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Albuquerque Picks & Predictions — September 13, 2026

September 13, 20269 racesAll Albuquerque picks

This card ran on September 13, 2026.

Best bets at Albuquerque, September 13, 2026

Race 14Silver Spurs ArML 9/23:30 PM EDT

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Sunday at Albuquerque and the weather couldn't be more cooperative — clear skies, 87°F, and a fast dirt strip that should reward early speed all afternoon. Nine races are on the board, mixing short-format quarter-horse sprints in the early going with a pair of classic distance routes to close out the card.

What makes today's card worth your full attention? The mix of surfaces and distances is wider than your typical Albuquerque Sunday. You've got lightning-fast 350- and 400-yard dashes for the quarter horses, a 870-yard marathon opener, and then the card shifts gears into 5½-, 6-, and 7-furlong Thoroughbred-style races. It keeps the handicapping interesting and creates some real exotic-wager opportunities across the afternoon.

The headline act is Race 8, a Stakes at 7 furlongs where our top pick Bertani comes in at 8/1 on the morning line — a price that immediately catches the eye. Stakes races with a potential overlay at the top of our rankings don't come around every day. We'll get into it below.

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Race 1

3:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 870 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer at 870 yards where first-out runners dominate the top of the board — TrackWiz ratings separate a clear top three from the rest of a thin field.

win4Silver Spurs ArML 9/2

Silver Spurs Ar (#4) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.9, a significant gap over the majority of this field. Erick Medellin gets the call, and the 9/2 morning line feels like fair value for a horse projecting this strongly on our model. In a race full of unknowns, Silver Spurs Ar's profile stands out as the most complete package at this distance.

place5M S D GreatkingmidasML 7/2

M S D Greatkingmidas (#5) slots in right behind at a 79.69 TrackWiz rating, and Edgar S. Martinez — who also pilots Lucky Lara in this race — picks up the mount at 7/2 on the morning line. That's a strong rider booking for a first-out runner, suggesting connections have confidence. Look for this one to be competitive throughout the stretch run.

show8Escape the FarmML 3/1

Escape the Farm (#8) brings an average speed figure of 54 to go along with a 67.64 rating — the only top-three pick with a published speed number, which adds a layer of confidence. Jockey Aldo Arboleda has shown he can get horses home, and at 3/1 this one could easily be overbet, so key it in exotics rather than just for show.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:55 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 400 yd · Dirt

A sprawling 12-horse maiden claimer at 400 yards — the pure sprint format compresses the field into a single explosive burst, and the top three on the TrackWiz board are separated from the pack by a meaningful margin.

win3Rm Lota KickenML 9/2

Rm Lota Kicken (#3) leads the entire field with an 84.9 TrackWiz rating and draws a favorable inside post at 400 yards where gate speed is everything. Brian Cobos Barraza gets the mount at 9/2, which is solid value for the top-rated horse. Trainer Heber Deyta-Melendez puts this runner in prime position, and the rating edge here is hard to dismiss.

place10Indis CartelML 7/2

Indis Cartel (#10) is just a fraction behind at 82.91 and gets the services of Edgar S. Martinez, one of the busiest and most effective riders on this card. The 7/2 morning line makes this a near-co-favorite on paper, and the combination of a top-tier rating and an experienced jockey is exactly the kind of profile you want underneath in exotics.

show5Diamond CrownML 6/1

Diamond Crown (#5) checks in at a 76.39 rating with Francisco Zamora aboard, and the 6/1 morning line gives this one some legitimate value in the show slot. While the gap between Diamond Crown and the top two is real, she rates as clearly the best of the rest in a field where ratings fall off sharply after the top three.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

The first three races on the card are fully unlocked for every TrackWiz reader, and they offer a solid foundation for the day. Silver Spurs Ar (Race 1, 9/2 ML) headlines a Maiden Claiming sprint over 870 yards — the longest of the quarter-horse distances on today's card — where our rating of 84.9 puts the horse clear of the field. In Race 2, Rm Lota Kicken shares that same 84.9 TrackWiz rating in another Maiden Claiming dash at 400 yards, a true 50-50 coin-flip distance where gate speed and reaction time are everything. Race 3 steps up to open Maiden company and Cartels Girl jumps out as our top-rated runner at 87.08 with a morning line of 3/1 — a price that actually represents some value given how cleanly she grades out against this field.

