Unlock the other 4 races on today's card, plus AI ratings on every runner and SmartBet ticket construction.

The winner is in our top 4 picks 75% of the time, across 17 tracks.

Daily Picks

Century Downs Picks & Predictions — September 20, 2026

September 20, 20267 racesAll Century Downs picks

It's a beautiful Sunday at Century Downs — clear skies, 72°F, and a fast dirt strip that should reward horses with early speed all afternoon. Seven races are on the card, mixing Quarter Horse sprints at the short end with traditional Thoroughbred routes stretching out to 6½ furlongs. Conditions are about as good as it gets this time of year.

The card has something for everyone: a Stakes showdown headlining Race 2, a trio of Claiming battles that could produce some live longshots, and a Maiden Special Weight in Race 5 where a heavy favorite draws plenty of attention. Whether you're a casual fan looking for a fun afternoon or a serious player building exotics, today's card has real angles worth digging into.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

A short-field quarter-horse sprint at 300 yards where one horse's TrackWiz rating towers over the rest — but the morning line tells a different story, setting up an interesting price dynamic right out of the gate.

win2Inseperable CruiseML 3/1

Inseperable Cruise posts the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.08 — a significant edge over everything else in this five-horse sprint. Trainer Tom Kenway also saddles One Sweet Cruise in the same race, which tells you the barn is loaded up and confident. Jockey Ricardo Moreno gets the call on the top-rated horse, which is where you want to be in a 300-yard dash where there's almost no margin for error. At 3/1 on the morning line, this is a legitimate win price for a horse this statistically dominant.

place1Splash Mountain MiaML 2/1

Splash Mountain Mia opens as the 2/1 morning line favorite despite a TrackWiz rating of 58.93 — the public clearly has opinions here. She's the only horse in the field to post an 11% career win rate alongside a meaningful rating, and Silvino Morales is a capable pilot who will have her ready to fire from post 1 in a sprint this short.

show5One Sweet CruiseML 4/1

One Sweet Cruise checks in at a 54.19 TrackWiz rating and draws post 5 for the same Todd Kenway barn that sends out our top pick. In a race this short, barn confidence matters — and Kenway clearly brought horses to compete. At 4/1, she's a reasonable exotic inclusion to round out a trifecta.

Race 2

8:15 PM EDT

Stakes · 440 yd · Dirt

Stakes company at 440 yards and the top of the card gets interesting — a 37% career winner going postward against a pair of Leech barn threats and a morning line second choice who's won a remarkable 58% of her starts.

win2Miss Fancy NancyML 8/5

Miss Fancy Nancy owns a 37% career win rate, the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.12, and draws the services of Daniel Tavares — a natural combination in a stakes sprint. She's installed as the 8/5 favorite, and TrackWiz analysis backs that number up fully. In a six-horse field going 440 yards, a horse with this kind of consistency and rating rarely needs much racing luck to get the job done.

place4Flight ClubML 9/2

Flight Club is the most intriguing horse in this race from a pure stats perspective — a staggering 58% career win rate that jumps off the page. Trainer William H. Leech sends out two runners today (Flight Club and Fired), and with a rating of 80.98 and that kind of historical dominance, Flight Club is a rock-solid place horse who could easily beat our top pick if she fires her best.

show3FiredML 4/1

Fired rounds out a strong Leech barn presence and brings a 33% career win rate with a solid 76.82 TrackWiz rating. In a stakes sprint, that kind of win percentage at any career length is no fluke. Jockey Ricardo Moreno keeps the book on a live runner, and at 4/1 she's a logical show play and trifecta piece behind her barn-mate.

