Thistledown Picks & Predictions — May 16, 2026
Here's our expert breakdown of today's 9-race card at Thistledown. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 9 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.
Best Bets
Race 1
2026-05-16T16:20:00Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt
Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Fast and Friendly looks standout with daylight to the rest.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 52.5 for Race 1. Ridden by Victor R. Fernandez, trained by Robert C. Cline. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 74% of races. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance.
Race 2
2026-05-16T16:50:00Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt
Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Chalon's First looks standout with daylight to the rest.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 2. Career win rate of 33% shows consistency. Ridden by Irwin J. Rosendo, trained by Michael L. Rone. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.44 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 of Sprint races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races at Thistledown. Claiming Price Decreased from $7500 to $5000.
Rating board at 63.8. Ridden by Angel I. Diaz. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. 1 wins and placed in 8 of 16 races on Dirt tracks.
Rating board at 63.1. Ridden by Joshua J. Radosevich. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.37 sec/furlong. Claiming Price Decreased from $7500 to $5000.
Race 3
2026-05-16T17:20:00Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt
Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Happycastle looks standout with daylight to the rest.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 3. Ridden by Angel I. Diaz, trained by Rodney C. Faulkner. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. Placed in 3 of 5 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races.
Rating board at 57.5. Ridden by Brandon Tapara.
Rating board at 55.7. Ridden by Jose A. Bracho. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.16 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races.
Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.
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Good luck at Thistledown today! Remember to check back for live odds updates and follow us for real-time picks throughout the card. Subscribe to TrackWiz for full access to every race at every track.