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Delaware Park Picks & Predictions — July 31, 2026

July 31, 20268 racesAll Delaware Park picks

It's a clear, sunny Friday at Delaware Park with temperatures sitting at a comfortable 81°F — the kind of afternoon where the dirt track figures to play fast and speed horses can wire the field. Eight races are on the board today, stretching from sprints to a route, with one turf test sprinkled in at Race 7.

What makes today's card worth a close look? You've got a pair of Maiden Special Weights bookending the card that feature some genuinely intriguing contenders, a couple of Claiming races where class-drop angles could pay off, and a Starter Optional Claiming on the turf that our models really like. There's no shortage of opportunity here — you just need to know where to dig.

Three races are fully unlocked for every reader. The deeper stuff — pace projections, exotic ticket breakdowns, and our full ratings on the back half of the card — is available to TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:20 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden special weight at 5½ furlongs where the TrackWiz ratings tell a surprising story — the morning-line longshot sits well clear of the field on our numbers.

win7Gypsy LullabyML 10/1

Gypsy Lullaby comes in as a double-digit morning line at 10/1, but our TrackWiz rating of 72.01 towers over every other horse in this field — that's a significant gap over the 2/1 favorite. Trainer Jose Corrales sends her out with an avg speed figure of 54, matching the top numbers in the field. Jockey Emanuel Rosario gives her a competent pilot, and in a maiden sprint where workouts and raw ability often separate the field, the underlying data here makes a compelling case that the market hasn't caught up yet. If she breaks clean, she could wire this field at a very generous number.

place1MartiniwithatwistML 2/1

Martiniwithatwist is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 for a reason — Gary Capuano is a sharp conditioner at this level and the horse carries a TrackWiz rating of 58.33 with an avg speed of 54, among the better figures in the race. Even if Gypsy Lullaby steals the show, Martiniwithatwist figures to be right there at the wire and offers solid place coverage in your exotics.

show3My Hometown GalML 3/1

My Hometown Gal draws post 3 for trainer Michael E. Gorham and rates third in this field on our numbers at 56.67, also posting a 54 avg speed. Raul E. Mena has been dependable around Delaware, and at 3/1 on the morning line she's a sensible show inclusion in trifecta construction — especially if the top two run as expected.

Race 2

4:52 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Another maiden field with a hidden standout — King Xisco's TrackWiz rating blows past his 12/1 morning line, setting up a potential value bomb in a soft maiden claimer.

win7King XiscoML 12/1

King Xisco is the kind of horse that makes the maiden claiming game fun — posted at 12/1 on the morning line but carrying a TrackWiz rating of 73.96, the highest in this nine-horse field by a full 17 points. Trainer Jose Corrales — who also has Diminuto Burrito in the race — clearly likes this spot for the horse, and Angel Cruz in the irons is a sharp booking. The avg speed of 54 matches the top figures in the race, and if the market overlooks him at double-digit odds, the value here is substantial.

place6SnowhomishML 3/1

Snowhomish draws the 3/1 morning line and rates second in the field at 56.67 for trainer Jorge Delgado, with Chantal Sutherland in the saddle. While she lacks a published avg speed figure, the morning-line support suggests connections are confident, and she figures to be running near the front of the pace — a useful hedge alongside King Xisco in exacta combinations.

show4NazeerML 4/1

Nazeer brings the most visible form line in the race, posting an avg speed of 53 — one of three horses in the field to show a figure. Gregory D. Sacco is a seasoned conditioner who knows how to place horses, and Cipriano Gil navigates the field from post 4. At 4/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 55, he's a fair show investment and helps anchor the trifecta.

Race 3

5:24 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The claiming ranks at 6 furlongs feature a dominant number in Float On, but the morning-line favorite Megan's Honor will push the pace and create a real stretch duel worth watching.

win5Float OnML 7/2

Float On is the standout on TrackWiz analysis, posting an 86.35 rating — a commanding lead over the field — and a career win rate of 19%, which is excellent at this level. Trainer Pedro Nazario also has Hawkstone in the race, so he's clearly comfortable with this spot. Wesley Ho gets the call, and with an avg speed of 54 at a 7/2 morning line, this is a horse whose number demands respect even if the odds look modest for a 'value' play. The data says this is the most likely winner.

place2Megan's HonorML 9/5

Megan's Honor is the morning-line favorite at 9/5 and backs it up with a 62.17 TrackWiz rating and a solid 19% career win rate — right there with Float On's top figure. Angel Cruz is one of the stronger pilots in the Delaware colony, and at 6 furlongs on dirt, a horse rated this highly with that win percentage is rarely running worse than second. She's the foundation of any exacta.

show1AnchisesML 5/2

Anchises draws the rail for trainer Alejandro Olais Mendieta and posts a 17% career win rate — respectable for the claiming ranks. Sara Hess gets the mount, and with an avg speed of 55 — actually the highest individual figure in the field — there's a pace angle here if Anchises can put herself in contention early. At 5/2 on the morning line, she's not a huge overlay, but she rounds out the show slot nicely in trifectas.

