Daily Picks

Belmont At The Big A Picks & Predictions — June 11, 2026

Thursday, June 11, 20268 racesBelmont At The Big A

It's a warm Thursday afternoon at Belmont at the Big A — 86°F with a partly cloudy sky keeping things comfortable for horseplayers in the stands and turf course conditions playing fair. Eight races are on the card today, split across dirt and turf, covering everything from maiden claimers to allowance optional claiming company.

Three of those races are free to TrackWiz readers — including our top-rated pick Island Charm in Race 1 and the short-priced morning-line favorite My Magic Wand in Race 2. The remaining five races, including a pair of turf maiden events and a turf allowance that figures to draw sharp money, are available to subscribers.

The heat could be a factor in the late stages of the longer routes today, so pay attention to how horses are finishing their workouts — stamina angles are going to matter. Let's break it down.

Best Bets

Race 1

5:10 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A maiden claiming mile on the dirt where every horse is still looking for that first career win — TrackWiz ratings separate a clear top tier from the rest of the field, with a sharp Joe Sharp runner drawing the most attention.

win7Island CharmML 5/2

Island Charm (7) tops our TrackWiz ratings in this field with an 87.81 and lands the Manuel Franco call — a combo that demands respect at The Big A. Sharp's runners have a strong reputation for showing up ready in maiden events, and the 5/2 morning line suggests the market agrees this filly is the one to beat. She'll need to translate her work to race day, but her profile stands above the rest of this field on paper.

place4My Girl AubreeML 7/2

My Girl Aubree (4) posts the second-highest rating in the race at 79.01 and draws Flavien Prat, one of the sharpest sticks in the sport right now. Her average speed figure of 54 — the best in this field — gives her a tangible edge if she can translate it to race day. At 7/2 on the morning line, she offers solid place value in what shapes up as a competitive but defined top tier.

show5Hip Hop DancerML 5/1

Hip Hop Dancer (5) checks in with a 65.85 TrackWiz rating and represents trainer David Donk, who knows how to spot a horse in the right spot. She's a fair price at 5/1, and in a maiden field where the top two could set each other up, a closer profile could benefit from a pace that gets honest. She's worth including in your exacta and trifecta coverage.

Race 2

5:41 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

This six-furlong allowance optional claimer has a standout at the top and a legitimate upset threat underneath — the favorite is hard to dismiss, but the price on the second choice makes the exacta worth building.

win2My Magic WandML 7/5

My Magic Wand (2) is the most dominant rating in this field at 89.42, and a 44% career win rate makes her one of the more reliable horses you'll see all day at the Big A. Manuel Franco takes the call for trainer Gregory Sacco, and at 7/5 on the morning line the public clearly agrees. In a six-furlong sprint where early pace can be decisive, a horse this sharp figures to be sitting close to the lead and hard to catch.

place6AtarahML 4/1

Atarah (6) brings an impressive 40% career win rate to the table and a TrackWiz rating of 78.29 — clearly the second-best horse in this spot on our numbers. Linda Rice gets a live runner here, and Jaime Rodriguez should have her tracking the pace from a comfortable position. At 4/1, she's a strong place candidate and worth using underneath in exactas.

show4All ClassML 8/1

All Class (4) flies a bit under the radar at 8/1 on the morning line but posts a 31% career win rate and a solid 52.89 rating — respectable in this company. The Dutrow barn has two horses in the race, which sometimes signals confidence in a stable entry, and Ricardo Santana Jr. knows how to navigate a short six-furlong sprint. Use her in your trifectas as a live show contender at a price.

Race 3

6:12 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

The starter optional claimer at seven furlongs shapes up as a clear pace battle between a handful of solid mid-level contenders, with one horse standing out on TrackWiz ratings despite not being the morning-line favorite.

win7CoquitoML 3/1

Coquito (7) leads all horses in this field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and a 31% career win percentage — quality numbers for this level. Manuel Franco picks up the mount for trainer Steven Schauer, and the 3/1 morning line reflects real market support. Over seven furlongs on the dirt, a horse with this kind of rating edge and a capable pilot should be able to stalk the pace and pounce in the stretch.

place4MursalML 2/1

Mursal (4) is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 for good reason — a 77.67 rating and 23% career win rate make her a legitimate contender in this spot for the Linda Rice barn. Dylan Davis gets the call, and he's been sharp around here lately. She's the main competition for Coquito, and at 2/1, she's solid place insurance if our top pick gets outdueled.

show5Despo's DreamML 4/1

Despo's Dream (5) matches Mursal's 23% career win rate and posts a 75.88 TrackWiz rating, making her the third-ranked horse in a race with a fairly tight top group. Flavien Prat aboard keeps her dangerous, and the 4/1 morning line is fair — not a screaming value, but worth a spot in your trifecta plays given the legitimate upside.

