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Albuquerque Picks & Predictions — July 24, 2026

July 24, 202610 racesAll Albuquerque picks

This card ran on July 24, 2026.

Best bets at Albuquerque, July 24, 2026

Race 13El MaestroML 5/28:05 PM EDT

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Albuquerque is running a full 10-race card this Friday, and Mother Nature is throwing a curveball right out of the gate. Rain is falling at 93°F, which might sound contradictory, but in the high desert that combination can turn a fast strip into something slick and unpredictable in a hurry. Pay close attention to how the surface plays early — the first few races will tell you a lot about where the track is sitting.

The card is a solid mix of short quarter-horse sprints at 350 and 400 yards alongside the longer 870-yard routes that demand a different kind of horse entirely. Route runners and pure speed burners rarely overlap, so the pace scenarios shift dramatically from race to race. Today's card rewards handicappers who stay sharp and adapt — and TrackWiz analysis has you covered from Race 1 through Race 10.

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Race 1

8:05 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 870 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming sprint over 870 yards where the top three TrackWiz-rated horses hold a significant edge over the bottom half of the field — but with all zeros in the career win column, anything can happen first time out.

win3El MaestroML 5/2

El Maestro (3) tops our ratings at 79.45, the highest mark in the field, and draws the morning-line favoritism at 5/2 — a sign the book agrees. Gabriel Medrano gets the call, a capable hand for a race like this. In a field of first-timers where raw talent ratings carry extra weight, that rating cushion over the rest of the short-priced contenders is meaningful. Trainer Salvador R. Soto saddles a horse that projects as the most complete profile in the race.

place2Ec IIIML 9/2

Ec III (2) sits just behind the top pick with a TrackWiz rating of 76.72 and goes postward at 9/2 on the morning line — fair value for a horse that rates second-best in the field. Jockey Larry Marquez keeps it simple in a short-field sprint, and trainer Emilio Cadena Jr. has shown he can get maiden runners ready. If El Maestro has any issue breaking cleanly, Ec III is right there to capitalize.

show1Nsg Angel in the SkyML 7/2

Nsg Angel in the Sky (1) closes out our trifecta at 7/2 on the morning line with a solid 74.76 rating — third-best in the field and well clear of the mid-card horses. Oscar Andrade Jr. takes the mount, a reliable pilot at this circuit. The 1-post in a sprint can be tricky, but with clean air early this horse should hit the board in a field where half the entrants rate below 50.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

8:30 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A sprawling 12-horse maiden dash at 350 yards where two horses — Jd Sweet Success and Apollitical Strike — stand clearly above the rest on our ratings, setting up a potential top-heavy exacta situation with a deep field of longshots beneath them.

win2Jd Sweet SuccessML 3/1

Jd Sweet Success (2) leads all runners with a 79.07 TrackWiz rating and goes at a fair 3/1 morning line. Jesus Rios Ayala gets the ride for trainer Justin W. Joiner, a combination that should have this horse ready to fire. At 350 yards it's all about the gate and early burst — Jd Sweet Success profiles as the fastest from the ramp in this field, and that rating gap over the rest is tough to ignore in a pure speed race.

place6Apollitical StrikeML 7/2

Apollitical Strike (6) checks in at 61.16 on our ratings — a clear step above the mid-pack — and is posted at 7/2, making this a horse worth keying underneath. Francisco Raul Ramirez Jr. handles the riding assignment for trainer Jason L. Olmstead. The name suggests Quarter Horse royalty in the pedigree, and at 350 yards that bloodline often speaks for itself.

show10Shes JudgeandjuryML 9/2

Shes Judgeandjury (10) rounds out our ticket at 9/2 with a 54.17 rating, third-best in the field by a comfortable margin. Edwin G. Escobedo rides for trainer Marc E. Jungers, who has a history of getting runners to the gate ready. In a 12-horse field with lots of longshot noise, having the third-rated horse at nearly 5-1 in the exotics is a spot worth exploiting.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

