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Canterbury Park Picks & Predictions — June 27, 2026

June 27, 20268 racesAll Canterbury Park picks

This card ran on June 27, 2026.

Best bets at Canterbury Park, June 27, 2026

Race 14Ima Complex GuyML 5/26:10 PM EDT

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It's a beautiful Saturday at Canterbury Park — clear skies, 80°F, and eight races on the board. Conditions don't get much better than this for a day at the track, and the card delivers to match the weather: four stakes races, three of them on the turf, plus a pair of allowance tests and two maiden sprints to bookend the afternoon.

The turf is the place to be today. Four of the eight races head to the grass, including three straight stakes at a mile in the heart of the card — Races 2, 3, and 5. That kind of concentration is unusual and makes pace scenario analysis critical. How these fields set up against each other could tell us a lot about which running style has the edge on Canterbury's turf course today.

TrackWiz has top picks for all eight races. The first three are on the house — including two stakes. The back half of the card, where the real money tends to flow, is where our premium full-card breakdown earns its keep.

Best Bets

Race 1

6:10 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

All first-time starters over 4.5 furlongs of dirt means we're flying blind on past performance — TrackWiz ratings and morning line movement will be your sharpest edges here.

win4Ima Complex GuyML 5/2

Ima Complex Guy draws the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 57.5 and comes in at a fair 5/2 on the morning line, suggesting the connections are confident. Eduardo Gallardo gets the call, a reliable hand when you need someone to put a debut runner in the right spot early. In a race where every horse is breaking their maiden, that combination of top rating and a savvy jockey gives #4 the clearest path to victory. We'll take the TrackWiz edge and make him our best bet.

place6Lilah's MischiefML 7/2

Lilah's Mischief checks in with a 55.83 rating — second-best in the field — and trainer Troy A. Bethke already has another runner in the race, which tells you he's confident sending two to post. At 7/2, there's a touch of value here if Ima Complex Guy stumbles or gets shuffled in early traffic. Manuel Americano has the experience to find daylight in a maiden sprint, making her a solid place ticket.

show7Mighty SamuraiML 4/1

Mighty Samurai rates third in the field at 55.0 and draws the 4/1 morning line — respectable odds for a debutant with solid underlying metrics. Tim P. Padilla sends him out with Constantino Roman, a jockey who knows how to rate a horse in a short sprint. If the pace gets hot up front, Samurai could be picking up pieces late and is worth a spot in your exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

6:40 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi · Turf

A one-mile turf stakes with a clear class standout at the top of the ratings — but a field of experienced runners with solid career win percentages could make the favorite's price look thin by post time.

win2Thunders RocknrollML 9/2

Thunders Rocknroll is the horse you build your ticket around today — a 84.9 TrackWiz rating that laps the field combined with a jaw-dropping 38% career win rate screams class. Trainer Patrick E. Swan puts Manuel Americano in the irons, and at 9/2 on the morning line this is legitimate value for a horse with these credentials going a mile on turf. The speed figure (avg 55) is right in line with the pace of the race, meaning he shouldn't be caught flat-footed. This is our best bet on the card in the early stakes.

place5WrigleyvilleML 5/2

Wrigleyville sits at a 68.59 rating and is the morning line favorite on paper at 5/2, which means the oddsmakers see him as the second horse in here. Keiber J. Coa up top is a sharp turf pilot, and while an 18% career win rate isn't flashy, it holds up respectably in stakes company. At 5/2, the place price may be thin, but he's the logical backup if Thunders Rocknroll gets into trouble.

show4Just RuthlessML 7/2

Just Ruthless at 7/2 morning line sports a 63.85 rating and a 25% career win rate, which is honest stakes-level production. Riley Mott is a trainer whose horses show up ready, and Luis A. Fuentes gives this one a capable guide going a flat mile. Including #4 in your exotics gives you coverage on the deep closers who can rattle off a late run on Canterbury's turf.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free races cover a nice spread: a dirt maiden sprint to open the card, then back-to-back turf stakes at a mile in Races 2 and 3. Ima Complex Guy draws our eye in the opener — a 4½-furlong dirt maiden where early speed and clean breaks can be decisive. Then the turf party starts. Thunders Rocknroll (9/2 morning line, 84.9 TrackWiz rating) is our top pick in Race 2, but it's Clearly Authentic in Race 3 who really stands out — an 88.83 rating and a 9/5 morning line suggests the market agrees this horse is the one to beat on the grass today.

