Daily Picks

Ajax Downs Picks & Predictions — June 21, 2026

June 21, 20268 racesAll Ajax Downs picks

This card ran on June 21, 2026.

Best bets at Ajax Downs, June 21, 2026

Race 17Relentless BettyML 3/112:30 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

A free account opens race 2 too. Premium opens all 8, with AI ratings on every runner and SmartBet, which splits one bet across the horses you like.

Join Free See plans · from $9.99

Happy Summer Solstice from Ajax Downs — and what better way to celebrate the longest day of the year than with eight races of quarter horse action under clear skies and a perfect 69°F afternoon. The dirt is playing fast, the sun is out, and conditions couldn't be more cooperative for big speed figures.

Today's card is a genuine mix of race types — Speed Index races, Allowances, a Maiden dash, a Maturity, and a Stakes closer — spread across distances ranging from a blink-and-you'll-miss-it 110 yards all the way out to 330 yards. Quarter horse racing moves at a different pace than anything else in the game (literally), so even casual fans will find today's card easy to follow and exciting to watch.

TrackWiz has full analysis on all eight races locked and loaded. Three of those are available free to every reader, and our premium subscribers get the complete breakdown on the back five, including the Stakes finale where we think there's real money to be made at a price.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:30 PM EDT

Speed Index Race · 330 yd · Dirt

A Speed Index opener over 330 yards where two horses separate themselves clearly from the pack on ratings — but the morning line tells a more competitive story than the numbers suggest.

win7Relentless BettyML 3/1

Relentless Betty is the standout of this field by a wide margin, posting a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 — nearly 10 points clear of second-best Oppy. What really jumps out is that 43% career win rate, which is exceptional at any level and suggests this horse converts when conditions are right. Ismael Eluid Mosqueira gets the call, and with a 3/1 morning line, the market agrees this is the horse to beat. At that price, there's solid value for a runner who grades out as a legitimate class edge.

place6OppyML 4/1

Oppy brings a 77.75 rating into this spot and is the clear second-best on paper, which makes the 4/1 morning line look like fair money for place purposes. J. B. Botello takes the mount, a capable hand for a horse that should be running on the front end over this short 330-yard sprint. The win rate is modest at 14%, but Oppy's rating profile fits comfortably in the place slot behind our top pick.

show1Fate ZoominML 5/1

Fate Zoomin at 5/1 rounds out the exotics ticket nicely — a 28% career win rate ties Rr Illbeurhucklebery for the best in this field among the rest of the contenders, and trainer Scott Reid has a runner who clearly fires regularly. Helen Marie Vanek handles the ride, and at 5/1, including Fate Zoomin in trifecta coverage is a smart hedge against any surprise from the back half of the field.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:21 PM EDT

Allowance · 250 yd · Dirt

A short 250-yard Allowance where the ratings hierarchy is clearer than the morning line implies — the top two on our model are separated from the field, with a sneaky place value lurking at double-digit odds.

win6Stolin SecretsML 5/2

Stolin Secrets tops the TrackWiz ratings at 80.37 and goes postward as the 5/2 morning line favorite, which is a comfortable alignment between model and market. The 8% career win rate is low, but Allowance conditions can often feature horses still developing their form — and this rating suggests the talent is there to break through. Cassandra Jeschke gets the mount for trainer Chantelle Bourgeois, who also saddles Rushn Spice in this spot, which tells you Bourgeois is confident in the barn's best runner being #6.

place2SpecialflyingcowgirlML 10/1

Specialflyingcowgirl is the TrackWiz value play of this race — a 76.88 rating that grades out as clearly second-best, yet she goes off at 10/1 on the morning line. That's a significant overlay, and Ismael Eluid Mosqueira in the irons only adds appeal. A 12% career win rate in Allowance company isn't flashy, but with a rating nearly 18 points clear of the third-ranked horse, she deserves spot in your exotics at minimum.

show3Caraways Angels AirML 7/2

Caraways Angels Air checks in third on our ratings at 59.04 and carries a respectable 18% career win rate that gives her legitimate staying power for show. Tony Phillips rides for Wayne Procter's barn, and the 7/2 morning line reflects the public's respect for this runner. In a race where the top two have a clear edge, Caraways Angels Air is the logical third in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The first three races on the card — all free to TrackWiz readers — cover 330, 250, and 300 yards of dirt sprinting, and our analysis points to a consistent theme: early speed is king on a clear-day Ajax strip at this temperature. Relentless Betty (3/1 morning line, 87.08 TrackWiz rating) headlines Race 1, while Maryland Magic posts the highest rating of the free trio at 87.81 heading into Race 3. In between, Stolin Secrets draws the 5/2 ticket in the 250-yard Allowance and looks like a sharp value play in what shapes up as a compact field.

All three free picks are early-speed profiles — horses that can explode out of the gate and dare rivals to catch them in a matter of seconds. On a day like today, with ideal footing and no weather variables to worry about, that style tends to hold up wire to wire. Don't overthink the free card — back the speed and collect.

