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Century Downs Picks & Predictions — October 24, 2026

October 24, 202611 racesAll Century Downs picks

Bundle up, Century Downs is open for business on a cold and cloudy Saturday, with temperatures sitting right around 35°F. The chill in the Alberta air shouldn't slow things down on the dirt, but keep an eye on how the surface plays early — a cold, firm track can sometimes favor horses with early speed who get out and never look back.

Eleven races are on the card today, and it's a genuinely exciting mix. The first three races are all stakes events, so this card comes out of the gate swinging. Quarter horse fans are in for a treat with a pair of short-distance sprints on the early slate, while the Thoroughbred routes and sprints take over from Race 4 onward. Stakes races dot the card all the way through Race 6, making this one of the more stakes-heavy mid-week-style Saturday cards you'll see at this level.

From a chalk-heavy opener to a legit double-digit longshot angle in Race 10, today's card has something for every type of player. Three races are free for all TrackWiz readers, with full premium analysis available for the remaining eight.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:45 PM EDT

Stakes · 770 yd · Dirt

A stakes sprint at 770 yards that's basically a one-horse show on paper — Flight Club is an overwhelming morning-line favorite at 1/9, leaving the rest of the field fighting for the minor awards.

win2Flight ClubML 1/9

Flight Club is the rare 1/9 shot that actually deserves the price. With a TrackWiz rating of 90 — the maximum in this field — and a career win rate of 57%, this horse simply operates at a different level than anything else entered here. Under Alexander Marti, trainer William H. Leech sends out a horse that profiles as a dominant force at the sprint distance. The only real question is whether you want to bet chalk this short, or use it as a banker in exotics.

place5Ramblin RiggsML 15/1

Ramblin Riggs at 15/1 is the most interesting horse in the secondary spots. A 21% career win rate is respectable in any field, and trainer Laura E. Conway has a runner that profiles as live for the minor awards once Flight Club clears out. At those odds, Ramblin Riggs offers real value in place and show wagering.

show3Splash Mountain MiaML 20/1

Splash Mountain Mia holds a slight edge over the rest of the longshots with a TrackWiz rating of 29.26, and jockey Alejandro Jorge Angeles gives the barn a competent ride. At 20/1 on the morning line, Splash Mountain Mia is a speculative inclusion in trifecta tickets as the third wheel behind the top two — especially in a short field where the chalk figures to dominate.

Race 2

8:13 PM EDT

Stakes · 350 yd · Dirt

A 350-yard stakes that sets up as a genuine battle between form and firepower — First Flash the Moon carries the top rating, but The Friendly Fire and Babes Wagon both have real credentials to complicate things.

win2First Flash the MoonML 7/2

First Flash the Moon tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 despite going off at 7/2, which makes this an overlay situation worth exploiting. The 16% career win rate understates the horse's quality in these short dashes — speed figure consistency and overall profile point toward a top-two finish at minimum. Trainer Craig Robert Smith and jockey Miguel Angel Lopez form a capable combination for this distance.

place1Streakin Snow WagonML 9/2

Streakin Snow Wagon draws the rail and posts a solid 74.51 TrackWiz rating, making it the second-best rated runner in this seven-horse field. No career wins on the board yet, but the rating suggests competitive speed that can get the job done for place at a fair 9/2 price. Trainer Buckey A. Stockwell keeps this one in stakes company for a reason.

show7Babes WagonML 4/1

Babes Wagon is the show pick with some legitimate upside — a 16% career win rate and a 60.24 TrackWiz rating make this runner one of three genuine contenders in the race. At 4/1 on the morning line, Babes Wagon isn't a longshot, but the value in trifecta construction is real. Trainer Misael Moreno, who also saddles Splashy Nightrider, clearly brings live horses here tonight.

Race 3

8:41 PM EDT

Stakes · 400 yd · Dirt

She My Dulce Girl looks nearly unbeatable at 4/5 in this 400-yard stakes, but the race behind her is genuinely competitive — Cervezas Fire and O Sawyer both have the ratings to make this a meaningful exacta battle.

win1She My Dulce GirlML 4/5

She My Dulce Girl carries a perfect 90 TrackWiz rating and a staggering 62% career win rate — the highest winning percentage in the entire night's card. At 4/5 on the morning line, you're not getting value on the win bet, but this horse is the definition of a banker for exotics. Trainer Misael Moreno and jockey Daniel Tavares are clearly clicking, and fading this runner would be a tough spot to defend.

place5Cervezas FireML 6/1

Cervezas Fire is the most intriguing runner behind the heavy favorite — an 82.67 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win rate give this horse legitimate credentials at 6/1. Trainer William H. Leech, who also saddles Hot Cerveza, keeps both runners sharp, and Alexander Marti is a capable pilot for the short sprint distance. This is the horse to use underneath in exactas if you're taking She My Dulce Girl on top.

show8O SawyerML 7/2

O Sawyer checks in with a 78.68 TrackWiz rating and a 26% career win rate from trainer Wesley T. Oulton — strong numbers for a horse going off at 7/2. The slightly wider morning line reflects the presence of two horses rated above 80, but O Sawyer's profile says this runner will be competitive for the show spot at minimum. A nice third piece for trifecta tickets.

