Daily Picks

Century Mile Picks & Predictions — June 19, 2026

Friday, June 19, 20268 racesCentury Mile

It's a Friday afternoon at Century Mile and the conditions are about as good as it gets in Edmonton — partly cloudy skies, a comfortable 68°F, and a fast dirt surface that should reward horses with clean early positioning. Eight races are on the board today, spanning everything from a short 400-yard maiden sprint to a route at a mile and 70 yards.

The card leans heavily on dirt sprints, with four races going seven furlongs and a pair at six. That consistent distance cluster sets up some interesting pace dynamics throughout the afternoon — speed horses that get loose on the front end could be tough to catch, while closers will need pace meltdowns to get involved. Keep that in mind as you build your tickets.

TrackWiz has full analysis across all eight races, with three races available free to all readers and five more unlocked for subscribers. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:15 AM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

A short-field maiden sprint over 400 yards where TrackWiz ratings create a clear top two — but maiden quarters are notoriously unpredictable, and Tom Kenway saddles both top-rated horses.

win3One Sweet CruiseML 9/5

One Sweet Cruise draws the morning-line favoritism at 9/5 and backs it up with the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 88.13. Trainer Tom Kenway sending out two horses in this race is an interesting angle — when a conditioner splits a race like this, it often means they have genuine confidence in the one they're betting harder. Jockey Kimal Santo gets the call here, and in a 400-yard dash there's not much margin for error, so the rider assignment can be telling. As a maiden, there's no career record to lean on, but the rating separation between One Sweet Cruise and the rest of the field (outside of stablemate Inseperable Cruise) is significant.

place5Inseperable CruiseML 3/1

Inseperable Cruise sits just a whisker behind One Sweet Cruise in the TrackWiz ratings at 85.68, making this a legitimate 1-2 for the Kenway barn. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's mild value here compared to the favorite, and in a six-horse field the place spot is very much in play. If the two horses break evenly, a stablemate finish wouldn't surprise anyone.

show2GiggetteML 9/2

Giggette is the clear third choice in our ratings at 65.98 — a meaningful drop from the top two but a significant jump above the remaining trio. At 9/2 on the morning line, Daniel Tavares has a horse that could easily slot into the exotics if either Kenway runner has any trouble at the break. In a 400-yard sprint, gate speed is everything, and Giggette's rating gives her a puncher's chance at the show spot.

Race 2

12:45 AM EDT

Starter Allowance · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

American Farmer dominates this starter allowance field on paper with a 90 rating and the top win percentage — the real contest may be for the runner-up spots behind a heavy chalk.

win5American FarmerML 2/5

American Farmer is the standout in this field and it's not particularly close — a TrackWiz rating of 90 tops the card, and his 16% career win rate is the best in the field at a route distance. The 2/5 morning line reflects what the market already knows, but short prices win races too. Kimal Santo is back in the irons, the same rider the TrackWiz model trusts most in this spot, and over 1 mile and 70 yards there's plenty of time to overcome any pace complications.

place3Buck's FizzML 9/2

Buck's Fizz is the most logical threat to the favorite at a rating of 76.09, backed by the field's best average speed figure of 55 and a 15% career win rate. Trainer Paul LeMasurier has him going at 9/2, which offers solid place value if you're looking to structure exotics around the heavy favorite. At a route distance, a horse with an above-average speed number and a consistent win clip gives you something real to work with.

show2ViatureML 5/1

Viature rates third on our model at 60.2 and mirrors Barney Google in raw career stats — both at 13% win rate and an average speed of 54 — but the TrackWiz model separates them by nearly 10 points. At 5/1, trainer Tim Rycroft has him in a spot where a solid effort could land the show, and in a five-horse field the show pool thins out quickly. Worth including in trifectas underneath the top two.

Race 3

1:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Trainer Gonzalo Anderson holds the top two picks in this six-furlong claimer, creating a fascinating barn vs. barn dynamic — but it's the class numbers, not just the stable, that make this worth watching.

win5GlavaML 9/5

Glava comes in with the field's best TrackWiz rating at 88.83 and a morning line of 9/5 that suggests the market agrees. A 24% career win rate is genuinely strong for a claiming runner, and the average speed figure of 55 ties the top mark in this field. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson has two horses in this race, and Glava — with the higher rating and Dane Nelson aboard — appears to be the preferred runner from the barn.

place3WhatwomenwantML 5/2

Whatwomenwant is the most intriguing profile in the field with a 33% career win rate — the highest of any horse in this race by a wide margin. Her TrackWiz rating of 83.13 is second-best, and she's trained by Gonzalo Anderson, who clearly has this barn rolling. The 5/2 morning line makes her legitimate win-bet material, and she's a near-certainty for the place column if Glava gets the job done.

show4You'reinthearmynowML 7/2

You'reinthearmynow rates a reasonable third at 65.5 and comes in at 7/2 on the morning line, which offers some place-show value in a field where the top two are clustered together. A 12% career win rate isn't flashy, but trainer Tom Rycroft places his horses thoughtfully, and a six-furlong trip gives a mid-pack type time to find racing room. Solid show inclusion in exacta and trifecta tickets.