The free portion of today's card gives you a solid look at three very different race types. Race 1 brings Island Charm to a one-mile dirt maiden claimer — an 87.81 TrackWiz rating at 5/2 on the morning line makes her our top selection to open the day. Race 2 is as close to a standout spot as you'll find anywhere on the card: My Magic Wand posts an 89.42 rating — the highest of any free pick today — in a six-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer, and she comes in as the 7/5 ML chalk. Race 3 brings a little more intrigue with Coquito at 3/1 in a seven-furlong starter optional claimer, where the pace scenario sets up nicely for a presser or closer to get involved late.

The dirt is the common thread through all three free races, and with the temperature sitting at 86°F, speed figures earned on similar hot-day surfaces will carry extra weight in our analysis. If you see a horse who's run fast on a warm afternoon before, that's the kind of angle that quietly separates winners from also-rans on a day like today.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:43 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A full field of maidens takes to the turf mile, and the morning-line favorite is a Chad Brown runner — but TrackWiz numbers say there's a value play near the top that the public may be sleeping on.

win1Quiet PowerML 7/2

Quiet Power (1) tops our TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 despite going off at 7/2 on the morning line — a notable gap between our assessment and the public's. Trainer Claude McGaughey III is a Hall of Famer who places horses carefully, and Jose Lezcano knows this strip well. In a full maiden field on the grass, a horse with this kind of rating edge and a patient trainer represents excellent win value at the projected price.

place6SidearmML 6/1

Sidearm (6) checks in with a 71.73 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 56 — tied for the highest in the field alongside the morning-line favorite. Trainer Edward Barker sends him out with Manuel Franco, which is an upgrade in the irons. The 6/1 morning line is very workable for a horse with this kind of raw speed, and he's a prime place target if Quiet Power leads the way home.

show9Stream ItML 5/2

Stream It (9) rates at 62.57 on our TrackWiz model and draws Jose Lezcano for trainer Linda Rice, who consistently puts live horses on the board. At 5/2 on the morning line, she may be a bit short for a straight show bet, but she belongs in your trifecta and exacta coverage as a horse with a legitimate shot to hit the board in a wide-open maiden turf field.

Race 5

7:14 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

One of the tougher betting races on the card — a 13-horse maiden claiming turf route with a spread-out field and no dominant figure, which opens the door for a longshot play at a meaningful price.

win2Addagirl AddieML 12/1

Addagirl Addie (2) leads our TrackWiz ratings in this wide-open field at 59.22 — not a towering edge, but enough to stand out when the rest of the field clusters tightly below. Ricardo Santana Jr. takes the mount for trainer Robbie Davis, which is an encouraging rider upgrade in a race with plenty of question marks. The 12/1 morning line makes her our top selection and a genuine value play — if she fires on the turf, the price could be very rewarding.

place3Valiant DivaML 6/1

Valiant Diva (3) posts a 58.27 rating, just a tick behind our top pick, and brings a 52 average speed figure to the table for trainer Thomas Morley. Ruben Silvera takes the mount, and the 6/1 morning line is fair for a horse that profiles as a closer in a field that might go fast up front. She's worth using in exactas and trifectas as a horse who could sneak into the picture late.

show11Athena's FuryML 4/1

Athena's Fury (11) rates at 55.0 on our TrackWiz model — the third-best figure in this bunch — and gets Manuel Franco in the irons for trainer Amelia Green, which adds some confidence. Her 4/1 morning line makes her one of the lower-priced tickets in this race, so she's better as a trifecta piece than a straight show bet. Still, Franco's turf savvy could make the difference in a race like this.

