Daily Picks

Woodbine Picks & Predictions — June 28, 2026

Sunday, June 28, 202610 racesWoodbine

It's a gorgeous Sunday at Woodbine — clear skies, 80°F, and a 10-race card that has something for every kind of bettor. The Woodbine dirt has been playing fast under these conditions, and that's a factor worth keeping in mind from the first post to the last.

The marquee race of the afternoon is Race 9, a Stakes sprint at 6½ furlongs where our top pick Meilani looks primed at a juicy 9/2 morning line. But don't sleep on the earlier races — there's legitimate value scattered across the card, including a pair of Allowance Optional Claiming spots and a Maiden Special Weight that could produce a big overlay.

We've got full TrackWiz analysis on all 10 races. Three of them are on the house — our complimentary best bets to get you started. The remaining seven are available to subscribers, including pace projections, exotic angles, and multi-race wager breakdowns.

Best Bets

Race 1

5:00 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

So Delicious enters as the morning-line favorite in this 5 1/2-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer, but a sneaky TrackWiz rating gap suggests the top three are tightly bunched — value could be hiding at longer odds.

win2So DeliciousML 2/1

So Delicious carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.54, a meaningful edge over the second-ranked Cajun Influence at 78.02. Trainer Devon Gittens sends this one out at 2/1 on the morning line, which lines up with the numbers — this horse is legitimately the class of the field. With a 25% career win rate and an average speed figure of 55, So Delicious profiles as a pace-presser who should be sitting close to the action in a sprint, making Keveh Nicholls' job straightforward if things set up honestly.

place4Cajun InfluenceML 8/1

Cajun Influence is the value angle here — going off at 8/1 on the morning line despite posting a TrackWiz rating of 78.02, which is the second-best mark in this field. Trainer Michael P. De Paulo sends this one out with Pietro Moran up, and a 25% career win rate suggests a horse that consistently finds the board. At nearly four times the favorite's odds, Cajun Influence is an attractive place play in exotics.

show3Shak TownML 5/2

Shak Town brings a solid 72.42 TrackWiz rating and the highest average speed figure in the field at 56, which matters in a sprint where early fractions determine everything. Trainer Kevin Attard is a consistent presence at Woodbine, and Luis R. Reyes takes the mount at 5/2 — not a throwaway price for a horse that could easily outrun its odds. Include this one in exactas and trifectas.

Race 2

5:32 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This wide-open 6 1/2-furlong dirt claimer features a genuine pace battle between several front-runners, which could set things up perfectly for a closer to steal the show — the top two TrackWiz-rated horses are going off at 8/1 and 5/2.

win4Big Baby HenryML 8/1

Big Baby Henry tops our TrackWiz ratings at 79.79 despite going off at 8/1 on the morning line — that's a significant disconnect between public perception and our model's assessment. Trainer Philip Hall has Keveh Nicholls in the irons, a reliable combination in the Woodbine claiming ranks. A 15% career win rate is modest, but the rating edge here is real, and in a field where the pace looks heated, a horse with a strong closing kick could steal this at a generous price.

place8TazmanML 5/2

Tazman is the one to beat in terms of raw career win percentage — 41% is exceptional at any level and suggests a horse that consistently performs when asked. The 5/2 morning line puts Tazman as the second choice, and the 79.71 TrackWiz rating nearly matches our win pick. Trainer Kelly L. Callaghan conditions her own horse here with Slade Callaghan riding, a tight family-barn combo that often signals peak readiness.

show2Classic DancerML 3/1

Classic Dancer is the public's top pick at 3/1 and carries a 75.44 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field. Rafael Manuel Hernandez, one of the busiest and most effective jockeys at Woodbine, picks up this mount for trainer William Tharrenos. A 22% career win rate in the claiming ranks is respectable, and the 3/1 morning line means the show payoff could be pedestrian, but Classic Dancer earns a spot in the trifecta.

