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Del Mar Picks & Predictions — November 14, 2026

9 racesAll Del Mar picks

Best bets at Del Mar today

  1. Race 13Not So Merry MaryML 5/2

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 7 races are for members.

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Not So Merry Mary is our top play on the free Race 1 Maiden Special Weight — she ranks 3rd in recent race speed and her jockey has hit the board in 51% of starts over the past year, giving us real confidence at her 5/2 morning line. That's the headliner for everyone on today's card.

Conditions at Del Mar are about as good as it gets in November — 69°F and partly cloudy, which means a fast, consistent surface on the dirt and a true turf course that should reward horses who can carry their speed. Nine races are on the slate, with a healthy mix of maiden specials, claiming races, a stakes, and some allowance action spread across both surfaces.

What makes today interesting is the volume of turf content — four of nine races go on the grass — and a bona fide stakes showdown in Race 3 where Holmby is drawing serious attention at an odds-on 4/5 morning line. There's also a legit longshot angle in Race 9 worth watching. Plenty to dig into.

Best Bets

Not So Merry Mary draws our eye in Race 1 for a few reasons beyond the obvious. Her recent pace numbers place her competitively in this maiden field, and when you pair that with a jockey who's won 19% of rides over the past year, you have a solid framework for a confident play at a price that offers real value — 5/2 isn't a gift, but it's fair for a horse with her profile. In maiden races, connections and work patterns matter enormously, and TrackWiz analysis gives her a 27.46% simulated win probability, meaningfully ahead of what her morning line implies.

The partly cloudy sky and mild temps mean the Del Mar dirt should be consistent from gate to wire — no moisture playing tricks on early speed or closers. That's worth keeping in mind as you assess pace scenarios throughout the card.

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Not So Merry Mary is the free play of the day in Race 1, and she's worth a confident look at 5/2. Beyond that, today's nine-race Del Mar card has genuine depth — a stakes race, four turf routes, and a couple of overlooked angles that could pay handsomely. The full breakdown, pace projections, and exotic strategies are waiting for subscribers. Good luck out there, and as always, bet smart.