The free portion of today's card is stacked with stakes action across the quarter horse distances, and our analysis leans heavily on two near-locks bookending a genuine competitive puzzle. Flight Club opens the card at an eye-popping 1/9 morning line in Race 1 — that's the oddsmakers telling you this one is essentially a walkover at 770 yards, and our TrackWiz rating of 90 agrees. Similarly, She My Dulce Girl carries a 4/5 morning line and a matching 90 rating in the 400-yard Race 3 stakes. When two horses in the free tier both max out the rating at 90, that's a signal worth paying attention to.

The intrigue comes in Race 2, where First Flash the Moon lands as our top pick at 7/2 in a 350-yard stakes sprint. That's a legitimate overlay if the morning line holds, and at that distance every fraction of a second matters — pace scenario here is almost irrelevant because it's basically one giant explosion out of the gate. Our rating of 86.35 suggests confidence without certainty, which is exactly the kind of race where value lives. These three free picks give you a strong foundation for early multi-race wagers before the premium card kicks in at Race 4.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

9:09 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A claiming route at 1 1/16 miles where the top of the market features genuinely close ratings — Snap Count edges out Late Night Living by a handful of points, and the pace scenario over a route distance makes this far more open than the morning line suggests.

win4Snap CountML 5/2

Snap Count carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.81 and goes off at a fair 5/2 — this isn't an overlay, but it's not a short price you have to apologize for either. The average speed figure of 52 is consistent with the field, and trainer Gonzalo Anderson puts jockey Antonio Whitehall aboard a horse that profiles as a route runner with tactical pace. The rating gap between Snap Count and the next-best runner is meaningful enough to make this the confident top selection.

place3Late Night LivingML 2/1

Late Night Living is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and earns that respect with an 80.96 TrackWiz rating and a consistent avgSpeed of 53. Trainer Geovani Olalde sends this runner out with Mauricio Malvaez in the irons — a competent combination for the route distance. At 2/1, the place price won't be generous, but Late Night Living is solid enough to include in exactas underneath Snap Count.

show5BodemonsterML 3/1

Bodemonster at 3/1 rounds out our top three with a 72.42 TrackWiz rating and average speed figures of 52 — right in the thick of this claiming field. Trainer Rick Hedge has a runner here that won't light up the tote board, but the consistency suggested by the ratings makes Bodemonster a reasonable trifecta inclusion. Ridge Balgobin handles the riding assignment.

Race 5

9:37 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A stakes route where three horses share a 50% career win rate, but Cowboy Now's superior TrackWiz rating and edge in average speed figures give him a clear class advantage over a competitive field.

win3Cowboy NowML 7/5

Cowboy Now is the TrackWiz top selection at 89.42 — the highest rating in this field — and the average speed figure of 54 is a tick better than most rivals. What really stands out is that all three of the leading contenders share a 50% career win rate, meaning Cowboy Now's edge comes entirely from the quality of those wins as reflected in the ratings. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson and jockey Antonio Whitehall have been a productive combination, and the 7/5 morning line is fair for a horse this clearly superior on the numbers.

place4Patriot's WordML 5/2

Patriot's Word is the second-highest rated horse at 80.73 with an avgSpeed of 54 that matches Cowboy Now tick for tick. The 33% career win rate is slightly below the top contenders, but trainer Karline Kingston keeps this runner competitive in stakes company. At 5/2, this is a reasonable place selection if Cowboy Now runs as expected.

show2Rock in CommandML 2/1

Rock in Command is the show pick here, and at 2/1 this is a legitimate contender — not a throwaway third selection. The 58.33 TrackWiz rating lags behind the top two, but a 50% career win rate and an avgSpeed of 53 suggest a horse that runs consistently. Trainer Mel Snow, who also saddles Rockin Texan, clearly knows this field, and jockey Amadeo Perez is a capable handler for the route distance.