The connecting thread across the free picks is pace. All three figures to benefit from a clear, fast track where we're not fighting mud or soft turf. On a firm, dry surface under sunny skies, horses who can rate just off the pace and accelerate through the stretch tend to have a big edge at Canterbury. Keep that in mind as you handicap.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

7:10 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi · Turf

Clearly Authentic has a massive ratings advantage in this one-mile turf stakes, but Summer Winner's 50% career win rate and Mendelssohns Comet lurking at a big price make this more than a one-horse race.

win3Clearly AuthenticML 9/5

Clearly Authentic is the standout here and it isn't particularly close — an 88.83 TrackWiz rating is the highest number we've seen through the first three races, and a 40% career win rate in stakes company is elite. Eduardo Gallardo gets the mount for trainer Coty W. Rosin, a combination that brings plenty of confidence. The 9/5 morning line makes her the heavy chalk, and while that limits the return, the ratings gap over her nearest rivals is substantial enough to back at most price points.

place6Summer WinnerML 6/1

Summer Winner is a sneaky interesting angle here — a 50% career win rate is the best in this field, and the 76.54 rating is a clear second to the top pick. Alonso Quinonez has been in good form and trainer Tim P. Padilla runs a sharp barn. At 6/1 on the morning line, you're getting real value for a horse that wins half the time she runs — she's the place bet of the race.

show7Mendelssohns CometML 5/1

Mendelssohns Comet posts a 75.98 rating and a 40% career win rate — nearly identical profile to Clearly Authentic on paper. Manuel Americano rides for Valorie Lund, who also saddles Stratia, showing stable confidence in the turf mile format. At 5/1, Mendelssohns Comet is worth threading into your trifecta as a live show horse with legitimate upside.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

7:40 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Kalatua looks like a steamroller in this maiden special weight at six furlongs on dirt — the real question is whether anyone in the field can push the pace and make it interesting.

win6KalatuaML 7/5

Kalatua is the most dominant single-race rating we've seen all card — an 89.42 TrackWiz score in a maiden field is borderline unfair. Manuel Americano rides for McLean Robertson, and the 7/5 morning line signals that the market already knows this horse is the real thing. The average speed figure of 56 leads all starters, and in a six-furlong dirt sprint, that kind of raw speed usually translates directly to the board. Bet to win, include in all exotics.

place2Rudie Won't FailML 3/1

Rudie Won't Fail comes in second in ratings at 54.78 and gets Keiber J. Coa aboard — a solid rider who can keep a maiden calm and place her correctly early in a sprint. Trainer McLean Robertson also saddles Kalatua, so the barn has two bullets in this one, and the stable's confidence in Rudie Won't Fail is worth noting at 3/1. She's the natural backup if Kalatua hits any trouble.

show5Line of ReasonML 9/2

Line of Reason draws a 54.17 rating and a 9/2 morning line, sitting right in the mix of the second tier behind Kalatua. Trainer Joel Berndt runs a second horse in this race as well (Two Jack), showing the barn is active and engaged. Constantino Roman gives #5 a capable pilot, and with no recorded speed figure she's an unknown quantity — sometimes that's a positive in maiden company.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

8:10 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi · Turf

Ultra Xtreme's perfect career record will grab headlines, but Mr in Personal's massive TrackWiz rating and solid turf pace profile make this one-mile stakes more straightforward than the morning line suggests.

win2Mr in PersonalML 4/1

Mr in Personal checks in with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this field and more than 25 points clear of most rivals. Tim P. Padilla's barn has been active all card and Alonso Quinonez is one of the sharper turf riders on the grounds. At 4/1 on the morning line with an average speed figure of 55, he projects to be right on pace through the mile and have enough left to hold off late runners. This is our top selection in Race 5.

place4Knick's HonorML 9/2

Knick's Honor has a 59.9 rating and a 16% career win rate — modest numbers on their face, but the 9/2 morning line is fair for a horse that competes consistently at this level. Eduardo Gallardo teams up with trainer Lynn Rarick, who also runs Mr Mo's Magic, showing the barn has multiple angles in the race. At that price, #4 is a logical place target in your exacta and trifecta combinations.

show5How About BobML 9/2

How About Bob brings a 30% career win rate into this field — the second-best among our top three picks — and Fausto Henrique Da Silva gives him a capable hand in the irons. Patrick E. Swan trains, and at 9/2 morning line, the value is real for a horse with a strong winning background. He fits the profile of a closer who can pick up the pieces if the top two tangle early.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

8:40 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi · Turf

Nine horses in a one-mile turf stakes is a recipe for traffic trouble, and with a massive spread in the ratings, finding the right horse at the right price could be the best bet of the night.

