Daily Picks

Woodbine Picks & Predictions — July 5, 2026

Sunday, July 5, 202612 racesWoodbine

Sunday at Woodbine and the racing gods are cooperating — mostly. It's a mild, cloudy 77°F afternoon, the kind of soft overcast day the Woodbine turf course tends to love. No rain in the picture, which means a firm-to-good turf surface and no excuses for anyone throwing in a clunker today.

Twelve races are on the slate, and it's a genuinely diverse card. You've got a pair of Stakes sprints on the dirt, a cluster of turf routes that should produce some intriguing pace scenarios, and enough maiden fields to keep the longshot hunters busy. Whether you're building a Pick 4 ticket or just looking for a couple of solid win bets, there's plenty to dig into.

Three races are open for everyone today — Races 1, 2, and 3 — giving you a free look at our top analysis to start the card. Races 4 through 12 are unlocked for TrackWiz subscribers, where the deeper angles and exotic strategies live.

Best Bets

Race 1

5:00 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A tight battle shapes up on the Woodbine turf sprint, with the top two TrackWiz-rated horses separated by just two points and both coming from the same barn — expect trainer Audrey Cheung to have a strong say in the outcome.

win5Split StrikeML 2/1

Split Strike tops our ratings at 88.54 and draws the morning line favorite at 2/1, and the numbers back up that confidence. Ryan Munger gets the call for trainer Tara Neigel, and with a 20% career win rate, this horse knows how to close the deal. Over 5 furlongs on turf, pace will matter, and Split Strike's profile suggests enough tactical speed to sit close and pounce. Hard to argue with the top-rated horse in a relatively shallow Allowance Optional Claiming field.

place1Artemus CitylimitsML 5/2

Artemus Citylimits is the other side of the Audrey Cheung stable entry, sitting second in our ratings at 86.48 and going off at a fair 5/2 on the morning line. Eswan Flores is a capable pilot, and a 17% career win rate is respectable for this level. If the barn sends them both in to run, Citylimits figures to hit the board at minimum — the value in the place pool could be solid if bettors stack onto the win pick.

show3Silent ReserveML 3/1

Silent Reserve rounds out the Cheung trio and offers some genuine upside at 3/1. A 23% career win rate is the best in this field, suggesting this horse fires when conditions are right. The 68.87 TrackWiz rating is a bit of a gap below the top two, but in a 6-horse turf sprint where pace can scramble the order, Silent Reserve is a legitimate show play and an interesting part of any exacta or trifecta.

Race 2

5:32 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

The morning line favorite doesn't match up to the TrackWiz top-rated horse in this 1 1/16-mile dirt claimer, setting up a scenario where sharp bettors can grab some extra value at the window.

win8Maxine MagicML 6/1

Maxine Magic is our top pick at a TrackWiz rating of 80.92, yet the morning line has her pegged at 6/1 — that's a meaningful gap worth exploiting. Sahin Civaci, one of the busiest jockeys on the Woodbine circuit, gets the mount for trainer Hannah C. Sprenger. The 52 average speed figure is right in the mix for this field, and a 6% career win rate that's been achieved at the claiming level tells you this horse has found the winner's circle before. At 6/1, Maxine Magic is squarely our best value play in Race 2.

place3Dixie DollML 5/2

Dixie Doll is the class of the field on career win percentage — a strong 25% — and comes in with both the second-highest TrackWiz rating (78.64) and the morning line favoritism at 5/2. Trainer Ryan A. Jones saddles her alongside stablemate Take Chances, which suggests the connections are confident about the barn's chances today. She's a deserving place selection even if she ends up the public's top choice.

show4Black GoddessML 2/1

Black Goddess opens at 2/1 on the morning line, making her the public's favorite despite a 68.83 TrackWiz rating that ranks her third in the field. The 5% career win rate is a concern over 1 1/16 miles on dirt, but Christoff Douglas is a legitimate rider and trainer Carlton Teape likely targets this spot with purpose. She's dangerous enough to hit the board and belongs in trifecta coverage.