Race 6

10:05 PM EDT

Stakes · 7 1/2 fur · Dirt

A seven-furlong stakes where Beyondthesun is the clear top selection, but the real intrigue is a tight cluster of three horses between 83 and 85 on the TrackWiz scale fighting for the minor spots.

win3BeyondthesunML 6/5

Beyondthesun tops the TrackWiz ratings at 89.71 and backs it up with a 50% career win rate — those are elite numbers in any field. The avgSpeed of 54 is tied for best in the race, and trainer James R. Brown sends this runner out at 6/5 on the morning line with Antonio Ambrosio Reyes in the irons. At that price it's not a value play, but the profile screams top selection — use as a single on top of exactas and trifectas.

place5Dis CreedML 9/2

Dis Creed is the most interesting angle in this race — an 84.90 TrackWiz rating with a 9/2 morning line on a horse with no career wins yet. That rating says the talent is there, and trainer Craig Robert Smith clearly believes in the horse enough to enter in stakes company. Kimal Santo gets the call, and at 9/2 this is genuine place value compared to the morning-line favorite.

show7Silent BlurrML 3/1

Silent Blurr at 3/1 has a 83.90 TrackWiz rating and an avgSpeed of 54 — matching the best in the field on that metric. The 20% career win rate is modest, but trainer Rodney J. Cone knows this horse well, having also entered Queen Astrid in the same race. Amadeo Perez rides, and this runner belongs in your trifecta as the third wheel in what should be a quality top three.

Race 7

10:33 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming route where nobody in the field has ever won — that blank slate makes TrackWiz ratings and speed figure trends the most reliable guides in an inherently unpredictable race.

win4Danger CatML 5/2

Danger Cat leads the field with a 69.46 TrackWiz rating and the highest morning line of any horse we're recommending at 5/2. The avgSpeed of 52 is solid for maiden claiming company, and trainer Rick Hedge puts Keimar Trotman up — a jockey with plenty of mounts on the card tonight, suggesting he's a go-to rider at this meet. In a field of maidens, the rating advantage is the clearest edge you can find, and Danger Cat has it.

place3Mo ArthurML 4/1

Mo Arthur checks in second in our ratings at 55.00 and carries a 4/1 morning line — reasonable odds for a horse that profiles as the second-best runner on paper. The avgSpeed of 51 is a touch below Danger Cat's, but trainer Craig Robert Smith consistently fields competitive runners at Century Downs. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes is an experienced hand for a maiden that needs a clean trip.

show2Crypto FireML 3/1

Crypto Fire rounds out the top three at 52.15 on the TrackWiz scale, with an avgSpeed of 53 — actually a tick better than Mo Arthur on that measure. Trainer Cory Rumsey sends this one out at 3/1, making it one of the shorter-priced runners in the field. Amadeo Perez handles the ride, and in a race where nobody has won before, Crypto Fire's speed figure gives it a credible path to a show check.

Race 8

11:01 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

An allowance optional claiming sprint where River Seven's top rating gets challenged by a pair of proven runners — Chase's 37% win rate and Kauai Dan's consistency make this a competitive three-horse battle for the exacta.

win4River SevenML 7/2

River Seven tops the field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and the highest average speed figure in the race at 55 — a meaningful edge in a six-furlong sprint where early speed pays off. The 25% career win rate is solid, and trainer Joan Petrowski puts Antonio Ambrosio Reyes aboard a horse that has clearly been performing at a high level. The 7/2 morning line represents fair value for the top-rated runner.

place6ChaseML 3/1

Chase is the place pick and arguably the most accomplished horse in the race — a 37% career win rate is the highest in the field, and the 80.80 TrackWiz rating confirms the talent is real. Trainer Robert Henson and jockey Amadeo Perez combine on a runner that knows how to finish, and at 3/1 there's legitimate place value here. The avgSpeed of 54 is consistent with the top horses in this sprint.

show3Kauai DanML 5/2

Kauai Dan has a 73.68 TrackWiz rating and a 33% career win rate — strong credentials for a horse going off at 5/2. Trainer Karline Kingston, who also saddles Asiniy's Storm in Race 6, is active on the card and clearly has runners ready. The avgSpeed of 53 is a tick below the top two, which is why this horse slots into the show position, but the profile makes it a confident trifecta inclusion.