Race 3

6:05 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Endrick and Uncaptured Moment form a clear two-horse top tier in this 6-furlong dirt starter allowance, but a handful of live longshots with decent win percentages could complicate the exacta.

win2EndrickML 2/1

Endrick checks every box our model looks for — an 88.54 TrackWiz rating that is the highest in this field by more than three points, and a 23% career win rate that shows consistent competence. Trainer William Tharrenos teams up again with Rafael Manuel Hernandez, who is one of the most in-demand jockeys at Woodbine for a reason. At 2/1 on the morning line, the price isn't glamorous, but the rating gap justifies making Endrick the confident win selection.

place6Uncaptured MomentML 5/2

Uncaptured Moment rates second at 85.12 and goes off at 5/2 — nearly as short as the favorite, but the case is strong. Trainer Ryan A. Jones puts Fraser Aebly up, and a 14% career win rate in the starter allowance ranks is worth contextualizing — these are horses that have been competitive enough to enter this condition. If Endrick gets into trouble or faces a hot pace, Uncaptured Moment is ideally positioned to collect the place check.

show4El AlacranML 6/1

El Alacran at 6/1 is a legitimate show play with a 68.48 TrackWiz rating and a 22% career win rate — both metrics that compare favorably to several horses above this one on the morning line. Trainer James Bentley Begg gives Keveh Nicholls the call, and the 6/1 price means the show payoff could be juicy if the top two fill the exacta. A horse this live at this price deserves a slot in your trifecta tickets.

Our three free races today span a nice cross-section of the card — an Allowance Optional Claiming sprint to kick things off in Race 1, a Claiming route in Race 2 where longshot Big Baby Henry (8/1 ML) is our TrackWiz top pick, and a Starter Allowance in Race 3 with Endrick drawing our top rating of 88.54. That trio of free picks isn't just filler — they reflect real angles worth attacking.

The theme connecting these early races is pace. On a sunny, fast Woodbine dirt track, early speed has been rewarding, and all three of our free picks figure to have favorable positions in the flow of each race. So Delicious in Race 1 and Endrick in Race 3 both carry that 88.54 TrackWiz rating — that's not a coincidence, it's a signal. Keep them both on your radar for singles and multi-race bets alike.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:38 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Maiden special weights over 5 1/2 furlongs on the dirt are among the toughest races to handicap — first-time starters and lightly raced horses dot this field, making workout tabs and trainer patterns the primary handicapping tools.

win6Liberty BeachML 5/2

Liberty Beach leads our TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field at 57.50 and is the second choice at 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Mark E. Casse is one of the premier conditioners in North America, and his maidens on debut deserve extra respect — he wins at a high clip when he spots a horse in a race like this. Romero Ramsay Maragh gets the call, a jockey who knows how to handle green horses and get them into position early in sprint maidens.

place4QuipsterML 7/2

Quipster is right behind at 55.83 and goes off at 7/2, trained by Kevin Attard — another elite Woodbine conditioner whose first-time starters consistently show up ready. Pietro Moran in the irons for Attard is a reliable combination that has cashed tickets all meet long. In a maiden race where many of these horses haven't run, having two top trainers represented in your top selections is a meaningful edge.

show8CountrymanML 4/1

Countryman at 4/1 carries a 55.00 TrackWiz rating and gets Rafael Manuel Hernandez — arguably the most accomplished rider on this entire card — for trainer Dale A. Desruisseaux. The 4/1 morning line makes this the third choice, and in a race this wide open, a well-meant first or second starter from a competent barn with a top jockey is exactly the kind of show play that keeps trifecta tickets alive. Don't overlook Countryman in vertical wagers.

Race 5

7:11 PM EDT

Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

My Covenant looms as a substantial class standout in this 6-furlong dirt optional claimer, rated nearly 18 points clear of the morning-line favorite — the question is whether the 7/2 price reflects enough value.

win5My CovenantML 7/2

My Covenant is the most dominant figure on the TrackWiz model today in this race — an 86.35 rating that is 18 full points ahead of the next-best horse in the field. Trainer Audrey Cheung sends this one out with Pietro Moran, a top-five jockey at Woodbine by any measure. A 20% career win rate in an optional claiming spot suggests a horse at the right level, and the 55 average speed figure matches the competitive range of this field — My Covenant simply rates better than everyone else here.

place4Sammysaurus RexML 2/1

Sammysaurus Rex is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 with a 68.32 TrackWiz rating and the best career win percentage in the field among the top horses at 20%. Trainer Gordon C. Colbourne sends this one out with Emma-Jayne Wilson, a veteran rider who excels in routing and speed-saving spots. If My Covenant has any trouble breaking or gets caught wide, Sammysaurus Rex has the class and consistency to capitalize for the place.

show2Lean Music MachineML 5/2

Lean Music Machine at 5/2 is the morning line's second choice, but our model rates this one third at 61.52 — still a strong figure in a six-horse field. Trainer Devon Gittens has Eswan Flores up, and while the 4% career win rate is low, the TrackWiz rating suggests this horse competes better than that raw number implies. At 5/2, the show price may be thin, but in a small field Lean Music Machine is almost certain to hit the board.

