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Delaware Park Picks & Predictions — August 13, 2026

August 13, 202610 racesAll Delaware Park picks

This card ran on August 13, 2026.

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Best bets at Delaware Park, August 13, 2026

Race 19Paris by NightML 9/212:20 PM EDT

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It's a beautiful Thursday afternoon at Delaware Park — partly cloudy skies, 83°F, and ten races on the board. Conditions are about as good as it gets for a mid-August card, and with three turf routes sprinkled across the second half of the day, there's plenty to dig into whether you're playing for fun or grinding the exotics.

The card runs the full spectrum today: maiden claimers to allowance company, sprints to routes, and dirt to turf. That kind of variety is where sharp handicapping pays off — different surfaces and distances mean different pace scenarios, and TrackWiz analysis has broken down every angle so you're not flying blind.

First post is approaching, so let's set you up for the day.

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Race 1

12:20 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer over 5½ furlongs on the dirt, but one horse separates herself from the field on the ratings — expect Paris by Night to draw plenty of attention at the windows despite a nine-horse field full of first-timers and lightly-raced runners.

win9Paris by NightML 9/2

Paris by Night tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.9 — a full 15+ points clear of the next-best horse in the field — and Angel Cruz gets the call from post 9. Her average speed figure of 52 is right in line with the competitive range here, and in a maiden claimer at this level, that kind of ratings edge is hard to dismiss. With all horses sitting at zero career wins, this is all about projection and form, and Paris by Night projects as the class of the field by our metrics.

place2Sweet Bourbon TeaML 4/1

Sweet Bourbon Tea (No. 2) rates second in the field at 69.15 with an average speed figure of 53 — actually matching the top figure in this group. Trainer Jose Corrales also has Bangkok Blaze (No. 4) in the race, which can sometimes work in your favor from a stable perspective if one horse is meant to set pace for the other. At 4/1 on the morning line, Sweet Bourbon Tea offers solid place value in a race where the top two are separated from the rest.

show7Katz On FireML 3/1

Katz On Fire (No. 7) is the morning-line favorite at 3/1 and rates third in the field at 56.67 with an average speed figure of 53. Trainer Gary Capuano is a steady hand at Delaware Park, and jockey Emanuel Rosario gives this horse a live rider. The 3/1 ML suggests the market sees real ability here — including her in exotics as a show safety makes a lot of sense.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

12:52 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Flee looks like a wire-to-wire winner on paper — she's installed as a heavy 3/5 morning-line favorite and dominates the TrackWiz ratings — but the real question is whether Essential Girl can keep her honest and whether the short price is worth playing.

win5FleeML 3/5

Flee (No. 5) is the standout in this field with a TrackWiz rating of 90 — the highest mark in any of today's early races — and the top average speed figure in the field at 53. Jockey Emanuel Rosario has the call, and trainer Karin Wagner has her pointed here at a claiming level that looks well within reach. The 3/5 morning line tells you the market agrees — this is a horse you include in exotics and perhaps pass on at short odds for straight win play unless you're building tickets.

place4Essential GirlML 3/1

Essential Girl (No. 4) is the logical bridesmaid at 3/1 on the morning line, carrying a solid rating of 70 and a 10% career win rate that holds up in this company. Trainer Michael V. Simone has her set for a competitive effort, and while Flee may be tough to beat on the front end, Essential Girl's figures suggest she's got enough to secure the place spot. The 3/1 price makes her an attractive place investment if you're skeptical of laying short chalk.

show1Sweet and FeistyML 6/1

Sweet and Feisty (No. 1) is a sneaky show play at 6/1 on the morning line, rated 42.99 with a career win rate of 4%. She's been on the board before and brings some experience into this spot. From the rail post, she could benefit from a ground-saving trip if the pace collapses — the kind of scenario where a live longshot sneaks into the exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The first three races are fully unlocked for every TrackWiz reader, and they tell an interesting story right out of the gate. Race 1 kicks things off with a maiden claimer on the dirt sprint — Paris by Night (9/2 ML, TrackWiz rating 84.9) is our top pick and offers a little more upside than a typical favorite in a wide-open field. In Race 2, Flee (3/5 ML, rating 90.0) is one of the stronger figures we've posted all week — heavy chalk, but the number justifies the price. Don't get cute fading this one just for value's sake.

