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Free Saratoga Picks & Predictions — September 6, 2026

September 6, 202612 racesAll Saratoga picks

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 12-race card at Saratoga. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 12 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

3 Free Races at Saratoga

Race 1

4:05 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Disparate Impact towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win8Disparate ImpactML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 1. Ridden by Jose Lezcano, trained by Linda Rice. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.52 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 72% of races. Placed in 2 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Claiming Price Decreased from $85000 to $45000.

place9The StandardML 5/2

Rating board at 71.7. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr.. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.10 sec/furlong. Placed in 3 of 5 races on Dirt tracks.

show7Nordic FyreML 8/1

Rating board at 55.4. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas. Placed in 2 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 2 of 3 at Sprint races.

Race 2

4:40 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

Bet-down spot for Play With Fire — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win4Play With FireML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 2. Career win rate of 22% shows consistency. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Chad C. Brown. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.03 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. Placed in 3 of 3 races at Saratoga. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 8 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place6UnreasonableML 2/1

Rating board at 88.1. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr.. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.65 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races.

show8Bow DrawML 5/2

Rating board at 78.5. Ridden by Manuel Franco. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

Race 3

5:15 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Next On Stage grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win4Next On StageML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 3. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Linda Rice. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.17 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 66% of races. 5 wins and placed in 17 of 22 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has 4 wins and placed in 13 of 17 of Sprint races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

place5With a KissML 3/1

Rating board at 56.7 • 100% career wins. Ridden by John R. Velazquez. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.76 sec/furlong. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races.

show7Lovely ChristinaML 6/1

Rating board at 54.5. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races on Dirt tracks.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

5:50 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Mashallah is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win3MashallahML 7/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.4 for Race 4. Career win rate of 75% shows consistency. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Brendan P. Walsh. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.91 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. 3 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Has 3 wins and placed in 3 of 3 of Sprint races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 11.94 sec/furlong. Has WON 2 races in a row! Horse won last time it raced. 08/01/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place4GoodallML 8/5

Rating board at 80.0 • 42% career wins. Ridden by John R. Velazquez. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.92 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 6 of 7 races on Dirt tracks.

show6Hen PartyML 6/1

Rating board at 73.6 • 33% career wins. Ridden by Dylan Davis. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.86 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 5

6:25 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Father Rick looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5Father RickML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 57.5 for Race 5. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Jeremiah C. Englehart. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

place1InalienableML 7/2

Rating board at 55.8. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr.. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.80 sec/furlong.

show6RandeeML 4/1

Rating board at 55.0. Ridden by Jose Lezcano. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 72% of races.

Race 6

7:02 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 3/8 mi · Turf

Iron Sight towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win8Iron SightML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 6. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Chad C. Brown. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 2 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 4 of 5 of Medium Distance races. Placed in 2 of 3 races at Saratoga. 1 wins and placed in 2 of 3 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place9My Noble KnightML 9/5

Rating board at 78.5 • 24% career wins. Ridden by Manuel Franco. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 66% of races.

show5Noble FactorML 3/1

Rating board at 71.1. Ridden by Javier Castellano. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.11 sec/furlong. Has 3 wins and placed in 13 of 17 of Medium Distance races.

Race 7

7:36 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/8 mi · Turf

Bet-down spot for All Bright — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win13All BrightML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 7. Ridden by Katie Davis, trained by Oscar S. Barrera III. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.48 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races. Placed in 2 of 3 races at Saratoga. Little success at sprint races - giving an endurance race a go.

place8Sky Low LowML 8/1

Rating board at 69.3. Ridden by Katie Davis. Has placed in the last 2 races. Placed in 3 of 3 races at Saratoga.

show2Pelican PrideML 7/2

Rating board at 67.8. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 12.00 sec/furlong.

Race 8

8:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Standout on paper: Tacticality grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win1TacticalityML EVN

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 90.0 for Race 8. Career win rate of 33% shows consistency. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Chad C. Brown. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.29 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. Has placed in 3 of the last 5 races. Has not raced in 105 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.06 sec/furlong. Horse won last time it raced. 05/24/2026. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place14Celestial GlazeML 8/1

Rating board at 71.6. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.42 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races.

show8ToscanoML 4/1

Rating board at 68.0. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr.. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 11 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 9

8:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Blamicker is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win6BlamickerML 6/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 82.7 for Race 9. Career win rate of 55% shows consistency. Ridden by Andre Shivnarine Worrie, trained by Chris J. Englehart. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.74 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 30% win rate and finished in the money in 75% of races. 5 wins and placed in 6 of 8 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. Horse won last time it raced. 08/18/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

place2King FarroML 5/1

Rating board at 79.5 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races on Dirt tracks.

show9VekindaML 9/2

Rating board at 73.7. Ridden by Manuel Franco. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. 1 wins and placed in 7 of 7 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 10

9:19 PM EDT

Stakes · 7 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Booked looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3BookedML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 10. Career win rate of 50% shows consistency. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr., trained by Steven M. Asmussen. 2 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 4 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 4 of 4 of Sprint races. 2 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races at Saratoga. Jockey & Horse combo has a 16% win rate and finished in the money in 48% of races.

place1The Good LifeML 7/2

Rating board at 55.8 • 100% career wins. Ridden by Manuel Franco. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.86 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

show8MystrixML 4/1

Rating board at 55.0. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races.

Race 11

9:55 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

Creditworthy towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win7CreditworthyML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 11. Career win rate of 50% shows consistency. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Chad C. Brown. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.32 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races. Has 3 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races at 5 1/2 fur. 3 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races at Saratoga. 3 wins and placed in 5 of 5 races on Turf tracks. Has WON 2 races in a row! More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 08/02/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

place4Determined KingdomML 5/1

Rating board at 66.1 • 33% career wins. Ridden by John R. Velazquez. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.39 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 3 races.

show1Jean ValjeanML 9/2

Rating board at 60.7 • 39% career wins. Ridden by Jomar Torres. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.40 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races.

Race 12

10:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

Bet-down spot for Irish Goodbye — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win3Irish GoodbyeML 9/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.9 for Race 12. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Brad H. Cox. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 4 races. Placed in 2 of 2 races at Saratoga.

place11Ohonte's OwnML 7/2

Rating board at 64.9. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr.. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Has placed in 3 of 4 at Medium Distance races.

show14Valentine CrusaderML 2/1

Rating board at 58.3. Ridden by Rider TBA. Has placed in the last 2 races. Placed in 2 of 2 races at Saratoga.

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