Charles Town Picks & Predictions — November 12, 2026

Dark Fury is the morning-line favorite for good reason — fastest recent speed in the field at 12.67 sec/furlong and jockey Arnaldo Bocachica is flat-out elite with a 34% win rate and 72% in-the-money over the past year. He's also on the TrackWiz Top 50 Jockeys list. The rating (85.42) and sim win share (32.58%) are real, so he absolutely belongs underneath even if we're fading him slightly on top at 6/5.

Look Ahead opens at 4/1 and ranks third in the ratings at 64.2, with a 16% career win rate that shows she knows how to get to the winner's circle. Her connections aren't elite — trainer Timothy Shanley earns a C+ and jockey Keimar Trotman a C — but as a show play in exotics, she's a reasonable hedge at a price that projects to offer value in the trifecta pool.

Arditamente ranks second in the field at 68.74 and has quietly assembled an impressive recent form line — in the money in the last five races. Her dirt record is excellent (three wins and placed in 11 of 21 starts), and her recent speed of 12.10 sec/furlong ranks second in the field. At 6/1 on the morning line, she's a legit place play with upside in the exacta.

All Aboard ranks third in our ratings at 55.93 and brings a 18% career win rate and 46% in-the-money rate to a race where she's placed in multiple starts at this surface and distance combination. Her recent speed of 12.44 sec/furlong ranks third in the field. At 5/1, she fits neatly as the third wheel in trifecta combinations built around the top two.

Pepperoni Tony sits just one rating point behind Chummy at 57.50 and brings a more encouraging workout profile — second-best in the field over the past month at 11.87 sec/furlong — along with a second-best recent race speed of 12.25 sec/furlong. She's also placed in her only career start. At 5/2, she's nearly co-favorite and makes an excellent pairing with Chummy in exacta boxes.

Hundley enters with the top workout figure over the past month (11.80 sec/furlong), which is a meaningful positive in a wide-open maiden sprint. Jockey Jeiron Barbosa (22% win rate, 59% ITM) and trainer Anthony Farrior's combo has connected at 31% wins and 65% ITM together. His recent race speed figure is a concern at 14.19 sec/furlong (fourth in the field), and he's failed to place in his last two starts, but the workout edge and elite connections make him worth a trifecta spot at 3/1.

Uncle Chinito slots in second in the ratings at 77.35 and shows the second-fastest recent race speed in the field (12.01 sec/furlong). The jockey-trainer connection of Moises Santaella and Ronney W. Brown has combined for 29% wins and 65% ITM over the past year — that's a live combination. The slight concern is a claiming price increase from $10,000 to $15,000, which suggests connections believe in him at the step up. He sim-wins 22.58% of the time, making him a strong place play at 7/2.

Bumpkin opens at 15/1, which makes her an interesting show dart and longshot trifecta piece. She's placed in seven straight races, owns a 20% career win rate, and has been in the money in 15 of 20 dirt starts. The red flag is a steep claiming price jump from $5,000 to $15,000 — that's a significant class test — and her recent speed (12.30 sec/furlong) ranks third. But seven consecutive in-the-money finishes is hard to ignore entirely in exotic tickets.

Tina's Back comes in second in the ratings at 73.23 and has a steady form line — in the money in four of her last six races and owner of four wins in 28 dirt starts. Her recent race speed of 12.67 sec/furlong ranks third in the field. Trainer Anthony Lucas earns an A- grade and the overall profile makes her a natural place play at 4/1 — a price that could look very generous if the favorite finds any trouble.

Count the Flowers is a value-oriented show play at 8/1 morning line. Despite only ranking third in the ratings at 62.34, she's been on a solid form roll — in the money in five of her last six races and placed in both of her two most recent outings. Her recent race speed (12.60 sec/furlong) is actually the fastest in the field, which is an angle worth respecting. The concern is a modest Charles Town record (7 for 33 there) and her age, but current form argues for including her in trifectas.

Regal Flair ranks second in the ratings at 74.71 and posts the fastest recent race speed in the field (13.00 sec/furlong), which is a meaningful edge in a six-and-a-half-furlong dirt race. Jockey Jeiron Barbosa has a 22% win rate and 59% in-the-money rate over the past year — solid enough to trust. The concern is a short 19-day turnaround in a horse that apparently thrives with more rest, so monitor the scratch list and watch the morning betting patterns.

Rio Oso checks in third in the ratings at 74.06 and has built an excellent record at today's exact distance — in the money in all four starts at six and a half furlongs, including a win. Her dirt record (one win and five in-the-money finishes in 10 starts) also backs up her credentials. The only real knock is a 21-day rest period when she apparently prefers a longer freshening. Still, that distance mastery makes her a logical show play and trifecta anchor at 9/2.