting which horse the model prefers, and it's clearly this one. Pedro Chavarria Espinosa gets the call at 6/1, and while the rating isn't flashy, it's good enough for third in this field. A reliable trifecta anchor at a price that won't murder your payout.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

9:20 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden claiming sprint at 250 yards where the TrackWiz top pick is actually an overlay — opening at 5/1 despite posting the field's best rating by a wide margin, this race sets up as a potential value bomb in exactas.

win2Kj Keep ComingML 5/1

Kj Keep Coming is sitting on an 84.17 TrackWiz rating — more than 18 points clear of the next-best horse in this field — yet opens at 5/1 on the morning line, suggesting the market hasn't fully caught on. Trainer Vann E. Haywood puts Bobby Ransom up for this short 250-yard sprint, a jockey who's been active throughout today's Delta Downs card. When the best-rated horse in the field opens above 4/1 in a maiden sprint, that's the definition of a value play — back it confidently.

place3Love That AshML 7/2

Love That Ash has a 65.65 TrackWiz rating and opens at 7/2, drawing trainer Trey Ellis and jockey Ubaldo Luna. This horse rates second in the field by a meaningful gap over the rest of the pack, and in a 250-yard sprint with a chaotic ten-horse field, the second-best horse on paper has a strong likelihood of finding the board. A natural place horse that fits underneath Kj Keep Coming in all exotic wagers.

show4Jtf Fast DulceML 5/2

Jtf Fast Dulce is the 5/2 morning line second choice despite checking in with a 63.96 TrackWiz rating — third in the field but with the book overweighting this horse relative to our model. Trainer Jesus Huitron Lira and Pedro Chavarria Espinosa team up here, and while we prefer the top pick at better value, this horse's market support means it can't be ignored on trifecta tickets. A logical show play even if you're fading it as a win bet.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 7

9:45 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

Ten maidens going 250 yards with no career wins in the field — this is a true unknown quantity race, but the TrackWiz model has carved out a clear top three with meaningful rating separation from the rest of the field.

win8San Lorenzo MagicML 5/1

San Lorenzo Magic posts a 75.55 TrackWiz rating — best in this ten-horse maiden field — and opens at a very playable 5/1 on the morning line. Trainer Ray Robbins and jockey Donell Blake are one of the busier duos on tonight's card, and that familiarity matters in a short sprint where the rider-horse connection out of the gate is critical. The rating advantage here is real, and the price makes this a legitimate win bet rather than just a box inclusion.

place3One Dashin EsperanzaML 4/1

One Dashin Esperanza rates at 70.31 — five points below the top pick but well clear of the third cluster — and trainer Gilberto Rosales sends Rolando Cabrera up at 4/1. In a maiden race where every horse is looking for its first win, the horses with the two best ratings tend to land on the board together far more often than not. This is a clean place horse that fits naturally in exactas and trifectas.

show5Jrs Pop a TopML 10/1

Jrs Pop a Top is an interesting angle at 10/1 on the morning line despite posting a 67.3 TrackWiz rating — third in the field. Trainer Trey Ellis puts Leonardo Rodriguez up, and while the morning line suggests the public isn't sold, our model sees a horse that belongs in the mix. At that price, even a show finish turns a trifecta ticket into a nice little score — this is exactly the kind of horse you want as your third leg.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 8

10:10 PM EDT

Allowance · 330 yd · Dirt

An allowance sprint at 330 yards featuring the most experienced horses on the card — several runners bring legitimate career win percentages north of 20%, making this the most competitive race of the night and a prime trifecta battle.

win7Hes Bold as CoronaML 5/2

Hes Bold as Corona is the standout in this allowance field, combining an 81.13 TrackWiz rating with a 41% career win rate — the highest win percentage among any horse on today's entire card. Trainer Braulio Hernandez sends Rolando Cabrera up at 5/2, and when a horse converts at that rate over a career, you have to take it seriously regardless of the price. The allowance conditions suit a horse of this caliber, and the rating-plus-win-rate combination is a difficult argument to counter.

place9Gold Hearted EagleML 8/1

Gold Hearted Eagle brings a 69.99 TrackWiz rating and a 21% career win rate — solid credentials in a field this competitive. Trainer Jose D. Barron puts Noe Castaneda in the irons at 8/1, which is where the value angle comes in: this horse's win rate suggests it's been a consistent performer, yet the morning line is treating it like a longshot. In a ten-horse allowance field where the top pick is a strong favorite, the second-best-rated horse at 8/1 is exactly the kind of overlay you build exactas around.

show8Bar the SaintML 15/1

Bar the Saint comes in at 15/1 on the morning line — a price that looks steep until you notice the 69.58 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate. Trainer Phillip Calais Jr., one of the more active barns at Delta Downs this meet, puts Leonardo Rodriguez up, and a one-in-five win rate in a 330-yard allowance sprint means this horse knows how to find the wire. A speculative but defensible trifecta piece at a price that could turn a small ticket into a real payout.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 9

10:35 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

The nightcap is a 300-yard maiden sprint with a dominant ratings leader, but a strong value play lurks in the double-digit program numbers — this card closes with both a clear top pick and a legitimate longshot angle to chase.

win4Royal RogueML 2/1

Royal Rogue tops this ten-horse maiden field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — matching the highest score we've seen across the entire card tonight — and opens as the 2/1 morning line favorite. Trainer Luis R. Martinez Jr. puts Eddi Emanuel Martinez aboard, a jockey who has been active all night at Delta Downs. In a maiden sprint where nobody has yet broken their maiden, a rating gap this large is as close to a mandate as handicapping gets — this is the top bet of the race.

place10Puroo VenenooML 7/2

Puroo Venenoo is a fascinating angle: a 75.7 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field — yet opens at 7/2 on the morning line, which is fair value. Trainer Martin Trejo sends Ubaldo Luna up, and Luna has been one of the more active and effective jockeys throughout tonight's card. If Royal Rogue breaks poorly or gets shuffled in traffic, this is the horse with the rating to pounce and secure at minimum a strong place finish.

show3Pop a RockzML 15/1

Pop a Rockz opens at 15/1 despite a 54.78 TrackWiz rating that sneaks into the top half of this field. Trainer Bradley C. Bolen puts Francisco Giles up, and while the morning line implies the public is cold on this horse, the underlying rating sits above several horses drawing far shorter prices. In a ten-horse maiden sprint where chaos at the gate is always a factor, a horse with a quietly competitive rating at 15/1 makes a compelling trifecta piece — the payout on a hit would be substantial.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line: Delta Downs is serving up a fast, heat-baked sprint card today and our top plays — Sizzle Me Favorite in Race 1, Piloto Into Mischief in Race 2, and Relentless Bar in Race 3 — are all horses built for exactly these conditions. The full-card breakdown, exotic tickets, and pace projections for all nine races are waiting for subscribers. Good luck out there, and as always, bet what you can afford to lose.

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