Daily Picks

Century Mile Picks & Predictions — June 20, 2026

Saturday, June 20, 20269 racesCentury Mile

Rain is falling at Century Mile this Saturday and 58°F temperatures have the dirt playing wet — which means pace dynamics, post positions, and how a horse handles an off track are all going up the priority list today. Nine races are on the card, mixing quick Quarter Horse sprints with longer Thoroughbred routes, and there's plenty to work with from the first gate break to the final furlong.

The headliners are a pair of Stakes races in Races 6 and 9 — one featuring the heavily-backed Avana, another giving longshot hunters a real shot with Crusher Royale sitting at 6/1 on the morning line. Throw in a Futurity, a Derby, and two Maiden Optional Claiming battles to close the card, and you've got a full day at the windows.

TrackWiz has broken down all nine races. The first three — including the Futurity and the Derby — are free for every reader. Races 4 through 9 are part of our full-card premium analysis.

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Race 1

10:45 PM EDT

Futurity · 350 yd · Dirt

A wide-open Futurity at 350 yards with no prior speed figures to lean on — this one comes down to TrackWiz ratings and morning line signals, making it a true toss-up between two closely matched top contenders.

win4Great FallsML EVN

Great Falls opens at even money for a reason — our TrackWiz rating of 60.0 tops this five-horse field, and trainer William H. Leech sends him out with Ricardo Moreno aboard, a reliable combination at this level. In a race where no horse has an avgSpeed figure to compare, the morning line favorite often reflects inside track knowledge and works, and even money suggests the connections are confident. At 350 yards, there's no room for error — Great Falls needs a clean break and a clear lane, and if he gets both, he's the one to beat.

place1Rooters WagonML 2/1

Rooters Wagon rates second in this field at 58.33 — just a sliver behind Great Falls — and trainer Buckey A. Stockwell has him primed at 2/1 on the morning line. With O. Amador Hernandez up, this is a professional outfit that knows the quarter-horse game, and at a short sprint like 350 yards, finishing order can hinge on fractions of a second. If Great Falls stumbles at the gate, Rooters Wagon has the rating to steal it.

show5Secret WagonML 9/2

Secret Wagon sits third in the TrackWiz ratings at 54.17 and offers 9/2 morning line value in a race where the top two are separated by very little. Trainer Carson Frey also has A Dashing Wagon in here, giving the barn two chances, which sometimes means the lesser-hyped runner gets overlooked. In exotic wagering, Secret Wagon is a logical underneath piece at a price.

Race 2

11:15 PM EDT

Allowance · 870 yd · Dirt

Flight Club dominates the ratings and brings a jaw-dropping career win percentage to this Allowance at 870 yards, but Mamba On Three offers a live threat at a better price — expect a two-horse war with the rest playing for third.

win2Flight ClubML 9/5

Flight Club is simply in a class of her own on TrackWiz ratings, posting an 88.83 that is more than four points clear of the field, and that 63% career win rate is extraordinary — nearly two wins for every three starts. Trainer William H. Leech sends her out at 9/5 with Alexander Marti up, a sharp jockey-trainer combination at Century Mile. The 870-yard distance is a bit of an unusual ask, but a horse with that kind of win consistency tends to figure it out.

place4Mamba On ThreeML 2/1

Mamba On Three is the only horse in this field who can realistically challenge Flight Club on ratings, sitting at 84.91 with Keihton Natera in the irons. Her 21% career win rate is solid for this level, and she's one of three horses in the field posting a 55 avgSpeed figure. At 2/1 on the morning line, she offers better value than the favorite and has the raw ability to track Flight Club down if something goes sideways.

show5Come On Big LouML 7/2

Come On Big Lou checks in at 71.84 on our ratings — a clear step above the bottom half of this field — and shares that 55 avgSpeed figure with the top contenders. The 7/2 morning line acknowledges her talent, and while a 7% career win rate raises a flag, she has the profile of a horse who runs well without always getting to the winner's circle. In a race with a strong favorite, locking in Lou for the show slot in exactas and trifectas makes sense.

