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Zia Park Picks & Predictions — October 31, 2026

October 31, 202611 racesAll Zia Park picks

Best bets at Zia Park, October 31, 2026

Race 16Wall Street LogicML 7/22:05 PM EDT
Race 25Sonuva ButchML 9/52:32 PM EDT
Race 37Perrys AlibiML 3/52:59 PM EDT

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Happy Halloween from Zia Park, where the ghosts and goblins have nothing on an 11-race card loaded with quarter-horse trials, allowance heat, and a claiming opener that sets the tone early. Temperatures are sitting at a crisp 59°F under cloudy skies — ideal racing weather that should keep the dirt surface consistent and fast all afternoon.

The heart of today's card is a five-race block of 350-yard trials (Races 2 through 6), which is where the speed merchants come out to play. These short-burst sprints are decided in a blink — literally under 18 seconds — so post position, gate speed, and a clean break matter enormously. Pay close attention to the trial results; they're often the first read on horses that will fill future stakes fields.

The back half of the card shifts gears with four allowance races, including a pair at 400 yards where pace and sustained run become slightly more relevant. Eleven races, plenty of angles, and a few longshot opportunities mixed in — let's dig in.

Best Bets

Race 1

2:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 870 yd · Dirt

Two horses share the top rating in this 870-yard claiming opener, setting up a tight battle at the top with the rest of the field playing for scraps.

win6Wall Street LogicML 7/2

Wall Street Logic (No. 6) lands atop our TrackWiz ratings with an 86.35, narrowly edging the field in a race where the top two contenders are separated by mere fractions. Francisco Zamora gets the call, and the 7/2 morning line actually offers some cushion for a horse this well-rated. The 25% career win rate is one of the strongest in the field, giving bettors a consistent performer to anchor their tickets.

place2Political MysteryML 5/2

Political Mystery (No. 2) is a near-twin to the top pick on ratings (86.11) and comes in at 5/2 on the morning line — almost certainly the short-priced horse in the race. Oscar Andrade Jr. is a reliable pilot, and a 17% career win rate in a field this deep keeps this one firmly in the exacta conversation.

show3Run Like Da DevilML 9/2

Run Like Da Devil (No. 3) is the class angle worth watching here, posting the best career win percentage of any horse in the field at 22%. Angel A. Fierro sticks with the horse at 9/2, and the TrackWiz rating of 66.22 represents a meaningful step behind the top two but enough of an edge over the mid-pack to justify show interest and exotic inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 2

2:32 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

A short 350-yard trial with a clear top-rated horse, but a cluster of first-out runners makes the bottom half of exotics genuinely wide open.

win5Sonuva ButchML 9/5

Sonuva Butch (No. 5) is the standout in Race 2, carrying an 88.83 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark in the field by a comfortable margin. The 9/5 morning line reflects the public's respect, but that rating advantage is hard to ignore. A 25% career win rate paired with Oscar Andrade Jr. in the irons is a combination that should hold up in a short sprint like this.

place6Big AveryML 3/1

Big Avery (No. 6) checks in at 62.04 on our ratings, second-best in the field, and the 3/1 morning line makes this a logical place play. Jacob Enriquez pilots the Wilson trainee, and while career win percentage data isn't available to lean on here, the rating separation from the rest of the non-Sonuva Butch field is meaningful enough to warrant exacta coverage.

show1Bogarts DreamgirlML 4/1

Bogarts Dreamgirl (No. 1) posts a 59.73 rating and draws in from the rail under Luis Martinez for trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez. At 4/1 on the morning line, she's the third-best-rated horse in the race and a sensible show option or trifecta anchor for those trying to get paid on the bottom end.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 3

2:59 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

A lopsided trial — the morning line favorite comes in at 3/5 and backed up by a dominant rating, leaving the rest fighting over second money.

win7Perrys AlibiML 3/5

Perrys Alibi (No. 7) is simply the class of this field, posting a 90.00 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark of any horse across today's card. The 3/5 morning line is short, but the 42% career win rate backs up the price. Christian Ramos handles the mount for the Gomez-Barraza barn, which has multiple horses running today — a trainer who stacks entries on a card usually knows which one to fire with.

