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Century Downs Picks & Predictions — October 2, 2026

October 2, 20269 racesAll Century Downs picks

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 9-race card at Century Downs. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 9 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

12:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A Man's Man towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win3A Man's ManML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 1. Career win rate of 24% shows consistency. Ridden by Antonio Ambrosio Reyes, trained by Joan Petrowski. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.94 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races. 8 wins and placed in 21 of 37 races on Dirt tracks. Has 2 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races at 1 1/16 mi. 2 wins and placed in 7 of 7 races at Century Downs. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place2Somthing ElusiveML 2/1

Rating board at 78.1. Ridden by Kimal Santo. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.35 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races.

show4Writ in StoneML 3/1

Rating board at 63.8. Ridden by Jose Mariano Asencio. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races.

Race 2

12:43 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Princess Fave — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win3Princess FaveML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 2. Career win rate of 22% shows consistency. Ridden by Antonio Whitehall, trained by Karline Kingston. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.51 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races.

place6CaravallaML 9/2

Rating board at 81.7. Ridden by Keihton Natera. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.66 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 7 of 13 races on Dirt tracks.

show4Dreaming d'OroML 2/1

Rating board at 77.8. Ridden by Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 66% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races.

Race 3

1:11 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Papichulo grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win1PapichuloML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 3. Career win rate of 44% shows consistency. Ridden by Jose Mariano Asencio, trained by Colten Mead. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.58 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. 17 wins and placed in 27 of 38 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has 11 wins and placed in 19 of 26 of Sprint races. 1 wins and placed in 2 of 2 races at Century Downs. Jockey & Horse combo has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.95 sec/furlong.

place2GlavaML 5/2

Rating board at 73.1 • 23% career wins. Ridden by Keimar Trotman. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.14 sec/furlong. 10 wins and placed in 23 of 42 races on Dirt tracks.

show4Pioneer Storm KingML 3/1

Rating board at 68.5. Ridden by Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.54 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 66% of races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

1:39 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Ticket to the Top is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win2Ticket to the TopML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.4 for Race 4. Career win rate of 22% shows consistency. Ridden by Richard Balgobin, trained by Craig Robert Smith. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.08 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. 6 wins and placed in 14 of 26 races on Dirt tracks. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 09/11/2026. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place6Jeff Fa FaML 2/1

Rating board at 87.8. Ridden by Kyle Carter. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.16 sec/furlong. 6 wins and placed in 21 of 36 races on Dirt tracks.

show4Tennessee MosesML 10/1

Rating board at 76.9. Ridden by Kimal Santo. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.30 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races.

Race 5

2:07 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Titian looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4TitianML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 5. Ridden by Antonio Ambrosio Reyes, trained by Makayla Edwards. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.53 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races. 3 wins and placed in 12 of 15 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 8 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races at 1 1/16 mi. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races at Century Downs. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place5Gotme GoodML 3/1

Rating board at 82.5 • 22% career wins. Ridden by Jose Mariano Asencio. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.17 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races.

show6NewhartML 7/2

Rating board at 59.9. Ridden by Brian Boodramsingh. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.51 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races.

Race 6

2:35 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Counter Cat towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win8Counter CatML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 6. Ridden by Jose Mariano Asencio, trained by Tim Rycroft. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.47 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. Has placed in 3 of 4 races at 1 1/16 mi. Claiming Price Decreased from $12000 to $6000. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place4EitherinorinthewayML 6/1

Rating board at 82.2. Ridden by Brian Boodramsingh. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.59 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races.

show5Just KenML 8/1

Rating board at 78.8. Ridden by Richard Balgobin. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.47 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

Race 7

3:03 AM EDT

Allowance · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for So Sorry — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win3So SorryML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 7. Career win rate of 25% shows consistency. Ridden by Richard Balgobin, trained by Craig Robert Smith. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.42 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 3 of 4 of Sprint races. Horse won last time it raced. 09/04/2026. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place5Madeline Tothe MaxML 7/2

Rating board at 72.4. Ridden by Kimal Santo. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. 1 wins and placed in 5 of 5 races on Dirt tracks.

show2EmpiricalML 9/2

Rating board at 63.6. Ridden by Brian Boodramsingh. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.98 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races.

Race 8

3:31 AM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Dr Broker grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win2Dr BrokerML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 8. Ridden by Brian Boodramsingh, trained by Tim Rycroft. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.61 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races. Placed in 11 of 17 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place9Incredible BuddyML 5/2

Rating board at 65.3. Ridden by Mauricio Malvaez. Has placed in the last 2 races.

show6NineoclocksomewherML 6/1

Rating board at 62.5. Ridden by Antonio Ambrosio Reyes. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

Race 9

3:59 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Gimlet is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win7GimletML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 9. Career win rate of 30% shows consistency. Ridden by Kimal Santo, trained by Dino K. Condilenios. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.14 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. 3 wins and placed in 6 of 10 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. Claiming Price Decreased from $17500 to $6500. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place6Annika's SongML 5/2

Rating board at 87.8. Ridden by Amadeo Perez. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.16 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races.

show2Dare to CompareML 10/1

Rating board at 66.2. Ridden by Antonio Ambrosio Reyes. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races. 4 wins and placed in 13 of 23 races on Dirt tracks.

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