Race 6

7:45 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Dirt

Chad Brown saddles a pair in this maiden special weight mile on the dirt, but it's the one with the top TrackWiz rating — not necessarily the one the market will favor — that projects as the horse to beat.

win3Judge BoushayML 5/2

Judge Boushay (3) carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at an impressive 87.81, and Manuel Franco takes the call for the powerful Chad Brown barn. Brown's win rate with first-time starters and lightly-raced horses on this circuit is consistently strong, and pairing that with Franco's big-race poise makes this one of the more compelling top picks of the day. The 5/2 morning line is reasonable for a horse with this profile.

place2Liam's LegacyML 2/1

Liam's Legacy (2) goes as the 2/1 morning-line favorite, which suggests strong public support — and the Barclay Tagg connection is worth noting for a trainer who rarely wastes a bullet. Junior Alvarado climbs aboard and gives this horse a legitimate shot to run into the exacta at minimum. The 58.33 TrackWiz rating isn't as flashy as our top pick, but in a maiden field this can close from off the pace.

show5Term PremiumML 3/1

Term Premium (5) is Chad Brown's second entry and, on paper, the stablemate to our win pick — which creates an interesting dynamic. Flavien Prat takes this one, and Brown horses ridden by Prat have been clicking all meet. The 3/1 morning line reflects Brown's strong reputation even with a first-timer, and Term Premium belongs in your trifecta as a horse who could easily run into the money.

Race 7

8:16 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A full, competitive allowance optional claiming field on the turf at 1 1/16 miles — pace should be honest with multiple runners who like to press, setting up a potential bonus for our place pick at a double-digit morning line.

win3Right TimingML 2/1

Right Timing (3) tops our TrackWiz model at 83.87 and boasts an average speed figure of 55 — one of the best in this field. Flavien Prat rides for the Chad Brown barn, an elite combination on turf at this level, and Brown's horses in allowance turf spots at Belmont are money to follow. The 2/1 morning line is short but justified — this filly has the class, the connections, and the numbers to run them all down.

place7Getting SeriousML 8/1

Getting Serious (7) is our value play in this spot — a 79.79 TrackWiz rating that ranks second in the field, paired with Hall of Famer John Velazquez for trainer Claude McGaughey III. The 8/1 morning line looks generous for a horse who shows a 25% career win rate and clearly fits this condition. If Right Timing gets a soft setup up front, Getting Serious profiles as the horse most likely to run into second.

show10Hot GossipML 3/1

Hot Gossip (10) posts a 65.1 TrackWiz rating with a 25% career win rate and gets Manuel Franco for trainer Linda Rice — a trainer-jockey combo that shows up ready around here. Her 3/1 morning line is manageable, and with an average speed of 52, she'll need the pace to collapse in front of her. She's a worthy trifecta piece in a race where the top of the order might clear out.

Race 8

8:47 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A massive 15-horse maiden claiming field on the turf at 1 1/16 miles — numbers this large tend to create traffic and chaos late, which makes pace and post position critical, and our top two rated horses stand well above the rest.

win5Authentic LegendML 7/2

Authentic Legend (5) leads all runners with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 55 — numbers that pop in a field this big and this spread out. Jose Lezcano takes the mount for trainer Mark Hennig, who is very capable at placing horses in the right spot at this level. The 7/2 morning line reflects the strength of the connections, and in a large field on turf, a horse with this kind of edge in ratings should be able to find a clean trip and assert late.

place7Inherent PromiseML 9/2

Inherent Promise (7) rates second-best in the race at 73.36 and posts a 55 average speed figure — matching Authentic Legend and Restless Renegade at the top for raw speed. Javier Castellano picks up the mount for trainer Lisa Lewis, and Castellano is as good as it gets when it comes to navigating traffic in full-field turf routes. The 9/2 morning line makes Inherent Promise one of the better place values on the card today.

show15Restless RenegadeML 3/1

Restless Renegade (15) checks in at 72.55 on our TrackWiz model with a 54 average speed figure, ranking third overall in this field. Manuel Franco takes the call for Linda Rice — a combination that consistently fires in spots like this — and despite breaking from the extreme outside in post 15, Franco is skilled enough to find position. She's a legitimate show contender and worth using widely in trifecta boxes given the fair 3/1 morning line.

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Island Charm, My Magic Wand, and Coquito are your TrackWiz best bets from the free card today — all three carry strong ratings and clear pace advantages in their respective spots. If you want the full picture across all eight races, including exotic breakdowns and pace projections for the turf card, subscriber analysis is one tap away at /pricing. Good luck out there — let's cash some tickets.

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