place6Toppa the MoonML 5/1

Toppa the Moon (No. 6) is the logical place play at 81.22 on ratings, a substantial gap ahead of the third-best horse in the field. Oscar Andrade Jr. rides for the same Gomez-Barraza outfit, and a 33% career win rate makes this horse a legitimate contender to finish second if the favorite goes unchallenged.

show1Jess Good TimesML 4/1

Jess Good Times (No. 1) holds a 63.49 rating and a 20% career win rate, giving it a real edge over the bottom half of this field. Jacob Enriquez rides for Renee K. Wilson, and from the rail, this horse has a clean path if the pace bunches up. A solid trifecta play at 4/1.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

TrackWiz is giving every reader a free look at the first three races today, and there's genuine value in how they connect. Wall Street Logic opens things up in the Race 1 claiming event at 870 yards — the longest distance on the card — with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and a 7/2 morning line that suggests the morning-line makers aren't fully sold. That's often where opportunity lives. Then the trials kick off with Sonuva Butch (88.83 rating, 9/5 ML) in Race 2, followed by the day's top-rated horse, Perrys Alibi, who enters Race 3 as a heavy 3/5 favorite and carries a perfect 90.0 TrackWiz rating — the ceiling for today's card.

The cooler, stable conditions work in favor of horses who've shown consistent gate speed in recent form. In short-distance dirt sprints like these trials, there's little room to recover from a slow break, so our analysis leans toward horses with a proven launch out of the gate. Perrys Alibi's rating speaks for itself, but don't sleep on Sonuva Butch as a pick-your-spot contender in the exacta if the favorite gets any traffic at the break.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

3:26 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

The morning line favorite and the top-rated horse don't agree here — Brookman owns the highest rating at 4/1 while Bogarts Brown Sugar is the public's 9/5 choice, creating a genuine overlay opportunity.

win2BrookmanML 4/1

Brookman (No. 2) leads all horses in this trial with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating, and yet the morning line has this horse at 4/1 — longer than the morning line favorite. Oscar Andrade Jr. is up for trainer David M. Gomez-Barraza, who has proven connections throughout today's card. This is the kind of overlay situation where following the ratings over the crowd can pay dividends in a short-field 350-yard sprint.

place7Bogarts Brown SugarML 9/5

Bogarts Brown Sugar (No. 7) is the morning line chalk at 9/5 and posts a solid 73.83 rating — second-best in the field. The 42% career win rate is the strongest figure in this race, and trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez sends the horse out with Luis Martinez aboard. Even if Brookman edges ahead, this one looks like a near-lock for second money.

show5HoldmyhailoML 6/1

Holdmyhailo (No. 5) rates third in the field at 60.79 and goes at 6/1 on the morning line under Noe Garcia Jr. for trainer Wesley T. Giles. It's a clear step below the top two on ratings, but in a trial with no standout pace scenario to worry about, the third-best horse at a price is a workable show and trifecta play.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

3:53 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

A competitive 350-yard trial with a legitimate battle brewing between a high-rated morning line co-favorite and a morning line chalk who comes in with a significant career win percentage.

win3Imma DandyML 2/1

Imma Dandy (No. 3) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 88.54 and goes off at 2/1 on the morning line — making this a manageable price for a horse with a 37% career win rate. Oscar Andrade Jr. is a trusted pilot throughout the card for the Gomez-Barraza stable, and the combination of elite rating and proven winning consistency is hard to fade in a sprint this short.

place7Kings LandingML 9/2

Kings Landing (No. 7) checks in at 70.03 on our ratings — third in the field — but draws real attention at 9/2 on the morning line. Luis Martinez pilots for trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez, and while first-out career data is limited, the rating gap between this horse and the remainder of the field outside the top two makes second money a realistic target.

show1AcrylicML 8/5

Acrylic (No. 1) is one of the more intriguing profile horses in this race, carrying a 50% career win rate — the best mark in the field. The 69.84 rating sits just behind Kings Landing but ahead of everyone else, and the 8/5 morning line reflects real public confidence. Jacob Enriquez gets the call for Wilson, and this one is dangerous enough that a show-only play might be leaving value on the table.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

4:20 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

A wide-open trial where the top-rated horse is listed at 8/1 — suggesting the crowd doesn't agree with our model, which creates real overlay potential if the ratings hold.