Race 3

6:05 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

An all-maiden affair on the Woodbine turf at 7 1/2 furlongs, and Beach Cricket enters as a heavy favorite with a massive ratings edge — but at 8/5, you're paying up for the privilege, so finding the right price underneath is the real game here.

win5Beach CricketML 8/5

Beach Cricket is a dominant number in this field with a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 — nearly 16 points clear of the second-best horse. Trainer Tedston Holder sends out this first-time or lightly-raced runner with Fraser Aebly up, and the 53 average speed figure is right where you want to be on this surface. At 8/5, you're laying a short price in a maiden race, which always carries risk, but the ratings separation is simply too large to ignore as a win selection.

place2ChervonarutaML 9/2

Chervonaruta checks in at 73.73 on our ratings — second-best in the race — and gets a morning line of 9/2 that looks workable. Trainer Michael P. De Paulo sends her out with Jason Hoyte aboard, and a 52 average speed figure keeps her competitive in a field where the pace scenario is still to be determined. If Beach Cricket has any trouble at all, Chervonaruta is positioned to capitalize.

show1Hope She FiresML 6/1

Hope She Fires opens at 6/1 and carries a respectable 68.94 TrackWiz rating, ranking her third in this field — a solid spot to anchor a show bet or slot into a trifecta key. Jose Luis Campos handles the riding duties for trainer Richard L. Morden, and the 53 average speed figure matches the race's top horses. In a maiden turf route where anything can happen on the first turn, 6/1 for a top-three finisher is worth your attention.

The free portion of today's card kicks off on the turf and stays interesting. Split Strike opens things up in Race 1, an Allowance Optional Claiming sprint over 5 furlongs on the grass — a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 makes this one of the sharper numbers on the entire card, and at 2/1 on the morning line, the market agrees. Race 2 flips to the dirt for a mile-and-a-sixteenth Claiming affair where Maxine Magic surfaces as a 6/1 overlay worth a close look — that morning line price on a horse carrying an 80.92 rating suggests there could be some real value if the tote board stays honest. We close the free slate in Race 3 with Beach Cricket in a Maiden Optional Claiming turf route, sporting the highest rating of the three free picks at 89.12 and a sharp 8/5 morning line.

The early turf theme is worth noting: with conditions playing fast and fair today, pace scenarios on the grass are likely to be genuine and competitive. Horses with clean early position — or strong late kick — should be rewarded. Keep an eye on how those first two turf races develop; they'll tell you a lot about the surface playing into the card's second half.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:38 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This 6 1/2-furlong dirt claimer features a clear class standout by the numbers, but the morning line doesn't fully reflect it — making Race 4 one of the sharper value opportunities on today's card.

win7KavalaML 3/1

Kavala lands atop our ratings at 87.08 and comes in with a 20% career win rate, establishing herself as the most accomplished horse in the field from a consistency standpoint. Trainer Michael Mattine deploys Kemarie Blackett, and at 3/1 on the morning line there's still some value for a horse this well-rated in a claiming spot. The 54 average speed figure is tied with several rivals, so the edge here is more about overall form quality than raw speed alone.

place6Founder's DayML 5/2

Founder's Day is a horse who makes a lot of sense underneath at 5/2. A 14% career win rate at this level is solid, and trainer Devon Gittens pairs her with Juan Crawford — a rider who can position horses well in sprint-distance dirt races. The 79.48 TrackWiz rating puts her comfortably in the second tier of this field, and she should offer real value in exacta plays beneath Kavala.

show4Saucy NameML 4/1

Saucy Name opens at 4/1 with a 64.79 rating and a 12% career win rate that's respectable for the claiming ranks. Trainer Kerron Palmer has Christoff Douglas in the irons, and the 54 average speed figure matches up with most of this field. She's not the flashiest pick, but in a wide-open claiming race where pace can play tricks, Saucy Name is a dependable show anchor and a live exotic piece.

