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Belmont Park Picks & Predictions — October 1, 2026

8 racesAll Belmont Park picks

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 8-race card at Belmont Park. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 8 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Celtic Dawn towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win10Celtic DawnML 6/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 82.7 for Race 1. Career win rate of 60% shows consistency. Ridden by Javier Castellano, trained by Carlos F. Martin. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.81 sec/furlong. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Has 3 wins and placed in 3 of 3 of Sprint races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 46% of races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 11.95 sec/furlong. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

place4Next On StageML 9/2

Rating board at 82.2. Ridden by Dylan Davis. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.09 sec/furlong. 5 wins and placed in 17 of 23 races on Dirt tracks.

show6Lovely ChristinaML 7/2

Rating board at 72.0. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 50% of races. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 5 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 2

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Jadorlinija — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win12JadorlinijaML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 82.0 for Race 2. Career win rate of 25% shows consistency. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr., trained by Miguel Clement. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.46 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 2 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races. Horse won last time it raced. 08/21/2026.

place5RaghbaML 8/1

Rating board at 79.1. Ridden by Flavien Prat. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. 1 wins and placed in 8 of 12 races on Dirt tracks.

show9Kayla's KometML 12/1

Rating board at 74.0. Ridden by Javier Castellano. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.19 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 5 of 7 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 3

Stakes · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Beauty Reigns grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win2Beauty ReignsML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 3. Career win rate of 28% shows consistency. Ridden by Junior Alvarado, trained by William I. Mott. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.92 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 47% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. 4 wins and placed in 10 of 14 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races at 6 1/2 fur. Jockey & Horse combo has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 47% of races. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place5R DisasterML 8/5

Rating board at 77.9 • 52% career wins. Ridden by Jose L. Ortiz. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.97 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races.

show3Munnings ExpressML 6/1

Rating board at 75.2 • 50% career wins. Ridden by Manuel Franco. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.83 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

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