win1Jd Heart StringsML 8/1

Jd Heart Strings (No. 1) leads this field with a 79.79 TrackWiz rating and yet sits at 8/1 on the morning line — one of the bigger rating-to-odds discrepancies on today's card. Luis Martinez rides for trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez, and a 33% career win rate gives this horse a proven foundation. If the public is sleeping on the rail draw, this could be a very live win play.

place5Big Morning BreezeML 15/1

Big Morning Breeze (No. 5) rates at 69.58 — second in the field — and comes in at 15/1 on the morning line, which is another significant overlay if our ratings have any predictive power here. Oscar Andrade Jr. handles for the Gomez-Barraza stable, and a 20% career win rate keeps this one from being a pure dart throw. An excellent exacta and trifecta piece at that price.

show4Ciao Fore NowML 6/1

Ciao Fore Now (No. 4) is the third-rated horse in the race at 67.55 and posts at 6/1 on the morning line for trainer Wesley T. Giles with Francisco Zamora up. In a race where the top of the ratings are discounted by the crowd, having the third-best-rated horse at a price gives you a nice hedge in the trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

4:47 PM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

A tight allowance sprint where the morning line favorite and the top-rated horse are essentially deadlocked — separation at the top is razor-thin and the value may sit just outside the chalk.

win5FlashtogloryML 3/5

Flashtoglory (No. 5) is listed as the 3/5 morning line favorite and carries a strong 86.26 TrackWiz rating, barely trailing the top mark in the race. A 28% career win rate is among the best in this allowance field, and David Meridyth sends the horse out with Jose Luis Enriquez. At 3/5, the price is short, but the data supports it — this is a horse you want on your ticket.

place3Czar CatrinaML 4/1

Czar Catrina (No. 3) is the overlooked piece of this puzzle, matching Flashtoglory almost exactly at 85.62 on ratings while going off at a much friendlier 4/1. Noe Garcia Jr. rides for trainer Wesley T. Giles, and a 23% career win rate is respectable at this level. The value in the exacta is pairing Flashtoglory over Czar Catrina rather than the reverse.

show6Jess PaidML 6/1

Jess Paid (No. 6) is the show play here at 6/1 with a 59.62 rating — a meaningful step below the top two but a clear tier above the bottom three horses in the field. Alonso Rivera is up for Gene C. Garcia, and a 17% career win rate at least shows this horse knows how to finish. A solid trifecta anchor at a workable price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 8

5:14 PM EDT

Allowance · 400 yd · Dirt

Stretching to 400 yards in the second half of the card, this allowance field features a closely bunched top tier and a legitimate value play hiding at 8/1.

win4Mi CapitanML 3/1

Mi Capitan (No. 4) leads our ratings at 82.54 and breaks from the four-hole under Francisco Zamora for trainer Wesley T. Giles. The 3/1 morning line is fair for a horse sitting atop a field this tightly packed, and the extra distance to 400 yards may help separate horses late. A 7% career win rate is modest, but the rating premium over the bottom half of the field is real.

place3Love TruckenML 5/1

Love Trucken (No. 3) rates at 80.53 — just behind Mi Capitan — and offers some appeal at 5/1 on the morning line for trainer Arnulfo Cardenas with Alejandro Medellin aboard. In a race where the top two are separated by barely two rating points, a pace or trip scenario could easily flip the order. An 11% career win rate shows this horse has found the winner's circle before.

show7FranciscanML 8/1

Franciscan (No. 7) comes in third on TrackWiz ratings at 79.79 and offers real value at 8/1 on the morning line. Gene C. Garcia trains and Christian Cardenas takes the mount — a 11% career win rate mirrors Love Trucken's, and in a field where the top three are separated by fewer than three rating points, this horse is a live show threat that also has trifecta upside.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 9

5:41 PM EDT

Allowance · 400 yd · Dirt

The largest field of the night at nine horses, with a clear top-rated contender but genuine depth behind it — the exotics in this race could pay handsomely.