Race 5

7:11 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A maiden turf route with a significant ratings gap at the top, but the morning line tells a different story — the public may be underestimating the field's true standout while overrating the chalk.

win4StratosphericML 5/2

Stratospheric carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.81 and opens at 5/2, which is respectable value in a maiden optional claiming event. Luis Contreras takes the mount for trainer Nicholas Nosowenko, and the 52 average speed figure is workable at 7 1/2 furlongs on turf. This is a field of first-timers and winless horses, so Stratospheric's ratings edge looms large — TrackWiz analysis points here as the clear top pick.

place9KeytotheparkML 9/5

Keytothepark gets the morning line favoritism at 9/5 yet checks in as our second pick at a 72.95 rating — notably lower than Stratospheric's 87.81. Pietro Moran rides for trainer Darwin D. Banach, and the 53 average speed figure is in the mix. Keytothepark clearly has public support, and the class and form indicators are strong enough to justify a place selection even if we think the win market has the order slightly inverted.

show1Crumlin MollyML 2/1

Crumlin Molly opens at 2/1 on the morning line — arguably overbet relative to her 58.33 TrackWiz rating — but Eswan Flores is a trusted hand for trainer Donald C. MacRae, and the 53 average speed is competitive. She's the type of horse that could benefit from a contested pace scenario up front, and a 2/1 show return won't set the world on fire, but she's a reasonable trifecta inclusion for those playing deeper.

Race 6

7:44 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

All first-time winners or winless horses line up in this 6 1/2-furlong maiden dirt race, and one horse has separated itself dramatically in the TrackWiz ratings — though the morning line suggests the public is onto it too.

win8Up N the AnteML 3/1

Up N the Ante dominates this field with an 87.08 rating — a 19-point gap over the second-place Flyonbye — and Skye Chernetz picks up the mount for trainer Devon Gittens. The 54 average speed figure is right in the mix, but it's the overall profile and form strength that set this horse apart in a wide-open maiden field. At 3/1, there's still a fair return for the top-rated entrant, and TrackWiz analysis makes this a confident play.

place4FlyonbyeML 2/1

Flyonbye draws the morning line favoritism at 2/1 with a 68.39 TrackWiz rating, suggesting the public sees something here despite ranking second behind Up N the Ante. Pietro Moran takes the mount for trainer Michael P. De Paulo, and the 53 average speed figure is competitive. If Up N the Ante runs into any trouble, Flyonbye looks like the natural heir to the exacta spot.

show5Tiho SrceML 4/1

Tiho Srce catches the eye as a legitimate show play at 4/1 — the highest average speed figure in this field at 55, which is a meaningful edge in a sprint. Austin Adams rides for trainer Patrick Dixon, who also has Humormeastory in the race, suggesting the barn is shooting for the board with multiple horses. The 55 speed figure and 4/1 price make Tiho Srce a sensible trifecta anchor.

Race 7

8:17 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A massive 16-horse maiden turf field at one mile makes for a complex puzzle, but our ratings model has found a clear standout near the bottom of the program — and the morning line agrees.

win12Big Screen BossML 8/5

Big Screen Boss tops the field with an 89.12 TrackWiz rating and opens as the 8/5 morning line choice, and that consensus is well-founded. Pietro Moran handles riding duties for trainer Tedston Holder — who also saddles Gran Ghost in this same race — and the 54 average speed figure is among the best in the field. In a big field turf route, having the top-rated horse with a trusted rider is about as good a setup as you can ask for.

place9GelatoML 5/2

Gelato comes in as our second pick at a 77.00 rating and gets the 5/2 morning line, making this a horse the public also respects. Fraser Aebly boards for trainer Stuart C. Simon, and the 52 average speed figure is serviceable at one mile on turf. In a 16-horse field, pace dynamics can be chaotic, and Gelato's combination of rating and rider quality makes the place position a strong bet.

show8Maker's FlatterML 7/2

Maker's Flatter opens at 7/2 and delivers a 70.34 TrackWiz rating — third-best in this large field — with Sahin Civaci taking the mount for Michael P. De Paulo. The 52 average speed is consistent, and in a maiden turf race this deep, a horse with the third-best number and a capable pilot is a reliable show anchor. Exotics players should look to key Maker's Flatter in trifectas beneath the top two.

