Daily Picks

Delaware Park Picks & Predictions — July 23, 2026

Thursday, July 23, 202610 racesDelaware Park

It's a beautiful Thursday at Delaware Park — clear skies, a comfortable 75°F, and a fast Dirt surface that should play fair all afternoon. No weather excuses today. Every horse gets the same picture-perfect conditions, which means the numbers do the talking.

We've got a full 10-race card to break down, ranging from Maiden Claiming routes to a Stakes sprint that figures to draw some sharp money. The pace scenarios are varied — a couple of contested early fractions in the sprints, and some potential for lone-speed advantages in the longer routes. Worth paying attention to as the card develops.

TrackWiz has you covered from Race 1 through Race 10. The first three races are on us — free picks, open to everyone. Races 4 through 10 are part of the premium full-card breakdown, and trust us, today's card has some spots worth digging into.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:20 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

The Feisty One stands out as a clear class edge in this starter optional claiming mile, but Miss Interpatation's massive career win rate keeps this from being a formality.

win5The Feisty OneML 4/1

The Feisty One tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 — a full 13 points clear of the field — and that gap is hard to ignore in a race like this. Trained by Bruce M. Kravets and ridden by Yabriel O. Ramos, this horse carries a 22% career win rate and an average speed of 53, matching the top group on raw pace numbers. At 4/1 on the morning line, you're getting reasonable value for what our model projects as the most capable horse in the field. A one-mile trip on dirt should suit a horse at this level, and the TrackWiz edge over the rest of the field is simply too wide to ignore.

place6Miss InterpatationML 2/1

Miss Interpatation is the morning-line favorite at 2/1, and that price is justified by an eye-popping 42% career win rate — nearly double the field average. Trained by Michael V. Simone, who also saddles Classic Ballad in this race, the barn clearly has a strong hand here, and the jockey-trainer combo with Cipriano Gil deserves respect. A TrackWiz rating of 72.25 ranks second among horses with established form, making her a near-lock to hit the board.

show3Bugged OutML 8/1

Bugged Out at 8/1 is the sneaky inclusion in exotics here, posting the field's top TrackWiz rating among the mid-tier horses at 69.71 and a solid average speed of 53. Angel Moreno takes the mount for Charles A. DeMario, and a 17% career win rate is respectable in this class of starter optional claimers. If the pace gets contested up front, Bugged Out could be the horse picking up the pieces for a piece of the purse.

Race 2

4:52 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Tempting Lady is a standout on paper in this six-furlong claiming sprint, but True Sunshine and Blue Fashion make this more competitive than the morning line suggests.

win6Tempting LadyML 9/2

Tempting Lady sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 84.90 — a commanding lead in a field where no one else cracks 68 — and her 23% career win rate with an average speed of 54 fits perfectly for a six-furlong dirt sprint. Bruce M. Kravets sends her out with Yabriel O. Ramos in the irons, the same trainer-jockey combination we're highlighting in Race 1, suggesting the barn is live today. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's genuine overlay potential if bettors pile onto Blue Fashion, making Tempting Lady our top win selection with confidence.

place5True SunshineML 6/1

True Sunshine at 6/1 is a solid underbet in this spot, carrying a 22% career win rate and matching Tempting Lady on raw speed figures at 54. Trained by Pedro Nazario and ridden by Martin Chuan, this one has the tools to run a big pace and hang on for a place check. A TrackWiz rating of 67.08 ranks her third overall, but her speed and win percentage make her a legitimate contender to outrun her odds.

show2Blue FashionML 2/1

Blue Fashion is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 under Edwin Gonzalez for trainer Michael V. Simone, who is active throughout today's card. The TrackWiz rating of 65.33 is mid-field, and a 13% career win rate is the lowest among our top picks — but public money will likely drive her below fair value, making her a safer show anchor than a win play in exotics.

