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Albuquerque Picks & Predictions — July 12, 2026

July 12, 202610 racesAll Albuquerque picks

This card ran on July 12, 2026.

Best bets at Albuquerque, July 12, 2026

Race 15BrandynML 5/13:30 PM EDT

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It's a scorching Sunday afternoon in the high desert — 90°F under partly cloudy skies at Albuquerque — and we've got a full 10-race card to dig into. The heat is worth watching: track surfaces can play faster early in the day before the sun bakes the strip, so keep an eye on how the first few races run and whether early pace is holding up or getting caught late.

The card is a nice mix of thoroughbred sprints and a pair of quarter horse races — a Stakes and a Futurity at 400 yards — giving us action across multiple disciplines. Whether you're here to grind a few win bets or build an exotic ticket, there's plenty of opportunity today. Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers, and seven more are available in our full premium breakdown.

Best Bets

Race 1

3:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

A deep 12-horse claiming sprint with three horses bunched at the top of the TrackWiz ratings — this one could get contentious early and set up for a closer to swoop late.

win5BrandynML 5/1

Brandyn tops our ratings at 84.17 despite drawing the 5-hole and going postward at a juicy 5/1 on the morning line. The concern is a modest 11% career win rate, but TrackWiz analysis shows his overall figure profile outclasses most of this field. Trainer Martin Manuel Valdez-Cabral keeps horses sharp, and with Enrique Portillo Gomez in the irons, expect a stalking trip that could put this one in a great spot turning for home.

place4Captain FabulousML 3/1

Captain Fabulous (4) rates second in the field at 76.40 and is the 3/1 morning-line favorite for good reason — a 23% career win rate is the best among the top contenders in this field. Oscar Andrade Jr. is a reliable hand at Albuquerque, and at a short price, Captain Fabulous profiles as the horse that keeps the exacta box honest.

show1Danz At ColfaxML 9/2

Danz At Colfax (1) owns a 75.23 TrackWiz rating and draws the rail in a race where early positioning matters in a five-furlong sprint. The 9/2 morning line reflects honest respect from the oddsmakers, and with a 19% career win rate, Miguel A. Perez should be able to get this one into contention from a clean break. A great safety net for tri players.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:55 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Dirt

All firsters in a maiden special weight sprint — when nobody has a win, pedigree and trainer intent rule the day, and the Todd Fincher barn brings a small army.

win3Perfect StyleML 5/2

Perfect Style (3) leads our TrackWiz ratings at 57.50 and is the second choice on the morning line at 5/2, suggesting the market agrees with our model. Trainer Simon J. Buechler has Erik McNeil up, and in a race full of debut runners, getting the top-rated horse at a double-digit implied probability is a solid spot. No career races to lean on, but the underlying analytics favor this one to break through first.

place6HaywireML 3/1

Haywire (6) sits just a tick below Perfect Style at 56.67 and comes from the powerful Todd Fincher barn — notably, Fincher has three horses entered here, which signals he's looking for a winner in this spot. Oscar Andrade Jr. gets the call, and at 3/1 the morning line, this is a trainer/jockey combo worth backing to hit the board. The stable confidence is the angle here.

show5Miss LemonML 7/2

Miss Lemon (5) rates 55.83 and gives trainer Casey T. Lambert representation in what is otherwise a Fincher-dominated field. Kelsi Purcell rides, and with a 7/2 morning line that represents fair value, Miss Lemon profiles as a logical third wheel in the exotics. In wide-open maiden sprints, spreading your show bets across the top-rated trio is smart handicapping.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Our three free races today cover the first three on the card — all sprints on the dirt, which suits the pace-first style that tends to dominate at Albuquerque. Brandyn in Race 1 grabs our attention as a legitimate overlay at 5/1 on the morning line, posting a TrackWiz rating of 84 in a claiming field where that kind of number should stand out. Race 2 brings the maiden special weight crowd, and Perfect Style draws our top nod — maiden races are notoriously unpredictable, but the 5/2 morning line suggests connections believe they have a live one.