One angle worth noting across all three free races: the clear, dry conditions and warm temperatures should keep the Albuquerque dirt playing fast and true all day. In short-format sprints, a consistent track surface tends to favor horses with clean gate manners and early foot — exactly the profile our free-race picks share. Use Races 1–3 to get a feel for how the track is playing before the premium card kicks off in Race 4.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:20 PM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

A 12-horse maiden special weight at 400 yards with a clear standout at the top — Cartels Girl's rating towers over this field, but there's a live second tier worth noting for exacta and trifecta plays.

win1Cartels GirlML 3/1

Cartels Girl (#1) carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.08 — a commanding figure in a maiden sprint where raw ability is the primary separator. Gabriel Medrano gets the call from trainer Jesus Rondan Jr., and the 3/1 morning line reflects well-deserved market confidence. At 400 yards, gate speed and raw talent rule, and Cartels Girl projects as the class of this field.

place11Don Good LookinML 7/2

Don Good Lookin (#11) rates second-best in the field at 68.32 and is trained by Karina Aldavaz, who also runs Elmers Streak in this race — meaning the barn has live ammunition throughout. Christian Cardenas is aboard at 7/2, a confident booking that suggests connections view this horse as a genuine contender. The gap between Don Good Lookin and the rest of the second tier is meaningful.

show4Zoomin Thru JuarezML 9/2

Zoomin Thru Juarez (#4) slots third on our ratings at 54.17 with James A. Flores up for Martin Orona Sr. at 9/2 on the morning line. In a wide-open race below the top two, this runner's rating edge over the bulk of the field makes it a logical inclusion in trifecta construction. The Flores-Orona combination is worth noting as a working team at this meet.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 4

4:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

A deep 12-horse allowance sprint at 350 yards where the class hierarchy is more defined — several horses carry meaningful career win percentages, giving experienced handicappers real data to work with.

win9Jd Dance MonkeyML 3/1

Jd Dance Monkey (#9) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and brings an 18% career win percentage to the table — a respectable hit rate at the allowance level. Christian Ramos takes the mount for trainer Mario Dominguez-Garcia, and the 3/1 morning line puts this horse right where you'd expect the top-rated runner to open. At 350 yards it's all about breaking on top, and nothing in this field rates higher.

place8Noquit InhimML 7/2

Noquit Inhim (#8) posts a 76.95 rating with a 10% career win rate and draws Edgar S. Martinez, arguably the busiest effective rider on today's card. The 7/2 morning line is competitive, and trainer Angel E. Dominguez has this runner placed correctly in an allowance sprint. Underneath Jd Dance Monkey, this one is the most logical exacta target.

show5MagnifyedML 8/1

Magnifyed (#5) brings the strongest career win percentage among our top three picks at 20%, which speaks to a horse that knows how to finish. Gabriel Medrano has the call for Martin Orona Sr. at 8/1 — and that price makes Magnifyed worth including in all trifecta combinations. A 66.7 rating in a 12-horse field puts this one clearly in contention for the minor awards.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 5

5:10 PM EDT

Allowance · 400 yd · Dirt

This allowance sprint at 400 yards features some of the strongest career win percentages on the card — Eagles Up's 33% win rate leads the way, but Walk It Back at 22% and Ninja Cowboy at 25% make this a competitive race with legitimate depth.

win5Eagles UpML 5/2

Eagles Up (#5) is the top-rated horse in the field at 87.81 and brings a 33% career win percentage — one of the highest marks on today's entire card. Christian Ramos rides for trainer Marc E. Jungers, and the 5/2 morning line correctly identifies this as the horse to beat. In an allowance sprint where consistency separates contenders, that win rate is a strong signal.

place3Walk It BackML 9/2

Walk It Back (#3) rates just below the top at 73.37 with a 22% career win rate, and Gabriel Medrano picks up the mount for Jaime Dominguez at 9/2. That's a live outside price for a horse with a legitimate record of winning — the rating gap between Walk It Back and Eagles Up is real but not insurmountable in a sprint format where fractions of a second decide outcomes.

show2Ninja CowboyML 7/2

Ninja Cowboy (#2) posts a 25% career win percentage — actually the highest among our three picks — with a 72.97 rating and Oscar Andrade Jr. in the irons at 7/2 for trainer Joaquin Lopez. The morning line feels slightly short for a show play, but that win rate tells you this horse competes, and in exotic wagering you want reliable horses in the back end of your ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 6

5:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Six horses go to the gate in this claiming sprint at six furlongs — Hot and Nasty enters as a dominant favorite by our ratings, but Jawdropper lurks at a double-digit morning line with a surprisingly competitive number.

win1Hot and NastyML 2/1

Hot and Nasty (#1) leads all runners with an 86.63 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 55, matching the field's upper tier. Alejandro Medellin gets the mount for trainer Vaughn Long, and the 2/1 morning line reflects the horse's clear edge in this spot. A 9% career win rate might seem modest, but the raw ratings and speed figure combination suggest this runner is peaking at the right time.

place5JawdropperML 8/1

Jawdropper (#5) is our value play in this race — a 79.79 rating and an average speed of 54 at 8/1 on the morning line is a significant price mismatch. Francisco Amparan rides for trainer Alberto Amparan in what appears to be a family operation, and connections at smaller meets often know their horses' best days. If the favorite has any trouble in the early going over six furlongs, Jawdropper is in the right spot to benefit.

show3Brandon's GirlML 5/1

Brandon's Girl (#3) rates third in the field at 69.8 with an average speed of 54 and a 7% career win percentage. Gabriel Medrano handles the mount for trainer Sherry Armstrong, who runs multiple horses on today's card. At 5/1 the price isn't exceptional, but the consistency of Brandon's Girl's speed figures and rating make her a logical show selection and a key piece in exacta boxing.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