Race 3 shifts to the turf at 7½ furlongs, and that's where we think there's a genuine opportunity. Reppazz comes in at 3/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08, and the surface switch to turf at this distance sets up a pace scenario that should suit closers. Keep an eye on how the turf is playing early in the card before you finalize your tickets — it can make a real difference in race shape.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:24 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A twelve-horse maiden optional claimer on the turf at 7½ furlongs features three legitimate contenders bunched near the top of the ratings, setting up a competitive pace scenario where post position and turf affinity could be the deciding factors.

win3ReppazzML 3/1

Reppazz (No. 3) leads all runners with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 and an average speed figure of 54 — the highest in this field — and Angel Cruz, who also has Sister T in the race, gets the mount. At 3/1 on the morning line, Reppazz offers excellent value given the ratings edge, which sits nearly six points ahead of the second-best runner. Trainer Juanita Bennett has pointed this horse at a 7½-furlong turf route, a distance that rewards tactical speed — exactly the kind of setup that favors Reppazz's profile.

place5VoluntaryML 9/5

Voluntary (No. 5) rates just behind Reppazz at 81.43 with an average speed figure of 53 under the care of well-respected trainer Michael R. Matz, who has a strong record placing horses on turf. The 9/5 morning line makes Voluntary the public's choice, and Julio A. Hernandez gets the mount. If Reppazz softens in the stretch on the turf route, Voluntary is the most likely horse to catch her — a strong place play.

show2FirestreakML 2/1

Firestreak (No. 2) checks in third in our ratings at 69.1 — a meaningful drop from the top two but still well ahead of the rest — and draws a sharp 2/1 morning line that implies significant market respect. Jose A. Batista handles the riding duties for trainer Nesvil Hernan Bailon, and with an average speed figure of 53, Firestreak has the figures to compete. Use her as a show key in trifectas given the price may drift post-time if money loads onto Voluntary.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 4

1:56 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Three horses are bunched within two points of each other at the top of the TrackWiz ratings — Federal Exchange, Impressiveness, and Fayes Heart — making this one of the tightest claiming races on the card and a great vertical exotic opportunity.

win3Federal ExchangeML 3/1

Federal Exchange (No. 3) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 78.36 with an average speed figure of 55 — the highest speed figure among the top three contenders — and trainer Robert A. Werneth sends him out at 3/1 on the morning line with Cipriano Gil up. His career win rate of 4% looks low on the surface, but what jumps out is that blazing 55 speed average in a field where the top horses are clustered in the 52-55 range. Federal Exchange has the raw speed to clear the field early and hold on at six furlongs.

place6ImpressivenessML 9/5

Impressiveness (No. 6) is the morning-line favorite at 9/5 with a 23% career win rate — one of the stronger winning percentages in this field — and a TrackWiz rating of 77.49 that's nearly identical to the top two. Trainer Jamie Ness is a name to respect at this level, and Edgar Villasmil gets the call. The one concern is the 52 average speed figure, which lags slightly behind Federal Exchange and Fayes Heart — she may need a pace collapse to win but should have the staying power to hit the board.

show2Fayes HeartML 4/1

Fayes Heart (No. 2) boasts an eye-catching 37% career win rate — the best of any horse in this field by a wide margin — and a TrackWiz rating of 77.02 with an average speed figure of 53. Trainer John J. Robb and jockey Xavier Perez form a workmanlike combo at 4/1. That career win percentage alone suggests a horse that knows how to finish, and at 4/1 she's a legitimate show anchor and exotic player.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

2:28 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A first-out MSW sprint at six furlongs on the dirt — all maidens, many without speed figures, making this one of the most projection-dependent races on the card and a spot where trainer pedigree and workout patterns carry extra weight.

win2Set the StageML 5/2

Set the Stage (No. 2) leads the TrackWiz ratings at 57.5 and comes out of the barn of Michael R. Matz, a trainer with a well-established reputation for developing horses from their first career start. Vincent Cheminaud gets the riding assignment — an experienced hoof in a race full of unknowns. Without published speed figures for Set the Stage, the confidence comes from the trainer angle and the ratings edge; at 5/2 on the morning line, the market sees something to like here as well.

place6PoulinML 4/1

Poulin (No. 6) rates second in the field at 55.0 under trainer Michael Stidham — another conditioner who knows how to have a first-timer ready to fire. Carol Cedeno gets the mount at 4/1, a fair price for a horse with legitimate upside. No prior speed figure to reference means we're leaning heavily on the TrackWiz model and the barn's form, but the 4/1 price makes the place bet a comfortable play in this wide-open field.