The headliner of the free trio is Race 3, where Charlizeangelbaby earns our highest free-race rating at 86.35. At 7/2 in a maiden claiming sprint, that's a horse we're circling in pen — there may be some juice left at the windows if the crowd underestimates the class angle here. All three early races set up as pace-dependent sprints, so watch how the first race breaks — if speed is holding from the front, play into it on the next two.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:20 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Charlizeangelbaby stands well clear on the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden claiming sprint, but Runaway Rose and Texas Tech Legs offer enough to make the underneath slots interesting.

win9CharlizeangelbabyML 7/2

Charlizeangelbaby (9) is the clear top-rated horse in this field at 86.35 — a significant gap above second-best Runaway Rose at 78.42. Despite drawing outside in the 9-hole, Francisco Amparan gets the mount and should find a comfortable trip in a field that figures to spread out over 5.5 furlongs. Trainer Martin Manuel Valdez-Cabral is well-acquainted with this track, and the 7/2 morning line looks like potential value given the rating advantage.

place1Runaway RoseML 5/2

Runaway Rose (1) draws the rail with an impressive 78.42 TrackWiz rating and gets Gabriel Medrano aboard for trainer Sherry Armstrong. From the one-hole in a sprint, a clean break puts this filly right in the mix, and with an avgSpeed of 55, she has the tactical figures to stay close and make the board. A natural fit underneath Charlizeangelbaby.

show2Texas Tech LegsML 9/2

Texas Tech Legs (2) rates 67.33 — third in the field — and goes at 9/2 on the morning line, which represents honest pricing for a show contender. Francisco Zamora rides for Ever Olguin, and with an avgSpeed of 54, she has enough foot to be competitive through the lane. Good horses to box in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 4

4:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

This claiming sprint has a clear top pair pulling away from the rest on the ratings, but Fear the Cruise's 20% career win rate makes the show spot worth a look at 8/1.

win4HoldwhatyougotML 5/2

Holdwhatyougot (4) leads the TrackWiz ratings at 87.62 and is installed as the 5/2 morning-line favorite, and both marks are well-deserved. Miguel A. Perez gets a horse with an avgSpeed of 56 and a 7% career win rate that actually understates the form cycle — trainer Dick Cappellucci placed this one perfectly in a spot where the top figure wins the vast majority of the time. Our best bet of the race.

place1Taz MarkingML 9/2

Taz Marking (1) is right behind at 84.90 and shapes up as the most likely alternative if anything goes sideways with the favorite. Drawing the rail in a 5.5-furlong dirt sprint can be an advantage with a clean break, and Gabriel Medrano knows this track well. The 9/2 morning line makes this a solid place investment.

show7Fear the CruiseML 8/1

Fear the Cruise (7) is the value play in the show hole, posting the best career win percentage in this field at 20% while going postward at 8/1. Trainer Martin Manuel Valdez-Cabral saddles him for Francisco Amparan, and at a rating of 57.29, this one has enough quality to hit the board if the top two encounter any trouble. A strong trifecta inclusion at a price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 5

5:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A seven-furlong claiming battle where the top of the TrackWiz ratings is tightly grouped — Khantaro d'Oro, Diablo Rosso, and Sinai are separated by just 5.63 points, setting up a genuine three-way battle.

win5Khantaro d'OroML 9/2

Khantaro d'Oro (5) tops the field at 84.90 and gets Miguel A. Perez in the saddle for trainer Dick Cappellucci — a pair that has the experience to navigate a competitive seven-furlong pace scenario. With a 9% career win rate and an avgSpeed of 54, this horse has been competitive at this level and now gets the class edge on paper. The 9/2 morning line looks like mild value given that top rating.