Race 3

8:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Claiming company over six furlongs and two horses are separated from the rest of the field on TrackWiz ratings — expect those two to battle it out late while a third sneaks into the exotic picture.

win5Mr MiezieML 5/2

Mr Miezie is our top horse here with the field's best TrackWiz rating at 87.81, a 16% career win rate that's respectable in claiming company, and an average speed figure of 54 that matches the top end of this field. Trainer Tim Rycroft has him pointed for today and jockey Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez gets the mount — a pairing worth noting. At 5/2, the morning line gives fair value for the highest-rated horse in the race.

place2Somthing ElusiveML 9/5

Somthing Elusive is the 9/5 morning line favorite and the second-rated horse in the field at 86.26, which makes this essentially a two-horse race at the top. Her average speed figure of 53 is competitive, and trainer Tom Rycroft has her numbers pointing in the right direction. She's a strong place play if Mr Miezie gets up to beat her, and honestly could win this outright.

show3SportscarrML 7/2

Sportscarr rates third in the field at 75.43 and matches the top horses with a 54 average speed figure despite a longer morning line of 7/2. Trainer Rod Heggie and jockey Desmond Bryan combine on a horse who has posted a 12% career win rate — nothing flashy, but consistent enough to land in the money in a five-horse field. A show bet or exotic inclusion makes sense here.

Our free picks today center on three races that illustrate exactly why fast-track conditions at Century Downs can be so much fun to handicap. Inseperable Cruise opens the card in Race 1 — a 300-yard Allowance sprint where a clean break is everything, and our TrackWiz rating of 87.08 puts this one right at the top of the field. Roll into Race 2 and the Stakes distance bumps to 440 yards, where Miss Fancy Nancy (rated 89.12, morning line 8/5) is the class of the field and sits as our strongest free-race selection of the day. Don't overlook Race 3's Claiming sprint at 6 furlongs, where Mr Miezie at 5/2 on the morning line offers a touch of value against a field that looks beatable on a clean, fast surface.

The connecting thread across all three free picks: speed. On a dry, fast dirt track running true today, horses that can establish position early are in the driver's seat. All three of our top free selections project as pressers or front-runners — exactly the profile you want when the strip is this quick.

Send me tomorrow's free Century Downs card before post time.

Free picks in your inbox each morning. No card required, unsubscribe anytime.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

9:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong claiming race where the top-rated horse is going off at 2/1 while the morning line favorite at 8/5 rates significantly lower — that kind of disconnect is exactly where TrackWiz analysis earns its keep.

win3El Bonita CaraML 2/1

El Bonita Cara carries the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 88.54 and a 20% career win rate that holds up nicely in claiming company. The average speed figure of 53 is right in line with the competitive horses here, and trainer Rodney J. Cone is handing the reins to Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez — a sharp book on the top pick. At 2/1, this is the kind of horse TrackWiz analysis is built to identify: a statistically superior runner going off at a fair number.

place1Jackpot BarML 9/2

Jackpot Bar posts an 18% career win rate and a 79.97 TrackWiz rating with a 54 average speed figure — good enough to land in the top three in most five-horse fields. Trainer Carson Frey puts Keihton Natera up, and from post 1 there's no reason to expect a troubled trip. At 9/2 on the morning line, the place return should be attractive.

show5Ladyace of SpeightML 8/5

Ladyace of Speight draws attention as the 8/5 morning line favorite, yet her TrackWiz rating of 50.08 is the fourth-lowest in the field — a notable gap between public perception and our numbers. That said, trainer Ron Grieves has a second runner in the race (Gracie Daymaker) and a 10% career win rate isn't a dealbreaker at this level. Including her in show exotics at short odds is defensible given the public support.

Race 5

9:45 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Maiden Special Weight at 6.5 furlongs with a dominant 3/5 favorite who has the field's top rating — this shaping up as a question of whether anyone can run at Tiz Thunder, or whether the longshot price on the value plays is worth chasing.

win1Tiz ThunderML 3/5

Tiz Thunder draws the morning line favoritism at 3/5 for a reason — a TrackWiz rating of 60.00 leads this six-horse maiden field and trainer Mel Snow puts Amadeo Perez in the irons, one of the sharper pilots on the card today. The 53 average speed figure is consistent, and in maiden company over 6.5 furlongs, a horse this statistically clear tends to deliver. At 3/5, you're not getting rich, but in exotics he's the foundation.

place4NineoclocksomewherML 6/1

Nineoclocksomewher is a sneaky interesting runner here at 6/1 on the morning line despite a TrackWiz rating of 58.79 — just a tick behind the favorite and the second-highest in the field. Trainer Makayla Edwards and jockey Antonio Ambrosio Reyes have her ready for 6.5 furlongs of dirt, and if the favorite stumbles or gets into traffic trouble in a six-horse field, this is your most likely beneficiary. The price makes her an excellent place play.

show3Kodiak RonML 4/1

Kodiak Ron rates third in this field at 55.00 with a 53 average speed figure, drawing the services of Kimal Santo for trainer Todd Kettleson. Kettleson is active on the card today and clearly has horses conditioned and ready. At 4/1, Kodiak Ron is the right price to include in the show spot and trifecta exotics behind the top two.