6:00 PM EDT

Allowance · 7 fur · Dirt

A nine-horse allowance sprint at seven furlongs where Bye holds the top rating but Barossa's 40% career win rate raises a legitimate question — this is a pace-honest field with multiple horses capable of taxing the frontrunners.

win4ByeML 5/2

Bye (#4) leads the field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and a stunning 37% career win percentage — one of the strongest winning profiles in any race on today's card. Francisco Amparan rides for trainer Alberto Amparan at 5/2, and with an average speed of 55 over seven furlongs, this runner has the class and consistency to handle today's competition. The rating gap between Bye and the rest of the field is the largest edge we have on the card at this distance.

place5Truth SeekerML 9/2

Truth Seeker (#5) posts a 79.8 rating with a 26% career win rate and an average speed of 56 — actually the highest average speed among our top three picks. Aldo Arboleda takes the mount for trainer Rafael S. Barraza at 9/2, a workable price for a horse with legitimate credentials. Over seven furlongs, stamina matters, and Truth Seeker's speed profile suggests the distance is right in his wheelhouse.

show1Jaime's CommitmentML 10/1

Jaime's Commitment (#1) is our value inclusion at 10/1 on the morning line — a 70.08 rating paired with a 21% career win percentage and an average speed of 57, the best speed number among our show-ticket horses. Gabriel Medrano rides for trainer Raymond G. Valerio, and that 57 average speed over a route is legitimately intriguing. At double-digit odds, Jaime's Commitment is worth sprinkling into trifectas as the surprise piece.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 8

6:25 PM EDT

Stakes · 7 fur · Dirt

The stakes race at seven furlongs features the most experienced field on the card with win percentages ranging up to an eye-catching 75% — Surveillance's remarkable record makes this a fascinating betting puzzle against TrackWiz's top-rated horses.

win7BertaniML 8/1

Bertani (#7) leads our ratings at 79.79 with a 30% career win percentage and an average speed of 55. Christian Ramos gets the mount for Hall of Fame-caliber conditioner Todd W. Fincher, and that trainer booking alone elevates this horse's profile. At 8/1 on the morning line, Bertani is our best bet value play of the stakes race — the rating says top of the field, the price says the market isn't fully on board yet.

place8ItsmybirthdayML 3/1

Itsmybirthday (#8) is a 45% career winner — one of the highest hit rates in today's entire card — with a 78.54 rating and an average speed of 56 for trainer Robertino Diodoro, a top-tier conditioner. Ramon A. Vazquez rides at 3/1, and this horse profiles as a legitimate win threat that we're slotting for place based purely on the rating order. In any other race this might be our top selection.

show3Knock Knock JokeML 12/1

Knock Knock Joke (#3) provides the longshot value in our exotic tickets at 12/1 with a 71.68 rating — the third-best number in the field — and an average speed of 55. Alfredo J. Juarez Jr. rides for trainer Dick Cappellucci, and the 20% career win rate shows this horse has competed successfully before stepping into stakes company. At a dozen to one, Knock Knock Joke is the kind of price that turns a trifecta into a big score.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 9

6:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The finale at 5½ furlongs is a seven-horse claiming event where Pop's Party holds a commanding ratings advantage — but Marquis Lights and Delia give the race enough competition to keep exacta and trifecta prices honest.

win1Pop's PartyML 5/2

Pop's Party (#1) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 — the highest figure posted in any race on tonight's card — with a 17% career win rate and an average speed of 55. Alfredo J. Juarez Jr. takes the mount for trainer Sherry Armstrong, who has multiple runners on the card today and clearly has her stable in sharp form. At 5/2 on the morning line, Pop's Party is our strongest rated runner of the night and the most confident selection on the card.

place3Marquis LightsML 3/1

Marquis Lights (#3) rates second at 69.8 with a 10% career win percentage and an average speed of 55 for trainer Greg Green — who also saddles Delia in this same race, suggesting the barn sends a two-pronged attack. Aldo Arboleda rides at 3/1, and over 5½ furlongs the distance suits a closer type that can sit just off a hot pace and pounce. Underneath Pop's Party, Marquis Lights is the most logical exacta partner.

show6DeliaML 10/1

Delia (#6) gives trainer Greg Green a second bullet in this field — a 62.47 rating with a 15% career win rate and an average speed of 55. Miguel A. Perez is up at 10/1, making Delia a genuine overlay for show and a price play worth including in all trifecta combinations. A double-entry from the same barn often means one horse is the main threat and the other gets a ground-saving trip — either way, Delia at a tenth to one is pure value.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

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Albuquerque is serving up a genuinely varied nine-race card today under ideal conditions, and the value is hiding in plain sight — especially Bertani in the Stakes at 8/1. Silver Spurs Ar, Rm Lota Kicken, and Cartels Girl give free readers three strong starting points. For pace breakdowns, exotic tickets, and the full card from Race 4 through the finale, subscribers have everything they need waiting in the premium analysis. Good luck out there — race smart.

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