place4Diablo RossoML 7/2

Diablo Rosso (4) rates 79.52 — second in the field — and draws the 4-hole for trainer Joy I. Marlin with Aldo Arboleda riding. An avgSpeed of 55 edges Khantaro d'Oro by a tick, meaning the pace duel between these two could easily flip at the wire. The 7/2 price makes Diablo Rosso a must-use in exactas underneath and on top.

show9SinaiML 5/2

Sinai (9) is the morning-line favorite at 5/2 despite a 79.27 rating that slots third among our top trio — the market clearly has him highly regarded. A 10% career win rate and avgSpeed of 54 are consistent with the top pair, and Alejandro Medellin has the tactical experience to get the most out of this one over seven panels. Don't let the show position fool you — Sinai could easily win this.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 6

5:35 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Eye for an Eye stands out as the class of this allowance field with the top rating and the best speed figure, but Bad Boy One's 20% career win rate makes the favorite position here vulnerable if the pace gets hot.

win7Eye for an EyeML 5/2

Eye for an Eye (7) is our top-rated horse in this race at 87.81 and leads all runners with an avgSpeed of 57 — a meaningful edge in a six-furlong allowance. Oscar Andrade Jr. takes the mount for trainer Greg Green, whose barn has a second runner in this race, suggesting stable confidence. At 5/2 on the morning line, this isn't a big price, but the performance profile backs up what the market is saying.

place1Bad Boy OneML 3/1

Bad Boy One (1) carries the highest career win rate in this field at 20% and the second-best avgSpeed at 56, giving him legitimate claims to outrun his 3/1 price. Trainer Larry Chavez sends him out with Alejandro Medellin, and from the inside post, expect a pressing or front-running trip that forces Eye for an Eye to do the work. A strong place ticket on his own.

show8El Chino VacaML 9/2

El Chino Vaca (8) rates 72.51 with a 14% career win rate and a 55 avgSpeed, checking boxes as a legitimate third-place contender at 9/2. Miguel A. Perez navigates for Daniel Hernandez, and this one has the kind of steady, reliable profile that hangs around to collect a check. Good trifecta fill behind the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

6:00 PM EDT

Stakes · 400 yd · Dirt

A 12-horse stakes sprint at 400 yards where career win percentages swing wildly — from 100% down to 0% — making this one of the trickiest reads on the card.

win1Tater Hill SenatorML 9/2

Tater Hill Senator (1) leads our TrackWiz ratings at 64.76 and boasts a stellar 50% career win rate — meaning this horse wins half the time it runs. Jacob Enriquez gets the call for trainer Clinton Crawford, and from the rail in a straight 400-yard dash, gate speed and a clean break are everything. The 9/2 morning line looks like reasonable value for the top-rated horse in a chaotic 12-horse field.

place3Crash for KashML 8/1

Crash for Kash (3) rates 62.03 and carries an eye-popping 66% career win rate — the second-best strike rate among our top picks in this race. Trainer Jason L. Olmstead is no stranger to the quarter-horse game, and Ramiro Haro Garcia has the experience to react quickly out of the gate. At 8/1 on the morning line, this horse's win percentage makes that price look generous.

show10Flying Cowboys CandyML 3/1

Flying Cowboys Candy (10) rates 61.03 with a 20% career win rate and is installed as the second choice in the morning line at 3/1, reflecting market respect. Tony E. Sedillo trains and Luis Martinez rides, and this filly's lower win rate compared to the top picks is offset by the morning-line confidence behind her. A logical show anchor for trifecta construction.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 8

6:25 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 fur · Dirt

Drinkroundthetruth is a standout in this five-furlong allowance, topping the ratings by a wide margin, though Adiel and a surprising 40% career-win-rate horse lurk underneath.

win7DrinkroundthetruthML 5/2

Drinkroundthetruth (7) owns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.81 — matching the highest mark of the entire card today — and pairs that with an avgSpeed of 57, tied for best in the race. Trainer Danny Morales sends him out with Miguel A. Perez, a dependable partnership at this level. The 5/2 morning line is short but fair for a horse this clearly superior on paper.