show1Hey Sara YougotitML 5/1

Hey Sara Yougotit (No. 1) shares a 53.33 rating with I'm With Her (No. 4) but gets the nod for the show spot given the rail post position and jockey Sara Hess aboard for trainer Mario Roberto Lopez. Drawing post one in a sprint gives this horse a ground-saving advantage, and the rating is in the hunt. At 5/1 on the morning line, she's a value show inclusion in any exotic ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

3:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Turf

The turf route at a mile and 70 yards features a surprising upset angle — Tailored for Joy carries the top TrackWiz rating despite going off at 6/1 on the morning line, suggesting potential value against a heavily favored but lower-rated rival.

win4Tailored for JoyML 6/1

Tailored for Joy (No. 4) leads the field with a TrackWiz rating of 82.71 and a 14% career win rate — solid credentials for this level of claiming turf sprint. Jockey Cecily Evans gets the mount for trainer McLean Robertson, and the 6/1 morning line makes this horse one of the most compelling value plays on today's card. An average speed figure of 53 puts her right in the mix, and the fact that she rates above the morning-line favorite is a clear value signal worth acting on.

place5No Need to AskML 6/5

No Need to Ask (No. 5) draws the most public attention at 6/5 on the morning line, and a TrackWiz rating of 80.92 with a 54 average speed figure — the highest in the race — does back up that confidence. Trainer Lynn A. Ashby has this filly pointed perfectly, and Carol Cedeno is a capable handler on the lawn. Even as the heavy favorite, No Need to Ask offers peace of mind as a place play when combined with Tailored for Joy on top.

show7RobertaML 10/1

Roberta (No. 7) is an intriguing show play at 10/1 on the morning line with a 66.27 TrackWiz rating and a 16% career win rate — both respectable marks for a horse going off at double digits. Angel Cruz is a live rider, and trainer William Dowling has her competitive here. At that price, she's worth a show ticket and could add nice value to an exacta or trifecta box.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 7

3:32 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Shipman looks like the dominant force in this six-furlong dirt claimer — the ratings gap between him and the field is the widest in any claiming race on the card today — but the 5/2 morning line price and a deep field mean there's value to be found underneath.

win6ShipmanML 5/2

Shipman (No. 6) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 — nearly 18 points ahead of the next-best runner — with a 19% career win rate and an average speed figure of 54. Trainer Michael V. Simone also has Megan's Honor in the race, so he's clearly comfortable at this level, but Shipman is the stable's marquee runner today. Angel Cruz is one of the sharper jockeys on the Delaware circuit, and at 5/2, Shipman represents a fair-priced top pick in a race he should control from start to finish.

place7Capt. CandyML 10/1

Capt. Candy (No. 7) is a genuine value play at 10/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 70.24 — actually edges out Jackson Road by a hair for second in the field — and a 19% career win rate that matches Shipman's. Trainer Don L. Bryant sends out Ajhari Williams, and this horse's speed figure of 54 ties him with several contenders. At double-digit morning-line odds, Capt. Candy is the kind of place horse that can turn a small exacta into a nice score.

show4Jackson RoadML 7/2

Jackson Road (No. 4) is right there at 70.12 in the ratings — essentially a dead heat with Capt. Candy for second in the field — and Jamie Ness conditions him at a competitive 7/2 morning line. Martin Chuan gets the ride, and with a 53 average speed figure from post 4, Jackson Road has a clean trip setup. He's the logical favorite underneath Shipman and a necessary inclusion in any show parlay or trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 8

4:04 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A full field of fifteen in this allowance turf mile features some of the deepest credentials on the entire card — multiple runners with strong career win percentages and solid speed figures — making this the marquee race of the day for exotic players.

win11RigelML 9/5

Rigel (No. 11) heads our selections with a TrackWiz rating of 83.21 and an outstanding 34% career win rate — the highest among all horses with comparable ratings in this race. Wesley Ho gets the mount for trainer Sandino R. Hernandez, Jr., and an average speed figure of 54 puts Rigel squarely in the competitive zone on a turf course that rewards class and consistency. Co-favorited at 9/5 on the morning line, the win rate alone makes a compelling case that this is a horse accustomed to finishing in front.