win6Bigg PictureML 5/2

Bigg Picture (No. 6) is the top-rated horse in Race 9 at 87.81 and goes at 5/2 on the morning line — a fair price for the class of a nine-horse allowance field. Noe Garcia Jr. rides for Wesley T. Giles, and a 24% career win rate is among the more reliable marks in this field. In a race with this many horses, having the highest-rated runner at a double-digit return is exactly the kind of situation TrackWiz analysis targets.

place8Kowboy BoogieML 6/1

Kowboy Boogie (No. 8) rates at 76.38 and offers real appeal at 6/1 on the morning line. Christian Cardenas is up for Kenneth Durbin, and a 28% career win rate — the best among the non-favorites in this race — is a meaningful edge. This horse brings a winning pedigree to a field where consistency matters.

show4Naughty PoliticsML 7/2

Naughty Politics (No. 4) slots in at 67.02 on ratings and sits at 7/2 on the morning line — the third choice for public money in what shapes up as a multi-horse top tier. Jose Luis Enriquez handles for Anthony Montoya, and a 20% career win rate keeps this one firmly in the mix. A solid show play and an essential piece of any trifecta construction.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 10

6:08 PM EDT

Allowance · 400 yd · Dirt

A deep nine-horse allowance to close out the main sequence — the top-rated horse is heavily backed by the crowd at 9/5, but a value play lurks in the middle of the pack.

win4Paramounte StreakinML 9/5

Paramounte Streakin (No. 4) is the top-rated horse in this field at 88.83 — the same score as Sonuva Butch from Race 2 — and the 9/5 morning line shows the public is well aware. Jacob Enriquez is up for David M. Gomez-Barraza, and while an 18% career win rate is merely solid, the rating advantage over a deep nine-horse field is the kind of edge that holds up regularly at this distance. A strong single in pick sequences.

place6Lil Perry WagonML 7/2

Lil Perry Wagon (No. 6) sits at 78.23 on ratings and jumps out at 7/2 on the morning line for trainer Brittany N. Tellez with James A. Flores in the irons. A 33% career win rate is the best mark of any horse not named Paramounte Streakin in this race — that's a legitimate winning pattern. The exacta combining these two looks well-priced.

show9ThrillahML 12/1

Thrillah (No. 9) rates at 73.33 — third-best in this field — and goes at a very appealing 12/1 on the morning line. Noe Garcia Jr. rides for Wesley T. Giles, and a 20% career win rate gives this horse a proven floor. At that price, sticking Thrillah in the show hole of a trifecta is one of the better value plays on tonight's card.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 11

6:35 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A 12-horse maiden dash to close the card — large fields and first-time starters create chaos, but our model has a clear top-rated horse and a longshot with legitimate upside.

win9MyfavoritenineelevenML 4/1

Myfavoritenineeleven (No. 9) tops a crowded maiden field at 85.62 — the same figure that's produced winners elsewhere on today's card — and goes at 4/1 on the morning line, which is a very playable price for a horse this well-rated. Angel A. Fierro takes the mount for trainer Taurino Gutierrez, and in a field where most runners carry no career win percentage data, a high rating is one of the most reliable differentiators available.

place7Lil Bit Flash N DashML 3/1

Lil Bit Flash N Dash (No. 7) is the second-rated horse in the race at 74.92 and posts at 3/1 on the morning line — making this one of the more confidently priced horses on the overnight. Jose Luis Enriquez handles for Luis Daniel Iturralde, and the rating gap between this horse and the third-best in the field is large enough to make the place slot look very secure.

show11Lucky CowgirlML 15/1

Lucky Cowgirl (No. 11) is a sneaky play at 15/1 on the morning line, rating at 54.38 — third-best in the field and a clear step above the majority of this 12-horse maiden pack. Francisco Zamora gets the call for trainer Jaime Dominguez, and at that price in a maiden race with this much uncertainty, tossing Lucky Cowgirl into the trifecta show slot is a low-cost way to get live on a big payoff.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

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Today's Zia Park card is a quarter-horse lover's Halloween treat — fast horses, short distances, and enough variance in the trials to keep things interesting from Race 1 through the nightcap. Our top free plays are Wall Street Logic, Sonuva Butch, and the day's standout Perrys Alibi. For the full-card breakdown, pace maps, and exotic ticket strategies covering all 11 races, subscribers have everything they need waiting for them. Not a subscriber yet? Check out our plans at /pricing and get in on the action before first post.

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