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Canterbury Park Picks & Predictions — May 25, 2026

May 25, 20267 racesAll Canterbury Park picks

This card ran on May 25, 2026.

Best bets at Canterbury Park, May 25, 2026

Race 13ChamavilleML 7/52:10 PM EDT

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Happy Memorial Day from Canterbury Park. The Shakopee oval is playing host to a crisp 7-race card under clear skies and a warm 82°F afternoon — about as good as it gets for late-May racing in Minnesota. With three turf sprints and a full-mile turf closer rounding out the card, the grass courses are going to be busy today, and firm conditions should reward horses with tactical speed and clean trips.

The card has a little of everything: a pair of claiming races to kick things off, a maiden special weight turf test, a couple of allowance optional claiming bouts on the dirt, and what looks like a quality finish on the lawn. Seven races, plenty of angles, and TrackWiz analysis on all of them.

Best Bets

Race 1

2:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A class standout towers over this claiming field on the Canterbury turf, but a pair of sneaky alternatives could make the exotics interesting.

win3ChamavilleML 7/5

Chamaville is the clear top number in this field with a TrackWiz rating of 89.42 — nearly 16 points clear of the next-best horse. Trainer Jose Silva, Jr. saddles this one alongside stablemate Embraceable You, and the 26% career win rate shows this horse knows how to finish the job. Manuel Americano gets the call in the irons, and at 7/5 on the morning line, the market agrees this is the one to beat going 7½ furlongs on the turf. The pace scenario should set up nicely if this horse can sit off any early speed.

place2Fall MoonML 5/2

Fall Moon at 5/2 is the logical backup here, posting a TrackWiz rating of 73.38 — second-best in the field by a comfortable margin. Jockey Alonso Quinonez pilots this one for trainer Bennie L. Woolley, Jr., and an 11% career win rate in a claiming field like this is respectable. The price is fair for a horse that should be running on late and picking up a piece.

show1Embraceable YouML 9/2

Embraceable You brings the highest career win percentage in the field at an impressive 42%, which is a number that demands respect even in a spot where the overall TrackWiz rating (53.91) is middle of the pack. Luis A. Fuentes rides for trainer Jose Silva, Jr., making this a two-horse barn entry worth including in exacta and trifecta tickets. At 9/2 morning line, there's enough price to justify slotting her in the show spot of your exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

2:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

The top two horses in this dirt claiming sprint are separated by less than a point in our ratings, setting up a potential speed duel that could benefit a closer.

win1ToolittletoolateML 8/5

Toolittletoolate comes in with a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 — tops in this seven-furlong dirt field — and backs it up with a 25% career win rate that stands out at this level. Manuel Americano takes the mount for trainer Bennie L. Woolley, Jr., and the average speed figure of 55 is the best in the field alongside Third Wheel. The 8/5 morning line reflects legitimate favoritism, and our analysis sees no reason to fade this horse.

place2Buzzinga KarmaML 2/1

Buzzinga Karma is the clear second choice in our model at 66.82, and the Jose Silva, Jr. barn has been active on this card — always worth noting when a trainer loads up. Fausto Henrique Da Silva rides, and a 15% career win rate paired with an avg speed of 54 puts this one right in the mix for the exacta. The 2/1 morning line price is fair given the talent level here.

show4Third WheelML 3/1

Third Wheel is quietly interesting at 3/1, posting an avg speed of 55 that matches the race favorite and a career win rate of 26% — best in the field. Sachin Parris handles the riding duties for Jose Silva, Jr., giving the barn two horses in play in this race. Include Third Wheel in your trifectas as a horse that could easily pop up and steal the show spot if the top two tire each other out.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Our three free races today span both surfaces and cover the early part of the card, giving every reader a real taste of what the day has to offer. Chamaville opens things up in Race 1 on the turf at 7½ furlongs — a TrackWiz rating of 89.42 makes her our top-rated horse on the entire card, and at 7/5 on the morning line she looks like the one to beat. Race 2 flips to the dirt where Toolittletoolate (89.12 rating, 8/5 ML) heads a claiming field at seven furlongs. Then Race 3 gives us the most intriguing free play: a maiden special weight turf sprint where Rumpus in Paradise pops up at 9/2 morning-line odds despite carrying an 84.9 rating — that's a sneaky value angle worth watching as the pools fill in.