Race 3

5:24 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 fur · Dirt

A competitive allowance sprint at five furlongs with a tight trio at the top — I'mwishingonastar, Duboff, and Parametric are separated by fewer than eight TrackWiz points, setting up a genuine pace battle.

win3I'mwishingonastarML 3/1

I'mwishingonastar earns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 82.58 and posts the best average speed figure of any horse at 57 — elite for this level. Julio A. Hernandez picks up the mount for trainer Michael Dini, and while a 12% career win rate is modest, the raw performance numbers suggest a horse that has been competitive at a higher level of opposition. In an allowance sprint where pace will be hot, expect this one to unleash a late kick that catches tiring pace-setters.

place2DuboffML 8/5

Duboff is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 for a reason — a 44% career win rate is the highest in the field by a wide margin, and Edwin Gonzalez is a natural fit for Gregory D. Sacco's barn. A TrackWiz rating of 80.88 and average speed of 56 make Duboff a legitimate threat to win, but we slot her just behind I'mwishingonastar given the slight model edge at the top. If the favorite's backers are right, she's a comfortable place play at almost any price.

show4ParametricML 10/1

Parametric is the value inclusion at 10/1 morning line, and our model likes her more than the public does — a TrackWiz rating of 76.88 and an average speed of 56 match the top contenders on raw numbers. Vincent Cheminaud rides for Cathal A. Lynch, who also sends out Howler in this race, giving the barn two shots. A 33% career win rate is quietly the third-best in the field, and at double-digit odds, Parametric is worth sprinkling in trifecta tickets.

The free portion of today's card opens with three races that cover a nice range of conditions — a Starter Optional Claiming mile, a 6-furlong Claiming sprint, and a 5-furlong Allowance dash. All three are on Dirt, so if a surface bias emerges early, it'll carry through. Keep an eye on where winners are coming from — rail vs. wide, closers vs. pace-setters — because that context pays dividends in the later races.

Our top free picks are The Feisty One (Race 1, 4/1 morning line), Tempting Lady (Race 2, 9/2), and I'mwishingonastar (Race 3, 3/1). None of these are chalk plays you'd feel embarrassed cashing — there's real value in that morning line range, and each one earned their spot at the top of our ratings. Full breakdowns are in the individual race previews below.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

5:56 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A tricky maiden claiming mile where everyone is chasing their first win — Sharp Wonder and Bad Boy Butch look like a two-horse race at the top, with Gigline lurking at a price.

win3Sharp WonderML 5/2

Sharp Wonder takes the top spot in our model at 87.81 — the highest rating in this race and head and shoulders above the rest of a winless field. Wesley Ho gets the call for trainer Jose A. Gallegos, and the 5/2 morning line reflects genuine public confidence in this runner. In a maiden field where average speeds cluster tightly around 52, Sharp Wonder's rating edge becomes the primary differentiator, and TrackWiz projects this horse as the most likely to finally break through.

place4Bad Boy ButchML 9/5

Bad Boy Butch is the morning-line chalk at 9/5 for the powerful Gregory D. Sacco barn, with Edwin Gonzalez up — a jockey-trainer tandem that fires at a strong clip at Delaware. A TrackWiz rating of 78.89 is second-best in the race, and while all horses here are maiden, Sacco's experience developing horses gives Bad Boy Butch an edge in terms of preparation and race-fitness. He's a strong place play and will attract heavy action early.

show1GiglineML 4/1

Gigline at 4/1 is an interesting show option — a TrackWiz rating of 76.62 makes this the third-highest-rated horse in the field, and Martin Chuan aboard for Ramon Davila Aguayo gives the horse a capable handler. In maiden races, pace can fall apart quickly, and Gigline's rating suggests enough ability to close for a piece of the pie even if the top two live up to expectations. Worth including in exactas underneath Sharp Wonder and Bad Boy Butch.

Race 5

6:28 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open starter optional claiming route with ten horses and real separation at the top — Alrasikh leads our model but faces legitimate pressure from Specialagentjonson and Distinct in what could be a contested pace scenario.

win1AlrasikhML 4/1

Alrasikh tops the TrackWiz model at 85.62 and draws the rail post — a tough spot in a ten-horse field but manageable for a horse with an 11% career win rate that has been competitive at route distances. Raul E. Mena takes the mount for Victor Carrasco, Jr., a trainer who knows how to spot horses in favorable spots. The 4/1 morning line represents solid value given the model edge, and at a mile-and-70-yards on dirt, ground-saving trips from the inside could be the difference.

place9SpecialagentjonsonML 5/2

Specialagentjonson opens at 5/2 for trainer William Downing, with Julio A. Hernandez in the saddle, and posts the field's best average speed figure at 54 — a key stat in a stamina test at over a mile. A TrackWiz rating of 80.85 ranks second in the field, and an 8% career win rate is low but could reflect tough competition faced previously. If Alrasikh is compromised by the pace from the rail, Specialagentjonson has the raw speed to run him down.

show3FridayswithmurrayML 8/1

Fridayswithmurray at 8/1 is the price play we want in the show spot — a TrackWiz rating of 77.94 ranks third overall, and Martin Chuan is a strong addition for trainer Jamie Ness, who also conditions Assume Nothing in Race 8. An 11% career win rate is modest but the model respects the underlying form, and at 8/1, this is a horse worth spreading to in trifectas and superfectas where you need value to make the payouts worthwhile.

