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Arapahoe Picks & Predictions — June 13, 2026

June 13, 20267 racesAll Arapahoe picks

This card ran on June 13, 2026.

Best bets at Arapahoe, June 13, 2026

Race 16Tell MistyML 9/53:00 PM EDT

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It's a beautiful Saturday at Arapahoe Park — clear skies, 77 degrees, and a fast dirt strip that should reward speed horses all afternoon. Seven races are on the card today, mixing maiden events and allowance company before the action peaks with a stakes double to close things out.

The mix of quarter-horse sprints and traditional dirt routes gives this card real variety. That 250-yard opener and the 350-yard dash in Race 7 will be over before you blink, while the 6-furlong events in the middle of the card offer a bit more time to sweat your tickets. Conditions look ideal across the board — no wind, no weather concerns, just horses and dirt.

Best Bets

Race 1

3:00 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint at 250 yards where TrackWiz ratings tell a clear story at the top — but two blanket-odds horses make the exotics tricky.

win6Tell MistyML 9/5

Tell Misty sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 88.83 and draws the morning line favorite price of 9/5, so the market already agrees with our model. In a short 250-yard burst there's virtually no pace scenario to worry about — it's all about raw talent and gate speed, and this filly grades out well above the field on both counts. Trainer Alex J. Torres-Casas sends her out with Manuel Garcia in the irons, a competent pairing for a sprint specialist. At near-even money she's not a value bomb, but she's the right horse to anchor your tickets.

place10WintriscomingML 5/2

Wintriscoming is the second-highest-rated horse in the field at 84.13 and gets out at a very fair 5/2 morning line from the outside post in program number 10. Trainer Jose Manuel Barron has a live runner here, and Gustavo Moreno is a capable hand for the short sprint. If Tell Misty stumbles out of the gate — and anything can happen in a 250-yard dash — this one is right there to capitalize.

show5Perry MiracleML EVN

Perry Miracle carries a 66.03 TrackWiz rating and is listed at even money, which suggests connections know something about this one's readiness. In a maiden sprint this short, don't overthink it — a horse with morning-line confidence from the connections at evens has place-and-show value in multi-horse tickets. Use her underneath in your trifectas as a hedge against the two top choices.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Two horses dominate the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden claimer going six furlongs — it's essentially a two-horse race with a sneaky show threat hiding at 8/1.

win1Siempre NamanML 2/1

Siempre Naman earns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.54 and is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 for trainer Rafael S. Barraza, who also saddles Boss Girl in this same race — a sign the barn is loaded for bear. Jockey David Cardoso picks up the mount here, which is the stronger of Barraza's two entries. With an average speed figure of 53 and a six-furlong layout that rewards horses who can sustain their run, Siempre Naman looks like the class of this field at a workable price.

place6Robin RedML 5/2

Robin Red rates second in the field at 85.12 — just 3.42 points behind the top selection — and is listed at 5/2 for trainer Trevor Rushton with Nathan Haar up. She's posted an average speed of 52, which is right in the thick of this group, and her profile suggests she should be sitting just off the leader and ready to pounce in the stretch. The value here is solid if Siempre Naman fades in the final furlong.

show3Speak NowML 8/1

Speak Now is worth a look at 8/1 morning line as a show play and trifecta inclusion. She rates third in the field at 65.42 for trainer Stetson Rushton — who also runs La Tentatrice — and has an average speed figure of 51 that's competitive. At 8/1 she represents legitimate overlay territory for the third spot on a ticket, especially if the two top picks get tangled up on the front end.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our free analysis covers the first three races, and there's a common thread worth noting: on a fast, dry surface like today's, early speed has been holding up well, and all three of our top picks — Tell Misty (Race 1, 9/5 ML), Siempre Naman (Race 2, 2/1 ML), and Hot and Nasty (Race 3, 2/1 ML) — project to be forwardly placed from the break. In short sprints especially, getting out of the gate clean is half the battle, and TrackWiz ratings back each of these horses with scores in the high 87–88 range.