Race 6

10:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Eight horses line up for six furlongs of claiming action, and while the field is deep, TrackWiz ratings create a clear top tier — look for the value to emerge in the exotics where two underbet horses rate far better than their odds suggest.

win3G T Ray SirML 4/1

G T Ray Sir carries an 85.62 TrackWiz rating — easily the highest in this eight-horse field — and posts a 53 average speed figure alongside a 9% career win rate that is modest but not alarming at the claiming level. Trainer Ron Grieves hands the mount to N'Rico Prescod, and at 4/1 this is a horse that TrackWiz analysis flagged as being significantly undervalued relative to his statistical profile. This is the kind of spot where our ratings shine.

place1Come On Big LouML 6/1

Come On Big Lou opens at 6/1 despite a solid 73.10 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field — and an 11% career win rate with trainer Tom Rycroft sending him out. Brian Boodramsingh gets the mount, and while no average speed figure is available, the rating alone puts him in a different tier than most of this field. A 6/1 place return on a second-rated horse in an eight-horse claiming race is the kind of value you're always hunting.

show5PonderosaML 3/1

Ponderosa rates third in the field at 71.79 with a 53 average speed figure and draws Amadeo Perez for trainer Robert Henson. A 5% career win rate is the one caution flag here, but the TrackWiz number says he belongs in this field, and at 3/1 there's enough juice to make a show bet or exotic inclusion worthwhile. In an eight-horse field there's plenty of chaos to navigate — Ponderosa has the rating to survive it.

Race 7

10:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A full eight-horse claiming field at six furlongs where the top-rated horse is going off at 7/2 and a legitimate 20% career winner is sitting quietly at 8/1 — there's real exotic value lurking beneath the surface here.

win7Worthy SpiritML 7/2

Worthy Spirit tops this field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — a meaningful gap over the next-best runners — and while his 7% career win rate looks modest, the quality of the rating at this class level is what matters. Trainer Craig Robert Smith sends him out with Kemar Richard Chase in the irons, and at 7/2 there's still value attached to the best-rated horse in the race. This is a confident top selection from our analysis.

place1TaylorjoyML 8/1

Taylorjoy is quietly one of the most interesting horses on the entire card — a 20% career win rate combined with a 72.83 TrackWiz rating, and yet he's sitting on an 8/1 morning line. Trainer Todd Kettleson is active all day at Century Downs and Keihton Natera gets the call. In claiming company at six furlongs, a horse with that win percentage almost always finds a way to land on the board. The place return at 8/1 could be substantial.

show2KarensnotimpressedML 5/2

Karensnotimpressed rates third in this field at 65.85 and draws the 5/2 morning line, which makes her the public's second choice behind our top selection. Trainer Tom Kenway has her sharp for Amadeo Perez, and a 9% career win rate over multiple starts is enough to respect in this company. She's a logical show play and trifecta anchor for bettors building exotics around Worthy Spirit.

Premium Content

Get the Full Card Analysis

Unlock expert picks for every race, detailed speed figures, trainer angles, and our SmartBet recommendations.

View Plans Sign In

Bottom line: Century Downs is serving up ideal conditions today, and our TrackWiz analysis has identified strong plays from the opening 300-yard dash all the way through the finale. Miss Fancy Nancy is the marquee free pick, Inseperable Cruise and Mr Miezie round out the free card, and there's plenty more firepower waiting in the premium breakdown. Good luck out there — let's make this card count.

← All Century Downs picks & predictions

You're reading 3 of 7 races free

Best Bets

Race 1↗

Race 2↗

Race 3↗

Send me tomorrow's free Century Downs card before post time.

Full Card Analysis

Get the Full Card Analysis

Race 1

Race 2

Race 3