Race 3

11:45 PM EDT

Derby · 400 yd · Dirt

Warning Shott commands this Derby on ratings but faces a field with some sneaky credentials — notably O Sawyer's strong TrackWiz number and Jess the Train's eye-catching 40% career win rate at 2/1.

win2Warning ShottML 8/5

Warning Shott leads this seven-horse Derby field with a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 and a 28% career win rate — that's a meaningful strike rate for a horse stepping into a stakes at 400 yards. Ricardo Moreno takes the call for trainer William H. Leech, who has three horses in this race alone, suggesting serious barn confidence in this one. At 8/5 on the morning line, Warning Shott is a worthy favorite, and the rating edge here is not trivial.

place1O SawyerML 9/2

O Sawyer is quietly dangerous at 9/2 — his TrackWiz rating of 82.45 is the second-best in the field, which is a notable gap above the rest of the pack. Trainer Wesley T. Oulton sends him out with Daniel Alejandro Garcia, and while the 11% career win rate is modest, the raw rating suggests he's been competitive in tougher spots. If you're building trifecta tickets, O Sawyer underneath makes plenty of sense at a price.

show3Jess the TrainML 2/1

Jess the Train brings a 40% career win rate into this field — the highest strike rate among horses with meaningful starts — and goes off at just 2/1 for trainer Buckey A. Stockwell. O. Amador Hernandez is a solid pick-up in the irons, and while the TrackWiz rating of 72.71 slots him third, a horse who wins 40% of the time has a habit of finding ways to hit the board. He's a strong show play and a natural include in multi-horse exotics.

Today's three free races give you a solid foundation to build your card on. We're kicking things off in Race 1 with Great Falls in the Futurity at even money — on a wet-and-loose dirt surface, early quickness matters and our analysis likes this one to fire clean from the gate. Race 2 shifts gears to an 870-yard Allowance route where Flight Club (9/5 ML) earns one of the higher TrackWiz ratings on the free portion of the card at 88.83 — a strong figure for a race at this level.

Race 3 is the Derby at 400 yards, and Warning Shott (8/5 ML) tops our board with an 89.12 rating. Short-distance Derbies on off tracks can be chaotic, but Warning Shott's profile gives us confidence here. Three free races, three clear top picks — a nice starting point before we dig into the meat of the card.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The morning line favorite and the TrackWiz top-rated horse are NOT the same animal in this Claiming mile-plus, creating a genuine value angle — the handicapping and the crowd are pointing in different directions.

win3Curlin RocksML 3/1

Curlin Rocks is our top-rated horse in Race 4 at 87.08, a commanding number in a field where no one else cracks 76, and that 38% career win rate is among the best you'll find in a claiming field at any track. Trainer Geovani Olalde sends him out at 3/1 — overlaid compared to the morning line favorite Quinto Sol — with Kimal Santo in the saddle. Over a mile and 70 yards, a horse with a high win rate and elite rating should have every chance to settle into a comfortable trip and kick home.

place1A Man's ManML 5/1

A Man's Man rates second in this field at 75.26 with a 24% career win rate and a 55 avgSpeed figure that matches the top end of this group. Trainer Joan Petrowski has him at 5/1 with Ridge Balgobin aboard, and that price looks generous given he ranks clearly ahead of the morning line favorite on our ratings. He's a horse who could easily outrun his odds today.

show4Quinto SolML 8/5

Quinto Sol is the 8/5 morning line favorite, but our TrackWiz rating of 64.75 tells a more cautious story — he's third in the field on that metric despite being the crowd's choice. A 14% career win rate is below average for a favorite, and his 55 avgSpeed ties him with A Man's Man but trails Curlin Rocks on overall profile. He's worth including in exotics, but we wouldn't make him a single.