Race 6

7:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Three horses — Woodline, Risk Factor, and Float On — are clustered within one point at the top of our model in this five-and-a-half furlong claiming sprint, making this as tight a race as you'll find on the card.

win7WoodlineML 2/1

Woodline edges this field on our model at 74.63 and draws the 2/1 morning line, with Angel Cruz taking the mount for trainer Kieron Magee. A 13% career win rate is low, but the model sees something in the underlying form that the win percentage doesn't fully capture — possibly a horse that has been competitive in tougher spots. In a five-and-a-half furlong sprint where pace will be fast, Woodline's TrackWiz edge, however slim, is enough to give the edge here.

place3Risk FactorML 3/2

Risk Factor is the morning-line favorite at 3/2 under Cipriano Gil for Gregory D. Sacco — and Sacco's barn has horses live throughout today's card. A TrackWiz rating of 74.54 is essentially a dead heat with our win pick, meaning this race could easily flip. The 15% career win rate is modest, but with Sacco's conditioning edge and a familiar jockey, Risk Factor is the kind of horse that sneaks up and hits the board when the chalk gets shuffled.

show2Float OnML 12/1

Float On at 12/1 is a genuine longshot angle that deserves attention — a TrackWiz rating of 73.96 ranks just a hair behind the top two, meaning our model sees near-equal ability at a fraction of the price. Wesley Ho rides for Pedro Nazario, and a 19% career win rate is actually better than both our top picks. At double-digit odds, Float On is the type of overlay that makes trifectas and superfectas pay big — include this horse wide in your exotic plays.

Race 7

7:32 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Garofoli looks like the class of this allowance sprint and enters as a deserving favorite — but Eastbostonbenny at 3/1 provides real competition and keeps this from being a walkover.

win6GarofoliML 8/5

Garofoli sits at the top of the TrackWiz ratings at 89.12 — the highest mark of any horse on today's card — and Sofia Vives gets a live mount for trainer Anthony Adamo in what shapes up as a prime winning opportunity. A 31% career win rate is excellent at this level, and an average speed of 56 matches the best in the field. At 8/5, you're not getting overlay value, but this is a horse our model genuinely believes belongs at the head of the class, and fading her would be fighting the numbers.

place8EastbostonbennyML 3/1

Eastbostonbenny at 3/1 is the main threat to Garofoli — a TrackWiz rating of 84.64 is a strong second, and Edwin Gonzalez aboard for Steve Klesaris is a sharp combo to note. A 17% career win rate may look modest, but an average speed of 55 and a model rating that separates this horse from the rest of the field make Eastbostonbenny the clear place choice. If Garofoli hits any trouble, this one is positioned to capitalize.

show1CountthebraveML 6/1

Countthebrave at 6/1 completes our show ticket — a 23% career win rate is among the better figures in this field, and Ruben Silvera takes the mount for Julio Rodriguez in a race where the top of the pace could soften things up. A TrackWiz rating of 68.52 trails the top two by a margin, but in a field where several horses show ratings in the 40s, Countthebrave stands clear of the bottom half. At fair odds, this is a solid third in exotics.

Race 8

8:04 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A starter optional claiming route where Assume Nothing and Rigel form a clear top two on paper — but Take Me To Church at 6/1 gives the field a legitimate third option worth including in tickets.

win9Assume NothingML 5/1

Assume Nothing leads our model at 84.17 with a 26% career win rate — one of the stronger win percentages in the field — and Martin Chuan picks up the mount for Jamie Ness, a trainer whose barn is live throughout today's program. The 5/1 morning line is generous given the model edge, and at one-and-a-sixteenth miles on dirt, this is precisely the distance profile where a horse with strong underlying numbers can step up and deliver. This is a horse TrackWiz is confident backing at the current price.