The first three races are open to everyone today, and they're a nice cross-section of the card. Race 1 is a Maiden Claiming route going 870 yards — El Maestro opens at 5/2 on the morning line and earns a TrackWiz rating of 79.45, which is respectable for a maiden claimer. In Race 2, a quick 350-yard maiden sprint, Jd Sweet Success (3/1 ML, 79.07 rating) is our top play in what figures to be a bang-bang affair where gate speed is everything. Race 3 is the class of the free selections — an Allowance at 870 yards where First Try Dwm (5/2 ML) posts the highest TrackWiz rating of the trio at 86.89. Watch the wet dirt in the route races; horses that can handle a rain-affected surface without losing their stride will have a clear edge today.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

8:55 PM EDT

Allowance · 870 yd · Dirt

Two horses dominate the ratings in this 870-yard allowance — First Try Dwm and Special Who are separated by less than a point at the top — making this a two-horse affair with the rest of the field playing for show at best.

win3First Try DwmML 5/2

First Try Dwm (3) edges out the field with the top TrackWiz rating of 86.89 and carries a career win rate of 33% — by far the best conversion rate in this race. Luis Alonso Gutierrez Jr. takes the reins for trainer Donna McArthur, and that 33% career win figure is genuinely elite at this level. Going off at 5/2, this is the kind of horse you build your ticket around — proven winner, top rating, and a jockey with local familiarity.

place1Special WhoML 7/2

Special Who (1) is the closest thing to a co-favorite here with a 86.35 rating and a 22% career win percentage — both marks that would win many races on this card. Trainer Sherry Armstrong puts Enrique Portillo Gomez aboard, and at 7/2 there's still a touch of value relative to what this horse brings to the gate. If the pace gets contested and First Try Dwm catches any trouble, Special Who is the most dangerous horse in here to swoop.

show2Sir Liams LoveML 9/2

Sir Liams Love (2) comes in as the clear third wheel at 66.53 with a 16% career win rate and an average speed figure of 57 — the only horse in the top three with a recorded speed number. Gabriel Medrano, one of the busiest jockeys on the card today, handles the mount for trainer Lonnie H. Vaughn. In a race where the top two eat up most of the oxygen, Sir Liams Love at 9/2 is a legitimate show ticket and a useful exacta back-half option.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 4

9:20 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A wide 12-horse maiden field at 350 yards where no single horse commands a dominant rating — the top five all cluster between 51 and 60 — making this a genuinely tricky race to handicap and a potential value play in the exotics.

win7Kj RenegadeML 9/2

Kj Renegade (7) leads our ratings at 59.73 in a race where the ratings are tightly bunched, which means even a small edge at the gate can be decisive at 350 yards. Noe Garcia Jr. takes the mount for trainer Wesley T. Giles, a solid pairing in a short sprint. The 9/2 morning line feels about right, but in a wide-open field this is the horse TrackWiz analysis points to as the most likely winner.

place2Feisti CowboyML 8/1

Feisti Cowboy (2) rates second in the field at 58.02 and offers real value at 8/1 on the morning line — that's a horse rated nearly as high as the top pick going off at nearly double the odds. Francisco Zamora saddles up for trainer John A. Stinebaugh, and in a sprint where gate position matters enormously, the 2-hole is workable. This is your value play in the top portion of the ticket.

show6Mw Candy ShopML 3/1

Mw Candy Shop (6) rates third at 56.67 and goes as the morning-line second choice at 3/1, which makes this a well-supported contender with trainer Marc Anthony Ramirez pulling the strings. Jose Enrique Ortiz gets the mount, and at 350 yards it's tough to completely dismiss a horse the book is pointing at this aggressively. Use in the bottom of your trifectas as a hedge in a race where the top three are all within a few rating points.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 5

9:45 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

Daddys Big Chick towers over this 12-horse maiden field with the highest rating on the card for this race, but Love Trucken and Alstarr form a legitimate secondary tier — so while the top pick looks strong, the secondary spots are competitive.

win9Daddys Big ChickML 3/1

Daddys Big Chick (9) owns the top TrackWiz rating of 87.08 in this field — a number that stands out sharply from the rest — and goes at 3/1 morning line with Brian Cobos Barraza in the irons for trainer Emilio Cadena Jr. At 350 yards, raw ability usually wins out, and this horse profiles as the most talented runner in the gate. The rating gap is large enough to make Daddys Big Chick a confident top selection.

place10Love TruckenML 9/2

Love Trucken (10) rates second in the field at 76.59, a full 10+ points clear of third-best Alstarr, and is priced at a reasonable 9/2. Gabriel Medrano — one of the hardest-working riders on today's card — takes the mount for trainer Arnulfo Cardenas. If Daddys Big Chick has any trouble in the gate or mid-flight, Love Trucken is the clear next-best thing here.