Our free selections today cover the first three races — a solid cross-section of the card that includes a maiden sprint, a route starter allowance, and a six-furlong claimer. The headliner among the free picks is American Farmer in Race 2, who drew a commanding 90 TrackWiz rating and sits at a short 2/5 morning line. That price won't offer much value, but the rating backs up the confidence. Meanwhile, One Sweet Cruise (Race 1, 9/5) and Glava (Race 3, 9/5) both grade out with ratings in the 88-range and carry morning lines that could offer real value if the pools soften them up at all.

One angle worth noting across the free races: all three are on a dirt surface that figures to be consistent under today's mild, dry conditions. No weather wild cards to account for — straightforward handicapping from top to bottom.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

1:45 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

H K Mimi enters this seven-furlong claimer as a heavy morning-line favorite backed by a TrackWiz rating that towers over the field — the question is whether the price is worth playing or the value is entirely in the exotics.

win1H K MimiML 3/2

H K Mimi draws the top TrackWiz rating in the race at 89.27 and carries a 25% career win rate — one of the stronger records in this field. Trainer Tom Rycroft, who appears multiple times on today's card, sends her out at 3/2, and Jose Mariano Asencio gets the ride. At seven furlongs, a horse with a legitimate speed base and a strong career record commands respect, and the rating gap between H K Mimi and the rest of the field is wide enough to justify the favorite's price.

place3HazaelML 7/2

Hazael rates second on our model at 77.26 with a 20% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure matching the top of the field. Trainer Paul LeMasurier has him at 7/2, which is a fair price for a horse that profiles as a legitimate threat to land second. Mauricio Malvaez has the call, and if H K Mimi gets clear early, Hazael looks like the most likely beneficiary of a clean trip in a mid-size field.

show5Flirtation CardML 5/2

Flirtation Card slots in third on the TrackWiz model at 72.16, and at 5/2 she's actually the second betting choice behind the favorite, suggesting the public may like her chances for more than just the show. A 15% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure make her a consistent type. In exotics, she's a strong include in the bottom of trifectas underneath H K Mimi and Hazael.

Race 5

2:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Tim Rycroft sends out the top two picks in this seven-furlong claimer — but the plot twist is that our top-rated horse isn't the morning-line favorite, creating genuine value at the windows.

win5Just KenML 5/2

Just Ken tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 but is listed at 5/2 on the morning line — longer than stablemate Silent Count at 4/5. That's a value signal worth noting. Both are trained by Tim Rycroft, and when a barn splits a race like this, the market doesn't always get the pecking order right. Kimal Santo takes the mount, and a 12% career win rate won't jump off the page, but the model sees something in Just Ken's profile that the morning line underestimates.

place4Silent CountML 4/5

Silent Count is the public's choice at 4/5 and rates a strong second on our model at 81.52 — the gap between him and Just Ken is just over six points, which isn't enormous. His 11% career win rate matches Just Ken's, and both carry a 54 average speed figure, so this really does come down to subtle distinctions. He's a near-lock for the place in a race where two Rycroft horses look like the class of the field.

show3Independence NeighML 10/1

Independence Neigh is an interesting inclusion at 10/1 morning line, rating third at 70.47 with a 54 average speed figure — the same as the top two but at significantly longer odds. Trainer Colton Reid has him in a spot where a pace battle between the two Rycroft runners could set up nicely for a closer, and 10/1 for the show slot in a six-horse field is meaningful value. A sneaky live ticket for trifecta players.