place5RigelML 3/1

Rigel is the horse we want to beat in this race — a 34% career win rate is the best in the field, and Wesley Ho rides for Sandino R. Hernandez, Jr. in what looks like a well-placed spot. A TrackWiz rating of 82.68 ranks second, and the 3/1 morning line reflects how seriously the public will take this runner. If the pace sets up right, Rigel has the tactical speed and the experience to win outright, and a place ticket here is nearly a formality.

show1Take Me To ChurchML 6/1

Take Me To Church at 6/1 is the value show play — a TrackWiz rating of 75.56 ranks third in this nine-horse field, and Edwin Gonzalez aboard for Gregory D. Sacco is a trainer-jockey combination that has been extremely active and effective today. A 15% career win rate with a top average speed of 55 — the best in the race — suggests a horse that is capable of producing a big effort at this distance. Include in trifectas as a confident third option.

Race 9

8:36 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

The featured stakes race closes in on a wide-open six-furlong sprint where Irish Maxima is the morning-line favorite but My Magic Wand and Kelly's Girl offer legitimate upset potential at bigger numbers.

win8My Magic WandML 9/2

My Magic Wand at 9/2 is our stakes pick, and the case is built on a 50% career win rate that is simply elite at any level — only Irish Maxima's 61% edges her out in this field on that metric. Edwin Gonzalez takes the mount for Gregory D. Sacco, arguably the most active trainer on today's card, and a TrackWiz rating of 74.90 leads the field. Going against the morning-line favorite in a stakes is never easy, but the combination of win percentage, jockey, and trainer makes My Magic Wand a legitimate upset pick at a price.

place4Kelly's GirlML 12/1

Kelly's Girl at 12/1 is the genuine longshot value play we love in stakes races — a TrackWiz rating of 73.96 is third in the field despite a double-digit morning line, and a 30% career win rate shows this is a horse that knows how to hit the board. Julio A. Hernandez rides for McLean Robertson, and an average speed of 56 matches the best in this field. If the favorite Irish Maxima is overbet and the pace gets messy, Kelly's Girl is positioned to sneak into the exacta at a huge price.

show1AnakarinaML 7/2

Anakarina at 7/2 is a logical show anchor — trained by the high-profile Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. and ridden by Micah J. Husbands, this is a horse with a serious barn behind her. A 22% career win rate and an average speed of 56 round out a solid résumé, and a TrackWiz rating of 73.58 keeps her in the conversation at the top of the field. In stakes exotics, Anakarina brings credibility to the third spot without breaking the bank.

Race 10

9:08 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The finale is a six-furlong claiming closer where Develop Product is a clear standout on our model — but Anderman at 10/1 shapes up as the best value play of the night in the place spot.

win6Develop ProductML 5/2

Develop Product leads this closing field with a TrackWiz rating of 83.50 — nearly seven points ahead of Anderman in second — and Cipriano Gil rides for Michael V. Simone, who has trained multiple horses on today's card. An 11% career win rate looks modest but is offset by an average speed of 54 that matches the best in this field. At 5/2 on the morning line, Develop Product is a well-priced favorite in a race our model finds very winnable, making this a strong late-day best bet.

place9AndermanML 10/1

Anderman is the best value on the entire closing card — a 33% career win rate is the highest in this field, and a TrackWiz rating of 76.88 ranks second comfortably. Ronaldo Rodriguez takes the mount for Maxine Correa in what looks like a spot where the trainer has pointed this horse to fire. At 10/1 on the morning line, this is a classic overlay situation where public money will be misplaced on lower-rated horses, and Anderman is our top value play of the night.

show3PlatformML 9/5

Platform rounds out the ticket at 9/5 as the public's second choice — and there's a reason the crowd will back this one, with a 20% career win rate and the best average speed in the race at 54. Raul E. Mena gets the mount for Michael E. Gorham, and a TrackWiz rating of 54.70, while trailing the top two, is solid enough to earn a board finish in a field this deep. A show bet here is conservative but sound, and Platform fits neatly as the safety net in trifecta plays.

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Today's Delaware Park card is clean, well-structured, and full of legitimate betting opportunities. Our free top plays — The Feisty One, Tempting Lady, and I'mwishingonastar — are solid starting points for casual players. For the full-card grinders, Garofoli in Race 7 is the standout of the day by our ratings, and the Stakes race in Race 9 deserves a close look for price hunters. Premium subscribers get everything they need to attack this card from top to bottom. Good luck, and as always — bet smart.

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