Race 5

12:45 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Two horses at the top of the TrackWiz ratings are separated by less than half a point, setting up what looks like a genuine pace duel in this six-furlong Claiming, while the morning line favorite sits third on our numbers — creating some interesting value angles.

win5Chaotic SkyML 7/2

Chaotic Sky tops our TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 — the clear leader in this field — and backs it up with a 33% career win rate, which is elite for a claiming horse. Trainer Ron Grieves also saddles G T Ray Sir, giving the barn two solid chances, but N'Rico Prescod gets the call on Chaotic Sky, which tells you where the barn's confidence sits. At 7/2 on the morning line, this is the TrackWiz value play of the race — the ratings say she should be the favorite.

place3G T Ray SirML 5/2

G T Ray Sir rates 78.62 — nearly identical to Justcallmejames at 78.21 — and shares that 54 avgSpeed figure with several rivals. At 5/2 with Mauricio Malvaez riding for trainer Ron Grieves, he gives the same barn two cracks at the win, and a horse this close to the top-rated runner figures to be dangerous at a price. His 11% career win rate is modest, but ratings-wise he belongs right in the conversation.

show1JustcallmejamesML 2/1

Justcallmejames is the morning line favorite at 2/1, and while our rating of 78.21 places him third in the field, he's separated by less than half a point from G T Ray Sir. Trainer Geovani Olalde teams with Amadeo Perez, and a 16% career win rate with a 53 avgSpeed suggests he's capable without being a standout. In a tight three-horse sequence at the top, he's a solid underneath piece for show and exotic play.

Race 6

1:15 AM EDT

Stakes · 7 fur · Dirt

Avana is one of the most dominant favorites on today's card — a 75% career win rate and a 90.0 TrackWiz rating in a five-horse Stakes field is about as close to a lock as this game gets, though the value play at 10/1 deserves a closer look.

win4AvanaML 4/5

Avana carries a TrackWiz rating of 90.0 — the highest of any horse on today's entire card — and her 75% career win rate is simply staggering. Trainer Barbara Heads sends her out as the 4/5 morning line favorite with Amadeo Perez aboard, and the combination of elite rating, dominant win record, and strong connections makes her the obvious single for multi-race wagers. At seven furlongs, a horse who wins three out of four starts has the class and tactical speed to control this field however she wants.

place2Who's That BabyML 10/1

Who's That Baby is a genuine value play at 10/1 — our rating of 74.38 ranks her second in this field, which means she's clearly ahead of Big Hug and the rest on paper despite being priced like a longshot. Trainer Tom Rycroft has her ready with Brian Boodramsingh riding, and a 25% career win rate with a 55 avgSpeed suggests she can hold a place comfortably even if Avana is uncatchable. At double-digit odds, she's one of the best value bets on the card.

show3Big HugML 7/5

Big Hug rates 73.58 — just a whisker behind Who's That Baby — and brings a remarkable 53% career win rate to back up the numbers. Trainer Rick Hedge has her at 7/5 on the morning line, which actually makes her the second choice in the wagering, but our ratings suggest Who's That Baby is the sneakier play at a much bigger price. Big Hug is a reliable underneath piece in exactas and trifectas given that win rate.

Race 7

1:45 AM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Wide-open Maiden Optional Claiming at six furlongs — none of these horses have won before, but Gigi's Addiction holds a massive ratings edge that makes her stand apart from a field full of question marks.

win5Gigi's AddictionML 2/1

Gigi's Addiction owns an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this maiden field by a significant margin — and is the only horse here who pairs a big number with a credible avgSpeed figure of 54. Trainer Dino K. Condilenios sends her out at 2/1 with Kimal Santo riding, and the modest odds relative to her rating edge suggest the connections know what they have. In a maiden race where most runners are unproven, a horse this far ahead on ratings deserves to be a confident top selection.

place3Goldie MonroeML 3/1

Goldie Monroe rates second in this field at 56.67 — a meaningful gap behind Gigi's Addiction but ahead of the rest — and goes postward at 3/1 for trainer Geovani Olalde. Rafael Zenteno Jr. takes the mount, and while there's no avgSpeed on record, the TrackWiz rating suggests she's working well enough to threaten for the runner-up spot. In maiden races, second place can be found at a price, and 3/1 for a clear second-rated runner is solid value.

show7El Bonita CaraML 7/2

El Bonita Cara comes in at 55.83 on our ratings — third-best in the field — and Silvino Morales gets the call for trainer Mel Snow at 7/2 on the morning line. She's one of several horses in here without a published avgSpeed, making this a projection play, but the rating is strong enough to warrant a show slot in exactas and trifectas. At 7/2, she offers reasonable upside in a race where the bottom half of the field is genuinely thin.