Race 8

8:50 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Stakes day quality on the Woodbine dirt sprint, and this is one of the most competitive races on the card — three horses rated 80 or above with legitimate win credentials, setting up what could be a cracking pace duel.

win3Souped UpML 2/1

Souped Up leads our ratings at 88.54 and brings the best career win percentage among the top contenders at 33% — this horse wins. Rafael Manuel Hernandez gets the mount for trainer Ronald H. Sadler, and the 55 average speed figure is right there with the best in the field. At 2/1 on the morning line, you won't get rich backing Souped Up to win, but the combination of top rating, win rate, and class makes this a confident stakes play.

place7Go Kart MozartML 5/2

Go Kart Mozart is the most intriguing horse in this race — a 54% career win rate is extraordinary and the best in the field by a wide margin. Trainer Robert P. Tiller sends him out with Eswan Flores, and the 56 average speed figure ties for the highest in the race. At 5/2, Go Kart Mozart is a live win threat in his own right, and our place designation may be underselling him — he belongs in your exacta box.

show4Poulin in O TML 3/1

Poulin in O T checks in at 80.58 on our ratings with a stellar 31% career win rate and a 56 average speed figure that ties the race's best. Ryan Munger rides for trainer Steven Owens, and at 3/1 on the morning line, this horse is a legitimate win threat masquerading as a show pick. In a three-horse race at the top of the ratings, any order of finish is plausible — Poulin in O T is a must-use in exotics.

Race 9

9:23 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A 12-horse maiden special weight on the turf mile sees our top pick open well off the pace in the morning line, suggesting value is available if the ratings model is pointing in the right direction.

win5BuiumML 4/1

Buium tops our ratings at 72.39 and gets Emma-Jayne Wilson — one of Woodbine's most respected riders — for trainer Kevin Attard. The 53 average speed figure is among the better marks in this field, and the 4/1 morning line offers genuine value for the top-rated horse. Attard is a sharp conditioner who knows how to place horses, and Wilson's tactical ability in turf routes gives Buium a significant edge in a wide-open maiden special weight.

place10Will WinML 6/1

Will Win comes in at 63.10 on our ratings with a 55 average speed figure — tied for the best in the field alongside Silverstein — and gets Fraser Aebly for trainer Mark E. Casse. Casse is one of North America's premier trainers, and when he sends a horse into a maiden special weight at Woodbine, you take notice. The 6/1 morning line makes Will Win a standout place value, especially given the speed figure edge.

show2Proud PainterML 8/1

Proud Painter is our show selection at 8/1 and carries a 62.85 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the race. Trainer Patrick Dixon, who also runs Wonderful Quality in this race, saddles Proud Painter with Romero Ramsay Maragh, a very capable pilot. The 52 average speed figure is solid, and at 8/1, this is a horse that can add real value to trifecta and superfecta tickets.

Race 10

9:56 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

The second stakes race of the evening features a heavy favorite with elite credentials, but a pair of horses in the middle of the program carry enough firepower to make exactas and trifectas well worth structuring.

win3Little TeddyML 7/5

Little Teddy is simply in a class of her own here — a 89.42 TrackWiz rating, a 50% career win rate, and the best average speed figure in the race at 56. Austin Adams boards for trainer Santino C. DiPaola, and at 7/5 on the morning line, the public has already found this horse. Yes, it's a short price in a stakes race, but a 50% win rate demands respect — Little Teddy is the anchor of your ticket.

place9Home for a RestML 4/1

Home for a Rest sits at 85.62 on our ratings and opens at 4/1, making her our clearest value play in this race. Trainer Robert P. Tiller — who also saddles Minimum Forty — sends her out with Daisuke Fukumoto, and a 35% career win rate is outstanding. She's only 3.8 rating points behind Little Teddy and carries the second-best number in the race. At 4/1, this is a horse you want underneath and potentially on top in multi-race wagers.

show2Olivia RoseML 7/2

Olivia Rose checks in at 72.80 on our ratings with a 27% career win rate and gets Rafael Manuel Hernandez for trainer Mark E. Casse. The 55 average speed figure is right there with the race's best, and Hernandez is one of the most reliable riders in the country when it comes to placing horses in the late stages of a sprint. At 7/2, Olivia Rose gives you a solid return in the show pool and is a key exotics piece.