None of the three are massive overlays at their morning lines, but we're not fading chalk for the sake of it today — the numbers line up. If you're playing all three, a small win parlay is worth considering as a way to juice the value on what could be a clean sweep of the early card.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:00 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Dirt

Top-end talent is tightly bunched in this maiden special weight going five furlongs, with two horses separated by just 1.5 rating points battling for supremacy.

win3Hot and NastyML 2/1

Hot and Nasty is our top selection with a TrackWiz rating of 87.85 and the 2/1 morning-line chalk for trainer Vaughn Long with Mike T. Luark aboard. She's posted an average speed figure of 51 and looks like a horse who has been pointing for this spot. At five furlongs on the dirt, pace scenario is critical — horses that can get out clean and maintain their speed figure tend to dominate, and nothing in this field rates higher. The 2/1 price is fair for the top-rated entrant in a maiden special weight.

place6Celee's LegacyML 7/2

Celee's Legacy is just a tick behind at 86.35 and offers a touch more value at 7/2 for trainer Russell Vicchrilli with Adrian B. Ramos in the saddle. Her average speed figure of 52 actually edges out the top pick by a point, suggesting she might have a little more raw speed in the tank. If the pace gets hot early and Hot and Nasty gets caught in traffic, Celee's Legacy has the ability to make a late run and snatch the place spot.

show4Tapit CaraML 5/2

Tapit Cara rates at 63.58 with an average speed of 51 for trainer Ryan Kenney, landing at 5/2 morning line — a horse the market clearly respects as a contender. Jockey David Cardoso is a solid pick-up for this connections combo. She's a reasonable hedge in the show slot, particularly in trifecta boxing scenarios where you want coverage behind the two top selections.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

4:30 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

This allowance sprint at 5½ furlongs features legitimate class depth, with a speed figure standout at the top and a wide-open battle brewing for the minor spots.

win6Go Go SadieML 5/2

Go Go Sadie is the TrackWiz top selection at 87.81 and draws the 5/2 morning line for trainer Jacque Guerra with Larren Delorme in the irons. She leads the field with an average speed figure of 57 — a full point ahead of the second-best speed horses — and that kind of edge at 5½ furlongs on the dirt can be decisive. Her career win percentage of 19% in an allowance field isn't eye-popping, but the raw speed numbers and TrackWiz rating say she's the one to beat tonight.

place5Gracie's a TigerML 3/1

Gracie's a Tiger rates 79.94 and is listed at 3/1 for trainer Trevor Rushton with Nathan Haar, a sharp barn-jockey combo that fires regularly at this level. Her average speed figure of 53 is modest compared to the top selection, but a 16% career win rate in this company shows she's not a stranger to the winner's circle. She projects as a stalker type who could benefit if the top speed horses burn each other out early.

show2CestrandML 6/1

Cestrand is worth a serious look at 6/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 73.92 and a career win percentage of 28% — the second-highest in the field — for trainer Neil A. Koch. Her average speed figure of 56 puts her among the fastest horses on paper, and 28 wins out of every 100 starts is a genuinely strong conversion rate for this class. At 6/1 she's a legitimate overlay for the show position and should be included in all exotic wagers.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

5:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A claiming sprint going six furlongs where the TrackWiz model has a clear top choice, but two live longshots at 6/1 could reshape the exotics in a big way.

win3Max's MaxineML 2/1

Max's Maxine is the standout selection here with a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 — highest in the field — and draws the 2/1 morning line for trainer O. A. Martinez, Jr. with Nathan Haar up. She's posted an average speed figure of 55, matching Beautiful Breeze and Screaming Virginia at the top of the pack, but her rating edge is significant. In a claiming sprint, horses that rate this far above the field tend to be honest favorites, and this one fits the profile of a horse that should wire the field or sit close and kick.

place7MarielitaML 6/1

Marielita is our place pick at 6/1 — excellent value for a horse with a TrackWiz rating of 81.27 and trainer Veronica Chavez sending her out with David Cardoso. Her average speed figure of 53 is just a step off the leaders, and a career win rate of 5% in claiming company tells you she competes regularly without always closing the deal. At 6/1 morning line, she's a prime overlay for second-place money and should be leaned on in exacta and trifecta combinations.