place2AdielML 7/2

Adiel (2) rates 73.02 with a 17% career win rate and an avgSpeed of 56, making him a legitimate second-best in this field. Trainer Joy I. Marlin gives the mount to Aldo Arboleda, and from the 2-hole, this horse should find a smooth trip drafting the pace. A solid place bet and essential piece in the exacta.

show1Flags FinaleML 9/2

Flags Finale (1) checks in at 68.73 on our ratings and gives trainer Hermenegildo G. Aldavaz and Alejandro Medellin a live runner from the inside. The 9% career win rate is modest, but an avgSpeed of 56 keeps pace with the top contenders, and the 9/2 morning line reflects fair value for a horse that should have every opportunity to hit the board. A logical trifecta completion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 9

6:50 PM EDT

Futurity · 400 yd · Dirt

The Futurity at 400 yards closes out the quarter-horse portion of the card, and Ask Her to Fly has the top rating in a field where several horses carry elite win percentages — don't sleep on the pace battle out of the gate.

win5Ask Her to FlyML 7/2

Ask Her to Fly (5) leads all runners with a 86.35 TrackWiz rating and a 60% career win rate — meaning she's hit the winner's circle more often than not. Trainer Jason L. Olmstead puts Ramiro Haro Garcia in the saddle, a combination that showed up well in Race 7 as well. At 7/2 on the morning line, this is our top selection to fire out of the gate and hold on in the Futurity.

place9El Huracano VML 3/1

El Huracano V (9) rates 75.58 with a 50% career win rate — a legitimately strong record for a young horse in the Futurity ranks. Francisco Calderon rides for trainer Raymond G. Valerio, and at 3/1 on the morning line, the market clearly respects this one. A key piece underneath Ask Her to Fly in exactas and trifectas.

show1Heatseeker VML 6/1

Heatseeker V (1) is our show pick at 6/1, carrying an impressive 66% career win rate — actually the highest of the three top picks — combined with a 68.66 rating. Jesus Rios Ayala rides for Raymond G. Valerio, the same trainer as El Huracano V, which speaks to barn confidence having two live shots. The 6/1 price makes this one a compelling trifecta inclusion with real upside.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 10

7:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The nightcap is a full 11-horse claiming field at six furlongs where Maga Kai and Sussums Girl separate from the pack on the ratings, but In Spite of It at 8/1 gives the show spot some real appeal.

win9Maga KaiML 3/1

Maga Kai (9) tops the entire field at 87.08 and owns a career win rate of 36% — by far the best strike rate among the top three contenders. Trainer Sherry Armstrong puts Enrique Portillo Gomez in the irons, a reliable pairing at this track, and an avgSpeed of 55 is consistent with the class level. The 3/1 morning line makes this one our confident selection to close out the card.

place8Sussums GirlML 4/1

Sussums Girl (8) rates 82.27 — a strong second on the TrackWiz scale — and brings a 29% career win rate and an avgSpeed of 56 into the equation. Francisco Amparan rides for his trainer Alberto Amparan, a family connection that often signals extra preparation and motivation. At 4/1, Sussums Girl is a must-use in exactas both underneath and potentially on top of Maga Kai.

show6In Spite of ItML 8/1

In Spite of It (6) is the value play of the nightcap, checking in at 71.65 on our ratings with a 14% career win rate and the field's top avgSpeed figure at 56. Oscar Andrade Jr. rides for Albert Valles, and at 8/1 on the morning line, this is the kind of horse that keeps exotics alive and pays well when she hits. Don't leave her off your trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

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Bottom line: Albuquerque's 10-race card offers real opportunities on both ends of the card today. Start with Charlizeangelbaby as the marquee free play in Race 3, and make sure you're not missing the premium action in Races 4 through 10 — particularly the back-to-back allowance sprints that shape up as the card's most competitive matchups. Unlock the full card breakdown with a TrackWiz subscription at /pricing and make every race count today.

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