Race 6

2:45 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A seven-horse allowance optional claiming field where Inxpress owns a clear class edge on the TrackWiz model, but the supporting cast offers genuine price plays for exotic bettors willing to go deep.

win7InxpressML 8/5

Inxpress sits at the top of this field with an 89.12 TrackWiz rating and the best average speed figure in the race at 55. Trainer Tom Rycroft is one of the busiest conditioners on today's card, and Jose Mariano Asencio picks up the mount — a pairing that appears multiple times today. An 18% career win rate in what is a quality allowance optional claiming condition is respectable, and at 8/5 on the morning line, the market has landed in roughly the right place.

place2Why Nots a WynnerML 5/1

Why Nots a Wynner is one of the more intriguing profiles in this race — a 76.07 TrackWiz rating paired with a 20% career win rate that shows she can actually get to the winner's circle. Trainer Mel Snow has her at 5/1, which is a price that makes real sense for place bettors and exacta players. The 54 average speed figure puts her a tick behind Inxpress but comfortably ahead of the rest of the field.

show4Higher ImageML 6/1

Higher Image rates fourth overall in the field at 70.75 but lands third in our picks by a narrow margin over several comparable horses. His 13% career win rate and 54 average speed figure make him a consistent presence without being a headline act. At 6/1, trainer Robert Van Overschot has him at a price where show-ticket inclusion and trifecta placement make solid sense for players building exotic tickets.

Race 7

3:15 AM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Rip Riding Away dominates the TrackWiz ratings in this six-furlong starter optional claiming race, but Fastestgirlintown at 5/2 gives bettors a live alternative, and there's a legitimate show value play lurking further down the board.

win1Rip Riding AwayML 6/5

Rip Riding Away holds the top rating in the race at 89.71 — the highest number on today's entire card among non-maiden runners — and a 25% career win rate backs up the model's confidence. Trainer Craig Robert Smith deploys Kimal Santo, a rider he clearly trusts given the pairing appears elsewhere on the card. The 6/5 morning line is short but deserved — a 55 average speed figure and a strong career record in a starter optional claiming field puts this horse in a class of his own here.

place5FastestgirlintownML 5/2

Fastestgirlintown rates a strong second at 84.95 with a 21% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure — only one tick off the top. Dane Nelson takes the mount, and trainer Gonzalo Anderson has been active and well-represented on today's card. At 5/2, she's not a longshot, but she's a genuine threat to place if Rip Riding Away has any issues, and at six furlongs the pace could set up for a horse sitting just off the lead.

show4LicoriceML 8/1

Licorice is the most interesting show play in the race at 8/1 — Richard Balgobin gets the mount for trainer James R. Brown, and the 74.06 TrackWiz rating gives him a real edge over the remaining half of the field. A 14% career win rate isn't eye-popping, but the model sees enough quality in the pace profile to slot Licorice third. At 8/1 in an eight-horse field, this is exactly the type of horse that pays well in trifectas.

Race 8

3:45 AM EDT

Starter Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A nine-horse starter allowance at six furlongs where Wedge Pond and Thompson occupy the top two spots on the TrackWiz model — but the pace could get contentious with multiple speed horses, making the show spot genuinely competitive.

win3Wedge PondML 3/1

Wedge Pond leads all runners in this nine-horse field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and the race's best career win percentage at 32% — a standout figure in any field. Trainer James R. Brown pairs with Richard Balgobin, and the 55 average speed figure ties the top of the card. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's actually decent value here relative to some of the shorter-priced horses we've seen today. The win percentage alone separates Wedge Pond as a horse that has demonstrated the ability to close out races.

place1ThompsonML 5/2

Thompson checks in second on the model at 76.66 with a 23% career win rate — another strong win clip — and a 55 average speed figure matching the top runners in this field. Trainer Geovani Olalde has him at 5/2, which is actually a lower morning-line price than our pick to win, suggesting the public may slightly prefer Thompson. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes gets the mount, and in a field this size, a horse with Thompson's numbers is a safe place-bet anchor.

show5Broke an BrokenML 8/1

Broke an Broken at 8/1 is the value play in the exotics here — a 73.82 TrackWiz rating and a 24% career win rate make him one of the stronger horses in the bottom half of this nine-horse field. Trainer Barry Hodgson has him at a price that doesn't reflect what the numbers suggest, and Amadeo Perez gets the call. A 55 average speed figure keeps him competitive at six furlongs, and 8/1 for a show slot in a race where the top two are fairly clear makes Broke an Broken a smart trifecta include.

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Eight races, good weather, and a consistent dirt surface — Century Mile is giving us a clean slate to work with today. Start with American Farmer as the anchor of the free card, keep an eye on One Sweet Cruise and Glava for value at 9/5, and let TrackWiz subscribers handle the premium races with full pace analysis and exotic ticket breakdowns. Good luck at the windows.

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