Our three free races today are Races 1, 2, and 3 — and they tell an interesting story right out of the gate. In Race 1, Gypsy Lullaby is our top pick at 10/1 morning line odds, which is exactly the kind of overlay that gets our attention in a Maiden Special Weight sprint. Don't let the price scare you — a TrackWiz rating of 72 in a wide-open maiden field gives her a legitimate shot to beat the chalk.

Race 2 shifts to Maiden Claiming territory at 5½ furlongs, and King Xisco at 12/1 is another price play worth considering — the morning line rarely tells the whole story in maiden claimers, and our models flagged him as a standout. Then Race 3 brings us our most confident free play: Float On at 7/2 in the 6-furlong Claiming race, carrying an 86.35 rating and a morning line that actually reflects his true standing in the field. On a fast, bias-friendly dirt surface today, front-runners and stalkers could both get a clean trip — keep an eye on where these three horses set up positionally.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

5:56 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Daddy Moneybags sets up as a clear public choice in this maiden special weight, but the distance between him and the field is smaller than Race 1's setup — making exacta construction around the 2/1 shot the real puzzle.

win9Daddy MoneybagsML 2/1

Daddy Moneybags comes in as the 2/1 morning-line favorite with the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 58.33, and trainer Andrew L. Simoff puts Julio A. Hernandez in the irons — a reliable combo at this meet. He lacks a published avg speed figure, meaning his rating is driven by other form indicators, but the market and our model agree this is the most likely winner. In maiden special weight company, a horse with this kind of consensus support is worth keying on top.

place5Road CatML 9/2

Road Cat shows an avg speed of 54 from post 5 and rates just behind the favorite at 54.17 for trainer Jose Corrales. Angel Cruz takes the mount, which is always a positive note — Corrales-Cruz is a productive combination at Delaware. He's been near the top of several fields and at 9/2 on the morning line represents solid exacta value underneath Daddy Moneybags.

show2I Got Street SenseML 5/1

I Got Street Sense comes in at 5/1 for trainer Lynn A. Ashby with Carol Cedeno in the saddle, posting a 53.33 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field. No avg speed figure is available, but the morning-line confidence and the trainer's solid positioning at this level make her worth including in trifectas. At 5/1 she pays better than her chances suggest if the top two run as expected.

Race 5

6:28 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

One of the best top-two matchups on the card — Miti Fast Flower and Luminous Secret are separated by less than three points on our model in a mile-and-70-yards dirt claimer, and both have proven win percentages to back it up.

win3Miti Fast FlowerML 3/1

Miti Fast Flower edges out the top spot on TrackWiz analysis with an 87.08 rating — marginally ahead of Luminous Secret — and posts a 22% career win rate, outstanding for the claiming ranks at this distance. Trainer Jesus Rodriguez has this horse pointed right, and Kevin Gomez gets the call. The extra distance of a mile and 70 yards should suit a horse with this kind of sustained form, and the numbers make her our best bet of the race.

place1Luminous SecretML 2/1

Luminous Secret is almost impossible to dismiss here — an 84.20 TrackWiz rating and a 23% career win rate, actually the highest win percentage in the field. Sara Hess rides for trainer Alejandro Olais Mendieta, who also saddles Sing Scat in the race. At 2/1 morning line, Luminous Secret is the chalk, and while we give Miti Fast Flower the edge on our model, the half-point difference means this is functionally a two-horse race. Lock her in for place.

show5Recognize MeML 4/1

Recognize Me brings a 21% career win rate to post 5 — the third-best in this field — and rates at 62.34, a solid but clear step below the top two. Leonardo Corujo rides for trainer Selvin R. Hernandez Cano, and at 4/1 on the morning line, there's enough upside to include her in trifectas. If either of the top two have a troubled trip, Recognize Me is poised to pick up the pieces.