show5Miss You No MoreML 6/1

Miss You No More rates 63.56 with a career win percentage of 9% and draws 6/1 for trainer Stetson Rushton — a yard that has multiple runners on tonight's card and clearly has horses ready. Jockey Adrian B. Ramos is a capable handler who should keep her out of trouble in a full seven-horse field. Her average speed figure of 53 keeps her in range, making her a reasonable show inclusion in wider exotic tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

5:30 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 fur · Dirt

The evening's first stakes race at five furlongs sets up as a fascinating clash between the morning-line favorite and a TrackWiz overlay — the numbers and the odds are pointing in opposite directions.

win2Truth SeekerML 9/2

Truth Seeker is our top pick at 9/2 morning line — a genuine overlay over the 9/5 morning-line favorite — with a TrackWiz rating of 84.9, the highest in the field. Trainer Rafael S. Barraza and jockey David Cardoso form a live pairing, and her average speed figure of 57 is tied for second in the field. In a stakes race at five furlongs, rating edges matter, and Truth Seeker's 84.9 stands a full 16 points above the morning-line chalk. That's a significant disconnect worth exploiting at longer odds.

place1Supersonic BlueML 9/5

Supersonic Blue is the morning-line favorite at 9/5 for trainer O. A. Martinez, Jr. and leads the field with a career win rate of 50% — a genuinely impressive conversion number at the stakes level. His average speed figure of 58 tops the entire field, which explains why the market has hammered him down. Even if he doesn't win, a horse with a 50% win rate and the best speed figures in the race is almost always thereabouts, making him a strong place play.

show3Paynted BlueML 6/1

Paynted Blue draws 6/1 morning line with a 20% career win rate for trainer Mark N. Hibdon and an average speed figure of 55 — putting him right in the mix on raw numbers. At 6/1 in a six-horse stakes field, he's a natural trifecta inclusion, and his speed figure is competitive enough to suggest he won't be getting lapped. Use him underneath the top two in your trifecta combinations to maximize return.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

6:00 PM EDT

Stakes · 350 yd · Dirt

The nightcap is a stakes race over 350 yards where career win percentages separate the contenders — one horse has won 60% of his starts, and that number demands attention at 9/2.

win1One Glittering FlareML 9/2

One Glittering Flare earns the top TrackWiz rating at 84.9 and carries a career win rate of 60% — the highest mark in a talented stakes field — at 9/2 morning line for trainer Jose Manuel Barron with Martin Lazalde in the gate. In a 350-yard sprint, a horse that wins six out of every ten starts is essentially a machine, and that type of consistency at the stakes level is rare. The 9/2 morning line represents real value on what should be the most accomplished horse in the field. Lazalde-Barron is a pairing worth trusting in short races.

place8SkindatsmokewagonML 3/1

Skindatsmokewagon rates 82.52 — just 2.38 points off the top selection — and draws 3/1 morning line for trainer Karina Gonzalez with Roberto Valero up. A career win percentage of 30% in stakes competition is rock solid, and at 3/1 he's the horse the market has decided is the main competition for One Glittering Flare. In a nine-horse field going 350 yards, having both the top-rated and second-rated horses in your exacta is the smart play.

show3Presido PeteML 2/1

Presido Pete is the 2/1 morning-line favorite, which makes him interesting as a show play if he underperforms his odds. Trainer Haley N. Hobbs sends out a horse with a 31% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 75.5 — competitive but sitting third in a strong field. Fernando Fonseca-Soto is in the irons, and at 2/1 on the morning line the market clearly respects him. Including him in the show slot of trifectas gives you solid coverage across the top three rated horses in the race.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Today at Arapahoe shapes up as a genuinely playable card from top to bottom. Tell Misty, Siempre Naman, and Hot and Nasty lead the way in the free races, while the stakes double featuring Truth Seeker and One Glittering Flare is where the biggest scores could come. Enjoy the free picks, and if you want the full-card edge, grab a TrackWiz subscription — the premium analysis is live now. Good luck out there.

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