Daily Picks

Delaware Park Picks & Predictions — July 21, 2026

Tuesday, July 21, 202610 racesDelaware Park

Delaware Park has a full 10-race card on the board for Tuesday, July 21st, and conditions are about as cooperative as you'll find at this time of year. Skies are partly cloudy with temperatures sitting at a comfortable 81°F — no brutal heat to sap the horses, and no rain to complicate surface reads. That's a small edge for handicappers who like clean data.

The card mixes claiming races, maiden events, and a pair of turf sprints alongside a turf route, giving every kind of player something to work with. The headline race is Race 9 — an Allowance Optional Claiming mile that features even-money morning line choice Speedyness, who carries our top TrackWiz rating on the card at a clean 90. But there's plenty of value to hunt across all 10 races before we get there.

Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers today, with our full premium breakdown covering every contender, pace scenario, and exotic angle across the remaining seven. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile claiming opener with a clear top on paper, but a pair of underrated longshots could shake up the exotics if the pace gets hot.

win9Patton's TizzyML 3/1

Patton's Tizzy is the class of this field by TrackWiz's numbers, posting an 87.08 rating that towers over the competition. Carol Cedeno gets the call for trainer Carlos M. Sepulveda, and the connections look well-suited to this mile trip on the dirt. The 18% career win rate is the best among the top contenders, and the avg speed figure of 54 is tops in the race — that combination of raw speed and winning habit is hard to beat at 3/1 on the morning line.

place1Majestic TigerML 4/1

Majestic Tiger opens from the rail under Martin Chuan for the ever-dangerous Jamie Ness barn, and a 71.38 TrackWiz rating makes him a legitimate threat at 4/1. His avg speed figure of 51 is in line with the mid-pack, but Ness consistently puts horses in winning position, and the rail draw on a one-mile dirt layout can be a big advantage if he gets a clean trip early.

show7Pierce ElevatedML 10/1

Pierce Elevated at 10/1 is the value inclusion for your exotics. He carries a 63.15 rating and a 15% career win rate that matches up favorably with most of this field. Trainer Pedro Nazario also saddles Enough Already in this race, and when a barn double-enters, it often means both horses are live — don't sleep on the second Nazario runner at a price.

Race 2

5:02 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A maiden special weight sprint for first-time starters and lightly raced types, where the Gary Capuano barn looks to run 1-2 and the morning-line favorite deserves her short price.

win5Cha Cha BabyML 7/5

Cha Cha Baby is the deserving favorite at 7/5, leading the field with a 59.33 TrackWiz rating and a published avg speed figure of 55 — the joint-best in this race. Emanuel Rosario picks up the mount, and paired with trainer Gary Capuano, this is a sharp connections combo that knows how to get maiden sprinters to fire first out. In a field where several horses lack any published speed figures, Cha Cha Baby's demonstrated workload gives her a meaningful edge.

place1MartiniwithatwistML 3/1

Martiniwithatwist breaks from the rail under Martin Chuan and also posts an avg speed figure of 55, matching the favorite's raw number. The 3/1 morning line reflects respect from the oddsmakers, and with Capuano training this one too, the barn clearly has a pair of live ones. If Cha Cha Baby gets tangled up early or misses the break, her stablemate is right there to steal the show.

show2CordovaML 5/1

Cordova at 5/1 rounds out the TrackWiz top three with a 53.33 rating for the Michael Stidham barn. Stidham is a respected conditioner with a knack for placing maiden runners in spots they can graduate, and Teshawn Hazelwood gets the mount. No published speed figure means some uncertainty, but the morning-line respect and the Stidham pedigree make Cordova worth including in your trifectas.