Race 6

7:00 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

I'mamaterialgirl looks like a dominant number in this maiden claimer, but Let 'er Sizzle's rating and Regal Rules' morning-line odds create a legitimate three-horse exotics puzzle at 5½ furlongs.

win4I'mamaterialgirlML 5/2

I'mamaterialgirl carries the highest TrackWiz rating on the card in maiden claiming company — an 87.81 — and goes off at a very fair 5/2 morning line. Trainer Jose Corrales puts Raul E. Mena up from post 4, and with an avg speed of 52, she's posted real work. In a field where several horses have no published figures at all, a horse this well-rated with a legitimate speed line is a strong win selection. This is our top play in this race.

place8Let 'er SizzleML 7/2

Let 'er Sizzle rates second in the field at 76.29 for trainer Mario Roberto Lopez, with Sara Hess in the irons. She also shows an avg speed of 52, matching several horses in this field, and at 7/2 on the morning line she offers better-than-fair value in exacta slots. This is the horse to beat if I'mamaterialgirl runs into any trouble — she's got enough raw number to threaten late.

show2Regal RulesML 6/1

Regal Rules checks in at 68.50 on our model — third in the field — with an avg speed of 52 for trainer Michael V. Pino. Marvin Fernandez gets the call, and at 6/1 on the morning line there's a reasonable overlay angle here in trifecta boxing. Three horses in this field have legitimate numbers while the rest lag well behind, making a 1-2-3 trifecta with these three a smart construction.

Race 7

7:32 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

The turf sprint is the deepest and most competitive race of the day — six horses rated above 62 on TrackWiz analysis, a pace duel brewing from multiple angles, and the favorite is actually worth following.

win9Sam the ShamML 5/2

Sam the Sham tops the TrackWiz model at 87.81 with a 16% career win rate and the best avg speed figure in the field at 58 — that combination of high rating and strong speed numbers is a powerful signal on a 5-furlong turf sprint where pace can collapse quickly. Trainer Michelle Castillo puts Julio A. Hernandez aboard from post 9, and at 5/2 on the morning line this is one of the better-priced top picks on the card. The turf sprint distance rewards speed figures, and Sam the Sham has them.

place6Lundi LootML 7/2

Lundi Loot rates just a hair above Parkes at 77.47 for trainer Lynn A. Ashby, with Jose A. Batista aboard from post 6. A 7% career win rate sounds modest, but for a horse in a field this deep, the TrackWiz rating tells a different story — this horse runs well without necessarily winning. At 7/2 on the morning line, he's squarely in play as a strong place contender and an anchor for exactas.

show2ParkesML 8/1

Parkes draws post 2 for trainer Suzanne Stettinius and rates 77.25 — virtually identical to Lundi Loot — with a 12% career win rate and an avg speed of 56, second-best in the race. Jeiron Barbosa gets the mount, and the inside draw on turf can be a real asset in a short 5-furlong sprint. At 8/1 on the morning line, Parkes represents legitimate trifecta value for a horse whose numbers genuinely support contention.

Race 8

8:04 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

The card closes with a maiden special weight at 6 furlongs where the morning-line favorite and our top-rated horse align — making Amberjack the horse to beat in what looks like a manageable field.

win2AmberjackML 2/1

Amberjack heads the TrackWiz model at 58.33 and is the 2/1 morning-line favorite for trainer Jorge Delgado, with Cipriano Gil in the irons. He shows an avg speed of 55 — the best published figure in this field — which is a meaningful edge in a maiden race where several horses enter without a visible speed line. Gil has been a solid presence in the Delaware jock colony, and when the model, the market, and the speed figures all agree, it's time to listen.

place7ScrutinatorML 7/2

Scrutinator draws post 7 for trainer Brittany T. Russell and rates second on our model at 55.83, with Julio A. Hernandez — one of Delaware's top pilots — taking the mount. An avg speed of 54 backs the rating, and at 7/2 on the morning line he's a fair price to run second in this field. Hernandez has a nose for positioning horses in maiden sprints, and Scrutinator looks the part as an exacta partner.

show8Bogus OperandiML 9/2

Bogus Operandi comes in at 9/2 for trainer Richard E. Dutrow, Jr., whose name alone commands attention in maiden company. The horse lacks a published avg speed figure, but a TrackWiz rating of 54.17 — third in the field — combined with Dutrow's track record of pointing first-timers right makes this a horse worth including in trifectas. Jose A. Batista takes the call, and at 9/2 there's enough juice to make the show ticket interesting.

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Bottom line: Delaware Park is serving up a genuinely playable card today under clear skies and on what should be a fast, consistent dirt surface. Float On is our top free play, Gypsy Lullaby is the longshot angle to know in Race 1, and the premium half of the card is loaded with pace-driven opportunities that set up well for exotics. Get the full picture — all eight races, every angle — with a TrackWiz subscription at /pricing. Good luck out there.

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