Canterbury Park Picks & Predictions — June 25, 2026

Thirsty Vision is only a half-point behind Mongolian Champ in our ratings at 88.54, making this one of the tightest 1-2 gaps we'll see all day. Manuel Americano rides for trainer Jose Silva Jr., a combination that surfaces multiple times today — always worth respecting when a trainer trusts the same jock card-wide. The 2/1 morning line is fair, and if Mongolian Champ hits any traffic at a mile, Thirsty Vision is right there to pick up the pieces.

Arromax rates third in the field at 61.64 with an average speed figure of 52, which puts him clearly behind the top two but well ahead of the remaining pair. Alonso Quinonez rides for trainer Edgar Espinoza, and at 9/2, this horse offers a touch of value in a race where the top two horses are expected to do the heavy lifting. Including Arromax in trifecta tickets as the show leg is a cost-effective way to go deep.

Zoffarelli rates second in the field at 66.35 and carries the highest average speed figure in the race at 56, which is an intriguing wrinkle — this one may be closer to Athens Moon in raw ability than the ratings gap suggests. Luis A. Fuentes rides for trainer Ruben Fuentes, a jockey-trainer combo that functions as a family operation and often sends live horses. At 7/2 morning line, Zoffarelli is a solid place and exacta anchor underneath the chalk.

Mendelssohn Joy checks in at 64.17 in our ratings and brings a legitimate 18% career win rate — the best in this field — suggesting a horse that consistently competes near the front. Trainer Guadalupe J. Mata turns to Sachin Parris for the ride, and at 5/1 on the morning line, there's mild value here if you're constructing a tri. The win rate alone justifies keeping Mendelssohn Joy in your exotics as a live show piece.

Little Trouble is the morning line favorite at 2/1 and for good reason — a 43% career win rate is eye-popping and the best on today's entire card by a wide margin. Trainer Jose Silva Jr. doubles up here with both the favorite and our win pick, which tells you something about the depth of that barn's current string. At a 84.76 rating, she's only a shade behind Mr. Who, and if the pace unfolds favorably, she'll be very tough to beat for a piece.

Sir Exton is the 9/5 morning line choice despite a more modest 16% career win rate, suggesting the public is leaning on workout or recent form information. Trainer Robert N. Cline and jockey Kelsi Harr have a working relationship, and the 69.07 TrackWiz rating makes Sir Exton a legitimate third wheel in this race. In an allowance mile where pace can get hot early, a closer type rated 69 makes a sensible exotic hedge.

Hurricane Cloud holds the 2/1 morning line and rates 64.49 in our system with a solid 20% career win rate. Trainer Jose Silva Jr. again — this barn is having a day — and Fausto Henrique Da Silva gets the mount. The 2/1 price actually makes Hurricane Cloud a reasonable exacta partner underneath Mr Fabricator, as the Silva barn controlling two of the top choices in a race often leads to a productive outcome.

Stradivarian rates 62.59 and is nearly identical to Hurricane Cloud in our model — a virtual dead heat for second and third billing. Trainer Edgar Espinoza goes with Constantino Roman in the irons, and a 15% career win rate is consistent at this level. At 7/2 morning line, Stradivarian isn't offering massive overlay, but with a pace likely to be contested on this turf sprint distance, a horse with consistent figures and a reliable trainer is worth slotting into trifectas.

Lemon Sohn rates just behind at 86.96 and is only a point and a half off Aint Behavin, which tells you this horse is fully capable of reversing the result. Eduardo Gallardo rides for trainer Edgar Espinoza in what looks like a key second-start setup for a horse whose 6% career win rate suggests the wins come in clusters rather than consistently. The 5/2 morning line makes Lemon Sohn a natural exacta partner, and if Aint Behavin gets into any trouble in the first turn, this one is right there.

G Dawg rates third at 59.30 but shares that 56 average speed figure with Aint Behavin — the raw speed is there, even if the overall rating lags behind. Jose Riquelme rides for Bennie L. Woolley Jr., and a 9% career win rate in a six-furlong sprint isn't alarming. At 4/1, G Dawg is the logical third wheel in trifectas behind the two standouts — fast enough to hang around for a piece of the money.

High Probability checks in at 77.41 in our ratings and matches a 56 average speed figure — strong credentials in a competitive field. Eduardo Gallardo rides for trainer Troy A. Bethke, and a 15% career win rate shows this horse knows how to hit the board. At 6/1, High Probability is the most compelling value play among our picks — a horse with a top-tier rating and solid speed figures available at morning line odds that suggest the public is underestimating it.

Dr. Perry rates 73.78 and is third on our board in a field where the drop-off after the top three is steep. Alonso Quinonez gets the ride for trainer Tim P. Padilla, and while the 12% career win rate is modest, the 55 average speed figure is competitive at this sprint distance. At 9/2, Dr. Perry is a reasonable show anchor and trifecta piece — consistent enough not to embarrass, but probably not the one to beat on top.