Canterbury Park Picks & Predictions — September 12, 2026

She's Savvy Ally is the most intriguing counter to the favorite, posting the best average speed figure in the field at 54 while sitting second in our ratings at 68.90. Kelsi Harr is an excellent fit here, and the McLean Robertson barn has a track record of placing horses smartly. At 2/1 on the morning line, She's Savvy Ally is a logical place bet who could easily flip the result if Not Today Boss has any issues in the gate or early going.

Lauries Honour checks in third in our model at 50.62 and matches Not Today Boss's average speed figure of 52, which suggests she's capable of running a competitive number on this dirt strip. Luis Fuentes rides for the Ruben Fuentes stable — a family operation that tends to be live when the price is right at 4/1. In maiden claiming events, price in the exotic pools matters, and Lauries Honour offers a reasonable show anchor or trifecta fill.

Athletic Like is only 0.93 rating points behind Gifted Valor at 82.71 and goes postward at 6/1 — that's a price worth attacking in place and exacta wagering. Manuel Americano rides for Guadalupe Mata, and an average speed figure of 53 matches several others in the field. The morning-line odds underestimate how close this horse is to the top of our model, making him an excellent value play in multi-horse wagers.

Tap the Kid is an interesting inclusion at 8/1 on the morning line with a 77.08 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field and 17-plus points ahead of the fourth-ranked horse. Jose Riquelme takes the mount for Martin Escobar, and an average speed figure of 54 — the best in the field among horses with recorded figures — suggests real ability. If Gifted Valor and Athletic Like get tangled up in a pace duel, Tap the Kid could be poised to close into a soft spot on the board.

Fleet Brotato sits second in our model at 66.79 and draws the outside post in a ten-horse field, which on a turf mile can actually work in a closer's favor if the rail gets congested early. Alonso Quinonez rides for Esteban Martinez at 7/2 on the morning line. The 5% career win rate is light, but our rating says the underlying form is stronger than that number suggests — look for Fleet Brotato to rally from off the pace in the final turn.

Jet Set Rebel is the value show play in this race, sitting third in our ratings at 64.85 and carrying a field-best 25% career win rate — a stat that significantly outperforms his 8/1 morning line. Eduardo Gallardo gets the call for Lynn Rarick, and an average speed figure of 53 keeps him in the mix on paper. A horse who wins a quarter of the time shouldn't be going off at 8/1, and he could find a very comfortable pace setup in the early stages from the inside post.

Arrogancy gives Aero Star a real fight at 84.17 in our ratings — only 2.77 points back — while going postward at 5/1, which represents genuine value relative to his talent level. Eduardo Gallardo rides for Martin Escobar, and the 56 average speed figure matches Aero Star's exactly, making this a legitimate pace threat rather than just a trailing presence. In exactas and trifectas, Arrogancy at double-digit-ish odds makes for an appealing underneath play.

Happy Dancer is the co-morning-line favorite at 8/5 and draws the rail, which on a 6-furlong Canterbury dirt strip can be a significant setup advantage. A 12% career win rate is modest for a horse getting this much market support, but the 75.58 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 55 confirm legitimate form. Luis Fuentes gets the Valorie Lund mount, and even as a show play in a competitive allowance field, the inside post gives this horse a clean trip and a fighting chance to run into the money.

Freedom's Reel rates second at 57.50 — only 0.83 points behind Orphan Addy — and goes off at 5/2 on the morning line for Kelsi Harr and trainer McLean Robertson. No speed figure on record adds some uncertainty, but Robertson consistently delivers maiden winners at Canterbury, and the price suggests the market respects this filly's morning training. In a race this tight at the top of the ratings, Freedom's Reel is an easy inclusion in exacta and quinella wagers.

I Dance and Flirt draws post 1 for Jermaine Bridgmohan and trainer Robert Cline at 9/2 with a 54.17 TrackWiz rating. No recorded speed figure means there's some unknown factor here, but the inside draw in a maiden sprint can be decisive if Bridgmohan breaks cleanly and settles into a stalking spot. At 9/2, this one gives your trifecta tickets some price and could easily run into the show slot if the top two duel each other into submission.

Auntie Vodka's 40% career win rate is the most eye-popping stat on today's card — that's an elite conversion rate for any horse at any level. Kelsi Harr gets the call at 8/5 on the morning line for the Robertson stable, and the 84.91 TrackWiz rating confirms real ability even if it trails Ye Ole Joker by two points. If you're against Auntie Vodka on top, using her underneath in exactas at the short price still makes sense given how often she hits the board.

Kiki Krazy checks in third in our model at 62.92 with a 21% career win rate, and the 8/1 morning line gives some pricing room if you want to use her as a show anchor or trifecta fill. Manuel Americano pilots for Tanner Tracy, and an average speed figure of 55 keeps her competitive on paper. In a ratings handicap with two genuine standouts at the top, Kiki Krazy is the most logical beneficiary if either Ye Ole Joker or Auntie Vodka encounters trouble.