win9Sushi ManML 3/1

Sushi Man is the clear top selection here with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and a 33% career win rate — both numbers that hold up confidently in this field. Eduardo Gallardo rides for Coty W. Rosin, and the 3/1 morning line feels like legitimate value given the horse's credentials in a wide-open nine-horse field. The average speed figure of 53 blends well with the expected pace, and Gallardo is savvy enough to navigate traffic from the #9 post. Best bet in Race 6.

place1Tonka WarriorML 2/1

Tonka Warrior draws the rail and carries a 72.7 rating with a 22% career win rate — respectable credentials for a place horse at 2/1 on the morning line. Manuel Americano is a strong turf pilot and trainer McLean Robertson is one of the more active stables at Canterbury this meet. From the inside post, Americano can stalk the pace and be in the right spot at the quarter-pole.

show4Frosty ViewML 5/2

Frosty View comes in with the top average speed figure in the field at 56 and a solid 31% career win rate that ranks among the best here. Luis A. Fuentes rides for Joel Berndt at a fair 5/2 morning line. While the 70.07 rating slots her third in our analysis, that speed figure advantage on the turf could mean she's better than her rating suggests — definitely worth a spot in the trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 7

9:10 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 fur · Turf

A sharp allowance tilt at five furlongs on the turf where the pace scenario is everything — two horses with elite ratings are on a potential collision course, and whoever gets the better trip from the break likely wins.

win2Monsieur CandyML 3/1

Monsieur Candy tops our TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and brings an average speed figure of 58 — tied for the highest in the field — which is critical in a five-furlong turf dash where every fraction matters. Eduardo Gallardo rides for the Larry Rivelli barn, and Rivelli also saddles Can't Deny It, meaning the stable is sending two quality horses. At 3/1 on the morning line, Monsieur Candy represents value for the top-rated horse, and Gallardo is sharp enough to find a spot in a quick turf sprint.

place4Can't Deny ItML 9/5

Can't Deny It is the most intriguing horse on the card tonight — a 50% career win rate is elite, and Jareth Loveberry is one of the better riders when it comes to stalking pace and pouncing in short turf sprints. The 85.66 TrackWiz rating is right on Monsieur Candy's heels, and at 9/5 morning line, the market agrees this horse belongs. If pace collapses early, Can't Deny It could easily steal the win.

show3FinsterML 6/1

Finster rates third in the field at 72.57 with a 31% career win rate and draws the 6/1 morning line — that's genuine value for a horse sitting this close to the top two in a pace-sensitive sprint. Manuel Americano pilots for Tony Rengstorf, and from the #3 post he can get a clean look at the early fractions without burning energy. Thread Finster into your trifectas as the logical show horse.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

9:40 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong dirt allowance to close the card, and two horses are separated from the pack by a wide ratings margin — but the morning line says the market is leaning on one, making the other a potential overlay.

win2Hay Y'allML 2/1

Hay Y'all sits at the top of our TrackWiz ratings with an 88.54 score and an average speed figure of 54, and the 2/1 morning line confirms the market is lining up behind this one. Jose Riquelme gets the call for trainer Gary M. Scherer, and while a 16% career win rate looks modest, it's likely suppressed by class — the raw ratings number tells the real story here. In a six-furlong dirt sprint, Riquelme will likely have this one in a good rhythm early and hard to pass late. Our best bet to close the card.

place3Heavenly CaptiveML 3/1

Heavenly Captive is nearly as impressive — an 87.08 rating and 20% career win rate make her a genuine threat at 3/1 morning line. Alonso Quinonez rides for McLean Robertson, a trainer who has been consistently sharp all card long. The one-point rating edge Hay Y'all holds is paper-thin, and if Heavenly Captive gets a better trip from her post, the exacta could flip. Definitely include her on top in your exotic plays.

show4Kind KismetML 4/1

Kind Kismet checks in at a 72.59 rating — a sizable step below the top two but still comfortably third in the field — and Manuel Americano gives Joel Berndt a strong rider at 4/1. With a 15% career win rate she won't win with regularity, but in a short-field dirt sprint where pace can get messy, she's a logical beneficiary if the top two go too hard too soon. Good show bet and trifecta fill.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

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Bottom line: Canterbury Park is serving up a legitimate stakes-heavy card on a picture-perfect afternoon, and there's plenty to work with whether you're playing just the free races or going all-in on the full card. Clearly Authentic is the marquee name of the day, and the trio of turf miles creates a rare multi-race wagering opportunity you don't want to walk into unprepared. Full analysis for all eight races — including pace projections, exotic strategies, and best bets — is available to TrackWiz subscribers. See our plans at /pricing and get set before the first post.

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