Free with an account

Open the next race free

A free account opens the first 2 races at every track, and every race at our Track of the Day. No credit card needed.

Create a free account Sign in

Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:47 PM EDT

Speed Index Race · 300 yd · Dirt

Maryland Magic dominates the Speed Index numbers in this 300-yard affair, but the double-digit longshot in the show slot makes the trifecta worth constructing carefully.

win4Maryland MagicML 5/2

Maryland Magic is the most clear-cut top pick on today's card through the first three races — an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and a 31% career win rate combine to paint a picture of a consistent, high-performing sprinter. J. B. Botello rides for the Jason Pascoe barn, and Pascoe also enters Runaway Fate in this spot, suggesting the trainer is working with live ammunition across the board. At 5/2, Maryland Magic isn't giving bettors a huge price, but the rating separation over this field is substantial enough to make it the anchor of the ticket.

place2Runaway FateML 7/2

Runaway Fate is an interesting profile — a 65.82 rating that puts her solidly in the place conversation despite just a 5% career win rate. Trainer Jason Pascoe conditions this one too, giving him a strong double-entry situation in Race 3, and Cristian Benitez is a capable pilot for the short format. At 7/2, there's modest value if you believe Runaway Fate is the type of runner who hits the board regularly without necessarily closing the deal.

show5LeanintoimperialhintML 10/1

Leanintoimperialhint is the longshot angle here at 10/1, and our analysis likes the show upside. A 52.36 rating clears the bottom of this field with room, and a 16% career win rate shows this runner is far from a maiden type. Ismael Eluid Mosqueira rides for James Bogar, and the price on a horse with these credentials in a six-runner field makes trifecta inclusion at 10/1 a savvy play.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

2:13 PM EDT

Maiden · 110 yd · Dirt

A Maiden sprint over just 110 yards — the shortest distance on the card — where every horse is still looking for that first win, making trainer and rating edge the primary handicapping tools.

win6Lil PhylerML 4/1

Lil Phyler leads all runners with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating despite everyone in this field carrying a 0% career win rate — in a maiden race, that rating advantage is often the most reliable guide we have. J. B. Botello climbs aboard for the Jason Pascoe barn, and Pascoe also runs Trip Corona here, suggesting confidence in deploying multiple runners. At 4/1, Lil Phyler offers genuine value for a horse that grades out as the clear class of this field on model numbers alone.

place4GoodlookingperryML 3/1

Goodlookingperry rates second at 73.88 and holds the 3/1 morning line favorite spot — which is a slight disconnect from our model that puts Lil Phyler ahead. Brian Bell handles the ride for Joe Tavares, and this barn has shown up live across today's card. If Lil Phyler falters out of the gates over this ultra-short 110-yard distance, Goodlookingperry has the profile to capitalize and hit the board.

show3Srt the Final CutML 9/2

Srt the Final Cut sits third in our ratings at 54.17 and draws Ismael Eluid Mosqueira for James Bogar — an experienced combination for a race where experience around the gate matters enormously at 110 yards. The 9/2 morning line puts this runner right in the middle of the field price-wise, making it a reasonable exotics inclusion. In a maiden race, any horse can be the surprise, but Srt the Final Cut has the ratings base to hold on for third.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

2:39 PM EDT

Speed Index Race · 250 yd · Dirt

Favorite Interest dominates both the TrackWiz model and the morning line in this 250-yard Speed Index Race, but an 8-runner field at short odds means the place and show spots carry real exotic value.

win4Favorite InterestML 3/2

Favorite Interest is the most dominant horse on today's full card — an 89.27 TrackWiz rating paired with a 40% career win rate is a combination that screams 'bet to win.' J. B. Botello takes the mount for Jason Pascoe, and at 3/2 morning line odds, the market has already found this horse. The rating edge over the second-ranked horse in this field (Runawey Perry at 69.83) is massive at nearly 20 points — that kind of separation in a Speed Index Race is rare and meaningful.

place1Runawey PerryML 7/2

Runawey Perry is the clear second choice both on ratings and in the pick sheet, and the 37% career win rate is the second-highest in the field — only Favorite Interest grades better. Ramiro Sanchez Castillo rides for Bob Broadstock, and at 7/2 on the morning line, the place payoff on Perry could be worth pressing if you're playing the exotics. This horse has a legitimate win profile of its own; Favorite Interest just happens to be exceptional today.

show2Gin XpressML 3/1

Gin Xpress rounds out the show ticket at 3/1 morning line, and while a 4% career win rate is modest, the 58.23 rating clears several rivals in this eight-horse field. Brian Bell rides for Amber Archibald, and in a sprint at 250 yards where the race can be won or lost at the break, Gin Xpress has enough underlying ability to land a placing. Keep this runner in your trifecta boxes behind the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

3:05 PM EDT

Allowance · 110 yd · Dirt

A 110-yard Allowance where Game Favorite's rating is simply in a different tier from the rest — but the undercard intrigue is who fills the place and show spots behind a potential wire-to-wire winner.