Race 8

2:15 AM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Another Maiden Optional Claiming at six furlongs, and once again the TrackWiz ratings tell a decisive story — Forced to Run has a commanding edge, but a field of nine means chaos is always a factor off a cold maiden field.

win4Forced to RunML 2/1

Forced to Run shares that top 88.54 TrackWiz rating with Gigi's Addiction from Race 7, and in a nine-horse maiden field, that kind of edge is significant. Trainer Kevin N. Scott sends him out at 2/1 on the morning line with Richard Henry aboard, and an avgSpeed of 53 gives him actual workout evidence that the rating reflects real performance. In a deep maiden field where several horses have no speed figures at all, a horse who has shown something on the clock is a major advantage.

place5Pour HouseML 5/2

Pour House rates 62.16 — second in this field — and goes off at 5/2 for trainer Todd Kettleson with Keimar Trotman riding. A 54 avgSpeed figure puts him among the faster horses with published figures in this race, and the 5/2 price makes him an excellent underneath play if Forced to Run gets the job done. In exotic wagering, pairing these two in exactas is a natural structure.

show3All for HimML 9/2

All for Him checks in at 54.17 on our ratings — third in the field — and lines up at 9/2 for trainer Robert Henson with Kimal Santo up. There's no avgSpeed on record, but the TrackWiz number stands out in a maiden field where the bottom five runners are clustered in the 28-45 range. He gives trifecta players a reasonably priced third option who has the ratings to legitimately threaten for the show spot.

Race 9

2:45 AM EDT

Stakes · 7 fur · Dirt

The marquee closer on the card — a nine-horse Stakes at seven furlongs where the morning line and the TrackWiz ratings diverge sharply, opening up a legitimate overlay at 6/1 that our analysis strongly supports.

win8Crusher RoyaleML 6/1

Crusher Royale is our top-rated horse in this field at 82.71, yet goes off at 6/1 on the morning line — that's the definition of a value overlay in a stakes race. A 37% career win rate is excellent for a stakes horse, and his 56 avgSpeed ties for the highest in the field. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson has him rolling with Dane Nelson in the irons, and at seven furlongs on dirt, a horse with this combination of rating, speed, and win rate should be a much shorter price than the board suggests.

place9SunbirdML 3/1

Sunbird rates 69.65 and is one of three horses in this field posting a 55 avgSpeed figure, with a standout 41% career win rate to boot. Trainer Geovani Olalde uses Antonio Ambrosio Reyes, and at 3/1 on the morning line, Sunbird figures to be the public's choice behind Lord of Battle. If Crusher Royale wins at the top, Sunbird has the consistency metrics to land the place comfortably.

show5Lord of BattleML 9/5

Lord of Battle is the 9/5 morning line favorite, and his 50% career win rate is the highest among horses with meaningful starts in this field. He ties for the top avgSpeed at 56 and has Rafael Zenteno Jr. up for trainer Gonzalo Anderson — a sharp combination. Our rating of 68.56 slots him third in the field behind Crusher Royale and Sunbird, which is why we fade him at the top of the ticket and slot him in the show position where his consistency still earns his place.

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Nine races, a rain-soaked Century Mile strip, and a day full of decisions — Great Falls, Flight Club, and Warning Shott anchor the free picks, while Avana and a tantalizing Crusher Royale longshot angle headline the premium half of the card. Stay sharp, respect the off track, and don't overbet the chalk just because the conditions feel like a leveler. Full analysis — pace projections, exotic tickets, and every angle — is waiting for subscribers at TrackWiz Premium. Good luck out there.

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