Race 6

7:44 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 fur · Dirt

Two short-priced maiden runners — War Legend at 9/5 and Baaeed Alynna at 8/5 — dominate the morning line in this 7-furlong debut-heavy field, setting up a potential battle between a pair of well-connected barns.

win6War LegendML 9/5

War Legend tops our TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field at 72.29 — a full 13 points clear of Baaeed Alynna — and goes off at 9/5, making this the second choice despite having the best number. Trainer Mark E. Casse, one of the most decorated horsemen at Woodbine, puts Romero Ramsay Maragh up — a proven partnership that wins when the horse is ready. In a seven-furlong maiden dirt race, there's enough ground for a horse with strong ratings to overcome a slow start, which adds flexibility to War Legend's profile.

place3Baaeed AlynnaML 8/5

Baaeed Alynna is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 and trains under Kevin Attard, giving this race a genuine barn rivalry at the top. Rafael Manuel Hernandez is one of the most sought-after jockeys at Woodbine, and Attard rarely misses when he's this aggressive with a first-time starter's morning line. A TrackWiz rating of 59.00 is a bit below War Legend but still the second-best number in the field, making Baaeed Alynna a reliable place selection.

show2Hard RightML 5/1

Hard Right at 5/1 is the third horse on our radar with a 53.33 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 55 — matching the field's competitive range. Trainer David Cotey sends this one out with Jose Luis Campos, a solid journeyman who consistently gets good breaks from the gate. In a seven-furlong maiden, pace setup matters, and Hard Right could benefit if the two favorites press each other hard and take turns softening up.

Race 7

8:17 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

Two Out Hero stands out as a clear class standout in this 7 1/2-furlong turf allowance optional claimer, posting an 87.81 TrackWiz rating while carrying a 40% career win rate — a rare combination in a field this deep.

win4Two Out HeroML 5/2

Two Out Hero is our strongest single-race play on the card based on the combination of a 87.81 TrackWiz rating and a remarkable 40% career win percentage — this horse simply wins more often than not. Trainer Kevin Attard puts Rafael Manuel Hernandez in the irons, a pairing that is as reliable as any at Woodbine, and the 5/2 morning line offers reasonable value for a horse this dominant in our model. The 7 1/2-furlong turf distance is a surface and trip that rewards tactical speed and class, both of which Two Out Hero appears to have in abundance.

place2Dark ScreenML 6/1

Dark Screen at 6/1 is an interesting value play for the place, carrying a 59.84 TrackWiz rating and an eye-catching 30% career win percentage — the second-highest win rate in this field behind only our top pick. Trainer Beverley Chubb sends this one out with Juan Crawford, and a closer profile on the turf at this distance means Dark Screen could be picking up pieces in the stretch while the front-runners battle. At 6/1, the place price should be worth chasing.

show3Garden of WarML 8/1

Garden of War at 8/1 brings a 25% career win rate and a 53.97 TrackWiz rating — serviceable numbers, but what makes this interesting is the Mark E. Casse barn connection and Pietro Moran in the saddle. Casse fields two horses in this race, and when a top trainer double-entries, it's worth asking which one is the primary and which is the setup horse. Garden of War at a generous price is a reasonable show play in trifectas, especially if a wide pace develops on the turf.

Race 8

8:50 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

War Painter goes off at 6/1 despite topping the TrackWiz ratings in this 1 1/16-mile dirt allowance optional claimer — that's the kind of overlay our model is built to find, especially with a competitive Casse double-entry in the field.

win7War PainterML 6/1

War Painter leads all runners in this race with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating, yet the morning line has this horse at 6/1 while the Casse-trained Elysian Field opens at 2/1 — that's a meaningful overlay worth exploiting. Trainer Kevin Attard puts Kazushi Kimura up, a jockey with sharp timing and strong Woodbine form. A 23% career win rate at the allowance level over a mile-plus distance suggests War Painter is comfortable going long, and a speed figure of 53 matches the competitive range of this field — TrackWiz has this one rated best for a reason.

place2Elysian FieldML 2/1

Elysian Field is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and rates second on our model at 78.95, trained by the formidable Mark E. Casse with Pietro Moran up. A 27% career win rate is strong in this company, and the 55 average speed figure is among the best in the field. If the pace gets hot early over a mile and a sixteenth, Elysian Field's class should keep this horse well within reach of the place money.

show5TakemetothebeachML 10/1

Takemetothebeach is the value play in the show spot — going off at 10/1 despite a solid 75.40 TrackWiz rating that ranks third in this field. Trainer William Tharrenos puts Rafael Manuel Hernandez up, and a 19% career win rate at the allowance level is respectable at any distance. If the Casse horses and War Painter battle through the far turn, Takemetothebeach could be rolling late for a big show price.