The turf bias on a firm, sun-drenched afternoon like this tends to favor horses that can settle in a forward position without burning too much early energy. Keep that pace scenario in mind as you build tickets across Races 1 and 3.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

3:10 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A wide-open maiden special weight on the turf where nobody has broken their maiden yet — our model separates a clear top three from the rest, but upsets are always on the table in maiden routes.

win1Rumpus in ParadiseML 9/2

Rumpus in Paradise tops our model at 84.90 despite going off at 9/2 on the morning line — that's a price discrepancy worth noting in a maiden field. Luis A. Fuentes rides for trainer Ruben Fuentes, a jockey-trainer combo that keeps things in the family and often signals a horse they believe in. The avg speed of 53 is right in line with the pace of this field, and at 7½ furlongs on the turf, a horse that can settle and close should get every chance to break through.

place2Go K J GoML 9/5

Go K J Go is the morning line favorite at 9/5 and slots in as our place pick with a solid TrackWiz rating of 81.47. Fausto Henrique Da Silva rides for trainer Nik G. Goodwin, and the avg speed of 53 mirrors the top pick. In maiden events, backing the morning line chalk to run second is a sensible play — the public has identified this horse for a reason, and the model agrees it belongs.

show5KavaML 3/1

Kava at 3/1 completes our top three here with a rating of 73.17 — a meaningful step above the bottom half of the field. Jermaine V. Bridgmohan rides for Bruce L. Riecken, and the connections know Canterbury well. In a wide-open maiden spot, having a horse with this kind of model separation in your trifecta at 3/1 is exactly the kind of value you're looking for.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 4

3:44 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Finster sets the pace for this allowance optional claiming sprint and our model loves the price, but Superstar Swank and Aero Star give this six-furlong dirt race a competitive look.

win7FinsterML 2/1

Finster is the standout of this race card with a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 and the highest average speed figure in the field at 56 — a full point above the next group. The 26% career win rate is the best among the contenders, and trainer Tony Rengstorf throws Victor Lara on board for what looks like a prime effort. The 2/1 morning line makes this a legitimate short-price win bet rather than just a chalk play — the numbers back it up.

place3Aero StarML 4/1

Aero Star is the second horse for the Rengstorf barn in this race, and at 4/1 morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 80.19, there's real value in the place pool. Alonso Quinonez rides, and the 20% career win rate shows this horse competes effectively. When a top trainer saddles two horses in the same race, both deserve respect — Aero Star is the deeper price with legitimate upside.

show4Superstar SwankML 3/1

Superstar Swank brings a 21% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 75.75 for trainer McLean Robertson with Manuel Americano in the irons. The 3/1 morning line price is solid for a horse that profiles as a stalker type who can benefit if the pace gets honest up front. A nice fit for the show position in trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

4:14 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 fur · Turf

Two horses are essentially deadlocked at the top of our model in this five-furlong turf allowance — expect a genuine photo-finish battle between Smarty Be Good and Flatter Me Billy.

win3Smarty Be GoodML 9/5

Smarty Be Good edges out the top spot with a TrackWiz rating of 88.83 and the best average speed figure in the field at 55. Fausto Henrique Da Silva rides for trainer Nancy Sheehan, and while the 8% career win rate might raise an eyebrow, the raw speed and model score suggest this horse has been running against tougher — and is primed to deliver at a short five furlongs on the turf. The 9/5 morning line reflects the public's confidence, and our analysis lines up with that assessment.