show7AlstarrML 7/2

Alstarr (7) completes the top three at 74.18 and goes at 7/2 morning-line odds, making this an interesting situation where the show pick is actually attracting a lot of morning-line support. Sergio Becerra Jr. handles the assignment for trainer Marco A. Flores. In a 12-horse field loaded with horses rating below 50, Alstarr at 7/2 is a legitimate trifecta key and worth including in all multi-leg wagers.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 6

10:10 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 870 yd · Dirt

Its Jess Me stands well above this Starter Optional Claiming field on our ratings, but Rz Richy at 3/1 will make this a two-horse battle for the win — a legitimate pace duel developing over 870 yards with a softer cast fighting for the bottom spots.

win4Its Jess MeML 6/1

Its Jess Me (4) leads the field with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating and a sparkling 25% career win percentage — the best strike rate among the top-rated horses in this race. Gabriel Medrano gets the call for trainer Salvador R. Soto, a pairing that carries weight. At 6/1 morning line, this horse is actually undervalued relative to how much it outrates the field on both our composite score and career conversion — that's exactly the kind of play TrackWiz analysis loves.

place7Rz RichyML 3/1

Rz Richy (7) rates second at 75.83 with an 11% career win rate and is the morning-line second choice at 3/1 — Oscar Andrade Jr. in the saddle for trainer Karina Aldavaz is a solid combination. Over 870 yards there's room for a pace duel to develop, and Rz Richy projects as the horse most likely to push Its Jess Me early and then hang around for a share. Use underneath in exactas.

show5Well Ta DoML 9/2

Well Ta Do (5) checks in third among our picks at 58.48 with a 14% career win rate, and Francisco Amparan rides for trainer Wesley T. Giles. The 9/2 morning-line price suggests the book respects this one, and in a 10-horse optional claimer where a few entrants are well below par on our ratings, Well Ta Do's consistency makes it a reliable third wheel in the trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 7

10:35 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 400 yd · Dirt

Sr Fear the Storm tops the ratings decisively in this Starter Allowance at 400 yards, but Light My Lips brings a 30% career win rate to the gate — setting up a quality top-of-card race where the favorite has the edge on talent but faces a battle-tested runner with elite class figures.

win2Sr Fear the StormML 7/2

Sr Fear the Storm (2) leads all comers with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating, though the 10% career win rate is modest, this horse rates so far above the field on our composite that it's hard to dismiss. Noe Garcia Jr. takes the mount for trainer Tammy Kay Johnson, and at 7/2 the morning line reflects the talent but leaves some value on the table. Over 400 yards at the Albuquerque dirt, a horse this well-rated should be hard to beat from the 2-hole.

place5Thank KvinML 9/2

Thank Kvin (5) rates second in the field at 77.35 with a solid 17% career win rate, and Luis Martinez rides for trainer David M. Gomez-Barraza — a trainer with multiple runners on today's card suggesting a barn in good form. The 9/2 morning line is fair for a horse this well-rated, and in a 400-yard sprint where pace shapes up to be contested, a closer profile could find a clean run to the wire.

show10Light My LipsML 3/1

Light My Lips (10) is the most interesting horse on the ticket at 3/1 morning-line odds — not because of the rating (73.53, third-best) but because of the 30% career win rate, the best conversion figure in the entire race. Trainer Angeladrian Dominguez sends out Edgar S. Martinez, and a horse who wins 30% of the time doesn't have to be the most talented in the gate to cash. Circle this one in your exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 8

11:00 PM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

Bf Flyrageous commands this 350-yard allowance with a dominant rating, but the field here has legitimate depth — Beautiful Temptation and Exxquisite both carry solid win percentages, making the exacta and trifecta worth building carefully.

win3Bf FlyrageousML 7/2

Bf Flyrageous (3) leads the field with a top TrackWiz rating of 86.35 and carries a 13% career win rate in allowance company — respectable for this level. Noe Garcia Jr. gets the mount for trainer Wesley T. Giles, who also runs Call Me Karen in the same race, showing confidence in the barn's form today. At 7/2, Bf Flyrageous is the class of this field by our metrics, and in a 350-yard dash, raw talent projected by our ratings typically comes through.