Race 9

9:22 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The stakes race is the card's marquee event and it's a genuine puzzle — Meilani tops the TrackWiz ratings but goes off at 9/2, while the public leans on Mony Mony at 5/2 and Wooten Warrior could be a massive price in the trifecta.

win8MeilaniML 9/2

Meilani leads the TrackWiz model for this stakes race at 84.90 — a strong number in a competitive stakes field — and goes off at 9/2, which represents real overlay value against the 5/2 morning-line choice. Trainer Kevin Attard puts Kazushi Kimura up, and while a 14% career win rate seems modest, an average speed figure of 54 in a stakes field at 6 1/2 furlongs is respectable. The 9/2 price signals the public may be sleeping on Meilani, and our model has consistently backed Attard's stakes runners when they rate this cleanly.

place1Mony MonyML 5/2

Mony Mony is the public's choice at 5/2 with a strong case — an 80.85 TrackWiz rating, the highest career win percentage among the leading contenders at 37%, and an average speed figure of 56 that tops the field. Trainer Joe Sharp sends this one out with Sofia Vives, and a horse that wins over a third of its starts simply does not lose often. Whether Mony Mony wins or runs second, it belongs in every trifecta combination.

show3Wooten WarriorML 12/1

Wooten Warrior is the longshot gem of this race at 12/1 — a 70.26 TrackWiz rating that ranks third in the field, and a staggering 40% career win rate that is one of the best in this entire stakes lineup. Trainer Kevin Attard double-entries with Pietro Moran taking this one, and in a stakes race with pace pressure from multiple angles, a horse that wins four out of ten times is dangerous at 12/1. Use Wooten Warrior widely in exacta boxes and trifecta plays for a potential big score.

Race 10

9:54 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

Givememythememusic is a standout figure in this 7 1/2-furlong turf claimer, boasting a dominant 85.62 TrackWiz rating and a 42% career win rate that suggests this one will be very difficult to beat at any price.

win3GivememythememusicML 4/1

Givememythememusic is the most statistically compelling win pick on this card outside of Race 7 — an 85.62 TrackWiz rating paired with a 42% career win percentage is an extraordinary combination in a claiming race. Trainer James Bentley Begg sends this one out with Pietro Moran, a jockey who excels at setting up stalking trips on the Woodbine turf. The 4/1 morning line actually offers a bit of value given how dominant the ratings profile is, and a horse that wins nearly half its starts in the claiming ranks deserves maximum respect.

place10El KabongML 5/2

El Kabong at 5/2 is the morning-line second choice and rates second in our model at 75.19 — a solid mark for this claiming level. Trainer Tino Attard hands the reins to Kazushi Kimura, and an 8% career win rate in the claiming ranks is lower than you'd like, but the TrackWiz rating says this horse competes at a higher level than that raw percentage suggests. El Kabong is a safe place play if you're looking to anchor the bottom of trifecta tickets.

show8Hemlo GoldML 3/1

Hemlo Gold at 3/1 is a legitimate show play — a 72.27 TrackWiz rating that ranks third, a 17% career win rate, and Romero Ramsay Maragh in the irons for trainer Jim Ensom. The 3/1 price means the show payoff won't be lavish, but in a ten-horse turf race where pace can create chaos in the stretch, Hemlo Gold's consistent speed figure of 53 and solid rating make this a reliable trifecta anchor worth including.

Premium Content

Get the Full Card Analysis

Unlock expert picks for every race, detailed speed figures, trainer angles, and our SmartBet recommendations.

View Plans Sign In

Bottom line: Woodbine is putting on a full show today under ideal conditions, and our TrackWiz analysis has you covered from gate to wire. Start with So Delicious, Big Baby Henry, and Endrick in the free races, then let Meilani and Two Out Hero anchor your premium plays. The full-card breakdown — including pace projections, exotic strategies, and every angle we're playing — is waiting for subscribers at /pricing. Good luck out there.

← Back to all picks

Best Bets

Race 1↗

Race 2↗

Race 3↗

Full Card Analysis

Get the Full Card Analysis

Race 1

Race 2

Race 3