place2Flatter Me BillyML 2/1

Flatter Me Billy is barely a step behind at 87.39 and brings a far more reassuring 20% career win rate to the table. Alonso Quinonez rides for Stacey Rushton at 2/1 morning line — this is a horse that wins regularly and should be right there at the wire. In exactas, reversing Smarty Be Good and Flatter Me Billy is a smart play given how close the model sees them.

show1Our Best SongML 4/1

Our Best Song at 4/1 provides a reasonable third wheel for trifecta construction with a TrackWiz rating of 72.93 and a 12% career win rate in allowance company. Manuel Americano handles the ride for trainer Valorie Lund, and the avg speed of 54 matches the top two horses in this sprint. At 4/1, this is a fair price for a horse that profiles as a legitimate threat to hit the board.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 6

4:44 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Orange Diablo brings the top number into this seven-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer, but Haunted Haze's elite win percentage makes this one of the more competitive races on the card.

win1Orange DiabloML 5/2

Orange Diablo leads our model at 87.81 and brings a 23% career win rate into a seven-furlong dirt race where avg speed figures matter — and this horse's 55 is tied for the best in the field. Eduardo Gallardo rides for trainer Coty W. Rosin, and at 5/2 morning line there's a slight overlay opportunity if you believe in the model. Our analysis flags this as the most complete horse in the field.

place4Haunted HazeML 9/2

Haunted Haze is the most intriguing horse on the board here — a 35% career win rate is staggering for any horse at any level, and the TrackWiz rating of 80.10 keeps it solidly in contention. Constantino Roman rides for Esteban Martinez, and that avg speed of 56 is the best in the entire field. At 9/2 morning line, this might be the best value on the race — if you're playing just one horse in the place pool, Haunted Haze is worth a serious look.

show2Mr. WhoML 2/1

Mr. Who sits third in our model at 75.26 with a 23% career win rate and an avg speed of 55 that ties for tops in the field. Manuel Americano rides for Jose Silva, Jr. at 2/1 morning line — a price that frankly seems a touch short given the two horses above it in our ratings. Still, Mr. Who belongs in your trifecta as a horse that should be running on late at this distance.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

5:14 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Turf

Island Jive stands out clearly in this one-mile turf allowance, but a pace-dependent field and a couple of overlooked closers make the exotics well worth constructing carefully.

win4Island JiveML 5/2

Island Jive tops the TrackWiz model at 87.81 — a significant margin over the field — and pairs that with a 10% career win rate that, while modest, comes in a class where nine-percent winners populate the top of the order. Manuel Americano picks up the mount for trainer Bennie L. Woolley, Jr., a capable combination at Canterbury. Going one mile on the turf, a horse that can rate off the pace and roll late has a major structural advantage, and our analysis puts Island Jive squarely in that profile at 5/2.

place2CachinnationML 9/2

Cachinnation comes in second in our ratings at 75.95 and projects as a prime place-pool play at 9/2 morning line. Alonso Quinonez rides for Tony Rengstorf, a trainer who knows exactly how to place a horse around this circuit. The 7% career win rate is low, but in a one-mile turf race where trips and pace shape matter enormously, don't let that number scare you off a horse this model likes at value odds.

show3Clearly AuthenticML 7/2

Clearly Authentic at 7/2 brings a 25% career win rate — best in this field by a wide margin — and a TrackWiz rating of 70.70 that makes it a legitimate threat to hit the board. Eduardo Gallardo rides for Coty W. Rosin, and the avg speed of 52 is right in line with the pace expected in this turf mile. At morning line odds that reflect some public support, Clearly Authentic rounds out a sensible trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

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A sun-soaked 7-race card, firm turf, and some genuinely interesting contenders make this Memorial Day at Canterbury well worth your time. Chamaville is our top-rated horse on the card, Rumpus in Paradise is a value angle worth circling in Race 3, and the premium races have legitimate exotic potential. Subscribers get the complete picture — pace, tickets, and all. Good luck out there, and enjoy the holiday racing.

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