place5Beautiful TemptationML 9/2

Beautiful Temptation (5) rates second at 68.57 with a 14% career win rate, and Luis Martinez rides for trainer David M. Gomez-Barraza — a combo appearing multiple times on today's card. The 9/2 morning line is workable for a horse that rates comfortably above the majority of this field. In a 350-yard allowance where every stride counts, getting a horse this well-rated at nearly 5-1 underneath Bf Flyrageous has real appeal.

show10ExxquisiteML 3/1

Exxquisite (10) brings a 16% career win rate — tied for the top mark in this field — and rates at 56.82, holding down a solid third in our power ratings. Francisco Raul Ramirez Jr. handles the mount for trainer Jason L. Olmstead, and at 3/1 this horse actually has the lowest morning-line odds of our three picks. That support from the morning-line oddsmaker combined with the top win-rate figure makes Exxquisite a legitimate third option in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 9

11:25 PM EDT

Claiming · 400 yd · Dirt

Yellowstonee is a standout at the top of this 12-horse claiming field at 400 yards, but One Dulce Eagle's eye-popping 33% career win rate at 30/1 makes this race a must-play for longshot hunters looking for exotic payoffs.

win6YellowstoneeML 3/1

Yellowstonee (6) tops the field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark among all runners in Race 9 — and goes as the morning-line second choice at 3/1 with Joseph Belloc Jr. riding for trainer Luis A. Valenzuela. The only question mark is a modest 5% career win rate, which suggests this horse may have underperformed relative to its talent. If the rating is predictive, a peak effort at the claiming level is right in order.

place4Kings MajicML 9/2

Kings Majic (4) rates second in the field at 66.9 and goes at 9/2 morning line with Luis Martinez aboard for trainer Jacob Renteria. The 5% career win rate is low, but the rating score commands respect and the 400-yard distance is a legitimate sprint where pace and early position matter as much as past results. This is a horse buying a ticket at a fair price to finish in the money behind Yellowstonee.

show3One Fantasy EagleML 6/1

One Fantasy Eagle (3) rates third at 61.39 with a 20% career win rate — a solid conversion figure for claiming company — and Noe Garcia Jr. takes the mount for trainer Andres Gonzalez. At 6/1 morning line, the value is real for a horse with that kind of win percentage and a legitimate rating. Include in trifectas and superfectas as a reliable bottom-of-ticket horse.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 10

11:50 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 400 yd · Dirt

Mister Mingo owns this maiden claiming field at 400 yards by a wide margin on our ratings, but the second and third picks are closely bunched — and with a full 12-horse gate of maidens, the exotic payoffs on the place and show spots could be lucrative.

win9Mister MingoML 3/1

Mister Mingo (9) leads all entrants with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — a full 27+ points clear of the second-rated horse in the field — which is an unusually large gap in a maiden race at any level. Noe Garcia Jr. rides for trainer Rene Saucedo, and the 3/1 morning line is actually a reasonable price given that kind of rating dominance. In a race of first-time winners searching for their maiden score, Mister Mingo profiles as the most well-prepared horse from a pure talent standpoint.

place8Miss One Smooth JetML 7/2

Miss One Smooth Jet (8) rates second at 59.49 with Alonso Rivera up for trainer Rodolfo G. Valles — a trainer who has multiple horses running today, suggesting an active and competitive barn. The 7/2 morning line makes this an attractively priced place bet in a field where only Mister Mingo rates clearly above everyone else. Use aggressively in exactas underneath the top pick.

show10Tren RaML 9/2

Tren Ra (10) comes in third among our picks at 58.7 with Raul Ortega aboard for trainer Jorge A. Morales-Flores. The 9/2 morning line offers decent value for a horse that rates within a point of the second pick, and in a 12-runner maiden field the board can get scrambled quickly. Tren Ra is the logical show ticket and a solid trifecta anchor for the bottom spot.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

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Bottom line for today at Albuquerque: respect the rain-affected dirt, lean on First Try Dwm as the standout free play in Race 3, and don't sleep on the value hiding in the premium races — especially Its Jess Me at 6/1 in Race 6. Full card analysis, pace projections, and exotic strategies are waiting for subscribers. It's a 10-race Friday — make it count.

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