win2Game FavoriteML 5/2

Game Favorite leads this field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win rate, and at 5/2 morning line the price is fair for a horse with this kind of separation. Cristian Benitez rides for Ruth Barbour — a trainer-jockey pairing worth noting — and over a super-short 110 yards, a horse that grades out this well on speed metrics is a natural front-end weapon. This is our best bet of Race 6.

place6JjjohnnypopperML 5/1

Jjjohnnypopper is the value play for the place slot — a 75.34 rating with a 23% career win rate shows consistent competitiveness, and trainer Daniel G. Stevenson sends this runner out with Max Badal in the irons. The 5/1 morning line represents genuine overlay for a horse who grades second on the TrackWiz model, and in a short sprint like this where the margin of error is tiny, second and third can happen in a blink.

show5A Shades of ColdML 3/1

A Shades of Cold brings a 72.97 rating and 21% career win rate into this spot, making the 3/1 morning line look like a fair reflection of ability. J. B. Botello rides for Jason Pascoe — a combination that's been active and capable across today's card — and this runner grades third cleanly on our numbers. Include A Shades of Cold in trifecta wheels behind Game Favorite as a logical closer to the exotic ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

3:31 PM EDT

Maturity · 300 yd · Dirt

A Maturity event over 300 yards featuring one of the more intriguing career-win-percentage anomalies on the card — Had to Be Fabulous carries an 85% win rate but is listed at 15/1, a contradiction worth examining.

win4Snow MooseML 3/1

Snow Moose sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 with a 40% career win rate — a combination that makes this horse the deserving top pick in a quality Maturity field. J. B. Botello rides for Jason Pascoe, who has multiple runners in this race and is clearly targeting this spot with purpose. At 3/1, Snow Moose is fairly priced as the morning line choice, and the rating edge over the next cluster of horses is meaningful enough to back with confidence.

place7Spy for the SenateML 4/1

Spy for the Senate rates fourth in the field at 76.5 but carries a 34% career win rate — one of the stronger conversion marks among the contenders — making the 4/1 price look attractive. Cristian Benitez rides for Jason Pascoe, giving the Pascoe barn a one-two punch with Snow Moose and this runner. The place spot feels well-suited to a horse who wins at this clip but may face a ratings ceiling against today's top selection.

show2Kissin EllaML 7/1

Kissin Ella comes in at 75.78 on the TrackWiz scale and earns the show nod at 7/1 morning line — a price that looks generous for a horse this close to the top two in the field. Brian Bell takes the mount for Jason Pascoe, meaning Pascoe has three horses in this race, which speaks to his confidence in the conditions. The 15% career win rate is modest, but the rating profile justifies trifecta inclusion at a price that adds real value to the exotic ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

3:57 PM EDT

Stakes · 330 yd · Dirt

The Stakes closer is the deepest, most competitive race of the day — ten runners, tight ratings bunching at the top, and a genuine overlay lurking in our win pick at 8/1.

win4HesmagicalydeliciousML 8/1

Hesmagicalydelicious is the TrackWiz value play of the entire card — an 79.79 rating and a 33% career win rate in Stakes company, yet the morning line has this horse at 8/1. That's a significant overlay compared to lower-rated horses carrying shorter odds in this field. Ramiro Sanchez Castillo rides for Bob Broadstock, and in a 10-horse Stakes field over 330 yards, a horse with this win conversion rate and rating has every right to be live. This is our top longshot of the day.

place1My Royal SwingerML 3/1

My Royal Swinger is the TrackWiz top-rated horse in Race 8 at 78.91 and also leads all runners with a 40% career win rate — which makes Corry Beland's mount for Joe Tavares a natural play. The 3/1 morning line reflects the public's respect, and while our model bumps Hesmagicalydelicious ahead on value grounds, Royal Swinger's win rate in Stakes company is a genuine credential. Place coverage here is a smart defensive move in a wide-open race.

show10Haaave You Met KarmaML 7/2

Haaave You Met Karma slots in third on our picks at a 75.83 rating with a 20% career win rate, and the 7/2 morning line reflects solid public support. Cassandra Jeschke rides for Scott Reid — who also conditions Keep Them in Corona in this race — and in a field this large, a horse with this rating and a competent trainer-jockey combination deserves show consideration. Include in your trifecta combinations as the logical third option behind the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Premium Content

Get the Full Card Analysis

Unlock expert picks for every race, detailed speed figures, trainer angles, and our SmartBet recommendations.

View Plans Sign In

Bottom line for today at Ajax Downs: the conditions are ideal, the card has legitimate depth, and there are angles worth playing from Race 1 all the way through the Stakes. Relentless Betty, Stolin Secrets, and Maryland Magic lead the free card, and Favorite Interest plus the 8/1 shot Hesmagicalydelicious headline the premium side. Enjoy the solstice — and good luck at the windows.

← All Ajax Downs picks & predictions