Saratoga Picks & Predictions — July 11, 2026

Army Gal is no slouch herself — a 30% career win rate and a 79.94 TrackWiz rating for trainer Linda Rice tell you this filly knows how to hit the board. Jose Lezcano has ridden well in this spot, and the 9/5 morning line on the second choice here actually looks like a fair price given her consistency. If Speightful Lily has any issues in the gate or gets caught in traffic, Army Gal is fully capable of stealing the show.

Next On Stage rounds out the ticket at 75.57 in the TrackWiz model, and a 13% career win rate isn't flashy, but she's in the mix for Manuel Franco and Linda Rice. She has an average speed figure of 55 — identical to the top two horses — so the pace will be honest and she won't get embarrassed. At 3/1, she offers solid value in exactas and trifectas as a legitimate show contender.

Final Verdict rates second in our model at 81.64 for trainer Edward Barker, getting Tyler Gaffalione who has been extremely effective on the grass circuit. The 6/1 morning line is where the value lives — a horse with that TrackWiz score going off at morning-line odds of six is the definition of a play. An average speed figure of 56 matching the top figure in the field adds to the case.

Sounds Like a Plan brings the most impressive career win percentage in this field at 41%, and a 78.66 TrackWiz rating puts him solidly in the mix for Horacio De Paz. Ricardo Santana Jr. takes the mount at a fair 4/1 morning line, and with that kind of closing percentage on his record, he's capable of rattling off a winning effort at any time. A solid show play for exotic wagers given the competitive nature of this field.

Zeitlos posts an 81.64 TrackWiz rating and a 33% career win rate for the Steven Asmussen/Jose Ortiz duo, which is an elite combination in any race at Saratoga. His average speed figure of 56 is second-best on the board, and if Sunna gets caught wide or faces a pace duel early, Zeitlos has every tool to take advantage. At 4/1 on the morning line, the place ticket here has legitimate value.

In Our Time gets Flavien Prat for the Saffie Joseph Jr. barn — a trainer who has made a strong mark in grass sprints at the Spa. A 27% career win rate and a 66.74 TrackWiz rating aren't as dominant as the top two, but the 5/2 morning line suggests the market sees a live contender. In a short field on a tight turf course, trips matter, and Prat is elite at finding daylight.

Annotate rates second in our model at 55.00 and is the one horse in this race who brings an average speed figure — 53 — giving her a concrete baseline compared to rivals who are strictly first-timers. The Asmussen/Ortiz combo appears twice in this race, which is a rarity, and Annotate's 4/1 morning line offers solid place value. Published speed figures in a maiden race speak volumes about actual readiness.

Rosapenna draws the rail for trainer Michael Maker, a conditioner known for placing horses thoughtfully, and Flavien Prat takes the mount at a 9/2 morning line. A TrackWiz rating of 54.17 doesn't leap off the page, but in a field this wide open, the combination of a sharp trainer, elite jockey, and an inside post in a big field is a recipe for a board finish. She's the kind of horse you include in trifecta plays at a price.

Yinzer rates just behind at 81.79 for the Steven Asmussen/Jose Ortiz combination — a pairing with genuine firepower on the turf. The 3/1 morning line accurately reflects a horse who can compete at this level, and an average speed figure of 55 matches the field's best. Yinzer's 16% career win rate might seem modest, but in a field this size at a mile on turf, hitting the board consistently is the profile you want.

Slapintheface is our show play at 8/1 morning line odds, representing genuine value for a horse with a 70.34 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the race. Manuel Franco rides for trainer Anthony Dutrow, and an average speed figure of 55 with a 26% career win rate suggests a horse that runs hard and fires regularly. In a 13-horse field where chalk can get shuffled, an 8/1 board finisher is a fantastic show parlay target.

Gypsy Art checks in at 77.19 for trainer Wesley Ward, a trainer who might be the best in the business with grass sprinters — his record on turf is elite at every level. An average speed figure of 57, the highest in this field, is a significant edge, and Dylan Davis gives this a capable pilot at a fair 4/1 morning line. A 16% career win rate undercuts the overall profile slightly, but Ward's form cycle management tends to peak horses right on the day.

No Evidence is the sneaky inclusion at 8/1 morning line odds with a 76.98 TrackWiz rating — nearly identical to Gypsy Art's score at almost double the price. Flavien Prat takes the mount for trainer Miguel Clement, and an average speed figure of 57 matching Gypsy Art's best puts No Evidence firmly in the conversation. This is the race's best value play on the board, and the show ticket at 8/1 is the kind of overlay that pays for a day at the track.

King Farro represents excellent place value at 6/1 morning line odds with a 61.68 TrackWiz rating and a 33% career win rate — the best win percentage among horses that aren't Judge Boushay. Dylan Davis rides for Robert Falcone Jr., and an average speed figure of 55 gives King Farro the baseline to hang with this group. If the favorite is compromised in traffic at a mile, King Farro's closing percentage makes him the natural beneficiary.

Tricky Business deserves respect despite the show slot — a 50% career win rate is the most eye-catching number in this field, and George Weaver sends him out with Flavien Prat at a tight 2/1 morning line. The lower TrackWiz rating of 58.33 relative to the top two keeps him off the top of our ticket, but Prat won't let a 50% winner get into an unwinnable spot. He's a strong show play and a legitimate candidate to upset if Judge Boushay encounters any trouble.

Minaret Station brings a 50% career win rate — the most impressive closing percentage in this stakes field — and Jose Ortiz rides for trainer William Walden, who doesn't often ship into Saratoga stakes without a live horse. The 2/1 morning line makes this the public's second choice despite a 76.54 TrackWiz rating that ranks second in our model. A 50% winner at any level demands respect, especially going long on turf.

Yo Daddy is the third leg of our ticket at a 6/5 morning line that seems surprisingly short for a show slot, but Linda Rice has a 30% career winner here that the market is clearly not dismissing. Ricardo Santana Jr. rides, and a 68.71 TrackWiz rating puts Yo Daddy clearly in the mix even if our model has the top two above. In a 10-horse stakes at a distance favoring stamina, this is a horse you simply can't leave out of your exotics.

Coach Ryan rates second in our model at 57.50 for the Chad Brown/Manuel Franco combination — which is enough said at Saratoga on the turf. Brown's maiden turf record is one of the best in the business, and a 5/2 morning line tells you the market agrees that this is a live runner. An average speed figure of 53 backs up the profile, and at a mile and a sixteenth, Brown's horses tend to relish the added ground.

Karsten rounds out our ticket at 3/1 for trainer Jorge Abreu and Flavien Prat — a jockey who can coax a first-time turf starter into a competitive effort like almost nobody else. A 56.67 TrackWiz rating is third-best in the field and an average speed figure of 54 gives him a slight edge over the show pick average. In a wide-open maiden turf finale, Abreu/Prat combos are worth following, and 3/1 is a reasonable price for a place/show play.