Race 3

5:34 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A loaded starter optional claiming on the turf where four horses rate within striking distance of each other — this one could come down to pace setup and the draw.

win5Expecting a WinnerML 3/1

Expecting a Winner paces the field with an 83.40 TrackWiz rating and brings a sterling 21% career win rate into a very competitive spot. Jose A. Batista takes the mount for trainer William Downing, and the 3/1 morning line feels fair rather than generous — this is a horse who earns her way. The avg speed figure of 54 is solid on turf, and a 21% career win rate over a meaningful sample tells you this mare finds ways to get her nose down when it counts.

place6Getaway PalaceML 6/1

Getaway Palace is the value angle here at 6/1, posting an 82.71 rating that's nearly identical to the top pick — the half-point gap between them is basically a coin flip on turf. The standout number is a field-best avg speed figure of 56, which suggests she may actually be the quickest of the bunch. Trainer Christopher Seale sends her out with Gavin Ashton, and if the pace collapses the way turf routes sometimes do, her raw speed gives her the punch to close.

show9Nit WitnessML 6/1

Nit Witness at 6/1 is the third horse in the 79+ rating cluster that makes this race so compelling. Martin Chuan rides for Michael V. Simone, and the 20% career win rate shows this one has learned how to compete. The avg speed figure of 54 keeps her in the same conversation as the top two, and at 6/1 she's an excellent trifecta anchor if you're building a wide ticket.

Our three free races today span both surfaces and multiple race types, which makes them a nice cross-section of the card. Patton's Tizzy opens the day in Race 1 — a one-mile dirt claiming event — with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and a 3/1 morning line that suggests there's real value to be found if the pace scenario sets up right. On the turf side, Expecting a Winner draws our attention in Race 3's Starter Optional Claiming at 7½ furlongs — and with the ground likely firm after a dry stretch, grass runners with tactical speed should be in a strong spot today. Round out the free card with Cha Cha Baby in the Race 2 maiden sprint, who comes in as the 7/5 chalk but still earns a 59.33 rating — a good reminder that in maiden races, class and pedigree carry as much weight as past performances.

The connective thread across these free picks? Each benefits from a clean, predictable surface. No weather curveballs today means pace projections are more reliable, and horses with consistent figures have a better chance to run their number. That's the angle we're leaning on all card long.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:06 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

A short five-furlong maiden claiming sprint where the top two on the morning line are separated by less than a point in the ratings — pace and break could decide everything.

win5Where Are YouML 8/5

Where Are You tops the TrackWiz ratings at 59.00 and draws the 8/5 morning-line favoritism with Cipriano Gil in the irons for trainer Greg Compton. In a field full of first-time starters and horses without published speed figures, any demonstrated ability becomes a major asset, and Where Are You has that edge. The five-furlong dirt sprint is a format that rewards quickness out of the gate, and with Compton's eye for placing maiden claimers correctly, this one gets our top billing.

place1Royal MistML 2/1

Royal Mist opens from the rail at 2/1 for trainer Anthony Pecoraro, and a 58.33 rating makes her the closest thing to a dead heat with the favorite on paper. Jose R. Betancourt takes the mount, and while no avg speed figure is available, the morning-line respect from the oddsmakers suggests there's something in the works that earned that price. If the favorite is compromised by traffic from the inside draw, Royal Mist could be the one catching her at the wire.

show6Engage At WillML 9/2

Engage At Will at 9/2 is the only other horse in the field showing a published avg speed figure — a 52 for trainer John E. Salzman, Jr. In a race where most rivals are unknown quantities, having any benchmark at all is meaningful. Joseph Rocco, Jr. takes the mount, and with a 54.17 rating that rates ahead of Bangkok Blaze and the rest of the field below our top three, Engage At Will slots in comfortably as an exotic piece at a fair price.

Race 5

6:38 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A maiden special weight mile on the turf with a heavy favorite drawing most of the money, but TrackWiz's numbers reveal a pair of overlay contenders that could outrun their morning lines.

win1ReppazzML 6/1

Reppazz is our top pick at 6/1 despite the crowd leaning toward Endorse at 1/5 — and that's where the value lives. Trainer Juanita Bennett sends out Reppazz with Ricardo Chiappe aboard, and the 82.71 TrackWiz rating is the highest in the field. An avg speed figure of 54 on turf shows real competitive ability, and when a horse rates this well but opens at 6/1, it usually means the market is overreacting to a popular name at the top. This is exactly the kind of overlay TrackWiz analysis is designed to surface.

place9VoluntaryML 2/1

Voluntary comes in at 2/1 with a 79.77 rating and pairs Julio A. Hernandez with the well-regarded Michael R. Matz barn — a trainer with a long track record of developing turf runners. The avg speed figure of 53 is respectable, and in a maiden turf mile, Matz's patient developmental approach often pays off right around the time a horse is entered in a spot like this. If Reppazz fires, Voluntary looks like the most logical horse to follow her home.

show7EndorseML 1/5

Endorse is the morning-line favorite at 1/5 with a 69.52 rating — and yes, that rating actually trails both our win and place picks. The Brittany T. Russell barn is sending out a horse the market loves, but at 1/5 you're essentially paying to not lose money. We slot Endorse third in our analysis, good enough to show but not the value play this race is asking for. Include in trifectas as insurance, but don't key her on top at that price.