place9TifosiML 9/5

Tifosi (No. 9) shares the 9/5 morning line co-favorite spot with Rigel and carries a 77.25 TrackWiz rating alongside a 20% career win rate. Edwin Gonzalez is up for trainer Juan Carlos Avila, and while the 52 average speed figure is slightly below Rigel's, Tifosi's positioning in a 15-horse field means he'll have plenty of room to work with. The co-favorite tag suggests the market sees a true coin-flip between these two — playing both in a place exacta is a smart structure.

show1CarentanML 12/1

Carentan (No. 1) is the best value story in this race at 12/1 on the morning line with a legitimate 73.96 TrackWiz rating — higher than most of the field — and an impressive 21% career win rate. Edwin Gonzalez pulls double duty today and knows this horse; trainer Steve Klesaris consistently produces sharp efforts from the rail. At 12/1, Carentan could easily bust up the chalk in the trifecta and pay handsomely for those who include him.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 15 runners

Race 9

4:36 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A compact six-horse allowance optional claimer routing on the dirt — Intrepid Mo looks like a near-lock at 3/2, but Miss Anna Bella at 8/1 is the kind of value play that makes the exacta worth building around.

win5Intrepid MoML 3/2

Intrepid Mo (No. 5) is the class of this field, posting an 84.99 TrackWiz rating — the top mark in the race — with a 33% career win rate that's nothing short of exceptional at any level. Trainer Gary Capuano has a second horse in the race (Doc's Miracle), which adds to the stable's confidence, and Emanuel Rosario is a high-percentage rider who knows how to deliver in an allowance spot. The 3/2 morning line accurately reflects this horse's dominance on paper — the only real risk is pace-related in a six-horse field.

place2Miss Anna BellaML 8/1

Miss Anna Bella (No. 2) is the value standout of this entire card at 8/1 on the morning line, carrying a 79.79 TrackWiz rating that's the second-best in the field by a meaningful margin. Trainer John C. Servis — a name that commands respect at the allowance and stakes level — sends out Abner Adorno, and an average speed figure of 53 backs up the rating. If Intrepid Mo gets any company early and tires, Miss Anna Bella is the most likely beneficiary, making her a must-use in exactas at a very generous price.

show1Dyna SoarML 9/5

Dyna Soar (No. 1) comes in as the second choice on the morning line at 9/5 with a 75.26 TrackWiz rating and a healthy 25% career win rate. Trainer Michael Dini and jockey Julio A. Hernandez form a reliable pairing at this level, and the 54 average speed figure gives Dyna Soar the raw numbers to compete. She's a logical show anchor and part of any reasonable trifecta structure in this short field.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 10

5:08 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The closing maiden claimer features a dominant favorite on the TrackWiz ratings — She's a Canny Lass stands 15+ points above the field — but Regal Rules offers compelling value underneath at 7/2 in a race where second and third can pay nicely.

win11She's a Canny LassML 5/2

She's a Canny Lass (No. 11) posts an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this race and one of the top marks across all ten races today — and draws trainer Keri Brion, a well-regarded conditioner who places horses well. Carol Cedeno gets the riding assignment, and an average speed figure of 52 is solid for this maiden claiming level. At 5/2 on the morning line, She's a Canny Lass is the most straightforward win play on the late card and a horse who should clear this field with ease if she runs to her rating.

place6Regal RulesML 7/2

Regal Rules (No. 6) is the clear second-choice in our ratings at 72.18 — a significant 15-point gap behind the top pick but nearly 18 points ahead of the next horse — and Marvin Fernandez gets the call for trainer Michael V. Pino. An average speed figure of 52 matches She's a Canny Lass, and the 7/2 morning line price makes this a legitimate value play for the place spot. In a maiden claimer where the winner is likely to go off short, getting Regal Rules to place at that price adds strong overlay value to your ticket.

show2Key WitnessML 8/1

Key Witness (No. 2) checks in third among our picks at a 54.1 TrackWiz rating with an average speed figure of 52, and Emanuel Rosario — one of today's busiest riders on the card — gives this horse a confident pilot. Trainer Ramon Davila Aguayo has her pointed at a competitive spot, and at 8/1 on the morning line, Key Witness offers show value that could balloon the trifecta payoff significantly. She's the kind of double-digit ticket-buster you want when the top two look like mortal locks.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

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Bottom line: Flee is the standout of the free card and shouldn't need much convincing at her number, while Reppazz on the turf in Race 3 is the play we're most excited about for value seekers. Beyond those three free races, today's card has real depth — and the turf races in the premium half are where we see the most opportunity for exotic players. Full card analysis, pace projections, and ticket breakdowns are waiting for subscribers. Good luck out there.

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