Race 11

10:26 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

An Allowance Optional Claiming turf mile to close out the main sequence, and our win pick is flying somewhat under the radar at 6/1 despite the numbers telling a compelling story — this could be the overlay of the day.

win2Talbot's RiplynML 6/1

Talbot's Riplyn opens at 6/1 yet tops our ratings at 78.74 — a significant edge over what the morning line suggests. A 33% career win rate for trainer Josie Carroll's charge is outstanding, and Fraser Aebly is a proven turf-route rider at Woodbine. The 53 average speed figure is competitive, and in an allowance optional claiming spot, a horse with this win rate and a top-rated profile at a double-digit morning line is the definition of a TrackWiz value play.

place8VeeryML 3/1

Veery brings a 34% career win rate — among the best in this field — and a 77.16 TrackWiz rating to support a 3/1 morning line. Trainer Michael Wright, Jr. pairs her with Eswan Flores, who has already had his share of action today on the card. The 53 average speed is consistent, and Veery's win rate and rating suggest she rarely runs a bad race — a dependable place selection for this turf route.

show3MajazML 2/1

Majaz is a fascinating show pick — a 100% career win rate sounds remarkable, though it likely reflects a limited sample. Regardless, Rafael Manuel Hernandez takes the mount for Mark E. Casse, and that combination alone commands attention. At 2/1 on the morning line, Majaz is oddly positioned as our show pick, which tells you this race has some genuine depth — but Casse and Hernandez teaming up in an allowance turf race is never something to dismiss lightly.

Race 12

10:56 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A sprawling 14-horse maiden claiming sprint to close the card, and while the field is deep with first-time winners, one horse stands well clear of the competition in the ratings — making the win play relatively straightforward even at a compressed price.

win3Beau PinkML 3/1

Beau Pink leads this field with a dominant 87.08 TrackWiz rating — more than 21 points clear of the next-best horse — and opens at a fair 3/1 for trainer Denyse McClachrie with Jeffrey Ian Alderson in the irons. The 54 average speed figure is among the best in the field, and in a maiden claiming race this deep, having this kind of separation in the ratings is unusual. This is as close to a standout in a wide-open race as you'll find on today's card.

place14Call Me MissluckyML 6/1

Call Me Misslucky checks in at 65.93 — second-best in the race — and gets Christoff Douglas for trainer Kathy Patton at 6/1 on the morning line. The 54 average speed figure matches up with the best in the field, and a 6/1 price for the second-rated horse in a maiden claimer is exactly the kind of place value TrackWiz analysis targets. She's an ideal spot to key underneath Beau Pink in exactas.

show5Ryo AmazingML 10/1

Ryo Amazing is our longshot show selection at 10/1 with a 52.92 TrackWiz rating and a 53 average speed figure that keeps her in contention. Leo Salles takes the mount for trainer Pat Parente, and in a 14-horse maiden claiming race, the chaos of a large field can absolutely produce a 10/1 show payout. Ryo Amazing is a smart trifecta inclusion for those willing to take a shot in the nightcap.

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A clean summer afternoon at Woodbine, a loaded 12-race card, and some genuine spots to find value — that's a solid Sunday. Top the card with Split Strike, Maxine Magic, and Beach Cricket in the free races, then let Little Teddy carry the banner in the Stakes closer if you're a subscriber. The full card breakdown, pace projections, and exotic ticket strategies are all waiting for you — check out TrackWiz Premium and make the most of the afternoon. Good luck out there.

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