Race 6

7:10 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A maiden special weight sprint at 5½ furlongs that looks like a one-horse race on paper, but a pair of double-digit morning-line runners could make the exotics interesting.

win7Dream EagleML 7/5

Dream Eagle is the standout of the entire day's card with a 89.42 TrackWiz rating — the second-highest mark across all ten races. Jose A. Batista rides for trainer McLean Robertson, and the 7/5 morning line reflects the dominant edge this horse holds over the field. The avg speed figure of 55 is among the best in the race, and in a maiden field where most rivals are feeling their way, Dream Eagle projects as a class apart. Fade at your peril.

place2MeatballsforariesML 10/1

Meatballsforaries is the best value in the race at 10/1, posting a 56.42 rating that's the clear second-best behind the heavy favorite. Julio A. Hernandez takes the mount for trainer Andrew L. Simoff, and an avg speed figure of 53 shows this horse has run before and can be timed. If Dream Eagle hits any kind of trouble at the break or gets into a speed duel, Meatballsforaries is the most likely beneficiary to pick up the pieces.

show3Yo PhillyML 4/1

Yo Philly at 4/1 rounds out the TrackWiz top three with a 55.00 rating for the reliable Jamie Ness barn, with Martin Chuan in the irons. Ness is a consistent presence at Delaware Park, and when he sends a first-time starter or lightly raced type to the gate, they're usually fit and ready. The avg speed figure of 52 is modest, but in a field this spread out below Dream Eagle, Yo Philly's connection advantage makes her worth including in any exotic ticket.

Race 7

7:42 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A thirteen-horse turf sprint field at five furlongs that's wide open below the top pick — with a morning-line overlay hiding in plain sight at 6/1.

win9ThisishowwedoitML 6/1

Thisishowwedoit is the clear top selection with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating in a field where the second-best horse checks in at 60.02 — a massive gap. Jomar Torres gets the mount for trainer Mark V. Salvaggio, and a 20% career win rate in a field this large is meaningful. The avg speed figure of 55 is competitive for a five-furlong turf sprint, and at 6/1 on the morning line, this feels like a genuine overlay considering the ratings advantage.

place3Midsummer MoML 5/2

Midsummer Mo at 5/2 is the morning-line second choice and earns that respect with a 60.02 rating — the only other horse in the field above 57. Martin Chuan gets the call for trainer Steve Epley, Jr., and an avg speed figure of 56, tied for the field's best, suggests this one can press or lead in a five-furlong sprint. If Thisishowwedoit draws into traffic in a field this size, Midsummer Mo has the speed to steal the race on the front end.

show6Regal Miss LilyML 8/1

Regal Miss Lily at 8/1 posts a 57.29 rating — third-best in the field — for trainer Flint W. Stites, with Ricardo Chiappe in the irons. The avg speed figure of 56 matches the field's top number, which means the raw pace ability is there even if the overall rating trails the leaders. In a thirteen-horse turf sprint where traffic and positioning can scramble the result, a horse with elite closing speed and a double-digit price is exactly the type you want in your trifecta.

Race 8

8:14 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile dirt starter optional claiming event where the top two horses are separated by less than a point in the ratings — and a live longshot makes the price on our place pick very interesting.

win3As the Bell TolesML 3/1

As the Bell Toles tops the TrackWiz ratings at 80.53 and carries a sharp 30% career win rate that stands out even in a competitive field. Kevin Gomez takes the mount for trainer Michael V. Simone, who also runs Vino Bella in this same race — when a barn double-enters and both horses rate this highly, it's a signal the connections are confident. The avg speed figure of 52 is consistent with the field, and at 3/1 on the morning line, this is fair value for the top-rated runner.