Race 9

11:29 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Tool Time is as dominant a favorite as you'll find tonight — a 90 TrackWiz rating at 4/5 in a claiming sprint where the rest of the field is fighting for a distant second place.

win5Tool TimeML 4/5

Tool Time carries the maximum 90 TrackWiz rating and a 29% career win rate in a field of claimers — that combination makes this horse the standout of the night's card in terms of outright dominance. The avgSpeed of 54 is at the top of the field, and trainer Tim Rycroft puts Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez aboard a runner that simply looks better than anything else entered here. Like Flight Club in Race 1, the question is value — but the horse is as close to a lock as the sport allows.

place4ShashashakemeupML 4/1

Shashashakemeup at 4/1 is our place selection with a 66.83 TrackWiz rating — a big step below Tool Time, but clearly the second-best horse in this field. The 15% career win rate is modest, but trainer James R. Brown sends this runner out with Antonio Ambrosio Reyes, who is having an active night at Century Downs. The avgSpeed of 54 matches Tool Time on that metric, suggesting legitimate competitive speed.

show2Eddie CrosswireML 8/1

Eddie Crosswire is a value-oriented show pick at 8/1 — the 62.70 TrackWiz rating is third-best in the field, and trainer Travis Robson brings this runner in off what appears to be a return to form. No average speed figure on record, which introduces some uncertainty, but the rating and the morning line suggest a horse that can sneak into the trifecta at a price worth having.

Race 10

11:57 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A full and competitive eleven-horse claiming field at 6.5 furlongs — this is the deepest race on the card, and our top selection is a genuine longshot angle at 10/1 in a race where the morning line doesn't tell the whole story.

win7Jump the QueueML 10/1

Jump the Queue is the TrackWiz longshot play of the night — a 76.88 rating that is the highest in this eleven-horse field, yet the horse goes off at 10/1 on the morning line. That disconnect between the rating and the odds is exactly the kind of overlay we're always hunting. Trainer Tom Rycroft puts Brian Boodramsingh up, and the 24% career win rate says this horse has been to the winner's circle before. If the TrackWiz model is right about this runner, 10/1 is a gift.

place10Tennessee MosesML 3/1

Tennessee Moses at 3/1 is the morning-line co-favorite with a 66.30 TrackWiz rating — the second-best in the field — and a 17% career win rate from trainer James R. Brown. The avgSpeed of 53 puts this runner right in the middle of the competitive cluster, and Mauricio Malvaez is a capable pilot for the sprint distance. A solid place selection in a deep field.

show1WhatwomenwantML 9/2

Whatwomenwant brings a 62.77 TrackWiz rating and a 27% career win rate into this wide-open field — numbers that suggest a horse with more ability than a 9/2 morning line might indicate. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson is active throughout tonight's card, and Antonio Whitehall handles the riding duties. The avgSpeed of 53 is consistent with the field, and this runner deserves consideration in trifecta tickets.

Race 11

12:25 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The final race of the night is a twelve-horse claiming sprint with a clear top selection — Seattle Sting's 88.54 rating is a class above, but Skip's Money and Gracie Daymaker make this an interesting exacta race behind the favorite.

win10Seattle StingML 2/1

Seattle Sting is the standout at 88.54 on the TrackWiz scale — the top rating in a twelve-horse field by a substantial margin — and the 2/1 morning line makes this the best-priced legitimate favorite on the card. The 12% career win rate might give some bettors pause, but the quality of performances reflected in that rating says this horse simply runs at a higher level than these claimers. Trainer David Nicholson puts Keimar Trotman up, a jockey who has been all over the card tonight.

place4Skip's MoneyML 3/1

Skip's Money is the second-ranked horse at 80.40 with a 20% career win rate — that's solid production in claiming company. Trainer Craig Robert Smith, who also saddles Worthy Spirit in this race, clearly has faith in this runner at 3/1. Kimal Santo gets the call, and the avgSpeed of 52 is consistent with the competitive horses in this sprint. A confident exacta partner underneath Seattle Sting.

show3Gracie DaymakerML 8/1

Gracie Daymaker is the show pick at 8/1, and at that price this is genuine value — a 72.22 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win rate are the third-best figures in the field. Trainer Ron Grieves sends this runner out with N'Rico Prescod in the irons, and the avgSpeed of 52 keeps this horse in the competitive cluster. In a twelve-horse field, 8/1 for a horse with these numbers is a trifecta angle worth taking seriously.

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Today at Century Downs, the foundation plays are Flight Club in Race 1 and She My Dulce Girl in Race 3 — both carry 90 TrackWiz ratings and short morning lines that reflect genuine dominance. First Flash the Moon at 7/2 in Race 2 is the early-card value spot worth targeting. For the full breakdown across all 11 races — including pace analysis, exotic tickets, and our longshot angle in Race 10 — subscribe to TrackWiz premium and get every edge we've got before the first gate opens.

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