place5Vino BellaML 8/1

Vino Bella is the value bomb of Race 8 at 8/1 with a 79.79 rating — essentially the co-leader with the win pick when you look at the numbers side by side. Julio A. Hernandez handles the mount for the Simone barn, and a 20% career win rate over what looks like a solid sample keeps her very much in the mix. If the race sets up for a closer and the front-runners get into a speed duel, Vino Bella is the most dangerous horse to land late at a price.

show1Yes PicnicML 2/1

Yes Picnic draws the rail at 2/1 for the Jamie Ness barn with Martin Chuan up, and an eye-popping 50% career win rate is the first thing that jumps off the page. The 67.13 rating trails our top two, but horses who win half their starts tend to find ways to be competitive even when they aren't the best on paper. The inside post at one mile on the dirt is historically favorable at Delaware Park, and Yes Picnic's winning habit makes her a reliable show piece.

Race 9

8:46 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A short five-horse allowance optional claiming field at a mile and 70 yards where the top-rated horse is nearly flawless on paper — but the second and third choices make this competitive enough to play exotics.

win3SpeedynessML EVN

Speedyness posts a 90.00 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark on the entire card today — and draws evens on the morning line, which makes sense. Martin Chuan rides for Jamie Ness, who also sends out Irish Exit in this race, and when Ness double-enters at this level it often means the better horse is running to win. The 30% career win rate and avg speed figure of 53 are both respectable, and in a five-horse field this horse is the one you have to beat.

place2Shaft's BulletML 6/1

Shaft's Bullet at 6/1 is the live contender most bettors will overlook chasing the even-money top pick. A 74.00 rating and a 33% career win rate — the best among the supporting cast — make Emanuel Rosario's mount for trainer Gary Capuano a genuine threat. The avg speed figure of 54 actually nudges ahead of the favorite, which means if Speedyness has any off-day, Shaft's Bullet is sitting right there to cash.

show5HowgreatisnateML 6/1

Howgreatisnate at 6/1 for trainer Andrew L. Simoff with Julio A. Hernandez up completes a competitive trifecta box at the right price. The 73.51 rating is almost identical to Shaft's Bullet's, and a 28% career win rate shows consistent competitiveness at this level. In a five-horse field, trifecta plays can be efficient — keying Speedyness on top with Shaft's Bullet and Howgreatisnate underneath gives you solid coverage at live prices.

Race 10

9:18 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

The nightcap is a one-mile dirt claiming event with two horses rated in the mid-80s battling for supremacy — the morning-line order and TrackWiz's order don't quite agree, and that's where the play is.

win4So SoML 4/1

So So leads the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 despite opening at 4/1 on the morning line, while the crowd's likely favorite Good Willie opens at 2/1. Wesley Ho rides for trainer Michelle Castillo, and the avg speed figure of 52 is consistent with the rest of the competitive set. The key angle here is the ratings gap — So So rates more than two points clear of Good Willie, and when TrackWiz disagrees with the morning line this clearly, it's worth trusting the data and taking the overlay.

place3Good WillieML 2/1

Good Willie at 2/1 is the market's choice and a deserving one — an 83.54 rating, a 25% career win rate, and an avg speed figure of 54 that's the best in the field. Carol Cedeno rides for Michael Stidham, a barn that consistently places horses in spots they can win. Good Willie is the horse to beat and will likely be bet accordingly, but our analysis puts So So a tick above — making Good Willie the natural place ticket on any exacta.

show7Kitty's SonML 6/1

Kitty's Son at 6/1 rounds out the top three with a 71.88 rating for trainer Jose Corrales, with Emanuel Rosario taking the mount. The avg speed figure of 53 is right in the heart of the field, and while the 3% career win rate flags some inconsistency, that number can be misleading if the sample includes tougher spots. At 6/1 with a rating that comfortably clears the rest of the field below the top two, Kitty's Son is an attractive trifecta piece at a playable price.

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Bottom line: Delaware Park is offering a clean, playable 10-race card today with standout angles in the turf races and a legit headliner in Race 9. Our free best bets — Patton's Tizzy, Cha Cha Baby, and Expecting a Winner — are a solid starting point, but the real edge is in the full-card breakdown. If you're not already a TrackWiz subscriber, check out what's included at /pricing and get in before the first post. Good luck at the windows.

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